'Figure 92: Commodity Price Scenario Anal :5amson Resources Forecast Metrics
0 Ss, O m
FY 15E EFII/DA (5. FY 15E FCF < 9. 3
o C
NIMEC Car rS.Jm, {/
11111 1126 Sin 112> VI. $4.21 1415 51.13 $2.77 $i.rs $3.2$ $375 $4.26 14.15 O
MO 1262 1263 $324 $325 5346 $367 1906 510.0 i$551, $154' 45171 06(131 (440) 1165 0440) 110
0
$400 $112 $333 314 1175 5305 $416 $07 40.0 t5S111 041) (34771 (14601 0443) 0426) (1440) -
Zi:=E
150 $382 $30 SC 5424 $445 $4114 1467 64.0 0470) 11161) 44151 (34201 ISM) MN) (SIN) 01
500.0 $411 1432 1463 5474 1405 5516 1536 1400 (MO) 15413) 113031 03791 0362) 113461 (3311) 01.
$760 5461 5482 5503 1624 5544 $5/6 $586 570.0 ($393) 15373) (13661 ($3391 (S3=) 1305) ens
1810 1511 $531 $562 5673 3504 5615 $636 $1610 (SAO) (1323) 1310 (3200) (3052) 11265/ 11241)
$5410 $10 5561 sea $623 5044 $16 $615 $10.0 moo 1551 ($7751 42501 0242) 11220) ($203)
FY 15E ESITEIA (S Million) FY 16E FCC IS Million)
ro' VEY G.r. 3- N !MP( Gas
$1.75 52 UM $12$ 137$ $4.2$ $4.75 SI 75 $2.25 32.7> $3.23 $675 San 14.7$
5350 $141 $171 5202 2232 $202 $21/3 SUS $.30.0 157.01 $757) 1$7a) 11, 031 ($671) (1642) ($614)
1400 $206 $236 1268 5729 $329 $360 $ $40.0 0721) 110031 116641 (11361 0,0371 15579) 0650)
1560 5274 55 3336 $365 $5 5431 56 $460 (5658) IAD) (18011 4622) (1643) 15615) (1455)
$010 $341 537* OA 9.52 5402 $40$ 1623 910.0 0590 ($566) (21321 (SAM ($4791 4451) (9.22)
$7150 $405 $430 SC 1490 50 5503 55 PIO $610) 155011 04731 04441 114111 15387) 03651
50 5474 5505 5536 5640 $506 $035 057 190.0 (5465) 15431 04501 113801 a3sz 11323) 0294)
160 $541 $572 52 5632 $543 $050 $723 156 1$402) 11374) (53451 113161 15285) 0250) 0231)
FY 15E Net Leverage FY 15E DebtPecoved Reserves I5-Mete)
rn VIC( C.. , Sanc.e) (simoel
SI 7$ 1126 TS 13.25 13.75 5415 14.75 St /5 /2.25 52.75 $3.25 517$ 14.25 54.75
$360 161 151* 1481 113x 126 0/X 1104 130.0 526 126 $25 $26 $t& $28 527
MO Ii- 111 12.15 11.49 1071 102. 11 10.0 $21 126 116 $27 127 527 127
$500 111 In 101 100$ 955 00 6(0 150 06 127 527 127 52 7 52 7 $2 7
565.0 101, * 94 64/ 645 &ft 7.11 IMO 13.7 $2 7 527 117 327 $27 $27
50 915 67$ SA 79 703 73. TM 170.0 527 127 527 527 127 526 526
50 6 1. 74 755 783 699 66. 6.43 50 St 7 $27 527 126 126 $26 $26
SRO 734 71. 665 66x 635 619 6* 9810 $2 7 $26 526 526 126 526 $16
FY 16E Net L Debt Pro..rd rd, (S.Mr fri
%IF • 3 rl
$1.715 26 $275 1115 079 atm $4.75 $1.75 12.25 12.75 $3.25 477 14.25 14.75
1360 36.9 201 2515 211 169$ 161 15 Ix 1310 133 $33 $33 532 132 $32 $31
$400 241 210$ 164$ 164$ 141 045 1225 $410 532 132 112 532 131 $31 $31
MO 110. 1619 144 1319 120 11 lz 102. $000 SS 2 $3 1 41 Al 53 1 130 130
560.0 1425 121 111 100 100 031 /41. 460 Al $31 tz, 1 $30 $30 $30 $2 9
5110 111 1079 91 923 tie( 60 7.* $70.0 $30 $3 o 530 530 $2 9 529 529
50 979 919 81 70 754 70 61 IMO 130 $2 9 $29 120 129 $2 8 $2 6
3560 644 74 745 60 61 61. 61 RAO $2 9 $29 529 126 All 526 527
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc.
San Death* en
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CONFIDENTIAL SDNY_GM_00190837
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