From: Gino Yu
To: "jeffrey E." <jeevacation@gmail.com>
Subject: Re: Schulte Research: Deep dives into PRC fin tech ownership and Trump cabinet
ownership. (DO NOT FORWARD)
Date: Sat, 17 Dec 2016 12:35:06 +0000
Inline-Images: mime-attachment.png; mime-attachment.gif; mime-attachmentjpg
Good. Sorting out Tulum at the moment. Over 40 people wanted to come. The Cenote project didn't get funded
yet so we are sorting out accommodations. David Sauvage who you met is coming
ft ips://docs.google.corn/document/d/ 1zebY0wGi_vn1WpUnkTRIT7yPsl-iQl fA9GidDUg0zcU/edit). Joon Yun
as well (who I'd like to introduce you to - http://www.drjoonyun.com0. The gathering will help plan activities in
2017 which I will summarise for you in Jan.
On Monday, I head to Pragelato with the wife and kids for 10 days of skiing and sight-seeing. Head to Tulum on
the 1st. I will be at DLD and Davos afterward. I still have a Vive that I got for you that I'd like to set up and
walk you and your people through.
Is your schedule for the holidays sorted?
Happy Holidays!!
gino
On 17 Dec 2016, at 6:10 PM, Jeffrey E. <jeevacation®gmail.com> wrote:
no ,. how are you?
On Fri, Dec 16, 2016 at 9:43 PM, Gino Yu < > wrote:
See the attached. Let me know if you are interested in meeting him when he's in NYC.
gino
Begin fonvarded message:
From: Paul Schulte <
Subject: Re: Schulte Research: Deep dives into PRC fin tech ownership and Trump cabinet
ownership. (DO NOT FORWARD)
Date: 17 December 2016 at 8:35:35 AM HKT
To: Gino Yu <
Sure. Forward
Founder and Editor
Schulte Research
EFTA01059141
On 17 Dec 2016, at 3:09 AM, Gino Yu < > wrote:
I'm Still in HK. Cancelled my India trip. Leaving for Italy on Monday. Can meet this weekend if you are
around.
Can I forward this to my benefactor in NYC? You interested in meeting him while you are there?
gino
On 16 Dec 2016, at 6:19 PM, Paul Schulte 'c > wrote:
Founder and Editor
Schulte Research
Begin forwarded message:
From: Paul Schulte
Date: 12 December 2016 at 4:10:08 PM GMT+8
To: Paul Schulte
Subject: Schulte Research: Deep dives into PRC fin tech ownership and Trump cabinet
ownership. (DO NOT FORWARD)
SCHULTE RESEARCH REPO,RT: ED 164
CONTACT US
Paul Schulte
: DEEP DIVES INTO PRC FIN TECH Founder Schulte Researdi
OWNERSHIP AND TRUMP CABINET
OWNERSHIP. (DO NOT FORWARD) Gavin Liu
Senior Ma
IND-X Advisors Limited
r
• H SHARES: PING AN, CICC AT CENTER OF Central
Hong Kong
ALIBABA, TENCENT PHENOMENON. BUY. SELL
AIA.
• TRUMP CHOICES ARE ALL ABOUT KOCH
BROS & OIL/GAS NETWORK: BUY RUSSIA...
ALSO SAUDI BANKS.
EFTA01059142
• INVESTOR FEEDBACK: INFLATION COMING.
BUY BOMBED OUT BANKS IISBC, KB,
UNICREDIT? GROWING AGREEMENT ON
BOOM IN US. BUY CITI, JPM.
Schulte Research Report, ED 164: Slides
1. Ping An & CICC are the 2 H shares that operate in the middle of Alibaba, Tencent,
Lufax.
A. The chart below represents a deep dive we did on the new world of Chinese
banking Companies like Zhong An, WeBank and Lufax will grow dramatically and
will take advantage of (as well as support) the massive worlds of Alibaba and
Tencent. Together, Alibaba and Tencent have market cap of $500 bn. Popping up in
many of these areas of overlap are Ping An and CICC. They are strategically placed
to make great strides in China. This is slowly being recognized in the case of Ping
AN (See Page 8 of attached PPT). Ping An's market cap is $97 bn. It is connected to
Zhong An.. It owns 44% of Lufax. And some if its management were the very ones
that started WeBank. It is perfectly positioned for the coming boom in new banking.
It has the best combined ROA and ROE globally and its P/E of 10x is trading on a
50% discount to the global averages. Why is Ping An trading at a discount to AIA?
BUY PING AN -- SELL AIA..
B. The other company which has the best return on capital of any broker dealer --
and is also positioned nicely for the coming boom in the new era of banking in China
-- is CICC. CICC and CDH (a CICC breakaway) both invested in Zhong An and Lufax.
CICC has vision and a proven track record. Yet it has been a laggard. This is a top
pick for H shares for China in 2017. The other bank with great vision in this area is
CCB, which has invested in Ant Financial. BUY H shares CCB and CICC. (See
attached PPT for portfolios and China fintech details).
C. IPOs in 2017. I think Zhong An will be a surprise for 2017 in the Hong Kong
market. Its market cap is expected to be $10 bn and it has interesting potential in so
many areas of insurance. It remains an insurance company whose marginal cost of a
new customer is zero. It has a talented team of 900 engineers and has new AI and
blockchain divisions. It is rolling out an impressive array of products including
corporate solutions for insurance and investment plans. Lufax CEO Greg Gibb made
a big splash at the Finnovasia (Schulte Research co-sponsored it) in Hong Kong last
month. The company is a diversified financial conglomerate akin to "Schwab meets
etrade and Fidelity" -- only 25 years ago. It needs an IPO north of $25 bn in order
for the private equity partners to make money. Lastly, Ant Financial will come to the
market for a $60 bn IPO in 2017 -- also in Hong Kong. This is a mothership
company that goes to the heart of China's system. Its early investors are CIC, CDB,
CCB, China Life and other vital organs of the system. It will not be allowed to fail.
There are some questions about whether to own this through Alibaba, since Alibaba
will own 33% of Ant post IPO. I'm in this camp. Buy Alibaba on this pullback. (See
attached PPT for the full China Fintech Report).
EFTA01059143
2. Koch Industries saturates both the offices of Trump as well as Pence. Mega bullish
for Russia, oil and gas companies. Mega bearish for alternative energy.
A. The Koch Brothers are not just two grumpy men -- they are a political party. Koch
Industries is the second biggest private company in the US after Cargill. They
operate public and secretive political entities in 32 states and dole out more than
$500 million each political cycle to various entities in the strongest places. The
political entities employ more than 1,200 people and the amount of donations
available to right wing causes varies dramatically but is as high as $750 million per
cycle. It is the third largest party in the US after the Democratic and Republican
party. It controls the Libre Alliance, Americans for Prosperity, Freedom Partners,
Institute for Energy Research, American Energy Alliance and Concerned Veterans.
B. What do they do with their money? They support right wing Republican
candidates for all organizations -- attorneys general, Senate, House and state
political figures. This is where it gets interesting. Freedom Partners is thought of as
the "Koch bank". Guess who ran this? Marc Short. It controls about $250 mn in
funds for political activity. Guess who employed Marc Short as chief of staff? Indiana
Governor Mike Pence. Guess who then employed him as chief of staff? President-
elect Trump. Matt Lloyd is in charge of communications and strategy for VP-elect
Pence -- he came from Koch Industries. Governor Pence was a frequent attendee of
the secretive semi-annual meetings of the Koch Brothers. Guess who raised more
than $100 million for Freedom Partners? Don McGahn. Guess who is the new White
House Counsel for President-elect Trump? Don McGahn. (McGahn was embroiled in
the Tom Delay scandal in the 2000s). Guess who had two companies which had
Koch Brothers as investors and whose chief of staff (Chenowith) came from the Koch
world? The new CIA-designate chief Mike Pompeo. (Pompeo's Kansas campaign
received a $900,000 donation from Koch). Guess who gave $1 mn to Americans for
Prosperity? Education secretary designate Betsy Devos. Guess who has written the
strategy paper for the Department of Energy transition? Tom Pyle -- He is affiliated
with the Koch Industries Office of federal Affairs and the Institute for Energy
Research. Guess who was caught up in a Koch Industries scandal for a
petrochemical port project (with a Koch affiliated Messr. Henneberry)? Governor
Nikki Haley who is UN Ambassador designate.
C. Advisors are ALL Koch-related. Here is where it gets fun. Former campaign
advisor Corey Lewandowski came from KochLand. Rebekah Mercer is part of Koch
and and gave $2.5 mn to Freedom Partners. Kellyanne Conway has connections to
Pence from way back and is connected to Steve Bannon through the Center for
National Policy. Trump deputy campaign manager David Bossie came from Citizens
United. The Director of Coalitions for Trump is named Alan Cobb -- he came from
Americans for Prosperity. Daren Selnick is a transition advisor and he came from
Concerned Veterans. Others on the Trump team who came from Kochland include
Stuart Jolly, Eli Miller, Scott Hagerstrom and Matt Ciepielowski.
EFTA01059144
3. BUY the hell out of Russia -- Exxon Rex is a cabinet trifecta for Koch Brothers.
A. And there's Exxon Rex. Any contribution from Exxon received money from Koch --
and vice versa. Rex Tillerson is worth $151 million and is leaving Exxon next year.
He seems to have accepted secretary of state position. He inked a deal worth $300
billion in oil and gas exploration in 2012. (For that, he received the highest civilian
honour bestowed by Russia). This will be a boom for Koch Industries as the
sanctions against Russia are lifted. (Thank you Uncle Vlad for interfering in the
elections). This will be a boom for Russia -- for equities, FX and bonds. It is clear
that sanctions against Russia will be lifted regardless of whether Russia interfered in
the elections. (Clinton made this a campaign issue and still lost!).
B. Anyone who thinks this will be reversed by Greenpeace or other green
organization is kidding themselves. The Senate and House is Republican. Majority
parties control all committees so they control the agenda. The agenda is set. These
guys are geniuses with the news cycle. And the vast array of think tanks controlled
by the Koch Brothers (most of them) allows them to control the news cycle as well
as the opinion pages of newspapers. The web on control on public opinion from the
Koch Brothers reaches every newspaper through a large array of think tanks like the
AEI and Cato Institute, not to mention the vast array of Koch think tanks.
C. If you don't like this, tough luck. Life is not fair. This is not going to be reversed.
Think of it as watching a science experiment. Bush lost the popular vote to Gore in
2001 and completely reversed policies on tax, environment, Middle East, energy,
fracking, birth control, and LGBT issues. Trump, Pence, Bannon and Koch will make
a deal which will be a hybrid of religious right on moral issues and "zero intrusion
from government" in commerce. Republicans already control the Senate, the House,
a majority of governorships as well as a majority of attorneys general. It will be very
hard to reverse this. And if Trump can deliver jobs to the midwest red states, more
senate seats will turn red. Tom Pyle's list of things to for the Department of Energy's
transition team is expressly designed to do this. This includes new oil and gas
leasing projects, more fracking, more coal, more LNG projects -- and a green light
for both the Keystone and Dakota pipelines. The working paper reneges on the Paris
pact, the Clean Power Plan and the carbon tax. And it is expressly a climate change
denial policy. States like North Dakota, South Dakota, Oklahoma, Iowa, Texas,
Louisiana, West Virginia, Kansas and others will come to life again.. Most of these
states have small populations but each gets a governor and two senators.
This report is published and distributed by IND-X Advisors Limited (-IND-r). IND-X is regulated by the Hong Kong Securities
and Futures Commission and is a registered investment advisor with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This
message is intended for the addressee only and may contain private and confidential information or material which may be
privileged. If it has come to you in error you must delete it immediately and should not copy it or show it to any other person.
IND-X and its affiliates make no representation that the contents of this e-mail are accurate or complete nor shall they have
any liability for any loss of profit. indirect or other consequential losses or other economic loss suffered by any person arising
from reliance upon such contents.
EFTA01059145
This e-mail is confidential and subject to IND-X Advisors Limited's electronic communication policy, which can be viewed at:
<mime-attachment.pngxmime-attachment.gifxmime-attachmentjpg>
This e-mail is confidential and subject to IND-X Advisors Limited's electronic communication policy, which can be viewed at:
rr
please note
The information contained in this communication is
confidential, may be attorney-client privileged, may
constitute inside information, and is intended only for
the use of the addressee. It is the property of
JEE
Unauthorized use, disclosure or copying of this
communication or any part thereof is strictly prohibited
and may be unlawful. If you have received this
communication in error, please notify us immediately by
EFTA01059146
return e-mail or by e-mail to jeevacation@gmail.com, and
destroy this communication and all copies thereof,
including all attachments. copyright -all rights reserved
EFTA01059147