EMPIRE
VALUATION CONSULTANTS. ac
PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL
June 24, 2014
Alan S. Halperin, Esq.
Paul, Weiss, Ritkind, Wharton & Garrison LLP
1285 Avenue of the Americas, Suite 3115
New York, NY 10019-6064
Dear Mr. Halperin:
You have requested Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC ("Empire") to estimate the
fair market value of a 34.53% limited partnership interest (the "Interest") in Black
Family Partners, LP ("BFP" or the "Partnership") as of December 4, 2013 (the
"Valuation Date"). It is our understanding that this report will be used by Mr.
Leon Black for estate planning purposes.
This report is an Appraisal Report as defined in Standards Rule 10 of The
Appraisal Foundation's Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice
("USPAP"), which specifically applies to the preparation of valuation reports of
business interests. This report has also been prepared in accordance with the
American Institute of Certified Public Accountants Statement on Standards for
Valuation Services 1: Valuation of a Business, Business Ownership Interest,
Security, or Intangible Asset.
Valuation Summary
Based on the following review and analysis, and subject to the attached Statement
of Limiting Conditions, it is our estimate that the fair market value of a 34.53%
limited partnership interest in Black Family Partners, LP is reasonably stated as
$780,000,000 as of December 4, 2013.
777 Canal View Blvd., Suite 200, Rochester, NY 14623 Tel: (585) 475-9260 empireval.com
New York • Cleveland • Rochester • West Hanford
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Methodology
BFP has been valued on a going concern basis. Since the Partnership is closely-
held, and thus without a public market for its ownership interests, this appraisal
was conducted according to guidelines established by the Internal Revenue Service
("IRS") and USPAP, and in conformity with the American Society of Appraisers'
Principles of Appraisal Practice and Code of Ethics, together with other standards
that were deemed relevant to this engagement.
This appraisal considered all pertinent factors outlined in USPAP Standards Rule 9
and IRS Revenue Ruling 59-60, including, but not limited to, the following:
• the nature and history of BFP;
• the financial and economic conditions affecting the general economy, the
Partnership, and its industry;
• the past results, current operations, and future prospects of BFP;
• the earning capacity and dividend-paying capacity of the Partnership;
• the economic benefit to the Partnership of both its tangible and intangible
assets;
• the market price of actively traded interests in public entities engaged in the
same or similar lines of business as BFP, as well as sales of ownership
interests in entities similar to the Partnership;
• the prices, terms, and conditions of past sales of ownership interests in BFP;
and
• the impact on the value of ownership interests in BFP resulting from the
existence of buy-sell and option agreements, investment letter stock
restrictions, restrictive shareholders agreements, or other such agreements.
In defining "fair market value," IRS Revenue Ruling 59-60 refers to Section
25.2512-1 of the Gift Tax Regulations. Fair market value is described therein as
the price at which ownership interests would change hands between a willing buyer
and a willing seller, neither being under any compulsion to buy or sell and both
having reasonable knowledge of relevant facts.
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Sources of Information
Information used in determining the fair market value of the Interest was provided
by the documents and sources listed below:
• A copy of BFP's Amended Limited Partnership Agreement, dated May 17,
2007 as amended December 2009 (the "BFP Agreement");
• A copy of BFP's pro forma tax returns, prepared from Mr. Leon Black's
personal tax returns, for the years ending December 31, 2009 through 2012;
• Documents and information regarding BFP's assets are presented in
Appendix A;
• Conversations and correspondence regarding BFP, its management policies,
financial status and investments with Ms. Eileen Alexanderson
("Management"); and
• Other reviews, analyses, and research as were deemed necessary.
Partnership Profile
BFP operated as an investment holding company. The Partnership was formed on
May 17, 2007. As of the Valuation Date, the Partnership's primary asset was a
45.9% interest in BRH Holdings LP ("BRH"). BRH owned 87.27% of AP
Professional Holdings LP ("Holdings"), which held 61.68% of the Apollo Operating
Group ("AOG") units. Details about AOG are fully discussed later in this report.'
The Partnership was also invested in co-investment funds managed by Apollo Global
Management LLC and its consolidated affiliates (the "Company" or "Apollo"). In
addition to the Apollo co-investment entities, BFP was invested in additional private
investment funds and companies. Additionally, BFP has issued multiple promissory
notes. The Partnership's investments are detailed below.
Based on capital account balances available as of the Valuation Date, the
Partnership had an aggregate book value of $3.1 billion. BFP had net income of
$327.4 million in 2012. The Partnership has historically made distributions. BFP
does not have audited financial statements. Pro forma financial statements for BFP,
prepared from Mr. Black's income tax returns, are presented in Exhibits A
through C.
Percentages based on Apollo Global Management LLC's 10-Q filing as of September 30, 2013.
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A. BFP Ownership
As of the Valuation Date, BFP's ownership was as presented in the following table.
Table I
BFP Ownership
Partner Type Interest
Black Family GP, LLC GP' 0.0000%
AIF IV Management Inc. LP3 0.0000%
Judah 2009-A Investment Trust LP 7.8903%
Black Family 1997 Trust LP 4.6595%
LDB 2011 LLC LP 7.1685%
APO! GRAT LP 37.7500%
Leon Black LP 42.5317%
Total 100.0000%
B. Apol o Operating Group
According to its most recent SEC filing, Apollo is a global alternative investment
manager whose predecessor was founded in 1990. Its primary business is to raise
and invest private equity, capital markets and real estate funds as well as managed
accounts, on behalf of pension and endowment funds, as well as other institutional
and high net worth individual investors. For these investment management services,
Apollo receives management fees generally related to the amount of assets under
management, transaction and advisory fees for the investments made and carried
interest income related to the performance of the respective funds that it manages.
Apollo has three primary business segments:
• Private Equity ("PE"): PE funds primarily invest in control equity and
related debt instruments, convertible securities and distressed debt investments;
• Capital Markets ("CM"): CM funds primarily invest in non-control debt
and non-control equity investments, including distressed debt securities; and
• Real Estate ("RE"): RE funds primarily invest in legacy commercial
mortgage-backed securities, commercial first mortgage loans, mezzanine
investments and other commercial real estate-related debt investments.
Additionally, the Company sponsors real estate funds that focus on
2 General Partner
3 Limited Partner
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opportunistic investments in distressed debt and equity recapitalization
transactions.
Apollo was formed as a Delaware limited liability company on July 3, 2007 and
completed a reorganization of its predecessor businesses on July 13, 2007 (the
"Reorganization"). Apollo is managed and operated by its manager, AGM
Management, LLC, which in turn is wholly-owned and controlled by Leon Black,
Joshua Harris and Marc Rowan (the "Managing Partners"). See Appendix B for an
organizational diagram for Apollo and its ownership structure, described below.
As of September 30, 2013, Apollo owned, through three intermediate holding
companies that include APO Corp., a Delaware corporation that is a domestic
corporation for U.S. Federal income tax purposes, APO Asset Co., LLC ("APO
Asset"), a Delaware limited liability company that is a disregarded entity for U.S.
Federal income tax purposes, and APO (FC), LLC ("APO (FC)"), an Anguilla
limited liability company that is treated as a corporation for U.S Federal income tax
purposes (collectively, the "Intermediate Holding Companies"), 38.32% of the
economic interests of, and operated and controlled all of the businesses and affairs
of, the Apollo Operating Group, as general partners.
AP Professional Holdings, L.P., a Cayman Islands exempted limited partnership
("Holdings"), is the entity through which the Managing Partners and certain of
Apollo's other partners, and their related parties, (the "Contributing Partners")
indirectly own (through Holdings) Apollo Operating Group units hold AOG Units.
Holdings owned AOG Units that represent 61.68% of the economic interests in the
Apollo Operating Group as of September 30, 2013.
Apollo also entered into an exchange agreement with Holdings that allows the
partners in Holdings, subject to the vesting and minimum retained ownership
requirements and transfer restrictions set forth in the partnership agreements of the
Apollo Operating Group, to exchange their AOG Units for the Company's Class A
shares on a one-for-one basis up to four times each year, subject to customary
conversion rate adjustments for splits, unit distributions and reclassifications. A
limited partner must exchange one partnership unit in each of the ten Apollo
Operating Group partnerships to effect an exchange for one Class A share.
On April 4, 2011, Apollo completed the initial public offering ("IPO") of its
Class A shares. Apollo received net proceeds from the initial public offering of
approximately $382.5 million, which was used to acquire additional AOG Units.
Shares of Apollo traded between $29.20 and $30.24 per share and closed at $30.02
per share on the Valuation Date, with the mean value being $29.72 per share.
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C. Description of Assets
BFP was invested in cash, multiple Apollo funds, Apollo Operating Group units
through BRH and Holdings and a non-Apollo hedge fund. Details regarding the
assets are provided below. A summary of the capital account balance for each
interest is presented in Exhibit D.
Cash and Marketable Securities: The Partnership had a checking account held at
Bank of America with a balance of $60.8 million as of the Valuation Date.
Additionally, BFP had a brokerage account with JP Morgan, which held $1.4
million in cash, $512,100 in Environmental Solutions World (Ticker:ESWW)4 stock,
$5.3 million in Apollo Investment Corp? stock (603,632 shares with a mean value
of $8.75 per share) and $0.8 million in AP Alternative Assets, LI" stock (28,730
shares with a mean value of $27.04 per share) as of the Valuation Date.
Apollo Private Equity Investment Funds: BFP participated in Apollo's PE funds,
specifically AIF III, AIF IV, AIF V and AIF VI. For each fund, BFP invested in
a related co-investor entity established for Apollo affiliates and employees to
participate in Apollo's individual PE funds. As of the Valuation Date, the
Partnership had a capital account balance in ACIII, ACIV, ACV and ACVI. The
Partnership's co-invest interests were not subject to management or carried interest
fees. In effect, they earned the underlying fund's return on investment, net of any
non-fee fund expenses. BFP's capital account balances in ACIII, ACIV, ACV and
ACVI were $2.5 million, $0.5 million, $3.9 million and $40.9, respectively, at the
Valuation Date.
BFP also retained a 36% interest (720.5 of 2,000 points) in AIF III's general
partner's carried interest. As of the Valuation Date, the capital account related to
the carry points for AIF III was a deficit of $5.0 million, i.e. the general partner
was subject to a clawback based on the market value of AIF III's remaining asset.
The AIF funds employed a 1.5% management fee and 20% carried interest fee
structure. The management fees could vary based on life-cycle of the fund.
Carried interest was subject to an 8% preferred for its fee-paying limited partners.
The funds generate value through: (1) classic buyouts; (2) distressed buyouts; and
(3) corporate partner buyouts. The fund's limited partners could not withdraw, and
4 BFP held 11,380 shares in ESWW. The shares were thinly traded with a most recent closing
price of $45 per share.
Apollo Investment Corp. ("AINV") is a publicly traded business development company ("BDC")
managed by Apollo.
6 AP Alternative Assets, LP ("AAA") is a publicly traded investment company managed by Apollo.
The company is listed on the Amsterdam stock exchange.
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transfers required the permission of the respective fund GP entity. The fund size
for AIF III, AIF IV, AIF V and AIF VI was $1.5 billion, $3.6 billion, $5 billion
and $10.1 billion, respectively. ACIII, ACIV, ACV and ACVI were bound to
invest and divest at the same time as AIF III, AIF IV, AIF V and AIF VI,
respectively. AIF III, AIF IV and AIF V were all on extension in order to
liquidate remaining positions. ACIII, ACIV, ACV and ACVI had no control over
the funds, or their selection or timing of investment acquisitions or divestitures.
Withdrawal from ACIII, ACIV, ACV and ACVI was not permitted and transfers
required the consent of the respective managing members.
Table II
Apollo Private Equity Co-Invest Entities
Capital Account
Entity Term Expiration
Value
The underlying fund was on extension. At the Valuation
ACIII $2,554,400 Date there was no indication when the portfolio company
would be sold.8
The underlying fund was on indefinite extension. There was
ACIV $546,624
no indication when the portfolio companies would be sold.
The underlying fund was on contractual extension. There
ACV $3,938,673 was no indication when the portfolio companies would be
sold.
ACVI $40,883,392 The fund's term expires January 12, 2016.
Apollo Capital Market Fund Interests: ASC and AVC are invested in capital
market funds affiliated with Apollo. Apollo's capital market funds held securities
from all portions of a portfolio company's capital structure, with a focus on
distressed companies. BFP's interests in ASC and AVC were not subject to
management or performance fees. While ASC's and AVC's legal agreements did
not dictate specific provisions for withdrawal, Apollo's Management indicated that
members of ASC and AVC were allowed to make monthly withdrawal requests.
As of the Valuation Date, BFP was able to withdraw its capital from both ASC
and AVC effective December 31, 2013.
7 Based on September 30, 2013 quarterly account statements. Capital account balances were adjusted
to account for distributions and contributions made between the capital account date and the
Valuation Date.
As of the writing of this report, Empire was informed by BFP that Apollo liquidated the
remaining portfolio company held by ACIII and AIF III in March 2014.
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Table III
Apollo Capital Market Co-Invest Entities
Entity Capital Account Value'
ASC 52,801,160
AVC $7,765,568
FCI II: BFP made a $25 million commitment to FCI II on June 21, 2013. FCI II
co-invests in FCI Fund as a Schedule I limited partner. The fund had its first
capital call in July 2013, for which the Partnership contributed $5,509,642, of
which $4,096,340 was returned after a subsequent close. BFP's net capital
contribution to FCI II is $1.4 million. FCI Fund purchased a portfolio of 67 life
insurance policies from a European bank with a total policy face amount of $371
million for approximately $27 million. The balance of BFP's future capital
contributions are expected to be for premiums, fees and expenses. The Partnership's
interest in FCI II was not subject to management or carried interest fees. In
effect, it earned the underlying fund's return on investment, net of any non-fee fund
expenses. BFP's capital account balance was $1.6 million at the Valuation Date.
FCI Fund employed a 0.5% management fee and 10% carried interest fee structure.
The management fees could vary based on life-cycle of the fund. Carried interest
was subject to a 6% preferred for its fee-paying limited partners. The fund's limited
partners could not withdraw, and transfers required the permission of the fund GP.
FCI II had no control over the fund, or its selection or timing of investment
acquisitions or divestitures. Withdrawal from FCI II was not permitted and
transfers required the consent of the general partner.
AP Technology Partners LLC ("APTP"): APTP is a venture capital fund launched
by Apollo principals and managing partners. BFP has a nominal capital account
balance of $13,863. The fund has been inactive for years and was not expected to
resume investment activities. All remaining assets in APTP were considered side
pocket investments.
Apollo Ownership Interests: The Partnership has an indirect ownership position in
the Apollo Operating Group through AOG Units held through BRH. In total BFP
held 92,727,166 AOG Units. At the Valuation Date, Apollo's stock closed at
$30.02 per share, with a mean value of $29.72 per share. AOG Units could be
exchanged for Class A shares at various future dates.10 The agreements governing
the AOG Units are discussed in greater detail below. The impact of the agreement
9 Based on September 30, 2013 monthly account statements.
10 7.5% of the block of AOG Units became exchangeable on March 29, 2013.
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provisions was considered in the estimation of fair market value for the AOG
Units. On an unadjusted basis the capital account value of the AOG units was
$2,755,851,374." In addition to the AOG Units held, the Partnership also received
an annual payment from Apollo in connection with the tax receivable agreement
("TRA") associated with Apollo ownership sold in the July 2007 transaction which
resulted from the reorganization of Apollo and its listing on GSTrUE.12
Non-Apollo Investment Interests: BFP's other investments included interests in four
fixed-term private equity funds, five evergreen hedge funds, four development
stage/private companies and multiple promissory notes. All of these investments
were non-controlling and non-marketable, and subject to certain restrictions. None
of the funds made regular distributions. Each subset is described further below.
Private-Equity Funds: These investments were subject to transfer restrictions (i.e.
requires fund general partner consent), and withdrawal was not permitted prior to
the end of the fund's term. Distributions were only anticipated upon the harvest of
underlying investments, and the timing and amount of distributions would be
determined by each fund's manager or general partner. A summary of key
information associated with these funds is presented in the following table.
[SPACE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY]
Based on the mean value per share of $29.72.
11 GSTrUE is a secondary market for qualified institutional and individual investors. Apollo stopped
trading on GSTrUE after its public listing in 2011.
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Table IV
Non-Apollo Private Equity Investments — Key Terms
BFP's Capital Fee Term
Entity Description
Account Value Structure Expiration
As of the Valuation Date, BFP
contributed $4.6 million of a
I I AO $3,796,002 $6.0 million commitment. The 2%/20% 12 5:2015
fund is focused on investments
in Asia, with a focus on China.
As of the Valuation Date, BFP
contributed $20.0 million of a
$20.0 million commitment. The
,, \A i $18,224,766 1%,15% 5/1/2018
fund is focused on timberland
properties in the southeastern
United States.
As of the Valuation Date, BFP
contributed $4.7 million of a
$5.0 million commitment. The
\A c I' $2,416,630 fund is focused on active 2%/20% 2/23/2019
minority investments located in
emerging markets, with a focus
on BRIC.1°
As of the Valuation Date, BFP
contributed $177,896 of a $1.5
million commitment. The fund
II \4 $359,525 is targeting $I million 2%/20% 4/1/2023
investments in growth stage
"Big Data" companies. Total
fund size is $25 million.
Hedge Funds: The evergreen funds allowed withdrawal of cap'tal based on a
combination of lock-up periods and limited opportunities to withdraw (e.g. annually,
quarterly). Although the interests were subject to transfer and other restrictions, the
withdrawal rights were considered to be most important. A summary of key
information associated with the evergreen funds is presented in the following table.
13 Based on September 30, 2013 quarterly account statements. Capital account balances were adjusted
to account for distributions and contributions made between the capital account date and the
Valuation Date.
14 Stated annually, as "management fee percentage/performance fee percentage."
1° Brazil, Russia, India and China.
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Table V
Non-Apollo Hedge Fund Investments — Key Terms
Fee
BFP's Capital Withdrawal
Entity Description Structure
Account Value"' 17 pate n
Debt focused special situations
ACP $16.511'696 1.5%/20% 3/31/2014
fund.
Debt and equity event-driven
CVRF $17,544,966 fund. 1.5%/20% 12/31/2013
Global long/short credit and
KSC $961,291 event-driven fund. 1.5%/20% 12/31/2013
LC $32,572,504 Long only equity fund. 1.75%/0% 3/31/2014
MG $23,567,119 Arbitrage fund 0%19/20% 3/31/2014
iCrete: iCre e LLC had developed proprietary technology for mixing concrete. BFP
held a Class B interest in iCrete. According to the Partnership's 2012 K-1, BFP
had a capital account balance of $1.3 million and a capital sharing percentage of
0.849%. iCrete had a $5.8 million members' deficit as of December 31, 2012 and
has been unprofitable since inception.
KUE: Knowledge Universe Education L.P. was a holding company with a portfolio
of development stage secondary education companies. The carrying value of BFP's
interest in KUE was estimated to be $33.6 million based on its 2012 K-1 capital
account balance. Per BFP's K-1, the Partnership had a 1.4289% capital interest.
KUE's aggregate book value of equity was $803.5 million as of December 31,
2012. On October 15, 2013 BFP received a $1.4 million distribution from KUE.
The distribution was considered a return of contributions to KUE's investors, though
not 100%. The KUE Agreement was amended August 9, 2013. The amendment
reflected that a KUE has a target exit date of October 2015 through an IPO. If an
IPO is not successfully KUE will wind down by October 2017 through some other
means.
16 Based on November 30, 2013 monthly account statements. CVRF and LC are based on September
30, 2013 quarterly account statement.
I7 Stated annually, as "management fee percentage/performance fee percentage."
la Withdrawal date represents when BFP was allowed to withdraw its capital from the underlying
fund as of the Valuation Date based on the provisions of the respective underlying fund
agreement. This applies only to ACP, CVRF, LC and MG. BFP has submitted a withdrawal
request to KSC. Full withdrawal will be based on the final December 31, 2013 capital account
balance.
19 There is no management fee, However, partners bear pro rata levels of fund expenses.
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ESWW: ESWW, through its wholly-owned subsidiaries, is engaged in the designing,
developing, manufacturing and selling of emissions control technologies. The
company also provides emissions testing and environmental certification services with
its primary focus on the North American on-road and off-road diesel retrofit
market. ESWW manufactures and markets a line of catalytic emission control and
enabling technologies for a number of applications. ESWW is focused on the
international medium duty and heavy duty diesel engine market for on-road and off-
road vehicles, as well as the utility engine, mining, marine, locomotive and military
industries. ESWW also offers engine and after treatment emissions verification
testing and certification services. In 2013, BFP invested $2.9 million in ESWW in
the form of a convertible note.20 The note pays 10% simple interest, semi-annually.
The note will convert at a rate of $80 per share to common equity on March 22,
2018, or sooner if a majority of the note holders elect to convert the note to
common stock.
Rally Labs: Rally Labs LLC markets and distributes an over-the-counter drug called
Blowfish, which is an effervescent, morning-after hangover remedy. BFP invested
$200,000 on June 28, 2013 as part of Rally Labs effort to raise to $2 million in
investment capital in order to finance its general business operations and marketing
initiatives to support a national rollout. The Partnership bought 20,000 units at a
price per unit of $10.00. The total offering was 200,000 units. The full allotment
of units offered by the company represents 25% of the Rally Lab's fully-diluted
capitalization.
Related Party Receivables: The Partnership has issued 17 promissory notes. There
are 11 outstanding notes with Leon Black, totaling $56.4 million, the Black Family
1997 Trust has two notes totaling $8.2 million, PLB LLC has two notes totaling
$3.2 million. One note totaling $25.0 million is due from Narrow Holdings LLC.
BFP also had a promissory note due from AIF IV Management Inc. in the amount
of $7,471,005. Note terms end between March 13, 2014 and August 5, 2016.
Annual interest rates are between 0.18% and 0.32% for 15 of the notes. One
note, due from the 1997 Trust, is related to Phaidon and charges 3.0% interest
annually. All notes are interest only with principal payments due at the end of
each note's term. Additionally, BFP opened a $15.0 million credit line to Phaidon
Global which was drawn $7.3 million at the Valuation Date. Interest on the
Phaidon Global credit line was 1-month LIBOR plus 200 basis points. The credit
line is available through September 2014.
Liabilities: BFP had no liabilities at the Valuation Date, with the exception of the
clawback liability related to carried interest points for AIF III.
20 The total aggregate offering was $4,596,929.
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Summary: Based on the most recent capital account statements and holdings
information provided by Apollo and BFP Management, the Partnership's total assets
had an aggregate market value of $3.1 billion. Since BFP had only a $5.0
clawback liability its aggregate partners' capital was $3.1 billion (based on the mean
value per share of Apollo at $29.72, AINV's stock at $8.75 and AAA's stock at
$27.04 as of the Valuation Date). See Exhibit D.
Valuation adjustments necessary to reflect the market value of the Partnership's
individual assets taking into consideration various restrictions that hinder BFP's
control over the assets and lack of a ready market to dispose of or trade its assets
is considered in detail in the valuation section of this report.
D. BFP Agreement Provisions
BFP was formed pursuant to Delaware Revised Uniform Limited Partnership Act
(the "Act"). The BFP Agreement dictates the rights, responsibilities and restrictions
placed on the Interest. A summary of key provisions impacting the fair market
value of the Interest is presented below.
• Management: The Partnership shall be managed solely at the discretion of
the GP (i.e. Black Family GP, LLC). (7.1-7.2.) No LP shall have the
ability to act on behalf of the Partnership in its capacity as such. (7.6.)
There are no restrictions on the actions of the GP, and the GP may not be
removed. (7.4.) Upon an event of withdrawal by the GP, a successor GP
shall be appointed by a majority in interest of the LPs. (7.7.)
• P&L Allocations and Distributions: P&L allocations shall be made on a
pro rata basis. (5.2.) The timing and amount of distributions shall be
determined by the GP in its sole and absolute discretion. Such distributions
are based on sharing ratios. (5.4.)
• Costs: Any costs incurred by the GP on behalf of the Partnership for its
operations shall be reimbursed by the Partnership. (Article 4.)
• Restrictions on Transfer: Transfers of economic interests are permitted.
However, no transferee shall become a partner without the prior written
consent of the GP. (9.1.) Upon death, a partner's economic rights shall be
transferred to his legal representative. (9.3.) In addition to the required
consent of the GP, other administrative tasks must be completed in order to
effect the admission of a transferee as a substitute LP. (9.4.)
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• Restrictions on Withdrawal: Any Partner may withdraw any portion of his,
her, or its capital account at any time. Upon such withdrawal, the
Partnership shall distribute to such Partner assets of the Partnership with an
aggregate fair market value equal to (i) the value of all of the assets of the
Partnership, multiplied by (ii) such Partner's Sharing Ratio, multiplied by (iii)
the percentage of such Partner's capital account being withdrawn by such
Partner. If the Partnership's assets consist of assets other than cash or
marketable securities, the FMV shall be determined by a qualified appraiser
selected by the GP. (3.4.)
• Books and Information: The GP shall cause complete books and records to
be maintained at the principal offices of the Partnership. Such records shall
be open to inspection and examination of all partners in person or by their
duly authorized representatives, who have the right to make copies at their
own expense during normal business hours. (8.1.) The GP may, but is not
required to, have annual financial statements prepared. Such statements need
not be audited. If prepared, copies of such statements shall be delivered to
the LPs. (8.2.) The Partnership's accountants shall prepare all federal, state
and local income tax returns for the Partnership. (8.3(a).)
• Dissolution: The Partnership will be dissolved at such time as the first of
the following should occur: (1) the bankruptcy or dissolution of the GP; (2)
the determination of the GP to dissolve the Partnership; (3) the entry of a
decree of judicial dissolution; (4) any event under the act sufficient to cause
dissolution. (10.1.)
• Amendment: The Agreement may only be amended by the unanimous
agreement of the Partners. (12.1.)
AOG Unit Agreement Provisions
The Interest and AOG Units are subject to provisions of multiple agreements. The
impact of these agreements is that the value of an AOG Unit will vary from the
value of a share of Apollo's Class A stock, based on the restrictions and benefits
imposed on the AOG Units. Transfer and exchange restrictions remove the ability
to participate in a liquid market. The TRA outlines how the tax benefit derived
from an AOG Unit exchange is shared between the exchanging unit holder and
Apollo.
Empire reviewed the key agreements, as well as the summary for each agreement
that is included in Apollo's S-1. The descriptions provided below are paraphrased
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from the content provided in the S-1, and are intended to have the meaning
conveyed therein.
A. The Exchange Agreement
BFP entered into an exchange agreement with Holdings which provides for the
exchange of AOG Units owned by Holdings for Class A shares of Apollo. Subject
to certain procedures and restrictions21 and upon 60 days' written notice prior to a
designated quarterly date, each of Holdings' owners22 has the right to cause
Holdings to exchange the AOG Units owned indirectly by such owner for BFP
Class A shares. The Class A shares received in the exchange would then be sold
immediately at the prevailing market price, or at a lower acceptable price, and the
net proceeds distributed to the owner affecting the exchange. In connection with
the exchange, BFP's interest in the AOG Units will be correspondingly increased
and the voting power of the Class B share will be correspondingly decreased.
B. The Principals Agreement
The Principals Agreement provides that each Managing Partner's Pecuniary Interest23
in the AOG Units that he holds indirectly through Holdings shall be subject to
vesting. The Managing Partners own Holdings in accordance with their respective
sharing percentages. Pursuant to the Principals Agreement, the AOG Units
attributable to each of Messrs. Harris and Rowan will vest in in 60 equal monthly
installments. The AOG Units attributable to Mr. Black in which BFP has an
indirect interest will vest in 72 equal monthly installments. Although the Principals
Agreement was entered into on July 13, 2007, AOG's Managing Partners are
credited for their employment as of January 1, 2007 for purposes of its vesting
provisions.
C. The Shareholder Agreement
While the Exchange Agreement allows for quarterly exchanges of AOG Units into
Class A shares of BFP, the Shareholder Agreement restricts the amount and timing
of such exchanges involving a Managing Partner's aggregate equity interest ("Equity
Interests") via its transfer restrictions. These restrictions are described below.
21 Restrictions include the vesting schedules applicable to the Managing Partners, as well as any
applicable transfer restrictions and lock-up agreements.
22 Including Managing Partners, contributing partners, and certain transferees thereof.
23 Pecuniary Interest - With respect to each Managing Partner, the number of AOG units that would
be distributable to such Managing Partner assuming that Holdings were liquidated and its assets
distributed in accordance with its governing agreements.
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No Managing Partner' may affect cumulative transfers of Equity Interests,
representing more than:
1. 0.0% of his Equity Interests at any time prior to the second anniversary of
the date on which the registration statement of which the S-1 forms a part
became effective (the "shelf effectiveness date"), i.e. March 29, 2011;
2. 7.5% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the second anniversary
and prior to the third anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date;
3. 15% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the third anniversary
and prior to the fourth anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date;
4. 22.5% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the fourth anniversary
and prior to the fifth anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date;
5. 30% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the fifth anniversary and
prior to the sixth anniversary of the shelf effectiveness date; or
6. 100% of his Equity Interests at any time on or after the sixth anniversary
of the shelf effectiveness date.
Certain transfers were not subject to the restrictions described above, including
transfers: (1) from one founder to another founder; (2) to a permitted transferee of
such Managing Partner; and (3) in connection with a sale by one or more of the
Managing Partners in one or a related series of transactions resulting in the
Managing Partners owning or controlling, directly or indirectly, less than 50.1% of
the economic or voting interests in Apollo or AOG, or any other person exercising
control in Apollo or the AOG by contract, which would include a transfer of
control of their manager.
D. Tax Receivable Agreement
In the event that an exchange pursuant to the Exchange Agreement is a taxable
transaction, Apollo Management Holdings, L.P. and the AOG entities that it
controls will make a Section 754 election which may result in an adjustment to the
tax basis of a portion of the assets owned by the AOG at the time of the
exchange. The taxable exchanges may result in increases in the tax depreciation
and amortization deductions from depreciable and amortizable assets, as well as an
increase in the tax basis of other assets, of AOG that otherwise would not have
been available. A portion of any increase in depreciation and amortization tax
24 This applies to Managing Partners and their permitted transferees.
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deductions, as well as the increase in the tax basis of such other assets, will reduce
the amount of tax that APO Corp. would otherwise be required to pay on future
income.
Additionally, Apollo's acquisition of AOG Units in such an exchange may result in
increases in tax deductions and tax basis that reduces the amount of tax that APO
Corp. would otherwise be required to pay in the future. This occurred in
connection with the Apollo's acquisition of AOG Units from the Managing Partners
in the strategic investors' transaction in July 2007.
The TRA requires APO Corp. to pay the Managing Partner (or to a permitted
transferee of such Managing Partner, i.e. BFP) or contributing partner involved in
such an exchange 85% of the amount of actual cash savings, if any, in U.S.
Federal, state, local and foreign income tax that APO Corp. realizes as a result of
these increases in tax deductions and tax basis, and certain other tax benefits,
including imputed interest expense. APO Corp. expects to benefit from the
remaining 15% of actual cash savings, if any, in income tax that it realizes.
For purposes of the TRA, cash savings in income tax will be computed by
comparing APO Corp's actual income tax liability to the amount of such taxes that
APO Corp. would have been required to pay had there been no increase to the tax
basis of the tangible and intangible assets of the applicable AOG entity as a result
of the transaction and had APO Corp. not entered into the TRA. The tax savings
achieved may not ensure that APO Corp. has sufficient cash available to pay the
tax liability or generate additional distributions to its investors. Also, APO Corp.
may need to incur additional debt to repay the TRA if its cash flows are not met.
The term of the TRA will continue until all such tax benefits have been utilized or
expired, unless APO Corp. exercises the right to terminate the TRA by paying an
amount based on the present value of payments remaining to be made under the
agreement with respect to units that have been exchanged or sold and units which
have not yet been exchanged or sold. The present value of remaining payments
will be determined based on certain assumptions, including that APO Corp. would
have sufficient taxable income to fully utilize the deductions that would have arisen
from the increased tax deductions and tax basis and other benefits related to
entering into the tax receivable agreement.
No payments will be made if a Managing Partner or contributing partner elects to
exchange his or her AOG Units in a tax-free transaction. In the event that other
23 Or is deemed to realize in the ease of an early termination payment by APO Corp. or a change
of control.
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of Apollo's current or future subsidiaries become taxable as corporations and acquire
AOG Units in the future, or if Apollo becomes taxable as a corporation for U.S.
Federal income tax purposes, each will become subject to a tax receivable
agreement with substantially similar terms.
Economic, Industry and Company Outlook
In the appraisal of any company, the general economic factors prevailing at the
valuation date, as well as those foreseen then, must be considered. Assimilation of
these facts and forecasts provides insight into the economic climate in which
investors are dealing. Although individual factors may or may not have a direct
impact upon a particular industry, the overall economy and its outlook have a
strong influence on how investors perceive investment opportunities.
A. Domestic Economic Outlook
For this analysis, the general economic climate and outlook for the domestic
economy that prevailed through the Valuation Date was considered. This section of
the report contains an overview of selected economic factors, such as gross
domestic product ("GDP"), inflation, United States ("U.S.") monetary and fiscal
policy, corporate earnings, and unemployment.
According to Value Line,26 while first quarter GDP growth was just 1.1%, GDP
grew 2.5% through June, and 2.8% in the third quarter of 2013. Unfortunately,
some of the more recent growth pick-up included increases that could not be
sustained, including June's gains in consumer spending. Moving into 2013's fourth
quarter, those spending gains weakened slightly, due to strength in inventory
building. Based on the improving trends in employment, housing, consumer
expenditures, and business outlays, and taking note of the costs of the earlier
government shutdown, Value Line predicted that the nation's aggregate output would
show an increase of a little more than 2% in the final period of 2013. Value Line
believed that the shutdown would strip a few tenths of a percentage point off of
GDP growth in the fourth quarter. Assuming no further government shutdown in
the coming months, the economy was positioned to pick up slowly but steadily over
the following quarters, with growth edging up toward 3% by the end of 2014, but
averaging closer to 2.5% for the year. A resumption of the upswing in housing,
additional gains in business investment, further modest employment increases, and a
corresponding reduction in the U.S. jobless rate underscored Value Line's positive
expectations for 2014.
Is Quarterly Economic Review, Value Line Publishing LLC ("Value Line"), November 22, 2013.
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Inflation: The possibility of deflation remained on the minds of some Federal
Reserve governors, as they continued an easy money course in the hopes of
minimizing the deflation risk. Value Line considered deflation risk to be relatively
small, especially after four years of uninterrupted economic growth. Still, the long-
term goal of the Federal Reserve was to keep inflation in the 2% range. The
central bank was relatively unconcerned about upward price pressure, and was
unlikely to change its position in the near term. Value line believed that, in the
intermediate-term, inflation would stay benign. Eventually, though, the aggressive
monetary easing undertaken by the central bank, including the historic levels of
bond buying, would pressure prices upward. The magnitude and timeframe of that
future pressure were difficult to predict.
Interest Rates: Because the Federal Reserve was not preoccupied with containing
inflation, it could focus on its other mandate, namely, fostering maximum
employment. Despite a strong 204,000 increase in non-farm payrolls in October,
there remained ample room for improvement. If the October payroll increase rate
were sustained, it would reduce the jobless rate. Accordingly, the historically low
level of interest rates was likely to persist through at least 2014. Short-term
interest rates, which the Fed controlled directly via its federal funds target, were
anticipated to be held near zero over that span. Longer-term interest rates, in
particular, the benchmark 10-year Treasury note, which were used to set mortgage
rates, ranged from 2.4% to 2.8%; Value Line expected a modest, albeit steady,
climb back toward the 4.0% level by the end of the decade. Importantly, rates
were not expected to increase quickly enough to derail the housing recovery.
Corporate Profits: As of November 2013, the third-quarter earnings season had
concluded for the most part, and aggregate results were relatively good. Of note,
most companies met or exceeded their profit targets, though many of those targets
were reduced over the course of the three-month period. Such a pattern, moreover,
had been in place for many quarters. An already strong stock market was, if
anything, given more energy by the concluding earnings season. Looking ahead,
Value Line expected with small but steady overall profit growth in the final quarter
of 2013 and during 2014.
Other Economic Indicators: For the years 2013 through 2015, Value Line
hypothesized the economic environment as shown in the table below:
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Table VI
National Economic Indicator Annual Projections
Annual Statistics 2013 2014 2015
GDP Growth (%) 1.7% 2.5% 3.0%
Unemployment Rate (%) 7.5% 7.2% 6.4%
Housing Starts (millions of units) 0.91 1.15 1.44
Oil Priccst7 $100.20 $98.00 $100.00
Long-Term Treasury Bond Rate (%) 3.5% 4.0% 4.3%
Prime Rate (%) 13% 3.5% 16%
AAA Corporate Bond Rates (%) 4.3% 4.9% 5.2%
Personal Savings Rate (%) 4.4% 4.9% 5.4%
Summary: In sum, Value Line maintained a cautious outlook for the final quarter
of 2013 due to the recent government shutdown, expecting further improvement in
2014, as well as increases in GDP growth above 3% during 2015, 2016, and 2017.
B. International Economy's
Europe: The European Union returned to positive GDP growth in 2013. Following
a slow and still vulnerable expansion of economic activity during the remainder of
2013, growth was set to become gradually more domestic demand-driven and more
robust in the course of 2014 and into 2015. In the aftermath of the crisis
deleveraging, financial fragmentation, elevated uncertainty and rebalancing needs
continued to hurt growth. Its impact was however expected to gradually subside
over the forecast horizon as progress was made with the correction of the
accumulated macroeconomic imbalances, and domestic demand was expected to take
over as the main engine of growth.
External demand was expected to pick up over the coming quarters, but less than
previously forecasted, on account of a weakened outlook for growth in emerging
market economies and the appreciation of the euro. Reflecting the carry-over from
the weakness of economic activity last winter, GDP in annual terms was expected
to remain unchanged in the EU and contract by 0.5% in the euro area in 2013.
Next year, economic activity was projected to expand by 1.5% in the EU and
27 Represents a dollar volume weighted avenge of oil prices (U.S. Refiners' Cost) throughout the year, rather
than an explicit projection of spot prices.
28 Sources for this outlook include: (1) European Commission's ("EC") European Economic Forecast,
July 2013; and (2) The World Bank's ("WB") East Asia and Pacific Economic Update,
published October 2013.
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1.0% in the euro area before accelerating to 2.0% and 1.75%, respectively, in
2015.
Unemployment stabilized at high levels for the past half year, as employment losses
have tapered off. Employment expectations in manufacturing and services have
started improving from low levels. However, an early turnaround of the labor
market was not expected. Rather, employment was set to follow the recovery of
GDP growth with a lag as firms have scope to increase hours worked before hiring
new staff. Economic uncertainty also weighed on hiring decisions. Employment in
the EU and the euro area was projected to expand by 0.25% in 2014, which will
not yet be sufficient to curb high unemployment. In 2015, employment growth was
set to accelerate to 0.75% in both areas, resulting in a slight reduction of
unemployment to 10.75% in the EU and 11.75% in the euro area. The differences
in labor-market performance across Member States were expected to remain
extremely large, with unemployment expected to range from 5.0% in Austria to
26.5% in Spain in 2014.
After a continuous decline in the past two years, gross fixed capital formation
increased in the second quarter of 2013, by 0.2% over the first quarter. The
breakdown of investment shows a rebound of machinery and equipment investment,
while construction investment continued to decline in the EU and stabilized in the
euro area, driven by a strong contraction in non-residential investment. In the short
term, overall uncertainty and ongoing deleveraging as well as still adverse financing
conditions for the non-financial corporate sector, notably in some Member States
was expected to continue to dampen investment spending. Construction investment
was likely to remain weak in the remainder of the year. Overall for 2013, gross
fixed capital formation was expected to still decline, mainly reflecting carry -over
effects from the start of the year.
Going forward, gross fixed capital formation was expected to rebound in 2014 and
beyond. This projection was mainly supported by equipment investment. Capital
additions were expected to benefit from higher domestic and external demand,
strengthening business confidence and lower uncertainty, the need to gradually
replace ageing capital equipment, steadily easing financing condition, and increasing
corporate profits as the general economy recovered.
Private consumption increased by 0.2% and 0.1% respectively in the EU and the
euro area in the second quarter of 2013, showing positive growth for the first time
since fall 2011. While sector data was not available at the cut-off date, this
development might mirror a slowdown in the pace of decline in households' real
disposable income due to higher wages, low inflation and a more moderate fiscal
drag. The improvement of consumer confidence in the second quarter was also
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expected to have a positive impact on the saving rate. In the second half of 2013,
private consumption was expected to grow only slightly, in line with weak real
disposable income growth and high precautionary saving. On the other hand retail
trade and consumer confidence indicators improved substantially during the third
quarter, now above their long-term averages.
Government consumption increased in the second quarter of 2013, after stalling in
the previous quarter. As significant consolidation needs subsist in some Member
States, aggregate public consumption was, however, set to fall in the short term in
both the EU and the Euro area. For 2013 as a whole, government consumption
was projected to remain broadly constant in both the EU and the euro area. With
weaker consolidation needs, public consumption was expected to increase modestly
in 2014 and 2015 at a rate well below GDP growth.
The EC believed that economic activity in the EU was permanently affected by the
crisis, due to slow post-crisis adjustment and a long-lasting deterioration in financing
conditions. On a more positive note, potential growth, estimated at only 0.5% in
the EU in 2013, was expected to recover gradually over time with a declining
structural unemployment and normalizing investment activity. Despite the level shift
in EU GDP, its growth dynamics were not likely to be affected in the long term.
Asia: According to the WB, the strengthening of global growth momentum would
help developing East Asia maintain a growth rate in excess of 7%. In China,
growth was expected to meet the official indicative target of 7.5% in 2013, 0.8
percentage points lower than the WB's April projection. In the medium term,
China's growth was expected to remain bounded between 7.5% and 7.7%, as
government authorities' emphasized productivity and innovation, while rebalancing
demand from investment towards consumption. GDP Growth in developing East
Asia, excluding China, was expected to decline from 6.2% in 2012 to 5.2% by the
end of 2013, before rebounding to 5.3% and 5.7% in 2014 and 2015, respectively.
The recovery in the Association of Southeast Asian Nations ("ASEAN") countries,
which included a few high-income countries, would be more gradual, with expected
growth of 5.1% for 2013, 5.1% for 2014, and 5.4% for 2015. Notwithstanding
the modest decline in growth in 2013, the East Asia Pacific ("EAP") region was
predicted to contribute nearly two-fifths of global growth and one-third of global
trade, a larger share than that of any other region in the world. Adjusting to
weaker terms of trade and tighter financial conditions, Indonesia's growth rate was
expected to be moderate in 2013. The adjustment would carry into the following
year, for which growth was revised downward by over one percentage point, due to
modest investment. The WB's largest downward adjustment was for Thailand, which
entered into technical recession in the second quarter of 2013. However, growth
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during the second-half of 2013 was expected to improve, due to strong revival in
exports and robust private consumption.
Weak performance in the first half of 2013, underpinned by poor exports, was
likely to push down growth in Malaysia, the most trade-intensive economy in
developing East Asia. Fiscal consolidation and delays in public investment caused
the WB to revise growth downward for 2014. Vietnam was on track to grow
modestly in 2013. Growth would remain slow through the following year, with
slight gains in macroeconomic stabilization that were subject to several downside
risks, including more activist policies that, if pursued, would fuel inflationary
pressures and undermine stability. In contrast, the Philippines was expected to
maintain its growth momentum into the near- to medium-term, spurred on by strong
private consumption, itself growing on the back of healthy remittances and a robust
business process outsourcing industry, as well as by a planned doubling of public
infrastructure spending by 2016.
Overall, the WB revised baseline growth projections upward for both 2013 and
2014. They expected growth to further accelerate in 2015, with most EAP
economies growing at the same or a modestly higher rate in 2015 as compared to
2014 levels. While WB predicted East Asia to expand more slowly than it had in
previous forecasts, the area was positioned to continue leading other regions,
contributing more to global growth than any other region of the world in 2013.
C. Capital Markets Overview
Economic Conditions:" Second quarter U.S. gross domestic product ("GDP")
numbers were finalized during 2013's third quarter ("Q3") and indicated that the
economy continued to advance.
• The unemployment rate improved gradually, falling from 7.4% to 7.3%.
Unemployment fell to a four-year low, but job growth remained disappointing
with 169,000 jobs added in August.
• GDP growth rose to 2.5% from the initial estimate of 1.7% for the second
quarter. However, it remained below the pace needed to provide a self-
sustaining recovery independent of ongoing Federal Reserve ("The Fed")
action. The Fed announced its intentions to continue its bond-buying
program for the immediate future.
29 Managers Investment Group, Financial Markets Review and Outlook Third Quarter 2013.
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• Outside of the U.S., the European Central Bank indicated that interest rates
would be kept low for an extended period of time in an effort to promote
growth in the Euro Zone. In emerging markets, Brazil, Russia, India and
China ("The BRICS") announced a $100 billion currency reserve fund,
designed to protect the markets in the event of a financial market shock.
Public Markets Performance: Equity markets reported gains above 5.0% in Q3, as
measured by most broad market benchmarks. Most of the U.S. equity
outperformance was concentrated in September as a result of the Fed retracting its
intentions to taper its quantitative easing program. Meanwhile, the bond markets
experience some relief after a difficult second quarter. A summary of recent
performance for select indices is presented in the following table.
Table VIP
Index Performance - Period Ended September 30, 2013
Index Q3 2013 YTD 1-year 3-year 5-year
S&P 500 5.2% 19.8% 19.3% 16.3% 10.0%
Russell 2000 10.2% 27.7% 30.1% 18.3% 11.2%
MSG World 8.2% 17.3% 20.2% 11.8% 7.8%
Barclays Capital Aggregate 0.6% -1.9% -1.7% 2.9% 5.4%
Barclays Capital High Yield 2.3% 3.7% 7.1% 9.2% 13.5%
• Domestic markets, as measured by the S&P 500 Index ("S&P 500"),
returned 5.2% in Q3, after recording a 2.9% gain in the second quarter.
Small-capitalization equities outperformed large-capitalization equities and
reported strong performance in the U.S., with a return of 10.2% as
measured by the Russell 2000 Index.
• Developed Foreign markets experienced a strong rebound, as the MSCI EAFE
Index from -1.0% in the second quarter to 11.6% advanced in Q3. Foreign
emerging markets also recovered, gaining 5.8%, as measured by the MSCI
Emerging Markets Index.
• Yields on the 10-year Treasury bond reached levels not seen since the
summer of 2011. Yields came close to reaching the symbolically significant
3.0% level before pulling back in late September and ending the quarter at
2.6%.
30 The Concord Advisory Group Ltd., September 2013 Market Perform ace Review.
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• After two consecutive quarters of negative performance, the broad Barclays
Capital Aggregate Bond Index gained 0.6% in Q3.
• Corporates as measured by the Barclays U.S. Corporate Master Index,
bounced back modestly and gained 0.9% in Q3. Outside of the U.S., fixed
income markets reversed weakness experienced in the past three quarters as
the Barclays Global Aggregate ex-U.S. Index returned 4.4% for the quarter.
Volatility: Volatility, as measured by the Chicago Board Options Exchange
Volatility Index ("VIX")," indicated that investors remained relatively confident that
the equity market would remain stable. The index averaged 14.3 for the quarter.
• During Q3, the VIX ranged from 11.8 to 17.0. The VIX closed at 16.6 at
the end of September 2013, in line with 16.9 at the end of the second
quarter.
• For comparative purposes, the VIX rose above 80 during the depths of the
financial crisis in November 2008, but resettled below 25 for most of the
periods since then. The gauge has risen above 45 only three times since
late 2008: in May 2010 (amidst the flash crash), and twice in the second
half of 2011 (August and October).
Private Equity Performance:12 Private equity funds in the U.S. remained positive
through the second quarter of 2013, marking the fourth consecutive quarter of
positive returns.
Table VIII
U.S. Private Equity Index Returns
Index Q2 2013 1-year 3-year 5-year
U.S. Private Equity 3.0% 15.6% 15.5% 8.2%
• The Cambridge Associates U.S. Private Equity Index ("PE Index") returned
3.0% in the quarter ending June 30, 2013, a moderate decrease from the
4.5% return in the previous quarter. The quarterly PE Index performance
outperformed the S&P 500 at the end of 2012, lagged the index's 10.6%
J1 The VIX is a key measure of expected movement, in either direction, of near-term volatility in
S&P 500 Index option prices. Investors believe that a high VIX reading (above 30) translates
into a greater degree of market uncertainty, while a low reading (below 20) is consistent with
greater stability.
32 Cambridge Associates LLC, U.S. Private Equity Index and Selected Benchmark Statistics for
Quarter Ending June 30, 2013. Latest available publication as of the Valuation Date.
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return for the first quarter of 2013, and landed in-line with the S&P 500 in
the second quarter of 2013. The PE Index 1-year return was 15.6% and
trailed the S&P 500's annual return of 20.6%.
Hedge Fund Performance:" Hedge funds experienced a robust recovery from a
subpar second quarter, as Preqin's Overall Hedge Fund Benchmark gained 3.2% in
Q3. The benchmark's strong third quarter performance pushed the index's year-to-
date return to 7.2%.
• Long/short funds and event driven strategies led Q3 performance, while
relative value and macro strategies were less favorable. Asia-Pacific focused
hedge funds continued to experience impressive performance while North
America-focused and Europe-focused hedge funds also reported a strong Q3.
Middle Market M&A Activity:34 Middle market volume remained light in the
second quarter of 2013 as a result of the high volume of transactions pushed
forward at the end of 2012 in an effort to avoid rising taxes.
• Middle market transaction volume increased by 2.0% over the first quarter,
but fell 7.0% on a year-over-year basis. While M&A activity was lackluster
for the first half of 2013, favorable market dynamics were expected to
support increased volume going forward.
• Middle market transaction multiples increased from 7.7x in the first quarter
to 8.0x in the second quarter.
• GF Data reported that the middle market average equity contribution for
transactions with enterprise values between $10 million and $250 million was
47.1% for the first half of 2013.
• The debt multiple (total debt-to-EBITDA) in middle market transactions with
enterprise values between $10 million and $250 million averaged 3.7x in the
second quarter of 2013. These, and other M&A summary statistics, can be
found in the table below.
Preqin Ltd.'s ("Preqin") Quarterly Hedge Fund Update, Q3 2013.
34 Quarton Partners ("Quarton"), Middle Market Transaction Update, Third Quarter 2013.
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Table IX
Summary M&A Statistics
Year/ Purchase Debt Equity
Quarter Multiple Multiple Contribution
2009 5.8x 2.8x 54.1%
2010 7.2x 3.0x 51.9%
2011 7.5x 3.4x 47.4%
2012 7.2x 3.4x 47.5%
Q2 2013 8.0x 3.7x 47.1%
Flow of Capi al: An analysis of fund flows information indicated that bond funds
reported net outflows over the last four months as investors continued to favor
equity and hybrid funds. The following table is a summary of mutual fund capital
flows for recent measurement periods.
Table Xis
Flow of Capital (in billions of USD)
Mutual Funds
Year/Quarter
Equity Hybrid Bond
2008 5(234) 5(18) $28
2009 $(9) $23 $376
2010 $(37) $23 $241
2011 $(98) $84 $239
3Q 2012 $(52) $16 $86
4Q 2012 $(70) $3 566
1Q 2013 $66 $25 $69
2Q 2013 $10 $20 $(36)
3Q 2013 $29 $17 $(58)
IPOs:36 The global IPO market showed a 79.4% year-over-year increase in IPO
volume in Q3. North America led IPO issuance, accounting for 53.0% of all IPO
proceeds. However, global IPO proceeds declined 9.6% year-over-year, due to the
absence of multi-billion dollar IPOs from emerging markets, which faced economic
slowdown.
33 http://www.ici.orn/research/stats/.
J6 Renaissance Capital, LLC, Global IPO 3Q 2013 Quarterly Review.
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• Global IPO proceeds were $19.0 billion in Q3 2013. This represented a
decline of over $20 billion from the previous quarter and a decline of $2
billion from the same quarter in 2012.
• IPO returns were exceptionally strong for the quarter, avenging 23.4%
globally. Returns were led by North America, where IPOs rose 29.9% on
average.
Table XI
Summary of Global IPO Data
2009 2010 2011 2012 Q2 2013 Q3 2013
Number of Deals 179 479 339 203 73 61
Total Proceeds (B) $106.0 $234.4 $137.9 $99.6 $39.6 $19.0
Median Size (MM) $212.9 $205.1 $209.7 $215.3 $256.0 $252.0
Secondary Market Activity: 2013's first half generated the lowest level of
secondary transaction volume in private funds since the first half of 2009. The low
number of deals was a result of positive stock market returns, positive cash flows
from private equity funds, and persistent uncertainty regarding economic, political,
regulatory and market conditions. According to NYPPEX," secondary interest
transaction volume declined approximately 61.0% from the first half of 2012, to
$10.1 billion in the first half of 2013. For private funds, secondary median bid
prices increased approximately 5.4% to 77.0 from December 31, 2012. Secondary
median price increases were highest for secondary interests in fund of funds as
more investment advisors and wealthy clients entered the secondary market as
purchasers. The lowest priced sector was venture, which increased 4.8%.
In the second half of 2013, NYPPEX estimated that secondary market interest
transaction volume would increase approximately 26.0% from the first half of the
year. This was expected to generate approximately $23.2 billion in secondary
volume for 2013, a 12.0% decline relative to 2012. Sell side drivers were
anticipated to be the current large pipelines for secondary transactions and attractive
secondary prices.
The following table includes median bids, by sector, on a year-over-year basis as of
December 31, 2012.
37 NYPPEX Holdings, LLC's ("NYPPEX") IH2O13 Secondary Market Valuation Trends and Outlook
for Private Funds & Companies Worldwide.
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Table XII
Median Secondary Bids by Sector
12/31/2010 12/31/2011 12/31/2012 6/30/2013 %
Sector (% of NAV) (% of NAV) (% of NAV) (% of NAV) Change
Buyout 83.7% 83.4% 87.3% 88.3% +1.2%
Venture 75.1% 65.6% 69.2% 72.5% +4.8%
Fund of Funds 56.4% 61.0% 60.6% 72.0% +18.8%
Real Estate 52.4% 62.1% 65.2% 75.1% +15.3%
Distressed Debt 69.6% 66.8% 76.0% 78.9% +3.9%
Natural Resources 55.6% 69.9% 80.8% 83.7% +3.6%
Hedge Funds 90.1% 77.4% 80.6% 82.7% +2.7%
All Fund Sectors 69.0% 69.5% 73.1% 77.0% +5.4%
NYPPEX also provides information regarding the average times for transactions to
complete. The following table illustrates the year-over-year changes in transactions
trends.
Table XIII
NYPPEX Transaction Speeds
Days Offered Days in Settlement Days in Market 1
NYPPEX Bid Accuracy (Launch to (Price Match to (Launch to
Period (Execution vs. Bid) Price Match) Settlement) Settlement)
11-12013 +1.66% 19.6 43.5 63.2
1H2012 _+3.04% 16.9 31.6 48.5
D. Private Equity Industry Outlook
This third quarter 2013 PE industry outlook contains an analysis of the following:
(1) an overview of the industry; (2) recent performance trends; and (3) asset flows.
Each topic is discussed below.
Industry Overview: PE involves investments in privately held companies. For
most investors, PE investing is accomplished through illiquid, long-term partnerships,
i.e., funds, which are formed by PE firms. Funds are generally closed-end with
finite lives, usually ten to fifteen years. Investors typically participate in the asset
class through one of three ways: (1) direct investment in private companies; (2)
investment in private equity funds, which pool capital and invest in private
companies; or (3) investment in a fund of funds ("FOFs"), which pools capital and
invest in funds. Direct funds and FOFs are typically structured as closed-end
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limited partnerships, and encompass three phases: (1) fundraising; (2) investment;
and (3) realization. Funds are generally structured with an annual management fee
ranging from 1.5% to 3.0%. In addition to management fees, PE fund managers
are usually entitled to participate in the limited partners' profits from the
investments. The profit participation, or carried interest, on most direct funds is
20%, although in certain instances, it can be higher or lower.
Performance: According to Cambridge Associates, LLC ("Cambridge"), U.S. private
equity capital funds maintained positive returns through the second quarter.
Cambridge's PE Index, which is presented in the following table, provides market
returns as of June 30, 2013 (latest available as of the Valuation Date),38 together
with comparisons of select indices."
Table XIV
Market Returns as of June 30, 2013
Q2 2013 1-Year 3-Year 5-Year
U.S. Private Equity Index 3.0% 15.6% 15.5% 8.2%
Barclay's Capital Gov't/Credit Bond Index -2.5% -0.6% 3.9% 5.3%
Dow Jones Industrial Average 2.9% 18.9% 18.2% 8.6%
Dow Jones U.S. Small Index 1.4% 24.3% 19.4% 9.6%
Dow Jones U.S. TopCap Index 2.8% 21.0% 18.7% 7.1%
Nasdaq Composite 4.2% 16.0% 17.3% 8.2%
Russell 1000 2.7% 21.2% 18.6% 7.1%
Russell 2000 3.1% 24.2% 18.7% 8.8%
S&P 500 2.9% 20.6% 18.5% 7.0%
Wilshire 500 2.8% 21.1% 18.4% 7.2%
The PE Index returned 3.0% in the quar er ending June 30, 20 3, a moderate
decrease from the 4.5% return in the previous quarter. The quarterly PE Index
performance greatly exceeded that of the S&P 500 at the end of 2012, fell behind
the equity index's 10.6% return for the first quarter of 2013, and landed in-line
with the S&P 500 in the second quarter of 2013. The PE Index 1-year return was
15.6%, falling below S&P's annual return of 20.6%.
38 Private equityperformance is net to limited partners, i.e., after management fee and carry.
General partners typically have up to 120 days to provide limited partners with financial data.
Hence, there is generally a "lag" in performance reporting.
38 Cambridge Associates, LLC U.S. Private Equity Index and Selected Benchmark Statistics: June 30,
2013.
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The following table presents annualized, one-year return data for funds with vintage
years 2000 through 2011.
Table XV
Private Equity Returns' 2000 to 2011
Vintage Mean Net Median Number
Year to LPs Net to LPs of Funds
2000 12.9% 11.7% 78
2001 23.7% 20.8% 24
2002 15.3% 15.8% 34
2003 15.1% 11.0% 37
2004 11.5% 9.6% 65
2005 8.5% 8.7% 90
2006 10.8% 10.8% 79
2007 10.9% 10.5% 93
2008 13.7% 11.6% 68
2009 16.4% 11.3% 31
2010 13.2% 10.5% 28
2011 0.7% -2.7% 44
As shown in the following table, PE performance has been positive for each of the
periods studied. The 5-year return encompassed the financial crisis and recessionary
years from late 2008 through mid-2010, explaining the relatively low return trend
for this period. The high 3-year return was a result of the period starting at the
market bottom of the recession, while 1-year returns benefited from a moderately
slow, lengthy recovery. Returns include all vintage years reporting data for the
applicable measurement period.
4° Returns are net of fees, expenses, and carried interests.
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Table XVI
Private Equity Multi Year Returns"
r
Duration (rears) Returns
1 15.6%
3 15.55E
5 8.2%
10 14.15E
15 11.3%
20 13.4%
25 13.2%
A Pepperdine University ("Pepperdine") surver analyzed, among other items: (1)
minimum return thresholds required to qualify for capital in various market
segments; (2) accessibility of capital; and (3) required rates of return by market
segments, which are presented in the table below. It was noted that, as the size of
the loan or investment increases, the cost of borrowing or financing from any of
the following sources tends to decline.
Table XVII
Pepperdine Required Rates of Return
Market Segment I llr Median Required Rate of Returns
Banks, $1M Loan 6.8%
Banks, $100M Loan 5.5%
Asset-Backed Lenders, $IM Loan 8.5%
Asset-Backed Lenders, $100M 3.5%
Mezzanine Funds, EBITDA of $1M 22.0%
Mezzanine Funds, EBITDA of $25M 14.5%
Private Equity Groups, EBITDA of $1M 30.0%
Private Equity Groups, EBITDA of $50M 24.0%
Venture Capital Firms, Startup 28.0%
Venture Capital Firms, Later Stage 20.5%
Asset Flow:" According to PitchBook Data, Inc. ("PitchBook"), private equity
professionals have been gradually rebuilding their pipelines and steadily increasing
01 Pooled end-to-end returns, net of fees, expenses, and carried interest based on 944 funds formed
between 1986 and 2011.
42 Paglia, Dr. John K. Private Capital Markets Project 2013 Capital Markets Report, 4Q 2012.
01 Pitchbook Data, Inc., 4Q 2013 Private Equity Breakdown, October 9, 2013.
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their pace of investment since the significant decline in deal flow at the beginning
of 2013. While deal flow remained below average quarterly totals from the past
three years, investors completed 489 transactions in the third quarter, a 16.0%
increase from the previous quarter. Capital invested climbed 6.0% from $81.7
billion to $87.0 billion, the second highest quarterly total in the last year and a
half. Numerous factors conducive to deal-making remained in place, but there were
also headwinds, including the recent government shutdown and a looming fight over
the debt ceiling. Several interesting trends transpired through 2013 that have
changed the general PE landscape and include a shift away from platform buyouts
to more add-on acquisitions and minority deals, a rapid increase in valuation-to-
EBITDA multiples for buyout deals, and an strong comeback in secondary buyouts.
Purchase price multiples reached a median low of 7.7x in 2009 and slowly
rebounded through 2012 before quickly accelerating to a decade high of 10.7x in
the third quarter of 2013. High valuations were a major contributor to the light
deal flow experienced so far in 2013. The run-up in prices was the result of many
factors including willing lenders providing debt at low interest rates, aging dry
powder and the continued dearth of attractive opportunities. Meanwhile, debt and
equity levels have increased to the highest levels in the past decade, with median
debt- and equity-to-EBITDA multiples of 6.2x and 4.5x, respectively.
Investors continued to set their sights on smaller deals as growth equity transactions
grew in popularity. The number of small transactions, deals of $25 million and
less, represented 47.0% of total PE activity in the third quarter of 2013. However,
the recent strength of small transactions did not detract from mega-deals, as PE
firms executed ten deals of $1 billion or more in the quarter. This was the second
highest quarterly total since the beginning of 2012.
E. Hedge Fund Industry Outlook
This third quarter 2013 hedge fund industry outlook contains an analysis of the
following: (1) an overview of the industry; (2) the overall performance of the
industry; and (3) asset flows. Each topic is discussed below.
Industry Overview: Hedge funds are private investment vehicles that may employ
long, short, and leveraged investments while attempting to earn consistent, risk-
adjusted returns, in all market conditions. Hedge funds are unregulated investment
vehicles open only to high net worth individuals and institutional investors. Credit
Suisse defines large hedge funds as those with over $500 million of assets under
management ("AUM"). Middle-tier funds manage AUM between $150 million and
$500 million, while small hedge funds are those with less than $150 million.
Historically, hedge funds have charged between a 1.5% and 2.0% management fee
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and a 16.0% to 20.0% performance fee. The performance fee is typically subject
to a high watermark.
Performance:" According to Preqin," hedge funds enjoyed a robust recovery from
a subpar second quarter 2013. July and September represented two of the three
strongest months for returns from hedge funds in 2013. Hedge funds posted net
gains of 3.24% in the third quarter 2013, raising the benchmark to 7.17% for the
year. Event Driven strategies and Long/Short Equity strategies continued to
outperform other hedge fund strategies in third quarter 2013. Their performance
contributed to gains in the overall hedge fund benchmark in the third quarter.
As measured by the Credit Suisse/Standard & Poor's Capital IQ ("S&P") Dow
Jones Hedge Fund Index (the "DJCS Index"), all but two sub-strategies of the
index maintained positive returns for the month of September 2013. Of the sub
strategies, long/short equity and dedicated short bias posted the most substantial
changes in the third quarter 2013. Long/Short Equity and Dedicated Short Bias
recorded a 3.5% gain and a 10.9% loss, respectively, for the third quarter.
Long/Short Equity also experienced the largest returns year-to-date, while dedicated
short bias also suffered the largest losses year-to-date.
The following table illustrates the performance of each sector in the DJCS Index.
[SPACE LEFT BLANK INTENTIONALLY]
4$ The S&P Dow Jones Credit Suisse Hedge Fund Index is compiled by Credit Suisse Hedge Index
LLC and S&P Dow Jones Indexes, the marketing name of CME Group Index Services, LLC.
It is an asset-weighted hedge fund index and includes only funds, as opposed to separate
accounts. The DJCS Index uses the Credit Suisse database, which tracks over 9,000 funds, and
consists of only funds with a minimum of $50 million under management, a l2-month track
record, and audited financial statements. It is calculated and rebalanced on a monthly basis,
and shown net of all performance fees and expenses.
Preqin, The Preqin Quarterly Update: Hedge Funds, Q3 2013.
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Table XVIII
HF Index Performance Statistics by Sector
September Aug' Annualized
Strategy YTD Annualized
2013 Volatility
Performance
Convertible Arbitrage 0.2% 5.4% 6.6'4 1.44,i.
Dedicated Short Bias -5.5% -21.9% -37.0% 11.3%
Emerging Markets 1.3% 4.2% 3.8% 2.9%
Equity Market Neutral 0.9% 3.9% 4.8% 6.7%
Event Driven 1.5% 10.2% 12.3% 3.1%
Fixed Income Arbitrage 0.5% 2.5% 4.5% 0.5%
Global Macro 0.8% 1.5% 0.7% 3.1%
Long/Short Equity 2.6% 10.7% 14.7% 6.9%
Managed Futures -0.2% -7.4% -14.9% 4.6%
Multi Strategy 1.4% 6.6% 11.2% 2.5%
DJCS Index 1.3% 5.4% 6.6% 3.3%
Asset Flow: According o Hedge Fund Research, Inc. ("HFR")," total capital
invested in the global hedge fund industry surged to a fifth consecutive quarterly
record in the third quarter 2013, driven by the highest inflows in over two years
and eclipsing another milestone of industry expansion. Hedge fund capital rose to
$2.51 trillion in the third quarter 2013, an increase of $94 billion over the prior
quarter, with growth distributed across all strategy areas. Investors allocated over
$23 billion of net new capital to hedge funds in the third quarter 2013, the highest
quarterly inflows since the second quarter 2011. Third quarter inflows were led by
Equity Hedge ("EH") strategies, as investors allocated over $10.6 billion to EH
funds in the quarter, the highest quarterly inflow for the strategy since prior to the
financial crisis of 2008. The inflow increased total capital invested in EH strategies
to $686 billion, returning EH to the largest concentration of hedge fund capital two
quarters after it had been surpassed by fixed income-based Relative Value Arbitrage.
Mirroring the trend from the prior quarter, flows were positive across the entire
spectrum of fund sizes, though they were concentrated in the industry's most
established firms. Funds below $1 billion in AUM experienced combined inflows
of approximately $3.6 billion while the industry's largest firms, those in excess of
$5 billion in AUM, recorded net inflows of $18.7 billion. Firms between $1 and
$5 billion experienced inflows of $1.1 billion.
46 Hedge Fund Research, Inc. Hedge Fund Assets Surpass New Milestone in Third Quarter, October
18, 2013.
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F. Company Outlook
As of the Valuation Date, the financial position and performance was tied tightly to
the performance of Apollo related investments funds focused primarily in private
equity and the Partnership's ownership participation in Apollo through the AOG
units. Uncertainty surrounding the future performance of Apollo and its funds was
also uncertainty for BFP.
Valuation of Black Family Partners, LP
A. Introduction
Generally, there are three commonly used approaches, to determine the value of a
company/asset, none of which is necessarily superior to the others. These three
approaches are the Income, Market and Cost Approaches. The nature of the
business, industry, and economic circumstances of the particular company/asset being
valued at the specific valuation date, as well as the availability of data will dictate
which approach(es) will ultimately be used in determining the company's/asset's
value.
B. Valuation Methodologies
The following discussion summarizes the most generally accepted valuation
methodologies that are extensions of the income and market approaches. It also
discusses using a balance sheet-based approach to valuation.
1. Income Approach
Discounted Cash Flows Methodology ("DCF"): The discounted future income
methodology can use cash flows as a basis to forecast the income which the
business or asset will generate. Thereafter, an aggregate present value is calculated
for the future cash flows using a required rate of return known as the discount
rate. The strength of this methodology is that it facilitates the analysis of
operational practices and their impact upon the business' value. Its weakness,
however, is that it relies heavily upon projections of cash flows or net income
which, for some firms, are difficult to make with any accuracy.
The DCF method was applied to value certain BFP assets represented by expected
future cash flow sources. For BFP, as an investment holding company, an asset
based approach was considered more appropriate.
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Capitalization of Income Methodology: The capitalization of income methodology
utilizes historical results to determine the value of a company's owners' capital.
Note that income here is a broadly defined term that can include free cash flow
and other financial measures that might be reasonable proxies for free cash flow.
An income base is first derived, and then capitalized (i.e., divided) by a separately
computed required rate of return, or capitalization rate. For the cap rate to be
appropriate, it must correspond to the specific inputs used in developing the income
base.
Generally, this methodology is considered a reasonable one to use in valuing a
going concern when a company's historical cash flows, at least if adjusted, are
considered to be a good proxy for that expected in the future. However, its
application weakens when a company's historical income, even when adjusted, is not
considered to be a good proxy for that expected in the future.
This method was not applied in the valuation of BFP or its assets. Again, as an
investment holding company, the method most appropriate was an asset-based
method.
2. Market Approach
Guideline Company Methodology: The objective of the guideline company
methodology is to identify business entities that have publicly traded securities, as
well as business and financial risks, which are comparable to those of the entity
being valued. The pricing multiples of the selected public companies are then used
to derive a market value for the owners' capital of the company under analysis.
For an investment holding company, comparison with similar publicly traded
investment companies, such as closed-end funds, is generally considered appropriate.
There are two important pricing multiples that can be derived from the freely
traded shares in investment holding companies: (1) discount to net asset value
("NAV"); and (2) price to yield. Discount (or premium) to NAV is calculated by
dividing the company's market price by its reported NAV per share, and then
subtracting the result (as a percentage) from 100%. A discount to NAV is also
referred to as an investment company discount ("ICD"). The other important
pricing measure for public investment holding companies, particularly for those that
earn substantial income (e.g., municipal bonds, utility stocks, commercial real estate)
and pay out most of this income, is yield (i.e., the dividend per share divided by
the market price per share). When either of these pricing measures is applied to
the closely held investment company's corresponding financial figures, the end result
is the fully marketable value of owners' capital on a non-controlling (i.e., minority)
interest basis.
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This methodology was applied, in conjunction with a variant of the NAV method,
described below, to derive the fair market value of BFP.
Guideline Transaction Methodology: The guideline transaction analysis valuation
methodology is a variation of the guideline company methodology, and it looks to
transactions involving acquisitions of control in similar entities to determine a value
for a particular business. The pricing multiples of the selected transactions are used
to derive a market value of invested capital for the company under analysis.
No published transaction data was available concerning an interest in the Partnership
or its assets. Therefore, the guideline transaction methodology was not applied
directly in valuing the Interest.
3. Asset Accumulation Method
The asset accumulation method ("AAM") focuses primarily on the balance sheet. It
requires restatement of the company's assets and liabilities in order to reflect their
market values. Using this method, the value of the subject enterprise's equity is
equal to the market values of its assets less its liabilities. The general method of
individual asset and liability revaluation has also been referred to as the net asset
value method, the adjusted net asset value method, the adjusted book value method,
and the asset build-up method.
Application of this method will typically indicate the value of 100% of the subject
company equity on a controlling ownership interest basis. However, the method's
relevance generally weakens when valuing an operating company whose value is
best reflected as a going concern. Exceptions are when sale of the company's net
assets is considered highly probable, when the realizable value of its net assets
equals, or exceeds, the value of its distributions to its owners, or when the
company's value is tied directly to the value of its underlying investments.
Note that unless otherwise noted, use of this method assumes that transaction and
built-in gains tax costs are reflected in the consideration of the discounts for lack of
control and marketability.
Because the Interest is an investment in an investment holding company, the value
of its underlying assets and any related liabilities are important to an investor.
This is true even though a minority interest is being valued, and such an interest
obviously does not have the right to liquidate the partnership or its assets.
Therefore, the AAM was used to determine the minority value of the Interest.
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C. Valuation Summary
The AAM was used to value the Interest. First, the adjusted book value of BFP's
assets (except cash and marketable securities) were calculated. The summary of
which is presented in Exhibit D.
The assets were placed in three groups. The first group consisted of the interests in
fixed-term funds7 most of which were not expected to liquidate for several years
after the Valuation Date. The most recent available capital account balances were
used as a starting point, reflecting the pro rata NAV in each fund associated with
the subject interests. A restriction period discount was then applied to reflect the
rights and restrictions associated with each investment, together with its economic
characteristics. Application of this adjustment resulted in a cash equivalent value
(i.e. fair market value) that was included in the derivation of BFP's adjusted book
value ("ABV"). This analysis is presented in Exhibits E-1 through E-3.
The second group consisted of BFP's interest in the capital market fluids.' The
capital market investments, i.e. hedge funds, are subject to risk" between the
Valuation Date and their earliest possible withdrawal dates. One quantitative
method to assist in determining the restriction period discount applicable to the
subject interests is to estimate the costs that would be incurred by an investor if he
were to attempt to "hedge" his position over the restriction period. In other
words, if an investor is restricted from selling his interest should he change his
outlook (or the stock price begins dropping), he would want protection (a hedge)
from potential losses that could be incurred during the restriction period, yet would
not want to give up the upside potential, as that is the reason for the investment in
the first place. This provides a reasonable tool to estimate at least the liquidity-
related portion of the restriction period discount. However, it was considered that
this method of estimating a restriction period discount would only result in a
"floor" value for the discount. Several factors contribute to this, including, but not
limited to, the following: (1) to the extent that they are available, volatility metrics
for hedge funds are generally based on monthly (not daily) reported data, which
may lead to a smoothing of volatility measures over time; (2) volatility metrics
based on historical investment returns only provide a measure of the historical risk
of the underlying investment portfolio, but do not measure the business risk of the
fund itself; (3) these measures do not account for risks associated with the fund
general partner's right to suspend or curtail withdrawals in certain situations; (4)
07 ACIII, ACIV, ACV, ACVI, HAO, SWF, WCP and TEN4.
re ASC, AVC, FCI II, ACP, CVRF, KSC, LC and MG.
J9 Risks included factors that could affect future performance of each fund. Risk factors may
include, but are not limited to, the fund remaining a going concern, the fund maintaining the
same investment strategy, regulatory issues, or a change in investment manager.
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such an analysis cannot capture the adverse impact of a gate, which generally limits
withdrawals to a certain percentage of fund assets; and (5) perhaps most
importantly, public investment vehicles that would be required for an investor to
implement a perfect hedge against an illiquid asset such as a hedge fund interest
simply do not exist. Despite these complications, a theoretical put option model was
considered as one indicator to use in estimating a restriction period discount for the
unrestricted portions of the capital market interests. In addition, certain restricted
stock data was also considered, largely because the put option model implicitly does
not account for certain risks outlined above. The put option model and the
restricted stock data are discussed further below. This analysis is presented in
Exhibits F-1 through F-3.
Additionally, the fair market value of AOG Units held by the Partnership was
estimated based on a restricted stock analysis that employed a put option model to
estimate a restriction period discount applicable to the AOG Units and the TRA
benefit payable to BFP pursuant to the TRA agreement. A DCF analysis was
employed to value both the existing TRA payment stream and potential future TRA
benefit from the AOG units held by BFP at the Valuation Date. These analyses are
presented in Exhibits G-1 through H-2.
Once BFP's adjusted book value was estimated, the pro rata ABV associated with
the Interest was calculated. Next, a combined discount for lack of control and lack
of marketability was applied to estimate the fair market value ("FMV") of the
Interest.
Valuation of Fixed-Term Fund Interests
In assessing the fair market value of the Company's underlying PE fund investments
the capital account balance associated with each interest was used as a starting
point. An appropriate restriction period discount was then applied to account for
the economic characteristics of the interest, its performance, and the investment
risks associated with the underlying investment fund, together with the rights and
restrictions attributable to the interest as described in the fund's governing
documents. Market and general economic conditions at the Valuation Date were
also a consideration.
In estimating an appropriate restriction period discount to apply to the Partnership's
underlying PE fund investments, we considered the economic and financial risks of
each investment as a prospective investor may perceive them. In addition to each
fund's vintage year, investment strategy, portfolio composition and other descriptive
information provided earlier in this report, several risk factors were considered,
including, but not limited to, the following: (1) remaining term; (2) stage of
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lifecycle; (3) remaining capital commitment; (4) cumulative returns; (5) distributions;
(6) preferred returns to limited partners, if any; and (7) potential carried interest
payments to the general partner, if any. The general impact of each on the
selected restriction period discount is discussed below.
On a relative basis, estimated restriction period discounts would be greater for funds
with: (1) longer remaining terms, which would also suggest that the funds were
earlier in the fund cycle and could have greater investment risk; (2) larger unfunded
capital commitments, which could reduce the number of potential buyers;50 (3)
capital appreciation as the expected source of value creation, as investors in funds
expected to create value through cash flow (i.e., debt service income or rental
income) were likely to receive distributions earlier than investors in otherwise
similar funds that were invested for capital appreciation; (4) lower distributions as a
percentage of contributed capital and net multiples of contributed capital, both of
which could suggest a lack of strong historical performance; and (5) no preferred
return, which would provide less of a return to limited partners before carried
interest payments could be made to general partners or managers.
In selecting a reasonable restriction period discount to be applied to each of the
Company's underlying private investments, several benchmarks were considered.
These included, but were not limited to, the following: (1) discounts to NAV
associated with publicly-traded closed-end investment companies ("CEICs"); (2)
restricted stock studies; and (3) the limited market data available for the private
equity interests in the secondary market. Each is described further below.
• CEIC Samples: Two closed-end fund samples were developed: (1)
business development companies ("BDCs") and CEICs invested in
underlying private equity investments; and (2) capital appreciation securities.
The BDC sample included nine domestic closed-end funds invested primarily
in mezzanine debt, private equity and venture capital securities. Implied
discounts to NAV ranged from a premium of 11.0% to 44.1%, with
median and mean observed discounts of 8.6% and 11.0% for the sample.
Note that discounts for equity focused funds had discounts between 17.8%
and 44.1%. The capital appreciation sample had implied discounts that
ranged between 6.9% and 21.5%, with mean and median implied discounts
of 12.3% and 11.1% respectively. Note that the CEICs in the capital
appreciation sample invested in publicly traded equity securities. See
Exhibits I-1 and I-2.
SO
In addition to the fact that the landscape of potential willing buyers would be limited to
"accredited investors" in most situations, any potential buyer would need to have the capacity to
fund future capital calls.
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• Restricted Stock Studies: Addendum 4 to this report describes the results
of several restricted stock studies which encompass several hundred
restricted stock transactions that were completed between 1966 and 2008.
Addendum 4 demonstrates that restricted stock discounts have declined over
time as Rule 144 resale provisions have become less restrictive. Median
restricted stock discounts for studies involving transactions completed prior
to 1990, involving minimum required holding periods of at least two years,
generally range from 25% to 45%. Median discounts associated with these
studies are generally concentrated between 30% and 35%.
• Secondary Market Data: As described in the "Capital Markets Overview"
section of this report, limited secondary market transaction data is available
from NYPPEX. Median bids for all fund sectors had implied discounts to
NAV of 23.0%.
Application of the PE Analysis: Application of a selected restriction period
discount to each PE interest resulted in their respective market values, which were
then included in the derivation of the Company's ABV.
BFP's existing PE interest included four Apollo co-investor interests, and four non-
Apollo related PE fund interests. Details regarding the funds were presented earlier
in the report. All funds, except SWF, had remaining capital that could be called.
ACIII, ACIV, ACV, ACVI, HAO and WCP were only likely to have fund related
expenses called. SWF was fully funded. TEN4 was recently formed and would have
substantial capital calls, relative to the commitment, in the next few years. Apollo
related PE interests did not pay management or carried interest fees. All of the PE
fund interests were restrictive in that transfers were not allowed without the fund
general partner's consent and withdrawals were not permitted. The Partnership did
not have the ability to influence the future investments or divestitures of its
holdings.
The primary risk factor for the interests was the likely remaining term of each
fund. The term, in addition to the other risk characteristics of the interests, were
considered in the selection of the appropriate restriction period discounts. The
following table summarizes the estimated cash equivalent value of the PE interests.
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Table XIX
Selected Restriction Period Discounts
Remaining Market
Capital Selected
Entity Term Value,
Account Discount
(yrs.) rounded
ACIII 2.00 $2,554,400 25% $1,920,000
ACIV 2.00 $546,624 25% $410,000
ACV 2.00 $3,938,673 25% $2,950,000
ACVI 2.22 $40,883,392 25% $30,660,000
HAO 2.11 $3,796,002 30% $2,660,000
SWF 4.52 $18,224,766 30% $12,760,000
WCP 5.33 $2,416,630 35% $1,570,000
TEN4 9.44 $359,525 35% $230,000
See Exhibit D for summary details of BFP's ABV and Exhibits E-1 through E-3
for PE restriction period discount details.
Valuation of Capital Market Interests
The Partnership has three Apollo related evergreen fund interests (ASC, AVC and
FCI II) and five non-Apollo related interests (ACP, CVRF, KSC, LC and MG).
Empire's analysis began by segregating the capital accounts between unrestricted
capital, which had liquidity rights with knowable withdrawal dates, and side-pocket
investments, which had no liquidity rights or known term.
A summary of the capital account balance for each capital market fund interest is
presented in Exhibit F-1. Also included in Exhibit F-1 is each interest's allocation
between side-pocketed investments and liquid investments available for withdrawal
proceeds or requests.
Put Option Analysis: The Partnership is subject to risk with respect to the
unrestricted capital between the Valuation Date and the earliest possible withdrawal
dates. One quantitative method to assist in determining the restriction period
discount applicable to the Partnership's underlying investments is to estimate the
costs that would be incurred by an investor if he were to attempt to "hedge" his
position over the restriction period. In other words, if an investor is restricted
from selling his interest should he change his outlook (or the stock price begins
dropping), he would want protection (a hedge) from potential losses that could be
incurred during the restriction period, yet would not want to give up the upside
potential, as that is the reason for the investment in the first place. This provides
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a reasonable tool to estimate at least the liquidity-related portion of the restriction
period discount.
However, it was considered that this method of estimating a restriction period
discount would only result in a "floor" value for the discount. Several factors
contribute to this, including, but not limited to, the following: (1) to the extent that
they are available, volatility metrics for hedge funds are generally based on monthly
(not daily) reported data, which may lead to a smoothing of volatility measures
over time; (2) volatility metrics based on historical investment returns only provide
a measure of the historical risk of the underlying investment portfolio, but do not
measure the business risk of the fund itself; (3) these measures do not account for
risks associated with the fund general partner's or managing member's right to
suspend or curtail withdrawals in certain situations; (4) such an analysis cannot
capture the adverse impact of a gate, which generally limits withdrawals to a
certain percentage of fund assets; and (5) perhaps most importantly, public
investment vehicles that would be required for an investor to implement a perfect
hedge against an illiquid asset such as a hedge fund interest simply do not exist.
Due to these complications, it was considered that the application of an adjustment
to each investment's capital account value based on a put option analysis only
captured a portion of the overall risks associated with the investment, and did not
result in the fair market value of the underlying investment. Instead, it was
recognized that the investments remained subject to material business risks that were
not captured by such an adjustment.
Black Scholes Option Pricing Model Description: A put option gives the holder
the right, but not the obligation, to sell a stock at a fixed price (a "strike" or
"exercise" price) to a buyer. This type of option rises in value as the underlying
stock price drops below the price at which the holder can sell it. The greater the
drop in price, the more valuable the right to sell the shares at a fixed, higher
price, becomes. A put option, with an exercise price equal to the capital account
balance as of the Valuation Date, can be used to hedge a stock holding from
downward price drops, since the value of the put rises to offset any drop in the
stock price. The two assets combined, at expiration, should approximately equal
the value of the stock position at the time the hedge was put in place, net of the
costs related to the hedge.
The Black-Scholes option model for valuing call options (the right but not the
obligation to buy a share of stock at a fixed price) was developed by Fisher Black
and Myron Scholes in the 1970s. The model is widely used in the pricing of
options in the public markets, in risk-management (hedging), and in the accounting
for compensation options under Financial Accounting Standards Board ("FASB")
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guidelines. The model, using short sales and borrowings, reflects results assuming
that the option value is equal to the security price, times a probability (that the
ending price will exceed the strike price), minus the present value of the exercise
price, times a probability.
In valuing a put option, the output of the Black-Scholes model can be modified to
determine the probability of a downward movement in a stock's price over time
(relevant to a put), as opposed to an upward movement in the price (relevant to a
call). To do so, the model's probabilities are changed to their reciprocals, and
certain signs are changed to make the stock position assumed by the model a short
position, instead of a long position with borrowed funds. These adjustments result
in a put option model.'
The model has six inputs that determine value: (1) stock price; (2) exercise price;
(3) risk-free rate; (4) the life, or term, of the option; (5) expected volatility; and
(6) dividend yield. The first three inputs are easily observable; the impact of the
last three inputs requires further discussion, as do the manner in which they were
derived.
1. Asset Price: The value of the underlying asset or stock. In this case, the
unrestricted capital account balance of the Partnership's interest in a fund.
2. Exercise Price: The price at which the holder of the option could sell the
underlying asset upon exercise of the option. In this situation, the exercise
price is equal to the asset price.
3. Risk Free Rate: The risk rate used in the model is the continuously
compounded risk-free rate for the term corresponding to the length of time
remaining on an option. The appropriate yield was benchmarked by the
return on U.S. Treasury securities having maturities that correspond with
the term of the option. The Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.I5 was
used to determine the appropriate risk-free rate.
4. Term of the Option: The term, or expected remaining life, of an option
also has a significant impact on value. The longer the expected remaining
life, the longer the stock has to potentially rise or fall to greater extent,
making the option more valuable. A longer term option on a high
volatility stock can have significant value, whether it is a put or a call
option.
s' Model based on article by James R. Mountain, Journal of Accountancy, January 19%.
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In this case, the term would be the period of time between the Valuation
Date and the earliest possible withdrawal date after the Valuation Date.
5. Volatility: The volatility of the underlying stock price has a significant
impact on the value of an option. Volatility is a measure of how far up
or down a stock could potentially go over a given period of time, based on
the historical day-to-day trading patterns. Higher volatility increases the
value of both call and put options. The higher the volatility, the higher
the possible profits from owning an option and, hence, the higher the
option's value. This relationship is somewhat counterintuitive, as the
prospect of high volatility and greater investment risk generally lowers
equity prices. The key difference, relative to equity pricing, is the limited
downside risk of an option, which gives its owner the right but not the
obligation to sell.
Empire was provided with historical return and volatility specific to BFP's
investments, as well as comparable benchmark hedge fund index returns and
volatility were considered in estimated volatility for each subject interest.
6. Dividends: Dividend payments impact value, but to a much lesser extent.
Dividend payments reduce the value of a call option and increase the value
of a put option, because cash flows out of the company to its shareholders
but not to the option holders. The net result is that the prospective growth
in the stock value of the company is slowed. When dividends are to be
paid before the option expires, it is necessary to adjust the formula.
In general, BFP's fund investments did not make regular distributions
unless it is associated with investor withdrawals. As a result, dividend
yield was assumed to be 0%.
The Black-Scholes put option implied discounts are presented in Exhibit F-2. Other
factors were also considered.
Other Factors: The analysis outlined above indicates a theoretical cost of a
protective put option of the value of the underlying security. However, the full
cost incurred to hedge the value of the capital accounts until they could be
redeemed would also include: (1) transaction costs associated with establishing such
custom put options, or a series of custom put options, over the stated period of
time; (2) the financial counter-party in the put transaction would require
compensation for assuming the risk associated with incomplete financial information
resulting from the investments' private status; (3) payment methods that may be
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employed by the funds, i.e. payments may not be in cash; and (4) delayed and
staggered payment after capital withdrawal from the funds.
The total implied restriction period discount implied by the Black-Scholes put option
pricing model and consideration for other factors is presented in Exhibit F-2.
Restricted Stock Data: Restricted stock studies were sought for use in determining
one possible benchmark for the discounts appropriate for application to each
investment. Relevant restricted stock studies are summarized and described in
Addendum 4 to this report.
Overview: The restricted stock studies demonstrate that discounts do exist to
compensate investors for their relative inability to liquidate an investment over the
course of a given holding period. The statistics associated with the studies fell
within a reasonably close range, although variation of implied discounts was noted
within each of the studies. Variations in observed discounts were generally
attributed to company-specific (i.e., investment specific) factors. The restricted
stock study data also supports the notion that discounts declined when holding
periods were reduced, which can be anticipated based on accepted financial theory.
Based on these studies, we estimated that the discounts appropriate for lock-up
periods of two years could be as high as 33%. While data points underlying the
specific studies suggested that discounts could range much higher, it was considered
that such high levels of discounts were frequently observed with investments that
were subject to high levels of stock price volatility or business risk. As a result,
the overall median restricted stock discount of approximately 33% for a two-year
holding period was considered a reasonable upper boundary for use in this analysis.
TVA Study - Holding Period Analysis: Addendum 4 includes a description of a
study completed by Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. ("TVA") that was published
in the fall of 2009. After a detailed screening process, TVA identified 80
transactions occurring between January 1, 2007 and August 19, 2008. The
summary statistics associated with this study are presented at the beginning of
Addendum 4.
As a component of its study, TVA completed a holding period analysis by
analyzing the impact of contractual registration rights on implied discounts. TVA
indicated that a large majority of the 80 transactions in the study had registration
rights. TVA performed additional research to verify the actual registration date,
and calculated the number of days between the transaction date and the actual
registration date. If no registration statement was filed with respect to a specific
transaction, TVA assumed that the securities remained unregistered for the entire
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required holding period.S2 TVA separated this data into quartiles, resulting in the
statistics shown in the following table.
Table XX
TVA Analysis of Registration Rights
Days Before Average Median Standard
Quartile
Registration Discount Discount Deviation
1 0-31 days 11.6% 10.0% 8.0%
2 32-63 days 14.3% 12.9% 11.3%
3 64-185 days 20.4% 15.9% 18.4%
4 185+ days 26.9% 18.8% 18.6%
TVA's registration rights analysis suggests that implied discounts are positively
correlated to implied holding periods, and provides useful information to assist in
the development of benchmark discounts for holding periods up to six months.
This analysis implies that holding period discounts even for short periods of time
can be relatively significant. Although this information is helpful, the lack of block
size and volatility data associated with each quintile makes the data difficult to
interpret. For example, registered shares may still be subject to trading restrictions
depending on the block size. Therefore, it is not clear based on the published data
that the subject blocks of stock would be fully liquid upon registration. Further,
discounts are generally recognized to increase as volatility increases, and the data
presented does not permit an assessment of the relative impact of volatility on the
observed discount.
Analysis of FMV Study Data: Addendum 4 describes the 2007 edition of the FMV
Restricted Stock Study' (the "2007 Discount Study") in detail, together with
Empire's analysis of the underlying transaction data. To provide some additional
data that will assist in developing benchmark discounts to account for the illiquidity
of hedge fund investments, we refer to Empire's analysis of stock price volatility on
implied discounts. This is considered relevant given the relatively low volatility that
may be associated with hedge fund investments in comparison to many of the
companies included in the data set.
As described further in Addendum 4, the 475 transactions in the 2007 Discount
Study were filtered and sorted based on certain key variables, including volatility.
The sorted data included 285 transactions, and was divided into quintiles. The
lowest quintile of volatility data had historical stock price volatility ranging from
2.8% to 53.2%, with an average of 39.3%. Implied discounts associated with this
51 365 days prior to the change in Rule 144 on February 15, 2008, and 182 days thereafter.
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quintile ranged from 0% to 84.3%. This quintile reflected a median discount of
12.9%, as compared to a discount of 21.3% for the 280 remaining transactions for
which volatility data was available.
Conclusion: The overall restricted stock study data suggests that discounts are
clearly applicable to account for lock-up periods during which an investment cannot
be sold. The holding period analysis conducted by TVA provided the most relevant
data for short periods. However, it must be considered that the underlying
securities in these transactions may not be fully liquid upon registration, whereas a
hedge fund investor generally has liquidity as of a given withdrawal date. Further,
the underlying stock price volatility associated with the transactions in the TVA
Study is likely to be higher than the volatility associated with the subject hedge
funds. Taking these and other factors into account, we estimated a reasonable
range of discounts likely applicable to investments with lock-up periods up to two
years. This is shown in the following table.
Table XXI
Estimated Restriction Period Discounts
Estimated Discount
Lock-up Period
Range
0-I Months 1-5%
1-6 Months 5-7%
6-12 Months 7-10%
13-18 Months 11-25%
19-24 Months 26-33%
It should be recognized that these estimated ranges are likely to overlap; i.e., the
restriction period discount ultimately appropriate to a specific investment is
dependent on the attributes of that particular investment.
Application of the Capital Market Analysis: Application of a selected restriction
period discount to each capital market fund interest resulted in their respective
market values, which were then included in the derivation of the Partnership's
ABV.
Side-pocket investments were considered to be more like a PE investment. As
such, side-pocket portions of the capital account balances were discounted based on
methods described above with respect to PE investments. Note, FCI II had an
unfunded capital commitment balance of approximately $23.4 million. All other
investments considered did not have required capital contributions in the foreseeable
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future. The following table summarizes the estimated cash equivalent value of the
capital market interests.
Table XXII
Selected Restriction Period Discounts - Capital Market Funds
Side Pocket Unrestricted Selected Side Selected Liquid
Entity Market Value
Capital Capital Pocket RPD53 Capital RPD
ASC $145,301 $2,655,859 30% 1.00% $2,730,000
AVC $212,062 $7,553,506 30% 1.00% $7,630,000
FCI II $1,626,445 $0 30% n/a $1,140,000
APTP $13,683 SO 30% n/a $10,000
ACP $0 $16,511,696 n/a 4.00% $15,850,000
CVRF SO $17,544,966 n/a 5.00% $16,670,000
KSC SO $961,291 n/a 3.00% $930,000
LC SO $32,572,504 n/a 4.001,1, $31,270,000
MG $0 523.567.120 n/a 4.0051 522.620.000
See Exhibit D for summary details of BFP's ABV and Exhibits F-1 through F-3 for
capital market fund restriction period discount details.
Valuation of Miscellaneous Interests
A. Valuation of Interest in iCrete
iCrete was a development stage company whose primary product was proprietary
software for the concrete industry. As of the Valuation Date, iCrete has yet to be
profitable and its ability to survive as a going concern was not certain. BFP had
no ability to cause an exit event for the company's current investors and the
company had a perpetual term. Additionally, BFP could not sell or transfer its
interest in iCrete in the interim without written consent from its managing member.
As such, a combined discount of 35% for lack of control and marketability was
applied to BFP's capital account balance. Therefore, the fair market value of BFP's
interest in iCrete was estimated to be $867,951 [$1,335,310 x (1 - 35%)]. See
Exhibit D.
B. Valuation of Interest in KUE
KUE was a development stage holding company whose subsidiaries were for profit
education companies for the 'IC through 12' level. BFP's capital account balance
53 Restriction Period Discount
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indicated a price-to-book value for KUE of approximately 2.9 times. Comparable
guideline companies have price-to-book ratios between 0.2 times and 13.2 times,
with a mean and median of 3.7 times and 2.9 times. Therefore, BFP's capital
account balance was considered indicative of a fully marketable minority value for
the subject interest. BFP had no ability to cause an exit event for the company's
current investors and the company had a perpetual term. Additionally, BFP could
not sell or transfer its interest in KUE in the interim without written consent from
its managing member. KUE did make its first distribution to its investors during the
third quarter of 2013. Further, the company is seeking to complete an IPO by
October 2015, or if an IPO does not occur, some other exit event by October
2017. As such, a combined discount of 25% for lack of marketability was applied
to BFP's capital account balance of $33,770,566. Therefore, the fair market value
of BFP's interest in KUE was estimated to be $25.33 million, rounded
[$33,770,566 x (1 - 25%)]. See Exhibit D.
C. Valuation of Interest in ESWW Convertible Note
The ESWW convertible note had a face value of $2,941,093. The notes have a
conversion price of $80 per common share. The note has an annual interest rate
of 10% paid semi-annually in March and September. The note matures March 22,
2018. The estimated value of the ESWW convertible note is based on the sum of
the conversion value of the note's face value plus the present value of expected
future interest payments. Based on a share price of $45 per share the estimated
market value of the ESWW convertible note was $2.73 million, rounded, at the
Valuation Date.
D. Valuation of Interest in Rally
Rally was a development stage company whose primary product was an over the
counter hangover remedy. BFP had no ability to cause an exit event for the
company's current investors and the company had a perpetual term. Additionally,
BFP could not sell or transfer its interest in Rally in the interim without written
consent from its managing member. As such, a combined discount of 35% for lack
of control and marketability was applied to BFP's capital account balance.
Therefore, the fair market value of BFP's interest in Rally was estimated to be
$130,000 [$200,000 x (1 - 35%)]. See Exhibit D.
Valuation of Apollo Ownership Interests
At the Valuation Date, the Partnership held the following ownership interests in
Apollo and the Apollo Operating Group. The mean between the high and the low
of Apollo's stock was $29.72 per share on the Valuation Date.
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Table XXIII
Apollo Ownership Units
Unrestricted
Unit Type N of Units Grant Date
Value
AOG 92,767,166 7/13/2007 $2,755,851,374
The AOG Units were restricted from trading. By definition, restricted shares cannot
be considered as marketable as freely tradable shares. Therefore, in order to
determine the market value of the units, the impact of these restrictions must be
considered and incorporated into the valuation.
Empirical studies indicate that the factors which most influence the size of the lack
of marketability discounts applicable to a block of restricted stock are: (1) the
length of time which the stock has to be held (time value of money) before sale
(resale restrictions); (2) the volatility of the security (risk); (3) the size of the block
and the stock's available trading float; (4) the capitalization size and creditworthiness
of the corporation; and (5) the outlook for the company, its industry, and its
relative position therein.
The analysis for the AOG Units is presented below. A put option analysis, as
described previously was applied to estimate the appropriate restriction period
discount. Additionally, the TRA benefit associated with AOG Units is considered
and valued separately below. The DCF method was applied to value the TRA
benefit.
A. Apollo Operating Group Units
The AOG Units were subject to a schedule that restricted their trading established
in July 2007 when Apollo was formed through the consolidation of the Apollo
operating group. Again, according to the Exchange Agreement, AOG Units would
be exchangeable into Class A Apollo shares. Since Apollo had successfully
completed its IPO the restriction period had officially begun and the restriction
period was known for the Partnership's AOG Units. Based on annual delivery on
March 29 that began in 2013 and will go through 2017, a put option analysis could
be modeled for each block of AOG Units delivered or available for exchange. As
of the Valuation Date, BFP's first tranche was exchangeable, but due to the insider
status of Leon Black and his affiliation with the Partnership, the 6.9 million
exchangeable AOG units were still subject to SEC Rule 144 trading restrictions.
Again, the Black-Scholes option pricing model was previously discussed. Specific
input parameters used for the put option model are presented in Exhibit G-1. These
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included: (1) block value; (2) exercise price; (3) term; (4) volatility; (5) dividend
yield; and (6) risk-free rate.
An incremental adjustment for other factors not captured by the theoretical implied
discount derived from the put option model was added to the implied discount and
ranged between 1.5% and 3.5%. Overall, implied discounts for the restriction
period imposed on the AOG Units ranged between 10.5% and 31.4%. Applying
the implied discounts to the appropriate AOG Unit blocks resulted in a restriction
period adjusted market value of $2.0 billion for BFP's AOG Units. See
Exhibit G-1.
As noted above, the AOG Units have an associated TRA benefit derived from the
tax shield provided upon exchange to APO Corp. The value of the TRA benefit is
calculated in the following section.
B. AOG Unit TRA Tax Shield
As with many complex assets, the TRA could be valued using different methods or
inputs. In this instance, valuing an explicitly projected future cash flow stream for
the TRA, incorporating the myriad of assumptions for Apollo's status upon future
conversions (e.g., future share price values, tangible asset values, business segment
breakouts related to the TRA, existence and timing of IPO, etc.) was viewed as
being highly unreliable and purely speculative in nature. In order to simplify the
analysis, it was assumed the exchange occurs immediately at today's price and
known facts about the business. A present value for the amortization benefit was
then calculated.
Since this derived value would not begin flowing for a number of years (3.1 years
on a weighted average basis based on conversion restrictions as discussed earlier),
the TRA value was assumed to be locked-up for that period of time. This treats
the asset similar to a restricted stock that could, in fact, fluctuate up or down in
value over the 3.1 years. The TRA value could go up or down if any of many
things, including the following, change: company share price, business mix, tangible
versus intangible assets, future interest/discount rates, etc. To account for this
restriction period, a lack of liquidity/marketability discount was calculated and
applied to the present value of the TRA derived below, again similar to the put
option analysis approach applied to the AOG Units (excluding the TRA benefit) in
the previous section. While one can argue there are other methods one might use,
this was considered to provide a reasonable estimate of this portion of the value of
the AOG Units.
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Projected TRA Cash Flows: In order to complete a DCF analysis, it is necessary
to develop an explicit forecast for TRA cash flows, together with a required rate of
return by which those cash flows can be discounted back to their present value.
The TRA cash flows are derived from the step-up in basis upon the exchange of
the AOG Units into Class A shares for sale. Again, according to Management, the
basis of the AOG Units is $0. Therefore, upon an exchange of the Units, the
price per Class A share multiplied by the number of Units exchanged for Class A
shares represents the step-up in basis.
The value of Apollo's Class A shares is derived from the expected future cash
flows attributed to its ownership of APO Asset Co., LLC and APO Corp.
However, the tax benefit derived by the step-up in basis upon the exchange of the
AOG Units is realized only by APO Corp. According to internal reports provided
by Apollo regarding fair value of reporting units in the Apollo Operating Group,
APO Corp. accounted for approximately 69.9% of Apollo's value. Consequently,
the aggregate value amortizable due to a future exchange is estimated to be $2.1
billion. This amount is amortizable over a 15-year period, or $128.5 million per
year. This results in an annual tax benefit of $51.9 million per year based on an
effective tax rate of 40.35%. The effective tax rate is based on Management's
projections for the statutory federal and state corporate tax rates. See Exhibit G-3.
To the extent that APO Corp. does not have sufficient taxable income to fully
recognize the amortization expense derived from the exchange, the remaining
balance can be carried over as a net operating loss carry-forward until such time as
a sufficient taxable income amount is earned where the expense can be charged and
a tax benefit realized.
The cash flows attributable to the tax benefit of an exchange of the AOG Units
have been determined. Next, an appropriate discount rate must be applied in order
to determine the present value of the TRA's tax benefit.
Derivation of Required Rate of Return: The discount rate to be derived for the
tax benefit of the TRA represents the required rate of return which an investor
would demand at a point in time in order to invest in the TRA asset. This
discount rate reflects current rates of return seen in the public capital markets plus
a number of company- and industry-specific factors.
The appropriate required rate of return for the TRA is based on Apollo's cost of
equity, since the tax benefit is based on taxable income, i.e. after debt service.
The equity discount rate to be derived for an entity's cash flows represents the
required rate of return that an investor would demand at a point in time in order to
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hold an ownership interest in its capital. This discount rate reflects current rates of
return seen in the public capital markets plus a number of company- and industry-
specific factors.
Additionally, market-based rates of return at the Valuation Date are summarized in
the following table. Details regarding the selection of discount rates based on
comparable guideline companies are presented in Exhibit H-1 and H-2.
Table XXIV
Summary of Required Rates of Return
Required Rate
Source
of Return
20-year U.S. Treasury Rate (risk-free rate)" 3.65%
Prime Rate" 3.25%
Large Cap Stocks'" 9.76%
Small Cap Stocks's? 15.96%
The discount rate, or the rate of return that investors require, incorporates the
following elements:
• A "risk-free rate," which generally is the rate available on instruments
considered to have no default risk, such as U.S. Treasuries. The risk-free
rate compensates the investor for renting out their money and for the
expected loss of purchasing power (inflation) during the holding period.
• A premium for risk, which incorporates the degree of uncertainty as to the
realization of the expected return. The risk premium includes: (1) systematic
risk related to the movements in returns on the investment market in general;
and (2) unsystematic risk, which is risk specific to the subject investment.
This discount rate reflects current rates of return seen in the public capital markets,
plus a number of company- and industry-specific factors.
54 Federal Reserve Statistical Release H.15.
ss Ibid.
56 Stocks, Bonds, Bills and Inflation: Valuation Edition 2013 Yearbook, Ibbotson Associates, 2013,
Chicago, Illinois. For large capitalization stocks the calculation is a sum of the risk-free rate
and the expected returns of 6.11% realized on large capitalization stocks over the risk-free rate.
Small capitalization stocks, which are riskier by virtue of their smaller revenue and income base
and capitalization, have returned an additional 6.20% above the return witnessed for large
capitalization stocks.
57 Ibid.
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Capital Asset Pricing Model ("CAPM"): The cost of equity estimate was
developed with the CAPM. The CAPM is a model that is commonly used to
obtain discount rates for valuation purposes. The basic logic of the CAPM model
is that a company's risk premium is determined by the sensitivity of its stock price,
i.e. equity value, to the price changes of the market as measured by an appropriate
broad-based index, e.g. S&P 500 ("systematic risk," measured by Beta). This
model has been one of the primary underpinnings of applied work in finance due to
its simple, intuitive logic and ease of application.
The model used to develop our estimates of cost of equity is as follows:
Ke = + Rp (Peta) + Rsm
Where:
Ke Cost of Equity
Rf Risk free rate of return
Rp Market Risk Premium
= Small Company Risk Premium
Peta Sensitivity of the security to changes in the
market
The cost of equity, Kg was identified based upon publicly available information.
Betas of a group of selected U.S.-traded guideline companies were obtained from
the Bloomberg Network. The betas were first unlevered based upon the respective
firms' capital structures and an unlevered beta was selected for Apollo to use as a
proxy for the three GP entities considered in this section. Then, the selected beta
was relevered based upon the guideline companies' debt-to-equity ratios and Apollo's
expected long-term debt-to-equity ratio. See Exhibit H-1.
The resulting cost of equity of 13.5% is based upon an unlevered beta factor of
1.4. The determination of the cost of equity using the CAPM is included in
Exhibit H-2.
Asset Specific Risk Adjustments: Again, the unadjusted equity rate of 13.5%
selected above is without consideration of asset specific risk factors for the TRA.
Therefore, in order to reflect asset-specific risks, an additional risk adjustment must
be considered for application to the equity discount rate derived above. Risk
factors relevant to the revenue stream are discussed below.
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• The exact timing of the future tax benefits is based on achieving sufficient
taxable income necessary to receive the tax benefit over the minimum period
of 15 years.
• The taxable income sufficient to fully recognize the TRA tax benefit may be
impacted by the exchange of other A0G Units with similar tax receivable
agreements, as well as the existing tax benefit resulting from the
restructuring of A0G and subsequent 144A sale in 2007.
• TRA payments are on par with unsecured debt, and are senior to dividend
payments to A0G Class A shares.
Based on the risk factors cited above, a TRA specific discount rate of 13% was
selected.
Conclusion of Fully Marketable Value of TRA: Applying the discount rate of
13% to the forecasted TRA tax benefit cash flows results in the present value of
the incremental benefit at $334.9 million. The calculated benefit related to the
exchange of the A0G Units is shared 85% by the A0G Unit-holder and 15% by
APO Corp (a wholly-owned subsidiary of Apollo.) Therefore, the fully marketable
value attributable to the TRA associated with the A0G Units is $284.7 million.
Put Option Analysis - TRA: The put option analysis described above with respect
to the restriction period of the A0G Units was applied to determine the restriction
period discount for the TRA. Below are the specific inputs utilized to derive the
cost of hedging the TRA with a put option as of the Valuation Date. See also
Exhibit G-4.
• Current Stock Price and Exercise Price: $284.7 million per the analysis
discussed above and presented in Exhibit G-4.
• Volatility: 40% was selected as the volatility input. This figure was
determined after analyzing the historical and implied volatilities of the
comparable guideline companies and reviewing the Company's volatility
assumptions as stated in its SEC filings. A sample set of guideline
companies' volatility measures was gathered and is presented in Exhibit D-2.
• Dividend yield: 0% was used as this is a hypothetical situation. Since the
option holder will get any dividends paid since they own the underlying
shares, their position is not harmed by such payments.
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• Term: The term used was based on the schedule provided by the Exchange
Agreement. Based on the Shareholders Agreement, the Units can be
exchanged after the expiration of a two-year lock-up following the successful
pricing of the Company's IPO. The exchange is subject to a schedule that
allows the Unit-holder to exchange 7.5% of the aggregate Units held in each
of four successive years. The remaining 70% of the Units can be
exchanged in the fifth year following the initial lock-up. Again, the first
tranche was exchangeable as of the Valuation Date, but was subject to SEC
Rule 144. The weighted average age of an exchange (and SEC Rule 144 for
the first tranche) is 3.1 years. This is the period which the hypothetical
buyer would have to wait before effectively beginning to realize the benefit
of the TRA payments.
• Risk-free Rate: The Valuation Date yield of 0.61%, on a continuously
compounded basis, for U.S. Treasury notes of 3-years was used.
The theoretical cost of a put option for the Units calculated to be 26.17% of the
fully marketable value of the TRA. See Exhibit G-4. The TRA was not publicly
traded (like the Class A shares).
Therefore, based on the implied lack of marketability discount from the put option
analysis, Empire selected 26% for the lack of marketability discount applicable to
the fully marketable value of the TRA. Applying a 26% lack of marketability
discount to the fully marketable value of $284.7 million for the TRA results in a
fair market value estimate of $211.0 million, rounded for the TRA associated with
the AOG Units. See Exhibit G-3.
C. 2007 Transaction TRA Benefit
Management provided projections for existing TRA dividend payment liability?
The aggregate projected TRA dividend payments and pro rata 41.68%39 share
attributable to BFP are presented in Exhibit G-5. Next, an appropriate discount
rate must be applied in order to determine the present value of the TRA dividends.
38 The term 'existing' is used to distinguish it from the potential TRA tax benefit associated with the
92.7 million AOG units discussed in the previous sections of this report. Whereas the existing
TRA tax benefit amount, and to a large extent timing, are known, it is not the case for the
potential TRA tax benefit associated with the possible future sale of AOG units.
39 The pro rata share of 41.68% is based on the historical sharing ratio attributable to BFP at the
July 2007 transaction that triggered the TRA benefit. The 2013 dividend will be different due to
under-allocation to BFP in prior years.
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As estimated above, Apollo's cost of equity was 13.1%. Pursuant to the TRA,
dividend payments made pursuant to the agreement are always subordinate to any
debt payments Apollo may have at the Valuation Date or in the future. This
argues for a rate of return of at least a high-yield corporate bond.' At the same
time, the dividend payments were considered less risky than Apollo's cost of equity
since the TRA dividend did have a contractual claim on the Company's cash flows
prior to any shareholder distributions. As such a reasonable range to consider for
the discount rate applicable to the existing TRA benefit was between 6.5% and
13.1%. The projected existing TRA dividend payments were considered more like
debt than equity. Therefore, Empire selected 10% as the required rate of return to
apply to the projected existing TRA dividend payments.
Concluded Value of the Existing TRA Dividends: A 10% discount rate was
applied to BFP's projected pro rata share of existing TRA dividends. The present
value of BFP's aggregate TRA dividend was $99.0 million. See Exhibit G-5
Valuation of Black Family Partners, LP
A. BFP's Adjusted Book Value
As discussed above, a willing buyer would typically assess the value of BFP's
capital on the basis of its underlying assets. Thus, it is reasonable to utilize AAM
as a valuation method.
Book value, unadjusted, is another name for the shareholders' equity account as it
appears on the balance sheet. Again, ABV as a willing buyer would assess it
involves determining the value of a company's bundle of assets, less its liabilities,
but before transaction costs.
This analysis began by using the Partnership's Valuation Date balance sheet. In
doing so, each asset and liability was assessed to determine its estimated market
value as of the Valuation Date. A summary of the Partnership's assets and
liabilities adjusted to reflect their market values as of the Valuation Date is
summarized below. In general the adjustments made to stated capital account
balances reflect the restrictions imposed upon BFP and its inherent inability to
realize the stated capital account balance value of its assets. Detailed analyses
regarding the adjustments were discussed above.
6° BB rated corporate bonds had an average yield of 6.75% at the Valuation Date.
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• Cash: The Partnership had a checking account with $60.8 million and a
money market account with $1.4 million. No adjustments were made to the
cash account balances.
• AINV Stock: The Company held 603,632 shares of AINV stock. The stock
closed at $8.79 per share on the Valuation Date, with a mean value of
$8.75 per share. Therefore, the block of stock had a value of $5.3 million
(based on the mean per share value) at the Valuation Date.
• ESWW Stock: The Company held 11,380 shares of ESWW stock. The
stock closed at $45.00 per share on the Valuation Date, with a mean value
of $45.00 per share. Therefore, the block of stock had a value of $3,375
(based on the mean per share value) at the Valuation Date.
• AAA Stock: The Company held 28,730 shares of AAA stock. The stock
closed at $27.20 per share on the Valuation Date, with a mean value of
$27.04 per share. Therefore, the block of stock had a value of $0.78
million (based on the mean per share value) at the Valuation Date.
• PE/Fixed-Term Entity Direct Interests: The PE interests were direct
investments in various Apollo private equity funds and non-Apollo private
equity funds. The capital account balances were adjusted, as summarized in
detail previously in this report. The following table presents the capital
account balance and adjusted book value of each interest.
Table XXV
PE/Fixed-Term Fund Interests
usted
Capital Account
Entity Book
Adj Value,
Balance
rounded
ACIII $2,554,400 $1,920,000
ACIV $546,624 $410,000
ACV $3,938,673 $2,950,000
ACVI $40,883,392 $30,660,000
HAO $3,796,002 $2,660,000
SWF $18,224,766 $12,760,000
WCP $2,416,630 $1,570,000
TEN4 $359.525 $230,000
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• Capital Market/Hedge Funds: The Partnership had investments in five
Apollo related funds and one unrelated fund. The following table presents
the capital account balance and adjusted book value of each interest.
Table XXVI
Capital Market Fund Interests
usted
Capital Account
Entity Boo
Ad kj Value,
Balance
rounded
ASC $2,801,160 $2,730,000
AVC $7,787,489 $7,650,000
FCI II $1,626,445 $1,140,000
APTP $13,863 $10,000
ACP $16,511,696 $15,850,000
CVRF $17,544,966 $16,670,000
KSC $961,291 $930,000
LC $32,572,504 $31,270,000
MG 523,567.120 522,620.000
• Apollo Operating Group Ownership: The Partnership, through BRH and
Holdings, holds a block of AOG Units. AOG Unit ownership has significant
restrictions regarding when the Partnership is able to sell the respective units.
These details were discussed previously. Additionally, the AOG Units have
the TRA which provided an economic benefit to the Partnership via its
indirect ownership of the AOG Units not captured by Apollo's stock price.
Table XXVII
Apollo Operating Group Interests
Capital Account Adjusted Book
Entity
Balance Value
AOG Units w/o TRA) $2,755,851,374 $2,000,000,000
TRA Benefit (future) $0 5211,000,000
IRA Benefit (existing) SO 599,000,000
• Miscellaneous Interests: A summary of the Partnership's other assets is
presented in the following table.
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Table XXVIII
Miscellaneous Interests
Capital Account Adjusted Book
Entity
Balance Value, rounded
iCrete LLC $1,335,310 $867,951
Knowledge Universe Education LP $33,770,566 $25,327,924
ESWW Convertible Note $2,941,093 $2,725,485
Rally Labs, LLC $200,000 $130,000
• Related Party Receivables: No adjustments were made to BFP's related
party note balances or receivables.
• Liabilities: The Partnership's only liability at the Valuation Date was a
clawback liability of $5.0 million related to carried interest points from AIF
Based on the estimated market value of BFP's assets and liabilities, the
Partnership's ABV can be stated at $2,662,404,037, or $919,328,114 for a pro ram
34.53% limited partnership interest. See Exhibit D.
B. Discount for Lack of Control and Marketability
The appraisal of any business is as much an art as a science. One reason that the
value of a closely-held business is never completely objective is that much of this
value lies in less quantifiable factors, such as marketability and control. The value
that was derived above using the asset accumulation method is a fully controlling,
fully marketable value. However, a minority shareholder of BFP has neither a
control position nor a ready market for his or her interest.
The following discussion will address the factors which are considered relevant
when determining appropriate discounts for control and lack of marketability. It
should be noted that the criteria used to determine each discount individually can
overlap. As such, although the following discussion addresses each discount
separately, a combined discount for lack of control and marketability was applied to
the freely tradable value of BFP's equity to determine its fair market value.
1. Discount for Lack of Control
When valuing a company, a valuation methodology which utilizes required rates of
return from the public market is generally assumed to be a minority interest value.
However, when consideration is given for a controlling interest position, as is the
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case when using the asset accumulation method, the controlling interest holder has
the ability to exercise the prerogatives of control (e.g., the ability to set dividends
and salaries, and make daily business decisions). The value of this control is
usually recognized by a premium over the non-controlling interest valuation, as is
demonstrated by the transaction data cited below. Since a non-controlling interest
position is being valued, some discount for lack of control, or the inverse of the
stated premiums, must be considered.
The application of a discount for lack of control is particularly warranted in
appraising limited partnership and non-managing membership interests in investment
holding companies. Even without overt restrictions, a holding company interposes
itself between an owner and the investment assets, thus creating administrative costs
that would otherwise not be present. If an investor can purchase the same
investment assets directly, without a discount there is no incentive for that investor
to buy an interest in a holding company at its pro rata capital account value. The
owners of non-controlling interests lack the ability to control operations, make or
determine the level of distributions, or force dissolution.
In order to benchmark an appropriate discount for lack of control to use in valuing
a non-managing membership interest, several benchmarks were considered. These
included: (i) generic evidence of lack of control; and (ii) a sample of CEIC's
invested in U.S Government and Agency bonds.
Mergerstat Data: Publicly traded stocks are by definition freely tradable interests.
Thus, when a bidder seeks control of a public company, a premium over its stocks'
market pricing is usually paid. This is because certain prerogatives, or levels of
control, are transferred with percentages of ownership above 50%, such as the
authority to:
• Determine management compensation and perquisites;
• Declare and pay dividends;
• Sell or acquire assets and/or liabilities;
• Change the articles of incorporation or by-laws; and
• Liquidate, dissolve, sell, or recapitalize the company.
In determining an enterprise value, then, the incremental value of control is usually
recognized by a premium over the non-controlling interest valuation, as is
demonstrated by the transactions cited below. Conversely, the use of an asset-based
valuation method is implicitly assumed to generate a 100% controlling interest, or
enterprise, value. Since a non-controlling interest is under analysis, however, the
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inverse of these stated premiums'1 should be considered representative of the
diminution of value due to lack of control.
A publication by FactSet Mergerstat LLC ("Mergerstat"), entitled MergerstateReview
2013 was surveyed for comparatively generic evidence of the discounts appropriate
for lack of control in companies. Mergerstat tracks merger and acquisition activity
for public companies. For all industries over the five years 2008 to 2012: (i) the
mean control premiums paid over a stock's market pricing varied from 46.2% to
58.7%; (ii) the median premiums varied from 34.6% to 39.8%; and (iii) the five-
year transaction-weighted average of the median premium was 37%. This latter
premium corresponds to a discount for lack of control of 27% (1 - [1 + (1 +
37.0%)]).
Additionally, information from Mergerstaess Third Quarter 2013 Control Pretniwn
Study (the "Premium Study") was considered. It reported that, between October 1,
2012 and September 30, 2013, there were 478 transactions across all industries in
which control was acquired, with a median premium of 33.3% and a mean
premium of 48.0%. These premiums mathematically correspond to respective lack
of control discounts of 25.0% and 32.4%.
Closed-End Investment Company Benchmark: Discounts to NAV, or ICDs,
associated with publicly traded closed-end funds or limited partnerships provide
estimates that can serve as a base to determine a reasonable proxy for a lack of
control discount. Generally, ICDs tend to be lower for funds with diversified
portfolios of low risk assets (i.e., U.S. government and agency securities). ICDs
tend to increase as the portfolios become more risky (equities and private
investments) or less diversified (either concentrated in one industry or with a
concentration in a specific security).
A sample of four CEICs invested primarily in government bonds and securities is
presented in Exhibit I-3. ICDs associated with this sample ranged between 6.3%
and 14.6%, with a median LCD of 13.2% and an average ICD of 11.5%. The
sample's median yield was 3.5%.
2. Discount for Lack of Marketability
a. Background
Since there is no public market for the Partnership's stock, we applied a lack of
marketability discount to account for the illiquid nature of the stock. In selecting
61 Implied discount for lack of control equals I - (I + [1 + control premium[).
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an appropriate discount for lack of marketability, we performed both a qualitative
and quantitative analysis. The qualitative analysis involved an assessment of key
factors impacting marketability, as well as relevant restricted stock studies. The
quantitative assessment involved analyzing restricted stock data based on key
financial measures that influence the degree of marketability for the interest in
question.
b. Restricted Stock Studies — Qualitative Assessment
As part of the qualitative analysis, we reviewed restricted stock studies covering
transactions between 1966 and 2008. These studies are summarized in Addendum 4
of this report. The studies, which cover several hundred transactions over the
specified time period, concluded that mean or median lack of marketability discounts
typically range between 25% and 35%.
It is important to note that all shares of restricted stock observed in these studies
would be tradable (subject to blockage issues) on an established public exchange
following the expiration of a defined restriction period.62 As the required holding
period decreased from two years to one year, observed restricted stock discounts
declined. This is consistent with financial theory that the required discount should
decline as holding period restrictions are relaxed.
However, changes in the securities laws which have resulted in shorter required
holding periods do not make the older restricted stock studies obsolete. In contrast
to restricted stock, which can trade on an exchange once the restricted period has
lapsed, shares of most privately-held companies will never have access to such a
market because the characteristics of those businesses do not make them candidates
for public stock offerings. As a result, the observed discounts in the pre-1990
restricted stock studies (i.e., when the restrictions were most stringent) provide a
useful comparison along with the more current studies.
c. Estimated Lack of Marketability Discount - Qualitative Analysis
• The impact of the qualitative factors on marketability is determined after
reviewing many factors including, but not limited to, the factors discussed
below.
61 Due to changes in securities law over time, the initial restriction period declined from two years
to one year in 1997. Prior to that, the adoption of Rule 144A in 1990 provided partially
improved liquidity, but did not modify the two-year holding period requirement. The initial
required restriction period was reduced to one year effective April 1997 and further shortened, to
six months, effective February 2008.
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• Level of Distributions: A company with a history of paying consistent
distributions is generally considered more marketable than one that does not
have such a history.
BFP was invested in fixed-term funds, evergreen funds and development
stage companies, assets seeking capital appreciation. BFP's interest in BRH
(comprised of the AOG Units owned through Holdings and TRA dividend
payments) provided a potential source of capital appreciation and a source of
cash dividends. While BFP received cash dividends, the proceeds have
historically been used to make additional investments with entities not related
to Apollo. However, the Partnership has recently begun to make
distributions of unreserved cash. Distribution amounts and timing are at the
discretion of the general partner. Accordingly, there is no formal policy in
place for distributions, and a limited partner cannot assume or expect
distributions at any given time (or at all). If made, any distributions must
be pro rata among all members. This situation tends to enhance the
marketability of the subject interest.
• Information Access & Reliability: A purchaser of a non-controlling interest
has to accept the information provided, and that information can often be
curtailed by the general partners or managers. Concern about this issue is
mitigated somewhat when management has a history of providing the
minority owners with audited financial statements and/or access to the
company's books and records.
The Partnership does not prepare audited financial statements or file its own
tax return. This situation tends to reduce the marketability of the subject
interest.
• Transfer and Withdrawal Restrictions: The ability of an investor to
transfer or liquidate his interest, along with the time required to do so, is a
major factor in assessing the appropriate discount for lack of marketability.
BFP permits transfers without the prior written consent of the general
partner. However, the consent of the general partner is required for such
transferee to be admitted as a partner of BFP. Although BFP does provide
for the withdrawal of capital, all such withdrawals would be made in-kind at
the discretion of the general partner. To be clear, a partner requesting a
withdrawal of capital would receive assets upon withdrawal, and the assets
distributed would be selected at the discretion of the general partner. Since
at the Valuation Date BFP had significant unfunded capital commitments in
the fixed-term funds, there would be no incentive for the general partner to
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distribute cash in the event that a withdrawal was requested; all available
cash was required to meet capital commitments. Therefore, distributed assets
were expected to be illiquid. There was no way to exit or redeem capital
for the underlying investments representing approximately 90% of BFP's
adjusted asset value. This situation was significantly less attractive than one
in which a withdrawing partner was required to receive cash or marketable
securities upon a withdrawal. This combination of factors tends to reduce
the marketability of the Interest. However, the reduction in marketability of
the Interest was mitigated by the ability to at least withdraw assets.
• Expected Holding Period: The length of the expected holding period of the
interest impacts marketability; the longer the expected holding period, the less
marketable an asset will be. For example, the presence of a near-term exit
event, such as dissolution, an IPO, or a sale/merger, generally improves
marketability. While the existence of legal restrictions may adversely impact
an owner's ability to sell, the absence of such restrictions does not
necessarily improve marketability if there is no active public market in which
an asset can be sold. Separately, to the extent that the owner of an equity
interest in a subject company has a contractual or legal right to "put" the
stock back to the company or the other owners, the marketability of an
interest is typically improved.
Probability of an Exit Event: BFP does not have a specific term and the
Partnership is not considering liquidation. This situation tends to reduce the
marketability of the Interest.
Existence of Put Rights: BFP's partners do not specifically possess put
rights. This situation tends to reduce the marketability of the Interest.
• Historical Trading Activity: To the extent that arms' length transaction
activity exists involving shares of the subject company's stock, marketability
may be improved.
Empire is not aware of any historical trading activity involving limited
partnership interests in BFP. This situation tends to reduce the marketability
of the subject interest.
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d. Restricted Stock Study Data - Quantitative Assessment
In 2007, FMV Opinions updated The FMV Restricted Stock SttidyTm' (referred to
here as the "2007 Discount Study"), which contains 475 restricted stock transactions
occurring from 1980 to 2005, and provides data on approximately 50 variables for
each transaction. The market reference price used to calculate the discount is the
average of the highest and lowest share price for the month of the transaction.
The overall average discount in the 2007 Discount Study data is 22.3%, while the
median discount is 19.5%." Several conclusions reached by the 2007 Discount
Study are listed in Addendum 4.
The underlying data from the 2007 Discount Study can be used to estimate a
discount for lack of marketability for closely-held companies. The 2007 Discount
Study recommends using a two-step process in which: (1) a quantitative analysis of
the company-specific risk factors results in an "as if" publicly traded Restricted
Stock Equivalent Discount; 65 and (2) a second quantitative analysis is used to
estimate an incremental discount above the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount to
recognize the similar illiquidity characteristics between privately-held companies and
large blocks of restricted stock to estimate a Private Company Discount Increment.
We followed this process for the quantitative part in estimating the lack of
marketability discount.
e. Summary Findings from the 2007 Discount Study Data
Please see Addendum 4 for a description of how we analyzed the data, and the
conclusions drawn, from the 2007 Discount Study. Some of the more significant
findings from this analysis are highlighted below.
Analysis of Size Metrics: As shown in Exhibit J-1, implied restricted stock
discounts are inversely related to a company's size, measured as revenue, market
value, book value or total assets.
63 Detemiining Discounts for Lack of Marketability: A Companion Guide to the FMV Restricted
Stock Study."' FMV Opinions, Inc., 2007.
" The reported overall discounts are based on the full data set of 475 transactions.
63 For this step, we limited the sample to transactions involving block sizes of 20% or less of a
firm's outstanding stock following the restricted stock transaction. Due to the relatively long
periods generally required to liquidate larger blocks of restricted stock following the expiration of
the initial restriction period, larger blocks of restricted stock in the 2007 Discount Study tend to
have illiquidity characteristics more similar to stock in privately-held companies (in blocks of any
size), for which no market exists. Therefore, an adjustment based on the differential discounts
between small and large blocks of restricted stock is appropriate to estimate a discount for lack of
marketability.
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Analysis of Risk Metrics: Discounts are positively correlated with volatility, given
that a greater lack of marketability discount would be demanded by an investor for
taking on greater risk. See Exhibit J-2.
Analysis of Profitability Metrics: Discounts are inversely related to net profit
margins. See Exhibit J-2.
Dividend Payments: As shown in Exhibit J-2, discounts for dividend paying firms
are less than for those not paying dividends.
f. Quantitative Analysis Based on 2007 Discount Study
Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount: The previously identified variables were
considered in calculating the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount. Each of the
inputs was analyzed to identify the relevant quintile for each metric. The median
observed restricted stock discount from the appropriate quintile was then selected for
that measure. This is described in greater detail below.
• Historical Financial Metrics: These metrics were based on the subject
entity's most recent annual financial results.
Regarding net profit margin and dividends, the analysis was based on
whether or not the subject company was: (1) profitable or not profitable; and
(2) dividend paying or non-dividend paying." BFP was both profitable and
distributing on a regular basis during the period reviewed.
• Market Value of Equity: This is equivalent to the aggregate marketable
minority interest value of the subject entity's equity derived in Empire's
analysis.
• Volatility: Empire reviewed the volatility measures for Apollo and
comparable companies since the AOG Units through BRH and Holdings were
the largest holding of the Partnership. See Exhibit G-2. Based on these
observations we selected 40% as a reasonable estimate for the Partnership's
expected volatility.
Exhibit J-3 summarizes the calculation of the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount
estimated to be reasonable for BFP. In deriving this discount, the results of the
analysis of each metric were weighted as follows: (1) 25% to size factors, equally
66 In the event that the subject company is a pass•through entity, the company would be considered to be
"dividend•paying" if it paid dividends or distributions in excess of those required for the payment of related
income taxes.
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weighted between revenue and market value of equity;6' (2) 25% to volatility; (3)
25% to profitability; and (4) 25% to dividend policy.
As a result of this analysis, a reasonable Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount for
BFP was estimated at 13.9%. Again, see Exhibits J-1 through J-3.
Private Company Discount Increment:" A Private Company Discount Increment
was selected based primarily on an analysis of the differential discounts between
large and small block transactions and also considers the qualitative factors
impacting marketability.
As shown in Exhibit J-4, a range of Private Company Discount Increments of 1.49
times to 1.94 times the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount was calculated. This
calculation is based on a comparison of: (1) the median Restricted Stock Equivalent
Discount of 22% for all 285 transactions involving less than 20% of the post-
transaction shares outstanding; and (2) the minimum and maximum observed median
discounts for block sizes in excess of 20% shown in Exhibit J-4.
Applying the range of Private Equity Discount Increments to the selected Restricted
Stock Equivalent Discount of 13.9% for BFP indicates that a reasonable discount
for lack of marketability would range from 21% to 27%, rounded, with a mid-point
of 24%.
C. Conclusion
Empire selected a combined discount for incremental lack of control and
marketability based on the foregoing review and analysis, including but not limited
to: (i) a member's ability to withdraw from the Partnership, per the Agreement
provisions described above; (ii) restriction period discounts applied to the Company's
assets; and (iii) the market based evidence for discounts of lack of control and lack
of marketability, a combined discount for lack of control and marketability of 15%
was considered appropriate. Applying a 15% discount to the fully marketable value
of $919,328,114 results in a fair market value of $780,000,000, rounded, for a
34.53% non-managing membership interest as of the Valuation Date. [$919,328,114
x (1 - 15%).] See Exhibit D.
67 The Partnership's book value metrics were based on tax returns and not considered indicative of
BFP's actual size from a financial perspective.
6S
See Addendum 4 for further detail regarding the Private Company Discount Increment.
EFTA01102049
Alan S. Halperin, Esq.
June 24, 2014
Page 71
Valuation Summary
Given the foregoing review and analysis, and subject to the attached Statement of
Limiting Conditions, it is our estimate that the fair market value of a 34.53%
limited partnership interest in Black Family Partners, LP is reasonably stated as
$780,000,000 as of December 4, 2013. It is our understanding that this report will
be by Mr. Leon Black for estate planning purposes.
This appraisal is not intended for any other purpose nor for any other users and
the sharing of the contents herein is not permitted without the express written
consent of Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC. Empire has no obligation to update
this appraisal for information that comes to our attention after the date of this
report.
Respectfully submitted,
Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC
a
David J. Th6mpson, CFA
Manager
Scott A. Nammacher, ASA, CFA
Managing Director
EFTA01102050
Addendum 1-1
STATEMENT OF LIMITING CONDITIONS
1. Financial statements and other related information provided by or on behalf of
the client entity or its representatives, in the course of this engagement, have
been accepted without any verification as fully and correctly reflecting the
enterprise's business conditions and operating results for the respective periods,
except as specifically noted herein. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has not
audited, reviewed, or compiled the financial information provided to us and,
accordingly, we express no audit opinion or any other form of assurance on this
information.
2. Public information and industry and statistical information have been obtained
from sources we believe to be reliable. However, we make no representation as
to the accuracy or completeness of such information and have performed no
procedures to corroborate the information. Information used was limited to that
available on or before the Valuation Date, or which could be reasonably
ascertained as of that date. We reserve the right to make such adjustments to the
valuation herein reported as may be required by consideration of additional or
more reliable data that may become available subsequent to the issuance of this
report.
3. We do not provide assurance on the achievability of the results forecasted by
the client entity because events and circumstances frequently do not occur as
expected; differences between actual and expected results may be material; and
achievement of the forecasted results is dependent on actions, plans, and
assumptions of management.
4. The conclusion of value arrived at herein is based on the assumption that the
current level of management expertise and effectiveness would continue to be
maintained, and that the character and integrity of the enterprise through any sale,
reorganization, exchange, or diminution of the owners' participation would not be
materially or significantly changed.
5. This report and the conclusion of value arrived at herein are for the exclusive
use of our client for the sole and specific purposes as noted herein. They may
not be used for any other purpose or by any other party for any purpose.
Furthermore the report and conclusion of value are not intended by Empire
Valuation Consultants, LLC and should not be construed by the reader to be
investment advice in any manner whatsoever. The conclusion of value represents
the considered opinion of Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC, based on
information furnished to them by the client entity and other sources.
6. Neither all nor any part of the contents of this report (especially the
conclusion of value, the identity of any valuation specialist(s), or the firm with
which such valuation specialists are connected or any reference to any of their
professional designations) should be disseminated to the public through advertising
EFTA01102051
Addendum 1-2
media, public relations, news media, sales media, mail, direct transmittal, or any
other means of communication without the prior written consent and approval of
Empire Valuation Consultants, LW.
7. Future services regarding the subject matter of this report, including, but not
limited to testimony or attendance in court, shall not be required of Empire
Valuation Consultants, LLC unless previous arrangements have been made in
writing.
8. Empire Valuation Consultants, LW is not an environmental consultant or
auditor, and it takes no responsibility for any actual or potential environmental
liabilities. Any person entitled to rely on this report, wishing to know whether
such liabilities exist, or the scope and their effect on the value of the property, is
encouraged to obtain a professional environmental assessment. Empire Valuation
Consultants, LLC does not conduct or provide environmental assessments and has
not performed one for the subject property.
9. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has not determined independently whether
the client entity is subject to any present or future liability relating to
environmental matters (including, but not limited to CERCLA/Superfund liability)
nor the scope of any such liabilities. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC's
valuation takes no such liabilities into account, except as they have been reported
to Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC by the client entity or by an environmental
consultant working for the client entity, and then only to the extent that the liabil-
ity was reported to us in an actual or estimated dollar amount. Such matters, if
any, are noted in the report. To the extent such information has been reported to
us, Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has relied on it without verification and
offers no warranty or representation as to its accuracy or completeness.
10. Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC has not made a specific compliance
survey or analysis of the subject property to determine whether it is subject to,
or in compliance with, the Americans with Disabilities Act of 1990, and this
valuation does not consider the effect, if any, of noncompliance.
11. No change of any item in this appraisal report shall be made by anyone
other than Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC, and we shall have no
responsibility for any such unauthorized change.
12. Unless otherwise stated, no effort has been made to determine the possible
effect, if any, on the subject business due to future Federal, state, or local
legislation, including any environmental or ecological matters or interpretations
thereof.
13. If prospective financial information approved by management has been used in
our work, we have not examined or compiled the prospective financial information
and therefore, do not express an audit opinion or any other form of assurance on
the prospective financial information or the related assumptions. Events and
EFTA01102052
Addendum 1-3
circumstances frequently do not occur as expected and there will usually be
differences between prospective financial information and actual results, and those
differences may be material.
14. We have conducted interviews with the current management of the client
entity concerning the past, present, and prospective operating results of the
company, as applicable for this analysis.
15. Except as noted, we have relied on the representations of the owners,
management, and other third parties concerning the value and useful condition of
all equipment, real estate, investments used in the business, and any other assets
or liabilities, except as specifically stated to the contrary in this report. We have
not attempted to confirm whether or not all assets of the business are free and
clear of liens and encumbrances or that the client entity has good title to all
assets.
16. The fee established for the formulation and reporting of these conclusions is
not contingent upon the value or other opinions presented.
17. Neither the appraiser nor any officer or employee of Empire Valuation
Consultants, LW has any interest in the property appraised.
18. We assume that there are no hidden or unexpected conditions of the assets
valued that would adversely affect value.
19. No opinion is intended for matters which require legal or specialized
expertise, investigation or knowledge, beyond that customarily employed by
appraisers.
EFTA01102053
Addendum 2
CERTIFICATION OF APPRAISERS
We the appraisers certify that, to the best of our knowledge and belief:
1. Our analyses, opinions and conclusions were developed, and this report was prepared, in
conformity with the Uniform Standards of Professional Appraisal Practice.
2. All statements of fact contained in this report are true and correct.
3. The reported analyses, opinions, and conclusions are limited only by the reported
assumptions and limiting conditions, and are our personal, unbiased professional analyses,
opinions, and conclusions.
4. Neither Empire nor any of its employees has, to the best of our knowledge, either a
present or intended financial interest in the entity that is the subject of this report, in any
affiliates that may exist, or with respect to the parties involved.
5. Empire has performed services as an appraiser regarding the property that is the subject
of this report two times within the three-year period immediately preceding acceptance of
this assignment.
6. We have no bias with respect to the entity that is the subject of this report or to the
parties involved with this assignment.
7. Empire's engagement in this assignment was not contingent upon developing or reporting
predetermined results.
8. The professional fee paid to Empire for the preparation of this report is not contingent
upon its conclusion, including: developing or reporting a predetermined value or direction
of value that favors the cause of the client, the amount of the value opinion, the
attainment of a stipulated result, or the occurrence of a subsequent event directly related
to the intended use of this appraisal.
9. No one provided significant business appraisal assistance to the persons signing this
certification, unless specifically stated herein.
The American Society of Appraisers has a mandatory recertification program for all of its
Accredited Senior Appraisers. The senior members signing below, designated by the "ASA,"
are in compliance with that program.
David J. Th mpson, CFA
Manager
Scott A. Nammacher, ASA, CFA
Managing Director
June 24, 2014
EFTA01102054
Addendum 3-1
EMPIRE VALUATION CONSULTANTS, LLC
www.empireval.com
777 Canal View Blvd., Suite 200 350 5th Avenue, Suite 5513
Rochester, New York 14623 New York, New York 10118-5513
Tel: (585) 475-9260 Fax: (585) 475-9380 Tel: (212) 714-0122 Fax: (212) 714-0124
61 South Main Street, Suite 201 1422 Euclid Avenue, Suite 706
West Hartford, CT 06107 Cleveland, OH 44115
Tel: (860) 233-6552 Fax: (860) 521-7575 Tel: (216) 861-0500
Valuation Services
Empire Valuation Consultants, LLC provides valuations to business owners, attorneys,
accountants, commercial bankers, investment bankers, trust departments, insurance agents, and
financial planners, among others. Empire's consultants have prepared or managed the
preparation of over 15,000 appraisals for the following reasons:
• Buy/Sell Agreements • Redemptions
• Gifting Programs • Recapitalizations
• Estate Taxes • Going Private Transactions
• Mergers & Acquisitions • Stock Option Plans
• Blocks of Publicly • Dissenting Shareholder Suits
Traded Securities • Fairness Opinions
• Employee Stock Ownership • Intellectual Property
Plans (ESOPs) • Purchase Price Allocation
Other Financial Services
Litigation Support & Expert Testimony
Empire can assist you with research and litigation support and its professionals are available
to provide expert testimony in matters involving questions of valuation.
ESOP Feasibility Studies & Preliminary Valuations
Empire is available to work with our client's team of financial advisors or participate in
independent feasibility studies and preliminary valuation reviews in connection with ESOP
formation planning.
EFTA01102055
Addendum 3-2
DAVID J. THOMPSON, CFA
Academic Degrees
M.B.A. University of New South Wales & University of Sydney, Australian
Graduate School of Management, Finance, Dean Scholarship winner,
2005
Ed.M. University at Buffalo, Secondary Mathematics Education, 1997
B.A. University at Buffalo, Mathematics, with distinction, magna cum laude
1994
Employment
Empire Valuation Consultants, Rochester, New York
Manager, 2011 - Present
Senior Valuation Associate, 2008 - 2011
Valuation Associate, 2006 - 2008
Idea Connections Consulting, Inc., Rochester, New York
Vice President of Operations, 2002 - 2003 and 2005 - 2006
IKON Office Solutions, Buffalo New York
Senior Application Developer, 1998 - 2002
Experience
David is a Chartered Financial Analyst. Since joining Empire, David has been
involved in hundreds of business valuations covering a diverse array of industries.
He has been involved in the valuation of various classes of equity and debt, family
limited partnerships, limited liability companies, intangible assets, purchase price
allocations and stock options. These valuations have been for estate and gift tax
reporting, employee stock ownership plan administration, acquisitions,
recapitalizations, matrimonial litigation, general corporate reporting, and SEC
reporting. He has extensive experience with the valuation hedge fund and private
equity fund management companies and general partners.
Prior to joining Empire, David worked as Vice President of Operations at Idea
Connections where he was responsible for financial analysis and projections, effective
cost control, project management and assisted in the negotiations for the separation
of the group from its parent company. While with IKON he developed workflow
and document management applications for private companies and government
agencies.
EFTA01102056
Addendum 3-3
SCOTT A. NAMMACHER, ASA, CFA
Academic Degrees
M.B.A. New York University Graduate School of Business, Finance, 1985
B.S. University of Minnesota, Business, 1977
Employment
Principal and Managing Director, Empire Valuation Consultants, LW, New York,
New York, 1992-Present
Manager, Financial Valuations, Arthur Andersen & Co., New York, 1990-1991
V.P., Marigold Capital Development, Investment Banking Div. of Marigold
Enterprises, Greenwich, Connecticut, 1989-1990
Manager - Domestic Finance, PepsiCo, Inc. Purchase, New York, 1985-1989
Experience
Mr. Nammacher is an Accredited Senior Appraiser (ASA) of the American Society
of Appraisers and is a Chartered Financial Analyst (CFA). He has over 20 years
of experience in financial consulting and business valuations. He has valued the
equity, debt, warrants, NOLs, etc. of publicly and privately held businesses for
acquisitions, divestitures, stock repurchases, estate and gift tax reporting, buy/sell
agreements, recapitalizations, and general corporate planning purposes. Mr.
Nammacher has also developed business plans and financing packages, and has
been involved in completed transactions totaling over $1.5 billion. In addition, he
played key roles in the successful launch of a new business publication.
Mr. Nammacher has testified as an expert witness in U.S. Tax Court, U.S.
Bankruptcy Court, Delaware Chancery Court and other courts and arbitration
settings around the country, and published a book and several articles on "junk
bonds." He also received the prestigious "Graham & Dodd Scroll Award" from
the Financial Analysts Journal for outstanding financial writing relating to a cover
story he co-authored.
He served two terms as an elected member of the American Society of Appraisers'
Business Valuation Committee, the oversight entity for the business valuation arm
of the ASA. He has spoken on valuation issues around the country and has
chaired an annual valuation conference in New York City for over 17 years. He
co-chaired the first joint AICPA/ASA valuation conference ever presented.
EFTA01102057
Addendum 4-1
LACK OF MARKETABILITY BENCHMARK STUDIES
Table I
Overview of Restricted Stock Studies'
# of Mean Median
Study Years Covered
Transactions Discount Discount
Two-Year Holding Period
Studies Ending Pre-1990
SEC, Overall Average 1966-1969 398 25.8% 24.0%
SEC, Non-reporting OTC Companies 1966-1969 112 N/A 32.6%
Gelman 1968-1970 89 33.0% 33.0%
Trout 1968-1972 60 33.5% N/A
Moroney UnIcnown2 146 35.5% 33.0%
Maher 1969-1973 33 35.4% 33.3%
Standard Research Consultants 1978-1982 28 N/A 45.0%
Hertel & Smith 1980-1987 106 20.1% 13.3%
Willamette Management Associates 1981-1984 33 N/A 31.2%
Silber 1981-1988 69 33.8% 35.0%
Studies Ending After 1990
FMV Opinions, Inc. (Pre-3/1/1997)3 1980 - Feb. 1997 196 N/A 21.0%
Management Planning, Inc. 1980-1995 49 27.7% 28.9%
Management Planning, Inc. 1980-1996 53 27.0% 25.0%
Bruce Johnson 1991-1995 72 20.0% N/A
Columbia Financial Advisors, Inc. 1996-1997 23 21.0% 14.0%
One-Year Holding Period
Columbia Financial Advisors, Inc. 1997-1998 15 13.0% 9.0%
FMV Opinions, Inc. 3/1/97-11/15/07 165 N/A 20.5%
Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. 1/1/07-11/15/07 46 17.9% 14.7%
Six Month Holding Period
Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. 11/16/07-12/31/08 34 18.4% 14.4%
FMV Opinions, Inc. 11/16/07-12/31/08 11 N/A 15.0%
Citations are included with the subsequent description of each study.
2 Although the years covered in this study are likely to be 1969-1972, no specific years were given in the
published account.
The results of the FMV Opinions, Inc. studies for all holding periods exclude transactions with registration
rights, as well as those which took place at implied premiums.
EFTA01102058
Addendum 4-2
The restricted stock studies are divided into three primary groups: (I) studies ending before
May 1997, when the required holding period under SEC Rule 144 was two years; (2)
studies ending after May 1997, when the required holding period was reduced to one year,
and prior to November 15, 2007; (3) studies including transactions after November 15,
2007, when the SEC announced that the required holding period would be reduced to six
months.5 The first group is subdivided into two categories, before 1990 and after 1990.
In 1990, the SEC adopted Rule 144A, which relaxed the SEC filing restrictions on private
transactions. The rule allows qualified institutional investors to trade unregistered securities
among themselves without filing registration statements, which improved liquidity.
As noted above, the rule change which reduced the Rule 144 required holding period to six
months was announced by the SEC on November 15, 2007, and would take effect 60 days
after its publication in the Federal Register. The rule was published in the Federal
Register on December 17, 2007,6 and took effect on February 15, 2008. Therefore,
although the rule did not take effect until February 15, 2008, the pending rule change
would have been a consideration to potential buyers after its announcement on November
15, 2007.
The studies are discussed further in the following sections of this document.
Institutional Investor Study:7 The SEC published study #77-287 in 1971, called the
"Institutional Investor Study." The Institutional Investor Study examined the amount of
discount at which transactions in restricted stock, or letter stock, took place compared to
the prices of identical but unrestricted stock on the open market from 1966 through 1969.
The study shows that the discounts on the letter stocks were the least for New York Stock
Exchange ("NYSE") listed stocks, but increased, in order, for American Stock Exchange
("ASE") listed stocks, over-the-counter ("OTC") reporting companies and OTC non-
reporting companies. For OTC non-reporting companies, the largest number of restricted
stock transactions fell in the 30% to 40% discount range. Slightly over 56% of the OTC
non-reporting companies experienced discounts greater than 30% on the sale of their
restricted stock. A little over 30% of the OTC reporting companies experienced discounts
over 30%, and over 52% experienced discounts over 20%. The following table segments
the data observed by the SEC according to the size of the discount.
[This space intentionally left blank]
4 Securities and Exchange Commission.
5 "SEC Votes to Adopt Three Rules to Improve Regulation of Smaller Businesses."
wvnv.sec.govinews/press/2007/2007-233.htm.
6 Federal Register, Vol. 72, No. 241., pg. 71551. December 17, 2007.
7 "Discounts Involved in Purchases of Common Stock (1966-1969)," Institutional Investor Study Report of the
Securities and Exchange Commission, H.R. Doc. No. 64, Part 5, 92d Congress., 1st Session. 1971, pp.
2444-2456.
EFTA01102059
Addendum 4-3
Table II
Institutional Investors Study Data
Number of Percent of
Discount (Premium) Transactions Study Total
-15.0% to 0.0% 26 6.5%
0.1% to 10.0% 67 16.8%
10.1% to 20.0% 78 19.6%
20.1% to 30.0% 77 19.3%
30.1% to 40.0% 67 16.8%
40.1% to 50.0% 35 8.8%
50.1% to 80.0% 48 12.1%
-15.0% to 80.0% (total) 398 100.0%
The magnitude of the discount for restricted securities from the trading price of the
unrestricted securities was generally related to the factors listed below.
• Earnings: Earnings played the most significant role in determining the discounts
at which these stocks were sold from the current market price. The degree of
risk of an investment is determined more by earnings patterns, rather than sales
patterns.
• Sales: Companies with the largest sales volumes received the smallest discounts
and the companies with the smallest sales volumes received the largest discounts.
• Trading Market: Discounts were greatest on restricted stocks with unrestricted
counterparts traded over-the-counter, followed by those with unrestricted
counterparts listed on the ASE, while the discounts for those stocks with
unrestricted counterparts listed on the NYSE were the smallest.
Gelman Study:9 Milton Gelman conducted a study analyzing the prices paid by four
closed-end investment companies specializing in restricted securities investments. Based on
an analysis of 89 transactions between 1968 and 1970, Gelman found both the mean and
median discounts to be 33%. Almost 60% of the transactions were at discounts of 30% or
more, and over one-third were at discounts of 40% or more.
Trout Study:9 Robert Trout studied 60 transactions involving the purchase of restricted
stock by mutual funds between 1968 and 1972. He observed a mean discount of 33.5%.
8 Gelman, Milton. "An Economist-Financial Analyst's Approach to Valuing Stock of a Closely Held
Company," Journal of Taxation, June 1972, pp. 353.354.
9 Trout, Robert R. "Estimation of the Discount Associated with the Transfer of Restricted Securities," Taxes,
June 1977, pp. 381-385.
EFTA01102060
Addendum 4-4
Moroney Study:10 In an article published in 1973, Robert Moroney presented the results
of his study of the prices paid in 146 transactions for restricted securities by 10 registered
investment companies. The mean discount in these transactions was 35.5%, and the median
discount was 33%.
Maher Study:" In 1976, Michael Maher published the results of a study of restricted
stock discounts in 33 transactions taking place from 1969 to 1973. He found that the
mean discount was 35.4%. The median discount calculated to be 33.3%.
Standard Research Consultants Study:" In 1983, Standard Research Consultants
conducted a study of 28 private placements of common stock from October 1978 through
June 1982. A median discount of 45% was observed.
Hertzel & Smith:" In a 1993 article published in the Journal of Finance, Hertzel &
Smith analyzed a sample of 106 private placements from the 1980-1987 period with overall
average and median discounts of 20.1% and 13.3%, respectively. A lower average
discount was observed for registered shares. The authors theorized that the discounts
observed in private placements can be explained as compensation to the investors for costs
they incurred to reduce asymmetries of information. The authors performed regression
analysis on the data to test their theory. They regressed the discount on a number of
variables associated with increased uncertainty about firm value, such as evidence of distress
or high market-to-book ratios.
Willamette Management Associates ("Willamette") Study:1° Willamette Management
Associates analyzed private placements of restricted stocks that occurred during the period
from January I, 1981 to May 31, 1984. Most of these transactions occurred in 1983.
Willamette identified 33 arm's length transactions during that period for which an
unrestricted publicly traded equivalent was available. The median implied discount for the
33 transactions in this study was 31.2%.
Silber Study:" In 1991, William Silber published the results of a study of restricted stock
discounts in 69 transactions taking place between 1981 and 1988. He found that the mean
discount was 33.8% and median was 35%. This study found larger discounts when the
size of the restricted stock block was large in proportion to the total shares outstanding.
Additionally, the study indicated that firms with higher revenues, earnings and market
capitalizations are associated with lower discounts.
10 Moroney, Robert E. "Most Courts Overvalue Closely Held Stocks," Taxes, March 1973, pp. 144-154.
nn Maher, J. Michael. "Discounts for Lack of Marketability for Closely-Held Business Interests," Taxes,
September 1976, pp. 562-571.
12 "Revenue Ruling 77-287 Revisited," SRC Quarterly Reports, Spring 1983, pp. 1.3.
13 Hertzel, M, and R. Smith (1993), "Market Discounts and Shareholder Gains for Placing Equity Privately,"
Journal ofFinance, 48, 459-485.
14 Valuing a Business: The Analysis and Appraisal of Closely Held Companies (Fifth Edition), Shannon P.
Pratt and Alina V. Niculita (New York: McGraw Hill: 2008), p. 425.
15 Silber, William L. "Discounts on Restricted Stock: The Impact of Illiquidity on Stock Prices," Financial
Analysts Journal, July-August 1991, pp. 60.64.
EFTA01102061
Addendum 4-5
FMV Opinions, Inc. ("FMV"): FMV has produced several studies involving the sale of
restricted stocks, and certain statistics related to the sale of restricted stocks during the
different Rule 144 restriction periods is presented in summary in the table at the beginning
of this addendum. The study published by FMV in 2007 is discussed in detail in the main
body of our report.
In November 2009, Lance Hall of FMV gave a teleconference presentation in connection
with Business Valuation Resources16 in which he indicated that FMV's database had been
updated to include a total of 597 arm's length transactions between 1980 and 2008. The
update included the addition of more than 120 new transactions.
FMV screened the 597 transactions to remove those which occurred at implied premiums or
included registration rights, resulting in 372 transactions. FMV sorted the 372 transactions
in a time sequence, breaking them down into three groups based on the Rule 144 required
holding period. The results are presented in the following table.
Table III
FMV November 2009 Data - Statistics
Number of Median
Transaction Dates Volatility
Transactions Discount
Prior to 3/1/1997 196 71.2% 21.0%
311197 to 11/15/07 165 86.4% 20.5%
After 11/16/07 11 72.7% 15.0%
FMV also analyzed the relationship of several factors to the implied discounts. In
summary, FMV found that implied restricted stock discounts are negatively correlated with
the subject entities' market value, revenues, earnings and profit margin, dividend payout
ratio, total assets, book value of shareholders' equity, stock price per share trading volume,
and the dollar value of the block sold. FMV found that implied restricted stock discounts
are positively correlated with the subject entities' market to book ratio and unrestricted
stock price volatility, as well as the subject block size relative to trading volume, the
subject block size as a percentage of shares outstanding and the level of forward-looking
market volatility.
Management Planning, Inc. ("MPI") Study: The MPI study was published in The
Handbook of Advanced Business Valuation17 in 2000. Some of its key findings, discussed
16 Hall, Lance S. "Looking at the New Data in the FMV Restricted Stock StudyTm and How to Use it!"
November II, 2009.
17 Oliver, Robert P. and Meyers, Roy H. "Discounts Seen in Private Placements of Restricted Stock: The
Management Planning Inc. Long-Term Study (1980-1996)," Chapter 5 in The Handbook ofAdvanced
Business Valuation, Robert F. Reilly and Robert P. Schweihs, eds. (New York: McGraw-Hill, 2000).
EFTA01102062
Addendum 4-6
below, were summarized in Business Valuation Discounts and Premiums's and Valuing a
Business: The Analysis and Appraisal of Closely Held Companies (Fifth Edition).19
MPI studied private placements for the period from January 1, 1980 to December 31,
1996. MPI began with 231 transactions, excluding transactions involving the following:
• Companies with sales volume under $3 million, as well as all start-up or
developmental stage companies;
• Companies with share prices for their publicly traded common stock below $2;
• Companies with inadequate information about the private transaction or the
company itself;
• Companies that were not profitable in the year prior to the transaction: and
• Transactions involving registration rights.
This resulted in 53 remaining transactions, 52 of which occurred at a discount to the
market price. The average implied discount was about 27% and the median implied
discount was about 25%.
The final screening criteria removed 27 transactions which included registration rights.
These transactions had a median implied discount of 9.1% and an average implied discount
of 12.8%. The median and average discounts associated with these 27 transactions relative
to the median and average discounts of the 53 transactions without registration rights
demonstrate the perceived value of liquidity created by the registration rights, as reflected
in the lower discounts.
The authors of the study analyzed several variables believed to have an impact on the
magnitude of implied discounts, and concluded the following:
• Private transactions of larger companies (as measured by either revenue or
earnings) have lower discounts than smaller companies, on average;
• Private transactions of companies with stronger growth (as measured by either
revenues or earnings) have lower discounts than companies with slower growth, on
average;
• Private transactions of companies with better revenue or earnings stability have
smaller discounts than those of companies with less stability, on average;
1S Business Valuation Discounts and Premiums, Pratt, Shannon P. (New York: John Wiley & Sons. Inc.:
2001), pp. 102-104.
19 Valuing a Business: The Analysis and Appraisal of Closely Held Companies (Fifth Edition), Pratt, Shannon
P. and Niculita, Alina V. (New York: McGraw Hill: 2008), pp. 425.427.
EFTA01102063
Addendum 4-7
• Private transactions that involve blocks that are relatively small, compared to
trading volume or the number of shares outstanding, have lower discounts than
blocks of stock that are large relative to trading volume and shares outstanding, on
average; and
• Private transactions occur at lower discounts in cases where the publicly traded
counterpart showed more price stability than in cases where there was less price
stability, on average.
This study superseded a similar study completed by MPI that was first published in
Mercer's Quangfring Marketability Discounts,20 which included 49 transactions between
January 1, 1980 and December 31, 1995. The mean and median implied discounts
associated with these 49 transactions were 27.7% and 28.9%, respectively.
Bruce Johnson Study:21 Mr. Johnson conducted a restricted stock study in which he
examined 72 transactions that occurred between 1991 and 1995. These transactions
exhibited a median implied discount of 20%.
Columbia Financial Advisors, Inc. ("CFAI") Study: 22 CFAI conducted a study of the
sale of restricted securities in the U.S. in which they examined 23 private common equity
placements over the period January I, 19% through April 30, 1997. The resulting mean
discount was 21% and median discount was 14%. A similar study was repeated over the
period January 1997 through December 1998 in which 15 transactions were identified. The
mean discount was 13% and median discount was 9%.
Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. ("TVA") Study:" The intent of the TVA Study was
to analyze implied restricted stock discounts associated with transactions that took place
between January 2007 and December 2008. After a detailed screening process, TVA
identified 80 transactions occurring between January 1, 2007 and August 19, 2008.
Notably, TVA did not find any transactions that met its search criteria between August 19,
2008 and December 31, 2008, which encompasses the period of the financial market
collapse in September and October 2008.
Separately, Empire sorted the transactions and broke the data set into two groups: (1)
transactions that took place on or before November 15, 2007; and (2) transactions after
November 15, 2007. Again, on November 15, 2007, the SEC announced the pending
change in the Rule 144 required holding period from one year to six months. The
statistics associated with each data set are shown in the following table.
2° Quantifying Marketability Discounts. Mercer, Christopher Z. (Peabody Publishing, LP: 1997), Chapter 12.
31 "Restricted Stock Discounts: 1991-1995," Shannon Pratt's Business Valuation Update (March 1999): 1-5.
22 Aschwald, Kathryn F., "Restricted Stock Discounts Decline as Result of I-Year Holding Period," Shannon
Pratt's Business Valuation Update, May 2000, pp. 1-5.
23 Harris, William. `Trugman Valuation Associates, Inc. (TVA) Restricted Stock Study," Business Valuation
Review, Volume 28, No. 3.
EFTA01102064
Addendum 4-8
Table IV
TVA Study Data - Statistics
Number of Mean Median Standard
Transaction Dates
Transactions Discount Discount Deviation
1/1/07 - 11/15/07 46 17.9% 14.7% 14.8%
11/16/07 - 8/19/0824 34 18.4% 14.4% 16.9%
Overall 80 18.1% 14.4% 15.6%
TVA analyzed the data to assess the correlation between the size of the implied discount
and several factors, including, but not limited to, the following: (I) volatility;23 (2) debt
ratio; (3) trading volume; (4) shares placed per average volume (i.e., block size); (5) share
turnover;26 (6) market capitalization; (7) trailing twelve month revenue; (8) total assets; (9)
book value of equity; and (10) days until registration. TVA found that historical stock
price volatility was the main driver in the magnitude of the implied discounts based on its
regression analysis. Although TVA considered the explanatory power of most other
variables to be weaker, it noted that the directional trends suggested by the correlation
coefficients were consistent with expectations. In general, TVA's quartile analysis by
variable suggested that:
• The magnitude of implied discounts was positively correlated with measures of
risk, such as volatility and debt ratios;
• The magnitude of implied discounts was negatively correlated with measures of
liquidity, such as trading volume and share turnover;
• The magnitude of implied discounts was positively correlated with shares placed
per average volume, or block size, as well as days until registration; and
• The magnitude of implied discounts was negatively correlated with measures of
size, including market capitalization, revenue, total assets and book value.
TVA did not analyze the impact of dividend paying history on implied discounts, primarily
because a significant majority of the 80 transactions involved non-dividend paying
companies. Due to the extremely small number of companies in the sample which paid
dividends, TVA concluded that such an analysis was unlikely to produce meaningful results.
TVA also completed a holding period analysis by analyzing the impact of contractual
registration rights on implied discounts. TVA indicated that a large majority of the 80
transactions in the study had registration rights. TVA performed additional research to
verify the actual registration date, and calculated the number of days between the
transaction date and the actual registration date. If no registration statement was filed with
24 No transactions occurred between August 19, 2008 and December 31, 2008.
t5 As measured by one year annualized historical daily price volatility.
34 Average volume divided by total shares outstanding.
EFTA01102065
Addendum 49
respect to a specific transaction, TVA assumed that the securities remained unregistered for
the entire required holding period!' TVA separated this data into quartiles, resulting in the
statistics shown in the following table.
Table V
TVA Analysis of Registration Rights
Days Before Average Median Standard
Quartile
Registration Discount Discount Deviation
1 0-31 days 11.6% 10.0% 8.0%
2 32-63 days 14.3% 12.9% 11.3%
3 64-185 days 20.4% 15.9% 18.4%
4 185+ days 26.9% 18.8% 18.6%
TVA's registration rights analysis suggests that implied discounts are positively correlated to
implied holding periods. The growth in the standard deviation for each quartile also
appears to be consistent with the notion that risk increases as the required holding period
grows. However, Empire noted that the exact period of time between the transaction date
and the registration date may not have been known in all cases at the time the transactions
took place.
Quantitative Analysis of FMV Database
A. FMV Restricted Stock Study - Quantitative Assessment
In 2007, FMV Opinions updated The FMV Restricted Stock Sntdy'"128 (the "2007 Discount
Study"). The 2007 Discount Study, which contains 475 restricted stock transactions
occurring from 1980 to 2005, provides data on approximately 50 variables for each
transaction. The market reference price used to calculate the discount is the average of the
highest and lowest share price for the month of the transaction. The overall average
discount in the 2007 Discount Study data is 22.25%, while the median discount is
19.45%.29 Several conclusions reached by the 2007 Discount Study are listed below.
1. Average and median discounts do not vary significantly across industries. This
conclusion is based upon an analysis of 327 underlying transactions30 by primary
SIC grouping. This supports the assertion that the most important determinants of
marketability are: (1) company-specific risk factors; and (2) the differential in
observed discounts between small and large blocks of restricted stock.
2. Observed discounts tend to increase in periods of overall economic and financial
uncertainty.
27 365 days prior to the change in Rule 144 on February IS, 2008, and 182 days thereafter.
28 Determining Discounts for Lack of Marketability: A Companion Guide to the FMV Restricted Stock
Study."' FMV Opinions, Inc., 2007.
29 The reported overall discounts are based on the full data set of 475 transactions.
J0 The data in this analysis excludes transactions with registration rights and transactions in which
premiums were observed, resulting in a sample size of 327 transactions.
EFTA01102066
Addendum 4-10
3. Observed discounts tend to be inversely related to measures of company size,
including revenue, book value, market value and total assets; i.e., as these
measures increase, discounts tend to decrease. Companies which tend to have
larger revenues, book value, market value or total assets will tend to be more
financially stable than smaller companies, suggesting a lower degree of financial
risk.
4. Observed discounts tend to increase with a decrease in stock prices, particularly if
the stock price drops below a threshold that would trigger de-listing. The
declining stock price is perceived as a measure of increased risk.
5. The 2007 Discount Study identified the market-to-book ("MTB") ratio as a measure
of balance sheet risk not tied directly to firm size. It was observed that discounts
tended to increase as: (1) MTB ratios increased above the range of 1.0 times to
2.0 times, suggesting that firms having a high market value relative to their asset
base are more risky; and (2) MTB ratios declined below 1.0 times, suggesting that
firms with a market value below book value or firms with a negative book value
are more risky.
6. Observed discounts tend to increase as stock price volatility increases. Stock price
volatility is an observable measure of risk. As risk increases, discounts can be
expected to increase.
7. Observed discounts tend to be inversely related to profitability. No clear
relationship was identified between the absolute dollar value of firm profit and
observed discounts. However, profitable firms (as measured by net profit margin)
were observed to have lower observed discounts than firms which were not
profitable.
8. Dividend-paying firms tend to have lower observed discounts than non-dividend
paying firms.
9. The size of the block of restricted stock being sold impacts the expected holding
period because of the limitations imposed by Rule 144 following the expiration of
the initial restriction period; i.e., larger blocks of restricted stock are frequently
subject to the "dribble-out" provisions of Rule 144, which limit the number of
shares that can be sold in a given three-month period. As a result, the required
holding period generally increases with block size. Observed discounts increase as
the expected holding period increases, with holding periods expressed in terms of
block size. In the valuation of interests in closely-held companies, regardless of
the block size of the subject interest in the closely-held company, the transactions in
the data set involving large blocks of restricted stock become most comparable
because they represent the most illiquid blocks of restricted stocks being traded.
The underlying data from the 2007 Discount Study can be used to estimate a discount for
lack of marketability for closely-held companies. The 2007 Discount Study recommends
using a two-step process in which: (1) a quantitative analysis of the company-specific risk
factors results in an "as if" publicly traded restricted stock discount (the "Restricted Stock
EFTA01102067
Addendum 4-11
Equivalent Discount"); and (2) a second quantitative analysis is used to estimate an
incremental discount above the Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount to recognize the similar
illiquidity characteristics between privately-held companies and large blocks of restricted
stock (the "Private Company Discount Increment").
Empire considered the results of the 2007 Discount Study to determine discounts for lack
of marketability that would be reasonable to apply in valuing privately-held businesses. We
then applied the two-step process described in the preceding paragraph to estimate a
reasonable discount for lack of marketability to apply in valuing the subject interest.
We applied the quantitative analysis described in the first step using a sample of the most
liquid restricted stock transactions to estimate a Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount,
limiting the sample to transactions involving block sizes of 20% or less of a firm's
outstanding stock following the restricted stock transaction!" We then estimated a range of
Private Company Discount Increments based on the discount differential between small and
large block restricted stock transactions.
B. Empire's Analysis of the 2007 Discount Study Data
The 2007 Discount Study dataset included 475 transactions. Again, the discounts observed
in the study data are calculated from the difference between the price for the restricted
shares and the average of the highest and lowest market prices of the company's shares for
the month of the transaction.
Empire first reduced the sample to 438 transactions by removing 37 transactions which
occurred at a premium to the average monthly price. These transactions were removed
because it was considered to be highly likely that observed premiums were due to material
company-specific or transaction-specific factors, as an illiquidity premium is counterintuitive
and not consistent with financial theory.
Empire further reduced the data set by excluding 109 transactions in which the subject
block of restricted stock included registration rights. It is recognized that registration rights
improve marketability, and that the shares of closely-held companies do not have such
rights. This screen reduced the sample set to 329 transactions.
The remaining sample of 329 transactions was separated into two groups, based on block
size, using a break point between the small and large block samples of 20% of the subject
firm's outstanding stock following the transaction. There were 285 transactions involving
blocks of less than 20%, and 44 transactions involving blocks greater than 20%.
31 Because of the relatively long periods generally required to liquidate larger blocks of restricted
stock following the expiration of the initial restriction period, larger blocks of restricted stock in
the 2007 Discount Study data set tend to have illiquidity characteristics more similar to stock in
privately-held companies (in blocks of any size), for which no market exists. Therefore, an
adjustment based on the differential discounts between small and large blocks of restricted stock
is appropriate to estimate a discount for lack of marketability.
EFTA01102068
Addendum 4-12
Finally, the 285 transactions involving blocks less than 20% were sorted based on the
following metrics selected by Empire: (I) revenue; (2) market value; (3) book value; (4)
total assets; (5) volatility; (6) net profit margin; and (7) dividends. In selecting these
metrics, several factors were considered, including, but not limited to, the following: (1)
analysis of revenue, market value, book value, total assets and volatility produced clear
trends in observed discounts across quintiles in the data set; (2) there were clear differences
in median observed discounts between profitable and unprofitable firms, as measured by net
profit margin; and (3) there were clear differences in median observed discounts between
dividend-paying and non-dividend paying firms. Additional measures of profitability were
not included in the selected metrics because the determinant of financial risk appeared to be
profitability versus lack of profitability, rather than the relative magnitude of profit margins,
and because this test could be applied to all firms.
Empire opted not to utilize the MTB ratio as a measure of risk because it was recognized
that challenges exist in interpreting the data and applying it appropriately. Recall that the
2007 Discount Study observed that discounts increased as MTB ratios increased, as well as
when they declined below 1.0 times. While an MTB ratio below 1.0 times likely indicates
financial distress, high MTB ratios will not necessarily be caused by balance sheet risk.
For example, a service business may have very stable cash flows and a low asset base. If
the market places value on the company's stable cash flows, it is likely that the company
will exhibit an MTB ratio in excess of 1.0 times. As a result, one cannot assume that a
high MTB ratio is a clear indicator of financial risk.
The results of Empire's analysis are summarized below.
Analysis of Size Metrics: Implied restricted stock discounts are inversely related to a
company's size, measured as revenue, market value, book value or total assets. This is
demonstrated by the trend in the median discounts for each quintile.
Analysis of Risk Metrics: Discounts are positively correlated with volatility, given that a
greater lack of marketability discount would be demanded by an investor for taking on
greater risk.
Analysis of Profitability Metrics: Discounts are inversely related to net profit margins.
Many of the companies in the data set are start-up firms which have not yet reached
profitability. For the 85 companies with a net profit margin greater than 0%, the median
discount was 15.4%. This compared to a median of 24.4% for companies with negative
margins.
Dividend Payments: Finally, discounts for dividend paying firms are less than for those
not paying dividends. This result also likely reflects the fact that dividends provide
shareholders with more immediate economic returns, partially mitigating the impact of
illiquidity. A company's dividend history and expectations for dividends going forward
should therefore be considered, as a richer payout policy provides an early form of
liquidity.
Analysis of Block Size Comparisons: In addition to the initial holding period
requirements under Rule 144, restricted stock is subject to `dribble out' provisions following
EFTA01102069
Addendum 4-13
the expiration of the holding period. This provision limits the volume of quarterly resales
to the greater of: (1) one percent of the total shares outstanding; or (2) the average weekly
trading volume for the four weeks preceding the sale. Therefore, a 20% block could take
up to five years after the expiration of the initial required holding period to fully resell.
Because of the relatively long periods generally required to liquidate larger blocks of
restricted stock following the expiration of the initial restriction period, larger blocks of
restricted stock in the 2007 Discount Study data set tend to have illiquidity characteristics
more similar to stock in privately-held companies (in blocks of any size), for which no
market exists.
As described earlier, there were 44 transactions involving blocks of more than 20%. These
were reviewed, and segmented further as block size increased up to 40% and greater.
This additional segmentation further reflects that observed median discounts tend to increase
with block size.
Table VI
Block Size Comparative Analysis
Observations Median
Discount
More than 40% 4 42.6%
More than 35% 5 41.9%
More than 30% 11 41.9%
More than 25% 21 37.3%
More than 20% 44 32.8%
20% or Less 285 22.0%
The median discount for blocks less than 20% was 22%, while median discounts for
transactions involving larger blocks ranged from 32.8% to 42.6%. These results
demonstrate that larger blocks of restricted stock are more illiquid than smaller blocks of
restricted stock.
As noted earlier, larger blocks of restricted stock (i.e., blocks representing more than 20%
of post-transaction shares outstanding) are considered to be more similar to the securities of
privately-held companies (in blocks of any size) due to the liquidity issues they face.
Therefore, if a Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount is estimated based on an analysis of
the subject company's fmancial risk characteristics relative to small blocks of restricted
stock (i.e., blocks representing less than 20% of post-transaction shares outstanding), an
adjustment based on the differential discounts between small and large blocks of restricted
stock is appropriate to estimate a discount for lack of marketability. As discussed
previously, this is referred to as the Private Company Discount Increment.
C. Quantitative Analysis Based on 2007 Discount Study
Based on Empire's analysis of the 2007 Discount Study data, we estimated a reasonable
range of discounts for lack of marketability. In doing so, an estimated Restricted Stock
EFTA01102070
Addendum 4-14
Equivalent Discount was developed by comparing the subject's financial metrics to the size,
risk, profitability and distribution paying metrics analyzed by Empire in the previous
section. Next, a range of Private Company Discount Increments was developed based on
the block size analysis described earlier. This results in an estimated range of reasonable
discounts for lack of marketability for the subject interest.
Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount: The seven variables which were identified and
described earlier are considered in the calculation of the Restricted Stock Equivalent
Discount. They include measures of size (revenue, market value, book value and total
assets), volatility, net profit margin, and dividends.
Private Company Discount Increment: As discussed earlier, the selection of the
Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount was based upon an analysis of the subject's financial
characteristics relative to the financial characteristics of transactions involving blocks of
restricted stock representing less than 20% of the post-transaction shares outstanding.
However, it was shown earlier that transactions involving large blocks of restricted stock
(i.e., greater than 20% of the post-transaction shares outstanding) have illiquidity
characteristics more in common with the equity of closely-held companies. This is because
the volume limitations imposed by Rule 144 following the expiration of the initial restriction
period generally prevent large blocks of restricted stock from being sold quickly; i.e., the
liquidity issues associated with larger blocks of restricted stock are generally much more
significant than those associated with smaller blocks of restricted stock due to the Rule 144
volume limitations.
A Private Company Discount Increment was applied to the subject interest based on: (1) an
analysis of the differential discounts between large and small block transactions; and (2) an
analysis of the qualitative factors impacting marketability. Results from Empire's
quantitative analysis as it pertains to the subject company are summarized in the narrative
of the valuation report.
EFTA01102071
Appendix A-1
Apollo Entities
Sources of Information for Black Family Partners LP Investments
Information used in determining the fair market value of BFP's investment holdings
was provided by the documents and sources listed below.
A. Cash & Brokerage Accounts
• A copy of the month ending December 31, 2013 bank statements for BFP's
cash account with Bank of America (the "BOA Account");
• A copy of the month ending December 31, 2013 bank statements for BFP's
cash account with U.S. Trust (the "UST Account");
B. Apollo Operating Group ("AOG Units")
• A signed copy of the Amended and Restated Tax Receivable Agreement by
and among APO Corp., Apollo Principal Holdings II, LP ("APH II"),
Apollo Principal Holdings IV, LP ("APH IV"), Apollo Principal Holdings
VI, LP ("APH VI"), Apollo Principal Holdings VIII, LP ("APH VIII"),
Apollo Management Holdings ("AMH") and any other entity or persons
which APO Corp acquired an interest from, dated May 6, 2013 (the
"TRA");
• A signed copy of Apollo's Amended and Restated Limited Liability Company
Agreement, dated July 13, 2007 (the "Apollo Agreement");
• A signed copy of the Agreement Among Principals, dated July 13, 2007 (the
"Principals Agreement");
• A signed copy of the Amended and Restated Exchange Agreement, dated
May 6, 2013 (the "Exchange Agreement");
• A signed copy of the Shareholders Agreement, dated July 13, 2007, and a
signed copy of the First Amendment and Joinder, dated August 18, 2009, by
and among Apollo, AP Professional Holdings L.P., BRH Holdings L.P.,
Black Family Partners L.P., MJR Foundation LLC, Leon D. Black, Marc J.
Rowan and Joshua Harris (the "Shareholder Agreement");
• A copy of BRH Holdings, L.P.'s ("BRH") initial Exempted Limited
Partnership Agreement, dated July 13, 2007 (the "BRH Agreement"); and
• Conversations and correspondence with Wendy Dulman, the Company's Tax
Director, Jessica Lomm of Apollo's Legal Group, and Michael Caruso, Elliot
EFTA01102072
Appendix A-2
Apollo Entities
Sources of Information for Black Family Partners LP Investments
Becker and Wayne Huang of Apollo's Budget Group (collectively, "Apollo
Management");
C. Apollo Co-Invest Entities
The Co-Invest Entities' are invested in funds affiliated with Apollo. In addition to
a schedule of pro ram capital account balances for the Co-Invest Entities prepared
by Apollo as of the Valuation Date, Empire received the following documents:
• Apollo Co-Investors III, LLC ("ACIII"): (1) a copy of ACIII's operating
agreement dated March 17, 1995 (the "ACIII Agreement"); (2) a copy of the
underlying fund's audited financial statements for the year ending December
31, 2011 and 2012; and (3) copies of underlying fund documents, including:
(i) the Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreements of Apollo
Investment Fund III, LP, dated March 31, 1995, and the first amendment to
this agreement, dated March 17, 2010; (ii) Apollo Overseas Partners III,
L.P., dated March 31, 1995, and the first amendment to this agreement,
dated March 17, 2010; and (iv) Apollo UK Partners III, L.P., dated March
31, 1995, and the first amendment to this agreement, dated March 17, 2010
(collectively these entities are "AIF III").
• Apollo Co-Investors IV, LLC ("ACIV"): (1) a copy of ACIV's operating
agreement, dated April 21, 1998 (the "ACIV Agreement"); (2) a copy of the
underlying fund's audited financial statements for the year ending December
31, 2011 and 2012; and (3) copies of the underlying fund documents,
including: (i) the Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of
Apollo Investment Fund IV, L.P., dated April 21, 1998, and the first,
second and third amendments to this agreement, dated August 1, 2007,
March 17, 2010 and March 17, 2010, respectively; and (ii) the Amended
and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo Overseas Partners IV,
L.P., dated April 21, 1998, and the first, second and third amendments to
this agreement, dated February 29, 2008, March 17, 2010 and March 17,
2010, respectively (collectively these entities are "AIF IV").
• Apollo Co-Investors V, LLC ("ACV"): (1) a copy of ACV's operating
agreement, dated October 26, 2000 (the "ACV Agreement"); (2) a copy of
the underlying fund's audited financial statements for the year ending
December 31, 2011 and 2012; and (3) copies of the underlying fund
Collectively, ACIII, ACIV, ACV, ACVI, AVC, ASC and FCI II are referred to as the "Co-Invest
Entities."
EFTA01102073
Appendix A-3
Apollo Entities
Sources of Information for Black Family Partners LP Investments
documents, including: (i) the Amended and Restated Limited Partnership
Agreement of Apollo Investment Fund V, L.P., dated April 19, 2002, and
the first and second amendments to this agreement, dated August 1, 2007
and March 17, 2010, respectively; (ii) the Amended and Restated Limited
Partnership Agreement of Apollo Overseas Partners V, L.P., dated April 30,
2002, and the first and second amendments to this agreement, dated February
29, 2008 and March 17, 2010, respectively; (iii) the Amended and Restated
Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo Netherlands Partners V(A), L.P.,
dated July 31, 2001, and the first, second and third amendments to this
agreement, dated February 29, 2008, March 17, 2010 and March 29, 2012,
respectively; (iv) the Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement
of Apollo Netherlands Partners V(B), L.P., dated July 31, 2001, and the
first, second and third amendments to this agreement, dated February 29,
2008, March 17, 2010 and March 29, 2012, respectively; and (v) the
Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo German
Partners V GMBH & Co. KG, dated July 13, 2001, and an unnumbered,
third, fourth and fifth amendment to this agreement, dated July 10, 2002,
February 29, 2008, March 7, 2007, December 31, 2007 and March 17,
2010, respectively (collectively these entities are "AIF V").
• Apollo Co-Investors VI (A), LLC ("ACVI"):2 (1) a copy of ACVI's
operating agreement, dated June 15, 2005 and amended as of August 26,
2005; (the "ACVI Agreement"); (2) a copy of the underlying fund's audited
financial statements for the year ending December 31, 2011 and 2012; and
(3) copies of the underlying fund documents, including: (i) the Amended and
Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo Investment Fund VI, L.P.,
dated August 26, 2005, and the first and second amendments to this
agreement, dated August 1, 2007 and March 17, 2010, respectively; (ii) the
Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo Overseas
Partners VI, L.P., and the first and second amendments to this agreement,
dated February 29, 2008 and March 17, 2010, respectively; (iii) the
Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo Overseas
Partners (Delaware) VI, L.P. , and the first and second amendments to this
agreement, dated December 31, 2007 and March 17, 2010, respectively ; (iv)
the Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo Overseas
Partners (Delaware 892) VI, L.P., and the first and second amendments to
this agreement, dated December 31, 2007 and March 17, 2010, respectively;
and (v) the Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo
2 ACVI is formerly known as Apollo Co-Investors VI, LLC
EFTA01102074
Appendix A-4
Apollo Entities
Sources of Information for Black Family Partners LP Investments
Overseas Partners (Germany) VI, L.P., dated August 26, 2005 (collectively
these entities are "AIF VI").
• Apollo VIF Co-Investors, LLC ("AVC"):3 (1) a copy of AVC's operating
agreement dated August 26, 2005 (the "AVC Agreement"); (2) a copy of the
underlying fund's audited financial statements for the year ending December
31, 2011 and 2012; and (3) a copy of the Fourth Amended and Restated
Limited Partnership Agreement of Apollo Value Investment, L.P. (the
underlying fund), dated June 1, 2007.
• Apollo SOMA Co-Investors, LLC ("ASC"): (1) a copy of ASC's operating
agreement, dated February 16, 2007, and the First Amendment to this
agreement, dated September 27, 2007 (the "ASC Agreement"); (2) a copy of
the underlying fund's audited financial statements for the year ending
December 31, 2011 and 2012; and (3) a copy of the Seventh Amended and
Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of the Apollo Strategic Value Fund,
L.P.,' dated September 1, 2009.
• FCI Co-Investors II (A), L.P. ("FCI II"): (1) a copy of BFP's initial
capital call letter, dated July 3, 2013; (2) a signed copy of FCI II's
subscription agreement, dated June 21, 2013; (3) a copy of a distribution
notice (return of capital), dated September 19, 2013; (4) a copy of Financial
Credit Investment II, L.P.'s ("FCI Fund") private placement memorandum,
dated July 2013; and (5) a copy of FCI Fund's amended and restated
exempted limited partnership agreement, dated July 29, 2013.
D. Investments Not related to Apollo
• Anchorage Capital Partners ("ACP"): (1) a copy of BFP's capital account
statement for ACP, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy of ACP's
quarterly update letter, dated September 30, 2013; (3) a copy of BFP's
subscription document for ACP, dated June 30, 2009; (4) a copy of the
private placement memorandum ("Memorandum") and Memorandum
supplement for ACP, dated June 2007 and June 2009, respectively;
• Canyon Value Realization Fund ("CVRF"): (1) a copy of BFP's capital
account statement for CVRF, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy of
3 AVC is formerly known as Apollo DIF Co-Investors, LLC.
4 The strategic opportunity managed account ("SOMA") invests pari passu with the Apollo Strategic
Value Fund, L.P. ASC is co-invested with SOMA.
EFTA01102075
Appendix A-5
Apollo Entities
Sources of Information for Black Family Partners LP Investments
CVRF's investor update letter for the quarter ended September 30, 2013;
(3) a copy of BFP's subscription document for CVRF, dated July 1, 2009;
and (4) a copy of the Memorandum for CVRF, dated March 2008;
• King Street Capital ("KSC"): (1) a copy of BFP's capital account
statement for KSC, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy of KSC's
investor update letter for the quarter ended September 30, 2013 (3) a copy
of BFP's subscription document for KSC, dated July 1, 2009; (4) a copy
of the Memorandum for KSC, dated January 2009; and (5) a copy of
KSC's Ninth Amended and Restated Agreement of Limited Partnership,
dated May 1, 2010 (the "KSC Agreement").
• Lone Cascade, LP ("LC"): (1) a copy of BFP's capital account statement
for LC, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy of LC's investor update
letter, dated October 14, 2013;5 (3) a copy of BFP's subscription document
for LC, dated December 19, 2007; and (4) a copy of the Memorandum for
LC, dated October 2006.
• Millennium Group USA ("MG"): (1) a copy of BFP's capital account
statement for MG, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy of BFP's
subscription document for MG, dated June 30, 2009; and (3) a copy of the
Memorandum for MG, dated April 2009.
• HAO Capital Fund II, LP ("HAO"): (1) a copy of HAO's quarterly
report and financial statements, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy of
BFP's capital account statement, dated September 30, 2013; and (3) a copy
of HAO's Amended and Restated Agreement of Exempted Limited
Partnership, dated December 5, 2007 (the "HAO Agreement").
• Sustainable Woodlands Fund II, LP ("SWF"): (1) a copy of BFP's
capital account statement for SWF, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy
of the Memorandum for SWF, dated May 15, 2009; (3) a copy of the
Amended and Restated Limited Partnership Agreement of SWF, dated May
1, 2008 (the "SWF Agreement"); and (4) a copy of the quarterly investor
update (unaudited financial statements) for the quarter ended September 30,
2013.
3 Performance information through August 31, 2013 is included.
EFTA01102076
Appendix A-6
Apollo Entities
Sources of Information for Black Family Partners LP Investments
• Wolfensohn Capital Partners, LP ("WCP"): (1) a copy of BFP's capital
account statement for WCP, dated September 30, 2013; (2) a copy of the
Memorandum and Memorandum supplement for WCP, dated April 2007 and
February 2008, respectively; and (3) a copy of the quarterly investor update
(unaudited financial statements) for the quarter ended September 30, 2013.
• Tenfore Holdings Fund I, LP ("TEN4"):6 (1) correspondence with BFP's
capital calls for TEN4 between April 12, 2013 and the Valuation Date; (2)
a copy of TEN4's limited partnership agreement, dated April 1, 2013; and
(3) a copy of TEN4's private placement memorandum, dated February
2013.
• iCrete LLC ("iCrete): (1) a copy of a memorandum from iCrete, dated
December 11, 2007 containing a company overview, an amendment to the
operating agreement for iCrete and Class B subscription documents; (2) a
copy of BFP's federal K-1 tax document for the year ending December 31,
2012 from iCrete; and (3) a copy of audited financial statements for iCrete
for the year ended December 31, 2012.
• Knowledge Universe Education, LP ("KUE"): (1) a copy of KUE's
second amended and restated limited partnership agreement, dated August 9,
2013 (2) a copy of the subscription document for KUE dated May 21,
2007; (3) a copy of the audited financial statements for the years ended
December 31, 2011 and 2012; and (4) a copy of BFP's federal K-1 tax
document for the year ending December 31, 2012;
• Environmental Solutions Worldwide ("ESWW"): A copy of the
prospectus for a convertible promissory note issued by ESWW (the
"Borrower"), dated February 14, 2014.
• Rally Labs, LLC ("Rally"): (1) a signed copy of BFP's subscription
agreement for Rally, dated June 27, 2013; (2) a copy of Rally's private
placement memorandum, dated May 24, 2013; and (3) a signed copy of
Rally's operating agreement, dated June 27, 2013.
6 Tenfore Holdings Fund 1, LP is formerly known as Northgate Holdings Fund 1, LP.
EFTA01102077
Appendix B
Apollo Operating Group
Ownership Structure
BRH Holdings GP. Ltd. 100% of LP Units
Managing Partners
(Clan B Share)
100% of LP Units
(70.09%of Voting Power)
BRIT Holdings 12
Sole Member
87.27% of LP Units
Public Investors AGM Management LLC (Manager)
(Class A Shares) Contributing Partners
A
(29.91%of Voting Power)
11.71% of LP Units
Apollo Global 1 attagentent 1.I.0 AP Professional Holdings I.P
38.32% of AOG Units 161.68titof AOG Units)
100 100% 100%
61.68%.
APO Asset LLC APO (PC) LLC APO Corp of AOC
Units
(38.32%of cetuin AOG (38.32%of certain A
Until Units)
Private Equity and Capital Markel
Private Equity Incentive Fee Income Capital Market Incentive Fee Income
Management Fee Income
O
Priv ate Equity Funds Canna] Market Funds
Fund Investors
Based on 9/30/13 10Q
EFTA01102078
EXHIBIT A
COMPARATIVE INCOME STATEMENTS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31,
HISTORY HISTORY HISTORY HISTORY
2009 2010 2011 2012
Interest Income 39,886,173 39,559,148 33,249,458 50,219,778
Dividends 1,627,995 2,276,840 7,417,671 27,525,302
Portfolio Income 3,058,819 3,403,283 4,774,754 10,060,768
Passthrough Income 0 0 2,119,698 133,861
Net Short-Term Capital Gain (Loss) 6,554,802 20,437,720 6,212,510 4,584,881
Net Long-Term Capital Gain (Loss) (17.836,001) 20,885.007 70.875,303 219,985.333
TOTAL REVENUES 33,291,788 86,561,998 124,649,394 312,509,923
Depreciation (1,453) 5,488 0 5
Deductions Related to Portfolio Income 6,373,108 8,880,968 8,173,457 10,634,735
Charitable Contributions 120,372 181 108,728 1,722
Travel and Entertainment 524,956 0 7,642 473.595
Total Operating Expenses 7,016,983 8,886,637 8,289,827 11,110,057
NET OPERATING INCOME 26,274,805 77,675,361 116,359,567 301,399,866
Ordinary Income from Partnerships 21,603,971 (1.161,368) 14,762,810 52,580,261
Interest Expense (17,102,172) (5.657,423) (20,509,986) (24,876,987)
Real Estate Income 327 4,249 5,455 17,113
Election Expenditures 0 (919,361) (919,833) (734,176)
Foreign Taxes (1,165,147) (66,945) (930,893) (1.028.670)
Total Other Income (Expense) 3,336,979 (7,800.848) (7.592,447) 25,957.541
PRE-TAX INCOME 29,611,784 69,874,513 108,767,120 327,357,407
Provision (Benefit) for Taxes 0 0 0 0
NET INCOME 29,611,784 69,874,513 108,767,120 327,357,407
Financial Statements compiled using the records of Reich. Ende. Matter & Co LLP and are presented on a non-GAAP basis.
EFTA01102079
EXHIBIT B
COMPARATIVE BALANCE SHEETS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31,
HISTORY HISTORY HISTORY HISTORY
2009 2010 2011 2012
ASSETS
Cash and Equivalents 33,820,889 56,286,395 13,289,724 18,748,910
Accrued Interest 62,496 0 0 0
Investments 964,895,987 987,923,724 965,786,061 1,139,271,686
Total Current Assets 998,779,372 1,044,210,119 979,075,785 1,158,020,596
Loans Receivable 45,000,000 0 75,000,000 136,000,000
Due To/From LBF Holdings, LLC 280,983,533 0 0 0
Apollo Investment Corp Stocks 0 8,319,017 8,318,966 8,319,017
Other Assets 0 0 0 5,081,091
Total Other Assets 325,983,533 8,319,017 83,318,966 149,400,108
TOTAL ASSETS 1,324,762,905 1,052,529,136 1,062,394,751 1,307,420,704
LIABILITIES & PARTNERS' CAPITAL
Total Liabilities 0 0 0 78.200
Partners' Capital Accounts 1,324,762,905 1,052.529,136 1,062,394,751 1,307,342,504
Total Partners' Capital 1.324.762,905 1,052,529.136 1.062.394,751 1.307,342.504
TOTAL LIABILITIES & PARTNERS' CAPITAL 1.324.762,905 1,052,529.136 1.062.394,751 1.307,420.704
Financial Statements compiled using the records of Raich. Endo. Mailer & Co LLP and are presented on a non-GAAP basis.
EFTA01102080
EXHIBIT C
COMPARATIVE CASH FLOW STATEMENTS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
FOR THE YEARS ENDED DECEMBER 31,
HISTORY HISTORY HISTORY
2010 2011 2012
CASH FLOW FROM OPERATING ACTIVITIES
Net Income 69,874,513 108,767,120 327,357,407
Adjustments to reconcile Net Income to Net Cash
Provided from Operating Activities
Depreciation 5,488 0 5
(Inc.) Dec. in Accrued Interest 62,496 0 0
(Inc.) Dec. in Loans Receivable 45,000,000 (75,000,000) (61,000,000)
(Inc.) Dec. in Other Assets 0 0 (5,081,091)
Inc. (Dec.) in Total Liabilities 0 0 78.200
Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Operating Activities 114.942.497 33.767.120 261.354.521
CASH FLOW FROM INVESTING ACTIVITIES
Capital Expenditures (5,488) 0 (5)
Investments (23,027,737) 22,137,663 (173,485,625)
Apollo Investment Corp Stocks (8,319,017) 51 (51)
Due To/From LBF Holdings. LLC 280,983.533 0 0
Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Investing Activities 249,631,291 22,137,714 (173,485,681)
CASH FLOW FROM FINANCING ACTIVITIES
Contributions 0 93,466,375 0
Distributions (342,109,052) (192,367,880) (82.409,654)
Prior Year Adjustment 770 0 0
Net Cash Provided By (Used In) Financing Activities (342,108,282) (98,901,505) (82,409,654)
NET INCREASE (DECREASE) IN CASH 22,465,506 (42,996,671) 5,459,186
Beginning Cash 33,820,889 56,286,395 13,289,724
Ending Cash 56,286,395 13,289,724 18,748,910
Financial Statements compiled using the records or Reich. Endo. Matter & Co LLP and am presented on a non GAAP basis.
EFTA01102081
E XHIBIT D
CALCULATION OF NET ASSET VALUE
• ' MILY PARTNERS. LP
SUPPORTINCI CAPITAL MARKET ADJUSTED ol
131:1•11IT ACCOUNT BALANCE ADJUSTMENTS BOOK VALUE Afspis
PBSEm
C44144 Wilda. Sesurilln
Berk cd A.Y4nse - Checking Amara IL Atones ~el Rinds Na $80.141.104 » 360.151.104 23%
JP Mogan lirolipiage Amain- CPsh Na $1.000:0$ $0 51.444.018 01%
JP Mown Srolipyr Amain- Apolo Pverrent Corp OklarrP0110 Na 33.276.932 SO SSE/0.M 02%
JP Mogan Srolinoo Accoir4- En•Pcnn~ Schnons Wand (fintentSWII) Na 3512.100 SO 3612.100 OF)%
JP Moipen8rolipep Accart • AP Ann-nsnis. Assets 1.4 (TickerAAA-Arrieterdem) Na 3176.216 SO 3176.714 Oti%
mops mad Twin Ina« (PFNutip (puny Direct ~rests)
ApcHeCcninvestor4 III. LIC E-1limp* E-3 32.554400 4434.403T 51.920.040 0.1%
AMP, ettiOltOr6 W. LLC E-1limp* E-3 3546824 4130.6241 5410.040 04%
ApPLPC~101t0f6 V. LIC E-1limp* E-3 3.1.3~3 4491.673; 32.350.010 0.1%
APS»Coowentor. VI (A) LLC E-1limp* E-3 $40.303.362 (310223.3921 $30.660.010 1.1%
Hon-Apollo Axed Tenn Eirillthis (Wale 14441 119•41 IIPALLPAPJ
H.40 CALLIal Pan, II LP El houghEns 33.795.302 151.134.002; 52660.000 0.1%
SustaihhhioVicodnnds Fund ll LP El through E-3 313.224.741 1554641.71161 512.160.040 05%
wor9isen Copial Ptinws LP E-1 through E-3 32.416.630 (3646.6931 31.5/0000 0.1%
14ntore Howse) Fund i. LP tIonnorN ~as Ncerosto 14014404 Fund I LPT El ihreoghE-3 $3:0425 41295251 3290.000 04%
Apollo endfil11914•1 tuna 049194 Fund Direct innillii9401
ApP» SOMA Co4seeskee.1.1.0 F-1 thioo9hS-S 32031.140 (371.190) S2.190.0:0 0.1%
ApP» VIF Co-Invesilors ULC F-1 thioo9hS-S $1.765.566 41350081 $7.630.0:0 03%
Fa Coinseeless e (A) LP F-1 thioo9hS-S 31.195.445 (Ø813.445) $1.140.0:0 0894
AP TectinelogI Pwles.9 F-1 thioo9hS-S $11.663 ($3.0631 310~ 0.0%
NornApolloCepltel Market Funds (Hedge Fund event invpstrnerdsl
PPLPOMLIO CaPPal Insit44 F-1MØ F3 $16.511.686 ($661696) $13.56.000 OA%
Canyon Value Roolpslon Fun: F-1 threoPhS4 317.514.966 4674.0% 3166/04» OA%
KHe Sirs«C449i F-116ØF3 3961.2» (531.2911 300~ 06%
Lone Cascado. LP F-1 ihrovPhS4 $32.572604 131.302.5041 331.270~ 12%
lAtionnkm ens.USA F-1MØ F3 323.567.120 (5911.120) 322.420.040 On
WI Hoag, (Apollo (Wiling 09149T
Ardis Opeyeng Group psis GI 32755951314 13155461.314) 32000.06000 750%
fox Rsareetn7 PomennenI TTRA164444 Ice Apolo Opening Group una. SO 3211.300.000 3211.000.M 7/3%
TPA 044$94 Jily 2007 Trarniticlon G0 30 399400.000 550000.010 3.7%
11444.441nous Merreb
ICtotoLLC 11.335.310 4467.3591 1867.951 0014
»ova* Unhorse Education LP S33.770566 49442.6421 525.327.924 OA%
ESVFW Canyon/4o Nolo 12.941.093 ($215.6051 32.725465 0.1%
Rally Labs. LLC 520)900 470.000) $130.000 OA%
Related Party Ilecelsaln (Include Interest Picels~)
Cue from Loon 0. Bieck $54.414400 50 3.5&414440 21%
Cue from Blak Ferns 1997 rnpil 38.1155112 50 34135.112 03%
Cue from FtEI 33.241201 50 33904.351 01%
Cue from gyms Holdny 325.054.95fl 50 $25.034.954 09%
One from MF Iv Illanaptnnent 31.4714» 50 S7.411.003 03%
Coolrum. Prodm CrednUne $1 $33 105 $t 3.13 105 03%
TOTAL 4.33416 33 148. 45‘77S 044417i n(dp
SO 31M741. 93/ TWA
LIAWTIES 6 PARTHFRS' CAPITA)
TOTAL LLAWTIES
AMbAd•'Manl LP iGP Cany CNAbeck Uetitty) 35.006.430 50 SA0064130
PARTNERS CAPITAL S3.141.575.645 4419.171.0051 32.740.404.037
TOTAL LLABauTIES & CAPITAL 4 29 121 661
49.444, Bock Wive 324412.404037
Pro Rain ABV N Subiecl Inter.« 3453% 3214326.114
Lew Combad Ossc~ for Lack cd Cab« Ord MaNbb0ry
Fen Martel Valcola 34.53% UnKed 0~1005.1nlinet
150%
1;:7(.::N2P
Pro Aida Fah Martet Value al a 3453%19~d Partnership Inleret. roindyd $711000»0
EFTA01102082
EXHIBIT E-1
PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENTS - CAPITAL ACCOUNT ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
Total Total Distributions % of Capital
Fund Capital Capital Since Capital Account
Name Commitment Contributed Inception Called (1) Balance (2)
L.P. Investment Positions
1 Apollo Co-Investors III, LLC $39,778,654 $47,578,702 $68,340,059 120% $2,554,400
2 Apollo Co-Investors IV, LLC $26,099,000 $26.816,435 $42.813,129 103% $546,624
3 Apollo Co-Investors V, LLC $23,647,681 $34,648,327 $67.813,380 147% $3,938,673
4 Apollo Co-Investors VI (A). LLC $45,949,073 $60,406,459 $54,284,881 131% $40,883,392
5 HAO Capital Fund II LP $6,000,000 $4.620,000 $832,566 77% $3,796,002
6 Sustainable Woodlands Fund II. LP $20,000,000 $20,000,000 $449,620 100% $18,224,766
7 Wolfensohn Capital Partners LP $5,000,000 $4,714,937 $1,909,704 94% $2,416,630
8 Tenfore Holdings Fund I, LP (formerly known as Northgate Holdings Fund I, LP) $1,500,000 $177,896 $0 12% $359,525
Total Capital Account Balance $72,720,012
(1) Certain distributions were recallable, allowing for called amounts greater than 700%.
(2) The most recent quarterly capdal account balance was adjusted to reflect contnbutions and thstributrons after the statement date and as of the Valuation Date.
EFTA01102083
E-2
PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENTS - RISK ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS. LP
VA/uMionDAN. 12;42013
DI.lributed
Total Eslimaled Expected (I) (%) Cash Net
Cannock& Exhalant Years Primary Cause 01 Remaining Remainlig as a /// Multiple 01
Fund Termination Possible Remaining Lacycle Investment Growth Capital Capital Contributed Contributed Profaned Carried
Nam* Date fm yams) In Term Slogs (1) Structure 12) In Value Cammitmont (3) Commitment Capaal (4) Capital (5) Return % Interest %
LP. Investment PoNIOM
I Apcilo Co-Pnvaloes At Lit 3117/2006 Na Z0) VON App $1100.915 .194% 1416% 15 0.0% 0.0%
2 AP/00 Cc-Inveelps I. LLC 9030/2010 N/A 200 Vt./4 App $127103 -27% 159.7% 16 0.0% 0.0%
3 Aeon) Ca-Imesteit.V. LIG 413012012 WA 200 Vt./4 App $1A87.047 -465% 1957% 2.1 0.0% 0.0%
4 Apo110 Co-knetdOnt VI A). LIG 1(12/2016 200 2.11 VON App 34.015.754 415% 099% 1/3 0.0% 0.0%
5 HAG Capful Find II LP 12192015 100 2.00 vON App 31.360.000 23.0% 16.0% 1.0 0.0% 20.0%
6 StaileinaNto Woodlands Fund II. LP 5/1/20113 400 4.41 Voss ASP SO 0.0% 2.2% 09 8.0% 15.0%
7 Wcifenscin Captal Partners LP 2.23/2019 100 522 VON App $266.063 0.7% 40.5% oa 8.0% 20.0%
Tenors Holainas Fund I. LP (lamely known as
a Naltosto Hciaings Fund I. I.PI 4/1/2023 100 9S3 VC.14 App 51.322,101 011% 0.0% 20 0.0% 20.0%
(I)I = Invesbnent Stage: VCM =Value Creabon.Harvest Stage
(2) FOF • Fund Of Fun01. D • Direct
(3) Wham recalbtaadstrtutcat
(4)(Oi6MbMd Can) dvide0 by (Capital CcadbutionS)
(5)(Olslnbiod Cash • Cana Accpurt Satinco)Ovicled by (CapLil Cceilabubaas)
EFTA01102084
EXHIBIT E-3
PRIVATE EQUITY INVESTMENTS - SUMMARY OF FAIR MARKET VALUES
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
12/4/13
Selected Capital Less: Selected Estimated
Fund Restriction Period Account Restriction Period Fair Market
Name Discount Balance Discount Value, rounded
L.P. Investment Positions
1 Apollo Co-Investors Ill, LLC 25% $2,554,400 ($638,600) $1,920,000
2 Apollo Co-Investors IV, LLC 25% $546,624 ($136,656) $410,000
3 Apollo Co-Investors V, LLC 25% $3,938,673 ($984,668) $2,950,000
4 Apollo Co-Investors VI (A), LLC 25% $40,883,392 ($10,220,848) $30,660,000
5 I1AO Capital Fund II LP 30% $3,796,002 ($1,138,801) $2,660,000
6 Sustainable Woodlands Fund II, LP 30% $18,224,766 ($5,467,430) $12,760,000
7 Wolfensohn Capital Partners LP 35% $2,416,630 ($845,821) $1,570,000
8 Tenfore Holdings Fund I, LP (formerly known as Northgate Holdings Fund I, LP) 35% $359,525 ($125.834) $230.000
Total Fair Market Value of Private Equity Interests. rounded $53.160,000
EFTA01102085
EXHIBIT F-1
CAPITAL MARKET/HEDGE FUNDS - CAPITAL ACCOUNT SUMMARY
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
Valuation Date 12/4/2013
Capital Unrestricted
Account Sidepocket Capital
Fund Name Balance Amount Amount
Apollo SOMA Co-Investors, LLC $2,801,160 $145,301 $2,655,859
Apollo VIF Co-Investors, LLC $7,765,568 $212,062 $7,553,506
FCI Co-Investors II (A), LP $1,626,445 $1,626,445 $0
AP Technology Partners $13,863 $13,863 $0
Anchorage Capital Partners $16,511,696 $0 $16,511,696
Canyon Value Realization Fund $17,544,966 $0 $17,544,966
King Street Capital $961,291 $0 $961,291
Lone Cascade, LP $32,572,504 $0 $32,572,504
Millennium Group USA $23,567,120 $0 $23,567,120
Total $103,364,613 $1,997,671 $101,366,942
EFTA01102086
E.stitaiT
CAPITAL MARKET/HEDGE FUNDS - UNRESTRICTED CAPITAL ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS. LP
APS SOMA Co- Ala* vie to Anchorage Copriel Canyon value lailetwiltan 0eauP
Investors: LLC investors. Lit panniers Remaritam Funs King Street dotal Lima COOCIlde, LP USA
Capital Account Balance at Valuation Date (Unrestricted) 32.655.859 37.553.505 318.511.896 $17.544.986 $981.291 332.572.504 323.567.120
Epieemweikeesi Due 12/31/2013 12/31/2013 313112014 12131)2014 12131)2013 313112014 3/3112014
PUT OMION ANALYaO
INPUT VARIABLES
unrestricted Capital Balance (Most Recent Available) 32.655.859 37.553,506 $18,511,896 $17.544.966 $981.291 332.572.501 323.567.120
Ewe's. Prue $2.655.859 37.553,506 $18,511,896 $17.544.966 3981.291 332.572.501 323.567.120
Term (years) 0.07 0.07 0.32 1.07 0.07 0.32 0.32
Volatility 13.50% 13.50% 7.50% 7.50% 7.50% 15.00% 5.00%
Annual Rate of Cuagerly Dividends 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Continuously Compounded Risk Free Rate 0.02% 0.02% 0.08% 0.13% 0.02% 0.06% 0.06%
Put Option Value tam $110,581 3278.079 $531.387 37.815 31,100.002 3263.860
Discount linpled by Black Scholes Model 1.46% 1.46% 1.68% 3.03% 0.81% 3.36% 1.12%
Plus: Adjustment for Other Factors 0.25% 0.25% 0.50% 1.00% 0.25% 0.50% 0.50%
Estimated Discount Based on Put Analysis 1.70% 1.70% 2.20% 4.00% 1.10% 3.90% 1.60%
RESTRICTED STOCK STUDY - OUALATATIVE ANALYSIS
Estimated Discount Based on evaluative Analysis 1.00% 1.00% 6.00% 6.00% 5.00% 5.00% 6.00%
HOLDING PERIOD SUMMARY ANALYSIS
Selected Liquidity Discount for Holding Period 1.0% 1.0% 4.0% 5.0% 3.0% 4.0% 4.0%
EFTA01102087
EXHIBIT F-3
CAPITAL MARKETMEDGE FUNDS - HOLDING PERIOD DISCOUNT SUMMARY
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4. 2013
Valuatal Date 12,4,2013
Sidepocket Primary Tranche
Unrestricted Less: Balance. less Lock-up Unrestricted Less: Balance. less Lock-up Balance. less Lock-up
Sidepocket Capital Sidepocket Lock-up Period Period Discount Capital Lock-up Period Period Discount Period Discount
Fund Name Discount % Discount % Amount Discount (A) Amount Discount (B) Value (A.B)
Apollo SOMA Co-Investors. LLC 30% 1.00% $145.301 ($43.590) $101.711 $2.655.859 (526.559) $2.629.300 52.730.000
Apollo VIE Co-Investors. LLC 30% 1.00% $212.062 ($63.619) $148.443 $7353.506 (575.535) $7.477.971 $7.630.000
FCI Co-kwestors II (A). LP 30% 0.00% $1.626.445 (5487.934) $1.138.512 $0 $0 $0 $1.140.000
AP Technology Partners 30% 0.00% $13.863 ($4.159) $9.704 $0 SO $0 $10.000
Anchorage Caplet Partners 0% 4.00% SO SO SO $16.511.696 ($660.468) $15.851228 $15.850.000
Canyon Value Realization Fi.tid 0% 5.00% SO SO SO 117.544.966 (5877.248) $16.667.718 $16.670.000
King Street Capital 0% 3.00% SO $0 SO 1961.291 ($28.839) $932.452 $930.000
Lane Cascade. LP 0% 4.00% SO SO SO 532.572.504 ($1.302,900) $31.269.604 $31.270.000
Millennum Group USA 0% 4.00% SO SO SO 123.567.120 (1942.685) $22.624.435 $22.620.000
Total Fair Market Value of Capital Market Fund ktvesiments $98,850,000
EFTA01102088
EXIIBIT
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP UNITS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4. 2013
(Delvers. subject lo 14
Warns Resin:tens) March za Annual Delivery el AOG Unfts
2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
AOG Units to be delivered 6.954.537 6.954.537 6,954.537 6.954.537 64.909.016
Percent of initial block delivered 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 7.5% 70.0%
Share Price at Valuation Date $29.72 $29.72 S29.72 S29.72 $29.72
Restricted Value of Delivered Shares 5206 688 853 $206,688,853 5206.689.853 5206 688 853 51 929 095 961
Aggregate AOG Units. Unrestricted Value 52.755,851.374
INPUT VARIABLES
Unrestricted Block Value 5206.688,853 $206,688.853 $20688.853 $206.688.853 $1,929.095.961
Exercise Price 5206.688.853 $206,688.853 $206.688.853 $206.688.853 $1,929.095.961
Estimated Term (years) 0.32 0.57 1.57 2.57 3.82
Volatility 00.00% 40.00% 40.00% 40.00% 00.00%
Annual Rate of Quarterly Dividends 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00% 0.00%
Continuously Compounded Risk Free Rate 0.06% 0.10% 0.22% 0.46% 1.05%
Discount Implied by Black Scholes Model 9.01% 11.97% 19.59% 24.44% 27.91%
Plus: Adjustment for Other Factors 1.50% 2.00% 2.50% 3.00% 3.50%
Estimated Discount Based on Put Analysis 10.50% 14.00% 22.10% 27.40% 31.40%
Selected Liquidity Discount for Lock-up Period 10.50% 14.00% 22.10% 27.40% 31.40%
AOG Units. Unrestricted Value 5206,688.853 5206,688.853 5208688853 5206.688.853 51,929,095.961
Less: Restriction Period Discount (521.702.330) 1528.936.439/ (545.678.2371 (556.632.7461 (5605.736.1321
AOG Units. Estimated Restriction Adjusted Value 5184,986.523 $177.752.414 $161,010.616 5150.056.107 51.323.359.830
Aggregate AOG Units. Estimated Restriction Adjusted Value 51,997,165,490
Aggregate AOG Unita, Estimated Restriction Adjusted Value, rounded $2,000.000,000
EFTA01102089
EXHIBIT G-2
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC - VOLATILITY
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
Company Ticker 1 yr. 2 yr. 3yr. 5 yr I IMPLIED VOLATILITY
Och-Ziff Capital Management OZM 26.0% 30.6% 34.4% 421.2% 31.0%
Blackstone BX 29.3% 30.4% 38.0% 52.5% 29.4%
Fortress Investment Group LLC FIG 36.3% 38.0% 44.8% 76.7% 33.2%
Kohlberg Kravis Roberts & Co. KKR 23.2% 25.4% 36.8% n/a 26.0%
Apollo Global Management APO 34.3% 33.4% 40.6% n/a 32.7%
The Carlyle Group CG 34.3% n/a rile n/a 32.4%
Mean 30.6% 31.6% 38.9% 183.5% 30.8%
Median 31.8% 30.6% 38.0% 76.7% 31.7%
Min 23.2% 25.4% 34.4% 52.5% 26.0%
Max 36.3% 38.0% 44.8% 421.2% 33.2%
Selected Volatility for Apollo Global Management, LLC 40.0%
'Volattbry data from the Bloomberg Network
Nate: Pet Apact, Global Management LLCs 9 30 2013 10O management expected annual voistaty of 45%.
EFTA01102090
EXHIBIT G-3
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP - TAX RECEIVABLE AGREEMENT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
Number of Shares 92.727,166
Price per Share $29.72
Value of Block $2,755.851,374
Value Attributable to APO Corp. 69.9%
$1,927,537,629
Annual Amortization (15 yr.) $128,502,509
Effective Tax Rate (Per Management) 40.35%
Discount Rate 13%
($miNions)
Present Value of TRA
Year TRA Amortization TRA Tax Shield Days PV Factor Tax Benefit
1 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 365 0.88 $45,885,630
2 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 730 0.78 $40,606,752
3 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 1,096 0.69 $35,923,149
4 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 1,461 0.61 $31,790,397
5 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 1,826 0.54 $28,133,095
6 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 2,191 0.48 $24,896,544
7 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 2,557 0.42 $22,024,964
8 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 2,922 0.38 $19,491,118
9 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 3,287 0.33 $17,248,777
10 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 3,652 0.29 $15,264,405
11 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 4,018 0.26 $13,503,800
12 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 4,383 0.23 $11,950,266
13 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 4,748 0.20 $10,575,456
14 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 5,113 0.18 $9,358.811
15 $128,502,509 $51.850,762 5,479 0.16 $8,279.361
$334,932,525
Aggregate Present Value of TRA Tax Benefit, rounded $334,930,000
TRA Tax Benefit Sharing Percentage 85%
Net Unrestricted TRA Tax Benefit Available to Block $284,690,500
Less: Restriction Period Discount (from Exhibit G•4) 26% ($74.019,530)
Net Fair Market Value of TRA Tax Benefit Available to Block, rounded $211,000,000
EFTA01102091
EXHIBIT G-4
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP UNITS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
Estimated Restricted TRA Value $284,690,500
Weighted Average Restriction Period (yrs.) 3.1
INPUT VARIABLES
Unrestricted Block Value $284,690,500
Exercise Price $284,690,500
Estimated Term (years) 3.1
Volatility 40.00%
Annual Rate of Quarterly Dividends 0.00%
Continuously Compounded Risk Free Rate 0.61%
Put Option Value $74,498,896
Discount Implied by Black Scholes Model 26.17%
Selected Restriction Period Discount for TRA Value 26%
EFTA01102092
EXHIBIT G-5
APOLLO OPERATING GROUP - TAX RECEIVABLE AGREEMENT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS LP
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
Effective Entity Ownership of Existing TRA 41.68%
Discount Rate— 10%
rinutrons)
Effective Entity
Aggregate Existing Ownership of Entity Pro Rata Present Value of TRA
Payment for Fiscal Year TRA Payments' Existing TRA Share Days PV Factor Tax Benefit
2013 529.631.261 44.05% $13,053,998 27 0.99 512,962.287
2014 528,763,115 41.68% $11,987,935 392 0.90 510,821.557
2015 $31,276,125 41.68% $13,035,311 757 0.82 510,697.298
2016 $31,750,169 41.68% $13,232,884 1,123 0.75 59,869,636
2017 $33.385,585 41.68% $13,914,495 1,488 0.68 59,434,554
2018 $35,444,666 41.68% $14,772,682 1,853 0.62 59,105,852
2019 $38.038,627 41.68% $15,853,797 2,218 0.56 $8,883,863
2020 $41.614,271 41.68% $17,344,059 2,584 0.51 $8,833,101
2021 $47.707,862 41.68% $19,883,756 2,949 0.46 $9,205,941
2022 $37,731,640 41.68% $15,725,851 3,314 0.42 $6,618,983
2023 $12.965.663 41.68% 55,403,849 3,679 0.38 $2,067.700
2024 $4,455,370 41.68% 51,856,916 4,045 0.35 $645,759
2025 $1,530,992 41.68% 5638,089 4,410 0.32 $201,728
2026 5526,092 41.68% 5219,265 4,775 0.29 $63.018
2027 5180,780 41.68% 575,346 5,140 026 $19.686
2028 562,121 41.68% 525.891 5,506 0.24 $6.148
2029 521,347 41.68% 58,897 5,871 0.22 $1.921
2030 57.335 41.68% 53.057 6.236 0.20 $600
5375,093,021 $157,036,078 $99,439,633
Concluded Pro Rata Present Value of Existing TRA Benefit dividends $99,000,000
*Proiecteci TRA rea:ed anaanzatron &mien° based on Managements prOjeCtions. This vibe is 85% 01the expected tax savings
Based on a :nave ol. ?Syr caporale bond yields (68 y.eal was 6.75% as of tie Valuation Dale): Og ApoN0 Operating Group's cost &equity: and (M) anal ipecac risk factors.
Distribution of TIM (*alma received by Black Fan* Partners by April f5 of The subsequent year. E.g. Fiscal 2013 effitickod MR be received by Apr1115.2014. 2013 annuity payment has a higher percentage share
due to past TRA payment OvertillocaliOn 10 other loll/ideals and entries.
EFTA01102093
EXHIBITI41
BETA CALCULATION
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
AS OF DECEMBER 4.2013
Peer Gro✓p Dala 3$ 0/ 12/4/2013
Shares
Oulstan6ng MV ol Eguity LT Debt Pnslerred
Company Name Symbol Beta' RI Share Prise (MM) (SIAM) (SMIA) (SIAM) MVIC (SMM) Tak 111Me- Debt/Egulty
Och-ZI1Capital Management am 1.30 37.7% 114.00 452.146 $6.330 5385.14 50.00 $6.715.18 45.0% 6.1%
Blackslone BX 1.57 40.9% 528.17 1.116.695 $31.457 $1.665.97 10.00 533.123.26 45.0% 5.3%
Fatets Investment Group LLC FIG 2.07 31.6% 58.03 489.103 $3.927 50.00 50.00 13.927.50 38.5% 0.0%
Apoto Global Management. LLC APO 1.37 363% 530.02 374.938 $11258 5728.27 50.00 511.983.90 41.0% 6.5%
Kohlberg Krans Reberls 8 Co. KICR 1.44 48.7% 123.44 700.104 118.410 5992.95 $0.00 517.40139 39.0% 6.1%
The Carlyle Group. LP CG 0.88 10.5% 131.99 311.420 $9.962 5923.20 10.00 510.885.53 40.0% 9.3%
Oaktree Capital Group. LLC OAK 0.92 165% 555.49 151.C61 58.382 5585.71 50.00 58.968.07 39.0% 7.0%
Average 1.38 32% 12.532.2 754.5 0.0 13.286.7 41.1% 5.7%
Median 1.37 37% 9.962.3 728.3 0.0 10.885.5 40.0% 6.1%
Unlevered Bela Calculation- Relevered Bela Caleutallan
Bu • Bu/(14l(1-1)(CUE))) B i(let(1-IXD/E)))
Bu • 1.40
Dit • 6.5%
Using Bela. air rale and the Øsbys rebl ;D eguily niglo. the reputed belas are Sml Lnlevered bekrer and hen releveres in the palatal:an lo Me right • 40.35%
B • 1.45
OcIsZlICaptal Management 1.26 lndustry DebbTolal Capita] Calculatlarts
Bbekstone 1.52 IDebt/Total lov. Capita' 6.1%
Fettets Imrestment Group LLC 2.07 Equity:Total Inv. CRAM 93.9%
Apoto Global Management. LLC 1.32
KoNberg Kravis Rcberls 8. Co. 1.39
The Carlyle Group. LP 14/A Tas Rate Caleulation
Oalibee Capita, Group. LLC 14/A Combned Tas Rale 40.35%
Overall Average
Overall Medlan i 39
Selecled 1.40
Noles:
'Sover eloasoma Nesna*
'Tat NN o ONand OX Nemma, SEC Fåne ras rectoehey Ker rar nereeteere ere n.4e amnion Me hysenmonar C0~4 rra eale lor a New rare 6sy. New York mekre epproraneert et*
Oboene. J nos tunner nome mor me mk W incomo "od tron,Ingn ~us donanlk £Gratos KetltarklNfM acNal e( oc‘We rar na..
'"AlfillICION~&ia loe tava«Møk APO and CO ala c‘iicu~d.
EFTA01102094
EXHIBIT H-2
CAPM SUMMARY
APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT, LLC
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
The cost of equity capital using the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM) is as follows:
Re = Rf + (B ( Rm - Rf)) + Rsm
Where: Rf = Return on a risk-free asset
Beta - a measure of the systematic risk of the firm compared to the risk of an investment in
a fully diversified stock market portfolio
Rm - Rf = The market risk premium defined as the expected retum required for investing in
a fully diversified portfolio (Rm) less the risk-free rate (Rf)
Rsm = Small stock premium
We then calculated the Re as follows:
Variable Value Source
Rf = 3.65% 20-yr treasury bond rate
Rm - Rf = 6.00% Equity Risk Premium
= 1.45 Computed Beta, see Page 3
Rsm 1.14% Ibbotsons Low-Cap Company Stock Premium (Deciles 3-5)
Re= Rf +(( x ( Rrn - Rf )) + Rsm
= 3.65% + [ 6.00% 1.45 ) + 1.14%
Re = 13.5%
EFTA01102095
EXHIBIT I.1
PRICE & HISTORICAL VOLATILITIES OF PUBLICLY TRADED
BUSINESS DEVELOPMENT COMPANIES AND CEICS INVESTED PRIMARILY IN PRIVATE EQUITY
AS OF DECEMBER 4. 2013
DISCOUNT FROM;
TYPE OF PRICE NAV (PREMIUM OVER) 5-YEAR
# COMPANY TICKER ENTITY (1) 12;04/2013 (2) PER SHARE (2,3) NAV VOLATILITY (2)
1 Ares Capital Corporation ARCC BDC $18.19 $16.35 -11.3% 39.8%
2 Apollo Investment Corporation AINV BDC $8.79 $8.30 -5.9% 59.5%
3 TICC Capital Corp. TICC BDC S10.61 $9.90 -7.2% 30.7%
4 MCG Capital Corp. MCGC BDC $4.66 $5.10 8.6% 73.3%
5 Gladstone Capital Corp. GLAD BDC $9.55 $9.81 2.7% 42.2%
6 American Capital, Ltd. ACAS BDC S15.01 $19.54 23.2% 84.8%
7 RENN Global Entrepreneurs Fund, Inc. RCG CEIC $1.43 $2.56 44.1% 44.6%
8 MVC Capital. Inc. MVC CEIC S14.31 $17.40 17.8% 30.6%
9 Capital Southwest Corporation CSWC BDC S34.07 $46.71 27.1% 35.9%
AVERAGE 11.0% 49.0%
MEDIAN 8.6% 42.2%
MINIMUM -11.3% 30.6%
MAXIMUM 44.1% 84.8%
73DC'detrofes a business develOpfnenl COMO". and 'CSC' denotes a Closed ad investment company. investedin povate away.
Source. Bloomberg Neavork la BDCs: CEFConneacom for CEIC& Closing Prices
5 Funds I through Sae focused on debt SettinSS, whOe kinds 6 rivough 9 are focused on &quay SeCtaMeS.
1.11Ws per awe for the BDCs are as of 9382012. NAYS pm share to the CElCs are as of the Vahmlion Dale.
EFTA01102096
EXHIBIT 1-2
PRICE & DIVIDEND YIELDS FOR PUBLICLY-TRADED CLOSED END FUNDS
PRIMARILY INVESTED IN CAPITAL APPRECIATION SECURITIES
AS OF DECEMBER 4, 2013
DISCOUNT FROM: LTM LTM
PRICE NAV (PREMIUM OVER) TOTAL DISTRIBUTION 5-YEAR
# COMPANY' TICKER 12,04, 13 PER SHARE' NAV" DISTRIBUTION:. YIELD VOLATILITY'
1 Adams Express ADX $12.49 $14.57 14.3% $0.20 1.6% 22.0%
2 BlackRock S&P Quality Rankings BOY $12.66 $14.21 10.9% $0.92 7.3% 25.3%
3 Cohen & Steers Dividend Majors DVM $14.03 $16.05 12.6% $0.92 6.6% 29.8%
4 Denali Fund DNY $19.47 S24.81 21.5% $0.36 1.9% 29.1%
5 Eagle Capital Growth GRF $8.53 $9.46 9.8% $0.36 4.2% 36.4%
6 General American Investors GAM $34.23 $39.91 14.2% $2.00 5.8% 27.5%
7 Nuveen Core Equity Alpha JCE $16.73 $17.97 6.9% $1.08 6.5% 22.9%
8 Source Capital Inc SOR $6423 $71.68 10.4% $3.00 4.7% 30.1%
9 Tri-Continental Corporation TY $19.40 S22.74 14.7% $0.65 3.3% 23.8%
10 Zweig Fund ZF $14.55 $16.37 11.1% $0.88 6.0% 21.6%
11 Zweig Total Return ZTR $13.74 $15.16 9.4% $1.01 7.3% 17.2%
AVERAGE 12.3% 5.0% 26.0%
MEDIAN 11.1% 5.8% 25.3%
MINIMUM 6.9% 1.6% 17.2%
MAXIMUM 21.5% 7.3% 36.4%
'Sample was created using funds listed in Barron's
2Information from CEFConnect.com
3Information from Bloomberg, closing prices.
EFTA01102097
EXHIBIT I-3
PRICE & DIVIDEND YIELDS FOR PUBLICLY-TRADED CLOSED END FUNDS
INVESTED PRIMARILY IN GOVERNMENT BONDS AND SECURITIES
AS OF DECEMBER 4. 2013
LTM LTM
PRICE NAV DISCOUNT FROM/ DIVIDEND INCOME 5-YEAR
# COMPANY' TICKER 12/04/13 PER SHARE' NAV' INCOME YIELD VOLATILITY'
1 AllianceBemstein Income Fund ACG $7.06 $8.18 13.7% $0.42 5.9% 13.8%
2 BlackRock Enhanced Gov Fund EGF $14.00 $15.23 8.1% $0.48 3.4% 9.2%
3 BlackRock Income Trust BKT $6.38 $7.32 12.8% $0.33 5.2% 9.8%
4 Federated Enhanced Treasury In FTT $12.71 $14.88 14.6% $0.13 1.0% N/A
5 Western Asset Inflation Manage IMF $16.76 $17.89 6.3% $0.60 3.6% 9.6%
6 Wester /Claymore Infl Lnkd Sec WIA $11.39 $13.17 13.5% $0.10 0.9% 10.9%
AVERAGE 11.5% 3.3% 10.7%
MEDIAN 13.2% 3.5% 9.8%
MINIMUM 6.3% 0.9% 9.2%
MAXIMUM 14.6% 5.9% 13.8%
Sample was created using funds listed in Barron's
`Information from CEFConnect.com
'Information from Bloomberg. dosing prices.
EFTA01102098
EXHIBIT J-1
QUANTITATIVE FINANCIAL RISK ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
MEASURES OF COMPANY SIZE
A. Revenue
Revenue (SMM) Discount
Low I High I Average Low I High I Average I Median
Top Quintile 48.19 1.791.45 240.61 0.0% 53.3% 17.5% 14.7%
Second Quintile 13.49 47.45 26.02 0.0% 84.3% 21.0% 15.1%
Third Quintile 5.01 13.00 9.16 0.0% 59.2% 23.3% 20.8%
Fourth Quintile 0.63 4.81 2.42 0.0% 70.0% 29.6% 26.1%
Bottom Quintile 0.00 0.59 0.18 0.0% 81.0% 29.2% 27.8%
B. Market Value of Equity
Market Value ($MM) Discount
Low I High Average Low 1 High I Average I Median
Top Quintile 159.71 5.726.14 521.98 0.0% 642% 17.8% 13.2%
Second Quintile 90.13 157.88 117.12 0.0% 56.8% 18.5% 14.7%
Third Quintile 44.68 89.34 67.10 0.0% 84.3% 25.2% 24.4%
Fourth Quintile 23.33 44.63 32.04 0.0% 81.0% 32.1% 30.9%
Bottom Quintile 2.02 22.96 13.05 0.0% 592% 28.9% 25.9%
C. Book Value of Equity
Book Value (SIAM) Discount
Low f High I Average Low I High I Average I Median
Top Quintile 35.90 789.38 130.52 0.0% 53.3% 14.0% 11.2%
Second Quintile 12.15 35.69 23.48 0.0% 84.3% 20.0% 15.4%
Third Quintile 4.96 11.72 7.53 0.0% 70.0% 27.3% 25.9%
Fourth Quintile 1.50 4.60 2.77 2.3% 61.5% 28.2% 27.3%
Bottom Quintile -26.40 1.49 -1.59 0.0% 81.0% 31.1% 28.9%
D. Book Value of Total Assets
Total Assets ($MM) Discount
Low I High I Average Low I High I Average I Median
Top Quintile 74.04 12.471.37 980.53 0.0% 84.3% 17.1% 13.2%
Second Quintile 26.59 72.54 47.10 0.0% 64.2% 16.5% 12.8%
Third Quintile 9.83 26.42 16.43 2.3% 60.1% 23.4% 22.7%
Fourth Quintile 4.02 9.83 7.07 0.0% 70.0% 29.9% 27.8%
Bottom Quintile 0.00 4.00 2.28 0.0% 81.0% 33.7% 33.3%
EFTA01102099
EXHIBIT J-2
QUANTITATIVE FINANCIAL RISK ANALYSIS
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
MEASURES OF RISK & PROFITABILITY
A. EQUITY VOLATILITY l • 3
Volatility Discount
Low I High I Average Low I High I Average I Median
Top Quintile 110.8% 2024.7% 203.9% 0.0% 81.0% 37.1% 35.5%
Second Quintile 83.9% 110.2% 97.1% 1.9% 55.6% 26.6% 26.6%
Third Quintile 72.4% 82.0% 76.5% 0.0% 64.2% 20.4% 17.0%
Fourth Quintile 54.0% 71.2% 61.1% 0.0% 53.3% 19.6% 18.1%
Bottom Quintile 2.8% 53.2% 39.3% 0.0% 84.3% 16.2% 12.9%
B. NET PROFIT MARGIN
Net Profit Margin Discount
Low I High I No. Low I High I Average I Median
Margin > 0% 0% 536% 85 0.0% 84.3% 20.2% 15.4%
Margin < 0% -58225% 0% 185 0.0% 81.0% 26.5% 24.4%
No Data Reported N/A N/A 15 N/A N/A N/A N/A
C. DIVIDENDS
Dividend Yield Discount
High I Average I No. Low I High I Average I Median
Dividend Paying 17.9% 4.8% 19 0.0% 38.0% 14.7% 13.4%
Non-Dividend Paying N/A N/A 266 0.0% 84.3% 24.8% 23.0%
Notes:
' Volatility is defined as the annualized standard deviation of the continuously compounded rate of return on the company's common stock. The standard deviation
was calculated using the change in weekly closing prices over the one-year periodprior to the transaction date.
z
Includes 280 transactions. Volatility was not reported with 5 transactions.
ti Implied discounts are positively correlated with volatility, and negatively correlated with size metrics.
EFTA01102100
EXHIBIT J-3
ESTIMATED RESTRICTED STOCK EQUIVALENT DISCOUNT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
BASED ON QUANTITATIVE FINANCIAL RISK ANALYSIS
Company Weighted
Metric Exhibit Implied Quintile Median Discount Weighting
Measure Average
Size Metrics
Revenue ($MM) EXHIBIT J-1 $312.5 Top Quintile 14.7% 12.50% 1.8%
Market Value of Equity ($MM) EXHIBIT J-1 $2,662.4 Top Quintile 13.2% 12.50% 1.7%
Book Value of Equity ($MM) EXHIBIT J-1 $3,141.5 Top Quintile 11.2% 0.00% 0.0%
Total Assets ($MM) EXHIBIT J-1 $3,146.5 Top Quintile 13.2% 0.00% 0.0%
Other Metrics
Equity Volatility (%) EXHIBIT J-2 40% Bottom Quintile 12.9% 25.00% 3.2%
Profitable (Based on Net Profit Margin)' EXHIBIT J-2 Y N/A 15.4% 25.00% 3.8%
Dividend-Paying' EXHIBIT J-2 Y N/A 13.4% 25.00% 3.4%
ESTIMATED RESTRICTED STOCK EQUIVALENT DISCOUNT (TO EXHIBIT J-4) 100.0% 13.9%
Notes:
'Y= Yes; N = No.
EFTA01102101
EXHIBIT J-4
ESTIMATED PRIVATE COMPANY DISCOUNT INCREMENT
BLACK FAMILY PARTNERS, LP
BASED ON BLOCK SIZE ILLIQUIDITY ANALYSIS
% Shares Placed Discount
Low High No. Low High Average Median
More than 40% 40.2% 42.9% 4 40.2% 42.9% 42.1% 42.6%
More than 35% 38.9% 42.9% 5 32.3% 62.4% 46.8% 41.9%
More than 30% 30.4% 42.9% 11 9.9% 72.4% 44.3% 41.9%
More than 25% 25.0% 42.9% 21 1.7% 72.4% 33.5% 37.3%
More than 20% 20.2% 42.9% 44 1.7% 91.3% 31.8% 32.8%
20% or Less 0.1% 19.8% 285 0.0% 84.3% 24.1% 22.0%
Summary Low Mid High
Minimum or Maximum or Median for blocks >20% 32.8% 37.7% 42.6%
Divided by Median for Blocks < 20% 22.0% 22.0% 22.0%
Multiplicative Adjustment Factors for Private Company Discount Increment' 1.49 1.71 1.94
Times: Estimated Restricted Stock Equivalent Discount (see EXHIBIT J.3) 13.9% 13.9% 13.9%
Implied Reasonable Range of Private Company Discounts 2 20.7% 23.8% 26.9%
Blocks > 20%. excluding blocks with registration rights
Implied Reasonable Range of Discounts for Lack of Marketability 21.0% 27.0%
Notes:
Equal to min or max median discount for block sizes > than 20% divided by median discount for block sizes < 20%.
2
Equal to multiplicative adjustment factor times the restricted stock equivalent discount.
EFTA01102102