From: Gregory Brown •tl
To: undisclosed-recipients:;
Bcc: jeevacation@gmail.com
Subject: Greg Brown's Weekend Reading and Other Things.... 1/26/2014
Date: Sun, 26 Jan 2014 15:19:48 +0000
Attachments: The Mortgage_Market Just Cratered And The Fed Should Be Worried Huff_Post_01.15.20
14.docx;
The_20_most_populous_metro_areas_in_the_United_States_Chris_Cillizza_TWP_01.16.2014.d
ocx;
Pregnant_Nun_Roxana_Rodrigue_z,J_Didn't_IC.now_l_Was_Pregnant,i_Only_Felt_A_Stomac
h_P_=?WINDOWS-1252?Q?ain=5FInquistir=5F01=5F19=5F2014.docx?=;
Bill Maher New_Rules_24.1.2014_Obama,football_and_Bullying_01_25_14.docx; T-
Mobile_will_help_you_cash_your_checks,_how_it_works_TWP_01_22_2014.docx;
Fmlandjanuary_19,_2014_—_Weekly_Readings.docx; Finland_map.docx;
Nina_Simone_bio.docx
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DEAR FRIEND
Trickle-down economics is the greatest broken
promise of our lifetime
The richest 85 people in the world have as much wealth as the poorest 3.5 billion — or half the world's
entire population — put together. This is the stark headline of a report from Oxfam ahead of the World
Economic Forum at Davos. Is there a reason why the world's powerful, gathering at the exclusive resort to
sip cognac and eat blinis, should care? Well, yes.
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If one subscribes to the charitable view that neoliberal philosophy was simply naive or misguided in
thinking that "trickle down" would work infinitely, then evidence that it doesn't, should be cause for
concern. It is a fundamental building block of supply-side economic theory — the tool of choice these past
few decades for those in charge to make adjustments. The realisation that governments have been pulling
at economic levers which, for some time, have been attached to nothing, should be a wake-up call to the
deepest sleepers.
Even if one subscribes to the cynical view that the elite knew what they were doing all along, observing that
the "rising tide" is lifting fewer and fewer boats and leaving more and more to rot in the sediment — both at
a personal and national level — must make most wonder "am I in the right boat and is it big enough?"
Concentration is rampant. Credit Suisse estimates that the world will have ii trillionaires within two
generations.
It is not so much that the supply-side principle "if you build it, they will come" is no longer true. It is more
that we appear to have passed a tipping point, where so much wealth has been concentrated at the top,
they no longer need bother to "build" anything. In short, it has become more economically efficient to buy
countries' economic policy than to create value in order to sell it on. If one can control government to
favour the richest, while raising barriers for new entrants, thus increasing their share of the pie
exponentially, what is the incentive to grow the pie?
This applies to both companies and individuals. Small business gets clobbered by taxes and business rates,
while b►g business turns around and says to the state: "This is how much tax I fancy paying this year, take
it or leave it". The rich no longer create jobs, through a process of consolidation, takeover and merger, they
actually destroy them. Zero-hours contracts are the way of the future; in a society that is hungry, desperate
and devoid of political engagement or unionism, why would anyone offer terms and conditions that give
individual workers any standing?
And yet, the realisation must dawn soon — one hopes — that this model is unsustainable because its effects
are uncontrollable. The more unequal we become as a society, the faster the top's earnings diverge from
the bottom's. "When so much of the purchasing power, so much of the economic gain, goes to the very
top," Bill Clinton's former labour secretary Robert Reich explains in the film Inequality For All. "There's
simply not enough purchasing power in the rest of the economy." At the same time, there is far too much
loose cash sloshing around at the top, leading to unwise risks and toxic investments. Wealth inequality in
the US was at its highest levels, historically, in 1928 and 2007, one year before its two biggest financial
crises, notes Reich. The base of the pyramid atrophies and begins to crumble.
Then why are most governments continuing to fiddle with supply-side levers in order to revive the
economy, when it is abundantly clear it does not work? The simple answer is in two parts. First part: habit.
The second was perfectly expressed by the creator of The Wire, David Simon: "That may be the ultimate
tragedy of capitalism in our time, that it has achieved its dominance without regard to a social compact,
without being connected to any other metric for human progress."
We have come to measure, to an increasing extent, individuals' success by their wealth, spending power
and other assorted trappings. We do the same with the economic success of governments; measure it by an
aggregated data set that fails to take into account wealth distribution, educational achievement,
innovation, or even the welfare and health of the population they claim to represent. We must shift this
perspective. It will be the hardest, simplest thing we have ever had to do as a species.
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This week The Huffington Post did a piece - Where The American Dream Is Dead And Buried
— Suggesting that the days of one pulling themselves up by the bootstraps to become the next Bill Gates, a
new study suggests that there are some places in America where it's somewhat easier to do that than
others. Cities in the South and the Rust Belt have extremely low levels of economic mobility -- a wonky
term that essentially measures one's ability to go from being poor to rich -- according to a study from
economists at Harvard University and the University of California-Berkeley. To put that into
more concrete terms: Someone born in the bottom fifth of the income ladder in Atlanta, Georgia, where
economic mobility is low, has a 4.5 percent chance of reaching the top fifth of the income ladder, the study
found. Meanwhile in Washington, D.C., a city with high economic mobility, the chance of moving up the
income ladder is about ii percent. In the map below, red indicates low economic mobility while pale
yellow represents places with higher economic mobility:
52 4 - 65.0
48 9 - 52 4
46 3 -48.9
44 7• 463
43 6 - 447
42 2 - 436
El40 8• 42 2
. 39 2. 408
• 37A - 39.2
M26.0 -37A
So what is it that stifles economic mobility? The researchers found that areas with higher levels of
segregation, income inequality and more single parents tend to have worse prospects for mobility. In
addition, regions with fewer social networks and poorer school systems are typically worse off. The one
not-so-depressing finding from the report is that economic mobility hasn't slowed over the past few
decades, instead it's pretty much stayed the same. That said, while a child's chance of moving up the
income ladder hasn't fallen, the rungs on the ladder have grown farther apart (read: income inequality has
gotten a lot worse). That means kids today are more affected than ever by their parents' economic status.
This chart shows just how bad it's gotten:
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Changes in the Income Ladder in the United States
III Highest
Incom
Highest
Income
The rungs of the income ladder hove grown
further apart (income inequality has increased)
...but children's chances of climbingfrom lower
to higher rungs have not changed.
cun e 1970s Lowest
19905 Income
Top 10 States With The Worst Income Inequality
1. New York
Gini Coefficient: 0.502
Median Income: $50,216 (22nd Highest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 6.15% (5th Highest)
Population Living Below Poverty Line: 14.20% (25th Highest)
New York is a relatively wealthy state. It has the fifth-largest percentage of households earning $200,000
or more a year and has the 25th fewest people living below the poverty line. Regardless, the state has the
most severe income inequality among all the states. According to the Fiscal Policy Institute, the top 195 of
earners in New York State make about 35% of the state's total income. This is up from 17% in 1990. The
bottom 5o% of earners, in comparison, make just 9.1% of total income, down from 13.9% in 1990.
Inequality is even worse in New York City. According to the FPI report, "if New York City were a nation, it
would rank 15th worst among 134 countries with respect to income concentration, between Chile and
Honduras. Wall Street, with its stratospheric profits and bonuses, sits within 15 miles of the Bronx," one of
the nation's poorest counties.
2. Connecticut
Gini Coefficient: 0.480
Median Income: $63,851 (Highest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 7.87% (Highest)
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Population Living Below Poverty Line: 9.40% (4th Lowest)
Connecticut is one of the wealthiest states in the country, with the greatest percentage of households
earning $200,000 or more a year (7.87%). The disparity between the poor and wealthy is getting worse.
According to a 2008 study from the Economic Policy Institute and the Center on Budget and Policy
Priorities, income in Connecticut increased by $52,439, or 45%, to $169,378 for the top fifth of Connecticut
households, while the bottom fifth's income decreased $4,437, or 17%, to $21,133, from 1989 to 2006. The
state has made efforts to begin correcting this issue by increasing the top income tax rate from 4.5% to
6.5%.
3. Texas
Gini Coefficient: 0.474
Median Income: $47,475 (22nd Lowest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 3.83% (16th Highest)
Population Living Below Poverty Line: 17.20% (8th Highest)
Texas has the largest percentage of its population falling either below the poverty line or making more than
$200,000 a year, relative to the other states. Just over 21% of the state's population falls into one of these
two camps, although most fall into the former group. According to an article from the St. Petersburg Times'
PolitiFact.com, Texas had a GINI index of 0.37 in 1970, which increased to 0.42 in 1990, and is now 0.474,
implying increasing long-term income inequality.
4. Louisiana
Gini Coefficient: 0.473
Median Income: $45,433 (14th Lowest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 2.54% (24th Lowest)
Population Living Below Poverty Line: 17.30% (7th Highest)
Louisiana has the seventh-largest percentage of residents both making less than $30,000 a year and living
below the poverty line. The bottom 25% of earners make only 4% of the state's income. In comparison, the
top 25% of earners enjoy 63% of the income, according to the Louisiana state government. The top 5%
make 29% of the income. The good news is that personal income rose 3.1% in Louisiana in 2010, according
to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis. This is slightly more than the national average of 3%, and raises
Louisiana earnings above 2008 pre-recession levels.
5. Alabama
Gini Coefficient: 0.471
Median Income: $39,980 (3rd Lowest)
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Households Earning $200,000+: 2.13% (9th Lowest)
Population Living Below Poverty Line: 17.50% (6th Highest)
Alabama has the 5th largest percentage of households making less than $30,000 a year, and the tenth-
highest percentage of households making above $100,000 a year. It also has the sixth-highest percentage
of people living below the poverty line: 17.5%. From 2008 to 2009, the number of households making
$200,000 or more a year fell from 2.3% to 2.1%. The number of households receiving food stamps,
however, increased 26% from 2008 to 2009. 'We're seeing record numbers on food stamps and insurance
programs, and there really is a direct correlation," said Jim Carnes, spokesman for the anti-poverty
advocacy group Alabama Arise, in The Birmingham News. "As the poverty rate increases, government
services have a greater demand."
6. Mississippi
Gini Coefficient: 0.470
Median Income: $35,078 (Lowest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 1.54% (Lowest)
Population Living Below Poverty Line: 21.90% (Highest)
Mississippi has the greatest percentage of poor people in the nation, 21.9%. The state has the greatest
percentage of households making below $30,000 a year, 42.53%, and the smallest percentage of
households making $200,000 or more, 1.54%. Suffice it to say, poverty is a major issue in Mississippi and
it is getting worse. From 2007 to 2009, the state's poverty rate increased from 20.6% to 21.9%.
7. Florida
Gini Coefficient: 0.469
Median Income: $45,631 (15th Lowest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 3.08% (loth Highest)
Population Living Below Poverty Line: 14.90% (18th Highest)
Although Florida has only the 18th-largest percentage of its population living in poverty in the country,
that share is growing quickly. From 2007 to 2009, the poverty rate increased from 12.1% to 14.9%, a
growth of 550,000 people. In comparison, the national rate increased from 12.5% to 14.3% over the same
period. Additionally, almost 1.2 million of the 2.7 million impoverished Florida residents live in "deep
poverty," defined by the US Census Bureau as households with incomes of 50% or less of the federal
poverty level. That amounts to $5,478 a year for an individual. Recent tax breaks have been aimed at the
wealthy, however. In 2007, both the state's annual intangibles tax and the estate tax were eliminated.
"Florida is a low tax state, but not for those living in poverty," reports the Institute on Taxation and
Economic Policy.
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8. Georgia
Gini Coefficient: 0.469
Median Income: $43,340 (loth Lowest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 3.43% (19th Highest)
Population Living Below Poverty line: 16.50% (12th Highest)
According to the non-profit research organization Institute on Taxation and Economic Policy (ITEP),
Georgia's tax system is regressive. This means that low-income families pay more of their income in state
and local taxes than upper-income families do. The poorest 20% of Georgians have 3.2% of statewide
personal income before taxes, but their share of after-tax income is just 3.1%. The best-off 3.% of residents
enjoys 16.7% of pretax Georgia income, and 17.2% of after-tax income. More than 2o% of Georgians are
living below the poverty line.
9. Illinois
Gini Coefficient: 0.469
Median Income: $52,870 (14th Highest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 4.47% (loth Highest)
Population Living Below Poverty line: 13.30% (24th Lowest)
Illinois has a relatively large percentage of households earning $200,000 or more each year, 4.47% - the
tenth greatest amount in the country. The state has the 24th smallest percentage of residents living below
the poverty line, in comparison, with 13.3%. This may be due to the state's policies which may be seen as
giving preference to the wealthy. This year the state increased its flat income tax from 3% to 5%. According
to John Tillman, chief executive of the Illinois Policy Institute, quoted in the State-Journal Register, the tax
increase is "especially going to hurt lower-income folks -- those who are just starting out in careers or are
struggling for whatever reason, who have incomes in the $20,000-$40,000 range." Worst still, average
personal income has decreased 3.2% for the bottom 60% of Illinois wage earners over the past 40 years,
according to the Center for Tax and Budget Accountability.
to. Massachusetts
Gini Coefficient: 0.468
Median Income: $59,373 (8th Highest)
Households Earning $200,000+: 6.56% (4th Highest)
Population Living Below Poverty line: 10.30% (7th Lowest)
Massachusetts has the fourth-greatest percentage of wealthy residents among all the states and the
seventh-lowest percentage of people living below the poverty line. However, according to The
Massachusetts Budget and Policy Center, "incomes for the highest income families in Massachusetts have
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grown almost five times as fast as those for low-income families and nearly twice as fast as those for
middle-income families," over the past two decades. According to the organization, the inequality gap has
increased more during this time in Massachusetts than in 47 of the other states.
******
g s, Jamie Dimon, chairman and chief executive of JPMorgan Chase, was awarded $20 million in compensation for
2013.
How can you explain to your children that crime doesn't pay and that big business and financial markets
can police themselves when Jamie Dimon, CEO of JP Morgan Chase was given a 94% pay raise ($20
million in compensation) up from 2013, despite a series of bruising legal setbacks. In November,
JPMorgan agreed to pay the government $13 billion to resolve allegations that the bank knowingly sold
faulty mortgage securities that contributed to the financial crisis. The settlement, and the slew of others
that proceeded it, brought JPMorgan closer to putting to rest its mountain of legal woes. And for that, the
board said it was grateful. One of the factors the board took into account in determining Dimon's
compensation was the "steps the company has taken to resolve" the "regulatory issues the company has
faced," according to the filing. Obviously in the eyes of JP Morgan Chase's board — Jamie Dimon can do no
wrong. But think about it what kind of message does this sends to working people who have put in their 40
to 6o hours a week as teachers, firefighters, police, civil servants, account executives, sales associates, etc.
and were told that they would only receive a 3% pay raise if any. And to make matters worse it that
Dimon's compensation is structured as $1.5 million based pay and $18.5 million in stock which he then
only pays 20% taxes on. As both the Tea Party and Occupy Wall Street believe, the game is rigged. And
this is just the latest slap in the face of the average worker and working poor in America.
When President Obama told David Remnick last week that he "would not let (his) son play profootball,"
conservatives jumped at the chance to fit that reluctance to let children play violent sports into their
narrative that Obama is a weak president and a weak man afraid to engage in the kind of messy, violent
acts men should take part in. On Friday's "Real Time," Bill Maher found this whole idea very odd. "I
don't know where Republicans get the weird delusion that they're the party of manliness," he said. He
pointed out that Republicans, who count their own fair share of "non-serving chickenhawks," are often
more likely to push for war, and often silence critics by painting them as ineffectual and feminine.
But he did not let Democrats off the hook for buying into Republicans' tactics. "Democrats have to start
being the party that redefines toughness into restraint," he said. "It's not toughness Republicans love, it's
bullying,' he continued. The governor of New Jersey was one example of such a Republican, according to
Maher. "Somehow we've gonefrom Teddy Roosevelt's 'speak softly and carry a big stick,' to Chris
Christie's 'speak loudly and be a big dick.'" As for Obama, Maher did not understand why his less
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hawkish stances on war than his predecessors was painted as negative in the new memoir by former
defense secretary Robert Gates. "Gates said George W. Bush was a good president, because he had no
second thoughts about Iraq," Maher said. 'That's because to have second thoughts, you have to havefirst
thoughts."
Web link: Intn://www.youtube.com/watch?v=cuUQyzal2o#t=3.45
Somehow in America the idea of manhood has become bullying and it is no longer about how you play the
game but only who prevails. Financial Review said, "that if the president thanks that the NFL is too
dangerous for his fictitious son, what about the military?" As if defending one's country and kickoff
returns are the same thing. We have to ask where Republicans gets the idea that they are the party of
Manliness. And that somehow conservatives see themselves as the tough guys. And that Obama should
man up and bomb Iran. We have to redefine toughness as restraint and stop responding to Republican
taunts, that have go to Michael Dukakis into a tank, John Kerry into a duck hunting outfit and Hillary
Clinton into Iraq. This isn't masculinity or prudent foreign policy, its bullying and ignorance and should
no long be tolerated.
Why in today's enlighten world bullying is still considered a masculine virtue. In an enlighten world,
standing up to bullies is. Ignoring society's least able people is not masculine, whereas taking care of them
is. These same bullies like to think of themselves as real men because they are willing to send our young
people into wars of choice while Democrats are some sort of Nancy boys who will only go to war as last
resort. They believe that engagement and other pansies' concessions for could lead to dialogue and worse
peace. What is wrong with this novel concept? Again: The former Secretary of Defense, Robert Gates
published his memoirs, criticizing Obama for not being enthusiastic about the war in Afghanistan, because
for him it was all about getting out. Whereas Gates described George Bush as a good President because "he
had no second thoughts about Iraq." In a world where we don't even want our warriors to win at all cost,
we definitely don't want our leaders to be bullies. As such masculinity in the form of bullying should not be
tolerated.
FINDLAND (revisited)
Being inspired by a chance meeting on a flight to Europe last month I did several pieces on Finland, one of
the few countries that I have never traveled to and thus knew little about. And to my surprise, the articles
generated a lot of response. Below are a few responses as well as a note from my original travel mate to
thank me and provide a few additional thoughts. And for those of you who skipped the sections last week,
attached is a summary of the articles for your consideration.
Dear Gregory,
I have been to Finland over 20 times and love the country. Helsinki is a fantastic city. The countryside is
beauhful. But a role modelfor the US and Europe?Absolutely not. Finland is the third most sparsely
populated in the world, which makes it easy to manage in comparison to the US, Britain, France and
China, which have big, densely-populated cities. The population of Finland is 91% native-born Finns and
5% is Finnish-born Swedes (most Finns speak Swedish). Only 4% areforeign born minorities and
immigration is heavily restricted. Having almost no minorities makes it easyfor Finland's political elite
to oversee a placid native-born population.
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Finland has the highest alcoholism rate in the world. Many people, especially men, literally drink
themselves to death. The lack of diversity in Finland - and its high tax rate - holds back progress and
innovation, which companies need to thrive. In 2003, Nokia had 35% of the world's cell phone market. By
2013, it's share had declined to only w96 and some people believe the country is heading to extinction,
like the Canadian company Blackberry. Why? Too much of the same at the top management levels of the
company. Few professionals are willing to emigrate to Finland to live there, and this includes minorities
(like Indian scientists and engineers,for example) who could make a contribution to Finnish companies.
A 42% tax rate is totally unacceptable. Many of Finland's most brilliant young people - in technology, the
arts - are leaving that country to avoid this rate. They don't want the state taking away half of their
incomes. Many want to come to New York and London to live and work. New York and London are the
two top destination citiesfor the Finnish young. One observer recently wrote, "It seems that there are no
young people in Finland. Anyone under the age of 40 is either drunk, depressed or mentally insane.
Where have all the young, bright, smart Finnish people gone? I know they must be out there, somewhere,
just not in Finland." This is an exaggeration, of course, but it tells you something.
Best, Paul
Greg —
Great write-up on Finland! You really did your research! Either that or you have a memory like a steel
trap and remembered everything I said when we talked. J Or both! One of the things that really holds
Americans backfromfully appreciating what Finland has done is the label of "socialism". For most
Americans, socialism = communism, and that's just a no-go zone evenfor many people on the left. It's
better to, as you've done, notfocus on the label but insteadfocus on the result — a government that makes
its decisions based on the result to society as a whole, not based on the driving needs/desires of one small
group or another, which can so often disadvantage another group. I thought you captured that quite
well below. Thanksfor listening — and remembering! — everything that is so near and dear to my heart.
--Leslie
Greg —
Great read this weekend - Did you also know that by some account Finland has the highest suicide rate -
all that good stuff and yet people take their own lives - in my mind it has to do with either the constant
dark (white nights) and the ugly women -pick one...
Imre
Greg —
You're absolutely right about the high suicide rates — and don'tforget the rampant alcoholism, either!
But those two negative aspects of life in Finland are very much due to the weather and dark winters, as
you note, and I think they re part of the driversfor the government working hard to make life goodfor
people. My personal, unsubstantiated-by-data theory is that the northern countries are the ones who
lead the way with governmental social responsibility precisely because the weather is so hard here. If
people don't work together and help each other, especially the weak, then the weak won't make it through
the winter. There are still a lot of depressed people and alcoholics, butfarfewer, I think, than there
would be if the social safety net were missing here the way it is in the US. Anyway, that's my two cents.
Again! ;-)
--Leslie
WEEK's READINGS
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Fadi Chehade: If We Fragment The Internet, 'It
Will Not Be The Internet As We Know It'
Fadi Chehade, CEO of ICANN, told HuffPost Live at Davos he thinks the "biggest threat"to innovation
is a fragmented Internet. "The biggest threat is to start building walls that createfrictions. Frictionless
Internet, where innovation is permissionless... is critical,"he said. "If we cannotfind a way to govern the
Internet in an equalfooting, in an open transparent way this year, we might descend into a fragmented
version of the Internet," Chehade said. "The moment wefragment the Internet it is possible there will be
tariffs between borders, there will be rules... it will not be the Internet as we know it." Chehade said an
open Internet is vital because it "globalizes every local industry and every local service." Chehade took
over ICANN in October 2O12. As CEO he is guiding the largest expansion of the Internet address system
since its creation in the 1980s, according to the AP. Watch Chehade's interview below, and see more from
Davos below:
Well site: hilp://www hiamgimpost comO014/0I O4/farli-rtiPhatie-clavow1
/4 4611949 html9ittm hojef=busineschir--Blicinets
As countries are looking for ways to monitor and control the control of information there is a real fear that
countries will try to create their own Internet which will curtail the free flow of information around the
world. This is not something that we think about today but in the world of "Big Brother" maybe we
should. Mr. Chehad€ is signaling this potential problem/challenge.
******
13 Words You Probably Didn't Know Were
Invented By Shakespeare
Like Precalculus and Newton's laws, Shakespeare's plays are among the most groaned-about high school topics,
begetting the complaint: "When will I ever need to know about this in real life?" Turns out, pretty often.
Shakespeare can be credited for the invention of thousands of words that are now an everyday part of the
English language (including, but not limited to, "eyeball," 'fashionable," and "manger.') In addition to his
being a particularly clever wordsmith, Shakespeare's word invention can be credited to the fact that the English
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language as a whole was in a major state of flux during the time that he was writing. Colonization and wars
meant that English speakers were borrowing more and more words from other languages. It's hard to say
whether or not Shakespeare was the first to use many of these words, but in most cases he has long been
believed to be the first to write them (although the widespread digitization of books has lead to a few interesting
discoveries from earlier sources.) So before you dismiss Shakespeare as a stodgy, boring alternative to more
contemporary writers, remember that you have him to thank for the popularization following words...and
Around 1,700 in total!
Gloomy
Definition: Somewhat dark: not bright or sunny
Origin: "To gloom" was a verb that existed before Shakespeare converted the word into an adjective in a
number of his plays.
Quote: "Forced in the ruthless, vast, and gloomy woods?" - Titus Andronicus
Laughable
Definition: Bad in a way that seems foolish or silly
Origin: Derived from the verb "laugh."
Quote: 'Though Nestor swear the jest be laughable." - The Merchant of Venice
Majestic
Definition: Large and impressively beautiful
Origin: From "majesty," which appeared in the 1.3oos, meaning "greatness." "Majestical" was first used in the
1570s.
Quote: 'This is a most majestic vision" - The Tempest
Lonely
Definition: Sad from being apart from other people
Origin: "Alone" was first shortened to "lone" in the tztoos.
Quote: "Believe't not lightly — though I go alone / Like to a lonely dragon that his fen -Coriolanus
Radiance
Definition: A quality of brightness and happiness that can be seen on a person's face
Origin: Derived from the Latin "radiantem," meaning "beaming."
Quote: "For by the sacred radiance of the sun" - King Lear
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Hurry
Definition: Move or act with haste; rush
Origin: Likely derived from the verb "harry"
Quote: "Lives, honors, lands, and all hurry to loss." - Henry VI Part
Generous
Definition: Freely giving or sharing money and other valuable things
Origin: From the Latin "generosus," meaning "of noble birth."
Quote: "Free me so far in your most generous thoughts / That I have shot mine arrow o'er the house / And
hurt my brother." - Hamlet
Frugal
Definition:Careful about spending money or using things when you do not need to
Origin: From the Latin "frugi," meaning "useful, proper, worthy, honest."
Quote: "Chid I for that at frugal Nature's frame?" - Much Ado About Nothing
Critical
Definition: Expressing criticism or disapproval
Origin: From the Latin "criticus," which referred specifically to a literary critic.
Quote: "For I am nothing if not critical" — Othello
Courtship
Definition: The activities that occur when people are developing a romantic relationship that could lead to
marriage or the period of time when such activities occur
Origin: "Court" was first used to mean "woo" in the r57os; prior, it was used to mean "king's court, princely
residence," derived from the French "cort."
Quote: 'To courtship and such fair ostents of love" - The Merchant of Venice
Zany
Definition: Amusingly unconventional and idiosyncratic
Origin: Derived from the Italian "zani," which came from "Zanni," a version of the name "Giovanni."
Quote: "Some carry-tale, some please-man, some slight zany" - Love's Labour's Lost
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Undress
Definition: To take your clothes off
Origin: "Dress" comes from the Old French "dresser," meaning "prepare, arrange, straighten, put right."
Shakespeare was the first to add the prefix "un-."
Quote: "Madam, undress you and come now to bed." - The Taming of the Shrew
Rant
Definition: To talk loudly and in a way that shows anger: to complain in a way that is unreasonable
Origin: Derived from the Dutch "randten," meaning "talk foolishly."
Quote:"I'll rant as well as thou." - Hamlet
Definitions arefrom Merriam-Webster. Origin information isfrom Online Etymology Dictionary
Last week in The Huffington Post journalist Mark Gongloff wrote - The Mortgage Market Just
Cratered And The Fed Should Be Worried - As it appears that a jump in interest rates has had a big
impact on the housing market. That's a warning sign for a Federal Reserve seemingly bound and
determined to withdraw stimulus from a still-shaky economy. The mortgage market cratered in the fourth
quarter of 2013, Wells Fargo and JPMorgan Chase reported on January 14, 2014, as higher interest rates
all but murdered demand for mortgage refinancing.
The nation's biggest mortgage lender, Wells Fargo, said its mortgage volume tumbled to $50 billion in the
quarter, down 60 percent from $125 billion a year ago. The second-biggest lender, JPMorgan Chase, said
its mortgage originations, that includes new home purchases and refinancings, fell 54 percent to $23.3
billion from $51.2 billion a year ago. (Story continues after chart of ugliness.)
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160
Mortgage Originations, Billions Of $
110
Wells Fargo
110
— E1PFgoiWCIir
100
•
01100 X101=
1 411012 M1012 013013 022013 02013 011011
These two banks are key indicators for the state of the housing market. Wells Fargo issued nearly 23
percent of all U.S. home loans last year, to JPMorgan Chase's 11 percent, according to industry tracker
Inside Mortgage Finance. And the story they're telling is stark: Higher rates have hurt demand. The
average interest rate for a 30-year fixed-rate mortgage has jumped to 4.5 percent from a record low of 3.3
percent in early 2013, according to government-backed mortgage giant Freddie Mac.
This has happened mostly because of the Fed. Central bankers last year repeatedly declared a desire to
pare back, or taper, their program to buy $85 billion in mortgage-backed securities and Treasury bonds
each month to keep interest rates low. They made good on that promise last month, trimming $ro billion
from the program. Despite a still-anemic job market, most economists think the Fed will trim another $ro
billion at its next policy meeting, later this month. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke and others argued they
weren't kicking the props out from under the bond market, but that's sort of what happened: Bond prices
fell, and interest rates jumped. Of course, rates are still relatively low, and the housing market is not
exactly in a panic, though sales have dipped. The Fed seems to believe it can slowly remove support from
the housing market without causing too much trouble. We're about to find out.
******
The 20 most populous metro areas in the
United States, in 1 amazing chart
Graph of Metro Area Population Rank over Time
The top 20 Metro Areas in the United States, 1790-2010
There are few things worse in this world than listening to New Yorkers refer to "The City" -- with the
implicit assumption that you know of which metropolis they speak. But, according to this amazing chart,
these Empire Staters have a point: New York City is the boss of American cities. Here's the chart, which
tracks the 20 largest U.S. metro areas from 1790 through 2010.
Historical Metropolitan Area Populations
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Notes on graph: See tables below for help on what the various metro area codes mean—most air fairly self-explanatory For example "NY" is New lin*. "Chi" is Chicago. and
so on. Also note that the table graphs rank. not population. A metro area can see increasing population and decreasing rank at the same time. if other metro arras art growing
lamer Indeed. I think very few metro areas have lost population during any 10 year span.
Follow Detroit's rise and fall and you follow the rise and fall of the manufacturing industry in America.
The Motor City broke into the top 20 in 1840 and within 1OO years was one of the five largest metro areas
in the country. The last three decades have seen a population free fall in Detroit, however, all the way to the
number 12 in 2010. St. Louis is now barely on the list after peaking at the fourth most populous metro area
in the late 18oos. Baltimore has fallen from top five to barely top twenty. (Tommy Carcetti weeps.)
And what about the metros that briefly broke into the top 20? Rochester (N.Y) had a brief run in the mid-
'Boos. Seattle spent 20 years in the top 20 in the early loth century before returning in the 197os and now
standing as the 14th largest metropolis. Heck, New Haven (Conn.) got a little run in the top 20 for two
decades in the early 1800s.
Random Notes and Comments
• The urban hierarchy of the U.S. was dominated by the Northeast and Midwest until relatively
recently. Between 1840 and 1900,18 out of the top 20 metro areas were in the northeastern quadrant
of the current USA, with just New Orleans, plus either Charleston or San Francisco, as the only cities
in the South or West. As late as 1960, 15 out of 20 were still outside the "sunbelt".
• For 8o years, from 186o to 1930 inclusive, New Orleans was the only southern city in the top 20.
Before that, Charleston, SC was the dominant city of the south, falling off the list in 1850. In 1940,
Houston, Dallas, and Miami began their rises, and Atlanta didn't crack the top 20 until 1970.
• Cincinnati was the first major city of the Midwest, making the top 20 list in 1820. By 1890 there were
9 midwestern cities in the top 20.
• San Francisco was the only western city in the top 20 for 50 years, from 186o to 1900 inclusive. By
1910 Los Angeles cracked the the top 20, soon overtaking its northern rival. In 2010, the West had
more cities on the list (6) than any other region.
• In 1850, 5 of the top 20 cities were in New York State: New York City (1), Albany (7), Buffalo (1O),
Rochester (16), and Syracuse (18). The nickname "Empire State" was very apt in the heyday of the
Erie Canal.
• Four northeastern cities (New York, Boston, Philadelphia, and Baltimore) have been in the top 20
since the first census in 1790. Washington, DC didn't really exist in 1790, but Alexandria, VA was on
the list then, and DC itself afterwards, so one could argue that the Washington metro area also has
been in the top 20 since independence.
• By 1930 Washington, DC was ranked #17, down from #5 in 1820. But the expansion of the federal
government during the New Deal era and World War II propelled it up to #8 by 1970. It is the only
metro area with a U-shaped curve, with a steady decline in rank followed by a steady rise.
Tables: Top 20 U.S. Metropolitan Areas by Population,
1790-2010
(with top 4 Metropolitan Areas 1680-1775)
Approximate Populations in Thousands
Rank
1.
1680
City
Boston
Pop
4.5 E
1-
Rank
.
1700
City
Boston
Pop
6.7
Rank
1.
1720
City
Boston
Pop
12
Rank
1740
City
Boston
Pop
16.4
Rank I
1.
1760
City I Pop, Rank
Philadelphia 23.8 1.
1775
City Pop
Philadelphia 40
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2. New York 3.0 2. New York 5.0 2. Philadelphia 10 2. Philadelphia 13.0 2. New York 18.0 2. New York 25
3. Newport. RI 2.5 3. Philadelphia 5.0 3. New York 7 3. New York 11.0 3. Boston 15.6 3. Boston 16
4. Charleston 0.7 4. Newport. RI 2.6 4. Newport. RI 3.8 4. Charleston 6.8 4. Charleston 8.0 4. Charleston 12
1800 1810
1790 Rank Metro Area Pop
Rank Metro Area Pop 1 Rank Metro Area Pop 1820 1830 1840
Philadelphia 61.6
1 New York 101 Rank Metro Area Pop
1. Philadelphia 44.1 2 New York 60.5 Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop
2. New York 33.1 3 2 Philadelphia 87.3 1. New York 131
Baltimore 26.5 1 New York 215 1. New York 374
3 Baltimore 46.6 2. Philadelphia 109
3. Boston 18.3 4 Boston 24.9 4 2 Philadelphia 161 2. Philadelphia 259
Boston 38.7 3. Baltimore 62.7
4. Charleston 16.4 5 Charleston 18.8 3 Boston 85.6 3. Boston 183
5 Charleston 24.7 4. Boston 54.0
5. Salem. MA 13.6 6 Salem. MA 14.7 4 Baltimore 80.6 4. Baltimore 110
6 Salem. MA 23.1 5. Washington 28.8
6. Baltimore 13.5 7 Washington 11.2 5 New Orleans 46.1 5. New Orleans 105
7 Washington 20.4 6. New Orleans 27.2
7. Newport. RI 6.7 8. Providence 7.6 6 Albany 35.8 6. Albany 72.0
8 New Orleans 17.2 7. Charleston 24.8
8. Providence 6.4 9 Norfolk 6.9 7 Washington 35.5 7. Cincinnati 54.8
9. Gloucester. MA 5.3 9 Albany 10.8 8. Salem. MA 22.6
10 Newport. RI 6.7 8 Charleston 30.3 8. Washington 50.2
10 Providence 10.1 9. Albany 17.9
ewbuiyport. Newburyport. 9 Salem. MA 27.3 9. Pittsburgh 43.7
10. MA 4.8 6.0 11. Richmond 9.7 10. Richmond 12.1
Il• MA 10 Cncinnati 24.8 10. Charleston 42.6
Portsmouth 12. Norfolk 9.2 11. Providence 11.8
11* ' 4.7 12. Richmond 57 11 Providence 22.4 11. Providence 40.9
NH 13. Newport. RI 7.9 12. Cincinnati 9.6
13. Nantucket 56 12 Richmond 16.1 12. Louisville 34.2
12. Nantucket 4.6 Newbuiyport. 7 6 13. Portland. ME 8.6
5.3 14. 13 Pittsburgh 15.4 13. Rochester 31.4
14. Portsmouth. MA
13. Middleborough. 4.5 NH 14 Norfolk 8.5
MA 15. Portland. ME 7.2 14 Newark 14.4 14. Newark 29.8
15. Gloucester. MA 5 3 15 Savannah 7.5
14. New Haven 45 Portsmouth 15 Portland. ME 12.6 15. Buffalo 29.3
Schenectady. 16. ' 6.9 Portsmouth
15. Richmond 3.8 1& 5.3 NH 16. ' 7.3 16. Louisville 10.3 16. Portland. ME 28.6
NY NH
16. Albany 3.5 17. Nantucket 6.8 17. New Haven 10.2 17. St. Louis 28.4
17 Albany 53 17 Newport. RI 73
17. Norfolk 3.0 Gloucester. 18. Norfolk 9.8 18. New Bedford 24.1
1& New London. 5.2 18
MA
5.9 18. Nantucket 73
18. Petersburg. VA 2.8 CT 19. Rochester 9.2 19. New Haven 21.9
19. Pittsburgh 73
Schenectady. 6.6 20. Buffalo 8.7 20. Detroit 21.2
19. Alexandria. VA 2.8 19. Savannah 5.2 19 20. New Haven 7.2
NY
20. Hartford 2.7 Middleborough.
20 4.5 20. New Haven 5.8
MA
1850 1860 1870 1880 1890 1900
Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop
Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop
1. New York 1687 1. New York 2234 I. New York 2977 1. New York 4266
1. New York 650 1. New York 1143
2. Philadelphia 747 2. Philadelphia 949 2. Philadelphia 1180 2. Chicago 1759
2. Philadelphia405 2. Philadelphia 608
3. Boston 501 3. Boston 658 3. Chicago 1141 3. Phiadelphia 1454
3. Boston 308 3. Boston 374
4. St. Louis 345 4. Chicago 543 4. Boston 818 4. Boston 1009
4. Baltimore 179 4. Baltimore 221
5. Chicago 324 5. St. Louis 386 5. St. Louis 490 5. St. Louis 626
5. Cincinnati 133 5. Cincinnati 192
6. Baltimore 283 6. Baltimore 353 6. Baltimore 453 6. Pittsburgh 532
6. New Orleans 123 6. St. Louis 176
7. Cincinnati 257 7. Cincinnati 307 7. Pittsburgh 396 7. Baltimore 532
7. Albany 107 7. New Orleans 172
8. New Orleans 196 8. Pittsburgh 265 8. Cncinnati 344 8. Cleveland 396
8. St. Louis 95 8. Chicago 123
9. Pittsburgh 170 San 9. Minneapolis 305 9. Cincinnati 379
9. Pittsburgh 86 9. Albany 116 9 236
10. Albany 157 Francisco San San
10. Buffalo 80 10. Newark 103
10. New Orleans 219
la Francisco
302 IS
Francisco
375
San
11. Washington 67 11. Pittsburgh 93 11* 151
Francisco 11. Albany 178 11. Cleveland 274 11. Minneapolis 374
12. Providence 65 12. Buffalo 90
12 Buffalo 133 12. Buffalo 171 12. Buffalo 272 12. Buffalo 373
13. Louisville 61 13. Louisville 88 13 Louisville 129 13. Cleveland 169 13. Washington 253 13. Detroit 321
14. Newark 57 14. Washington 80
14 Washington 123 14. Washington 164 14. New Orleans 245 14. Washington 302
15. Charleston 50 15. Providence 69
15 Providence 101 15. Detroit 147 15. Detroit 237 15. Milwaukee 296
16. Rochester 49 16. Detroit 59
16 Detroit 101 16. Louisville 143 16. Milwaukee 212 16. New Orleans 291
17. Chicago 40 17. San Francisco 57
17 Cleveland 101 17. Providence 128 17. Albany 189 17. Providence 243
18. Syracuse 38 18. Rochester 56
18 Milwaukee 75 18. Miwaukee 121 18. Louisville 183 18. Kansas City 242
19. Detroit 38 19. Cleveland 49
19 Rochester 73 19. Rochester 103 19. Kansas City 165 19. Louisvile 227
20. Portland. ME 36 20. Milwaukee 48 20 New Haven 65 20. Mnneapolis 94 20. Providence 163 20. Albany 188
1910 1920 1930 1940 1950 1960
Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop
1. New York 6021 1. New York 7041 1. New York 8667 1. New York 10135 1. New York 12604 1. New York 14437
2. Chicago 2283 2. Chicago 2859 2. Chicago 3718 2. Chicago 4210 2. Chicago 5208 2. Los Angeles 6805
3. Philadelphia 1746 3. Philadelphia 2072 3. Philadelphia 2264 3. Philadelphia 2538 3. Los Angeles 4250 3. Chicago 6377
4. Boston 1213 4. Boston 1366 4. Detroit 1721 4. Los Angeles 2268 4. Philadelphia 3297 4. Phiadelphia 3989
5. St. Louis 760 5. Detroit 1071 5. Los Angeles 1617 5. Detroit 2041 5. Detroit 2884 5. Detroit 3750
6. Pittsburgh 655 6. St. Louis 859 6. Boston 1479 6. Boston 1746 6. Boston 2301 San
6 2607
7. San Francisco 604 7. Cleveland 834 San San San Francisco
7 996 7' 1156 7' 2131
8. Baltimore 589 8. Pittsburgh 775 Francisco Francisco Francisco 7. Boston 2501
9. Cleveland 580 9. San Francisco 771 8. Cleveland 976 8. Pittsburgh 1134 8. St. Louis 1541 8. Pittsburgh 2105
10. Minneapolis 526 10. Baltimore 753 9. Pittsburgh 960 9. St. Louis 1102 9. Cleveland 1425 9. Washington 1905
11. Detroit 503 11. Los Angeles 682 10. St. Louis 950 10. Cleveland 1079 10. Pittsburgh 1400 10. St. Louis 1864
12. Cincinnati 425 12. Minneapolis 626 11. Baltimore 836 11. Baltimore 992 11. Washington 1287 11. Cleveland 1785
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13. Buffalo 420 13. Buffalo 539 12. Minneapolis 753 12. Mnneapolis 886 12. Baltimore 1162 12. Dallas 1435
14. Milwaukee 389 14. Milwaukee 478 13. Buffalo 620 13. Washington 800 13. Minneapolis 987 13. Baltimore 1419
15. Los Angeles 374 15. Cincinnati 470 14. Milwaukee 615 14. Buffalo 708 14. Buffalo 895 14. Minneapolis 1377
16. Kansas City 357 16. Washington 467 15. Cincinnati 580 15. Milwaukee 705 15. Dallas 855 15. Miami 1173
17. Washington 357 17. Kansas City 455 16. Kansas City 561 16. Kansas City 632 16. Milwaukee 829 16. Milwaukee 1150
18. New Orleans 344 18. New Orleans 393 17. Washington 527 17. Cincinnati 559 17. Cncinnati 813 17. Houston 1140
19. Albany 283 19. Seattle 334 18. New Orleans 469 New 18. Houston 701 18. Buffalo 1054
18 557
20. Providence 274 20. Indianapolis 323 19. Seattle 390 Orleans 19 Kansas City 698 19. Cincinnati 994
20. Indianapolis 379 19. Houston 471 New 20. Kansas City 921
451 660
20. Seattle 2°' Orleans
1970 1980 1990 2000 2010
Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop Rank Metro Area Pop
1. New York 16193 1. New York 16500 1. New York 16754 1. New York 18689 1. New York 20009
2. Los Angeles 7984 2. Los Angeles 10841 2. Los Angeles 13522 2. Los Angeles 14661 2. Los Angeles 15750
3. Chicago 7164 3. Chicago 7325 3. Chicago 7373 3. Chicago 8419 3. Chicago 9023
4. Philadelphia 4419 4. Philadelphia 4830 San San San
4 Francisco 5386 4. Francisco 4. Francisco 6828
5. Detroit 4085 5. Detroit 4214 6673
San San 5. Philadelphia 4970 5. Philadelphia 5418 5. Philadelphia 6003
6. Francisco 3049 6. Francisco 4185 6. Miami 3948 6. Miami 4919 6. Dallas 5685
7. Boston 2703 7. Boston 3064 7. Detroit 3698 7. Dallas 4445 7. Miami 5513
8. Washington 2671 8. Washington 2912 8. Washington 3363 8. Houston 4063 8. Houston 5382
9. Pittsburgh 2124 9. Houston 2757 9. Boston 3355 9. Boston 4032 9. Atlanta 4743
10. St. Louis 2123 10. Dallas 2713 10. Dallas 3265 10. Washington 3934 10. Washington 4697
11. Dallas 2016 11. Miami 2616 11. Houston 3088 11. Detroit 3903 11. Boston 4407
12. Cleveland 1960 12. St. Louis 1849 12. Seattle 2354 12. Atlanta 3500 12. Detroit 4160
13. Miami 1834 13. Pittsburgh 1810 13. San Diego 2348 13. Seattle 3018 13. Phoenix 3863
14. Mnneapolis 1701 14. Minneapolis 1788 14. Atlanta 2158 14. Phoenix 2975 14. Seattle 3446
15. Houston 1678 15. Baltimore 1755 15. Minneapolis 2080 15. San Diego 2674 15. San Diego 2985
16. Baltimore 1580 16. Cleveland 1752 16. Phoenix 2006 16. Mnneapolis 2389 16. Denver 2716
17. Milwaukee 1252 17. San Diego 1704 17. St. Louis 1947 17. Baltimore 2251 17. Minneapolis 2651
18. Seattle 1238 18. Atlanta 1613 18. Baltimore 1890 18. Denver 2231 18. Baltimore 2497
19. San Diego 1198 19. Phoenix 1409 19. Pittsburgh 1744 19. St. Louis 2078 19. Tampa 2442
20. Atlanta 1172 20. Seattle 1392 20. Tampa 1709 20. Tampa 2062 20. St. Louis 2246
Peak Years for Cities that have Declined in Rank
The following table of metro areas shows ones that have declined in rank and are not likely to ever reach
their past high ranking again. If a metro area had its high ranking for more than one year, then the latest
year is selected.
Metro Area High Rank Year High Rank Metro Area High Rank Year High Rank
Boston 1740 1 Louisville 1840 12
Charleston 1790 4 Rochester 1840 13
Philadelphia 1800 1 Buffalo 1850 10
Providence 1800 8 Cincinnati 1860 5
Norfolk 1800 9 St. Louis 1870 4
Baltimore 1820 3 Minneapolis 1890 9
Richmond 1820 10 Pittsburgh 1910 6
Portland, ME 1820 13 Cleveland 1920 7
17
New Haven 1830 Detroit 1930 4
New Orleans 1840 5 Milwaukee 1930 14
Albany 1840 6 Chicago 1950 2
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If you live in any of these metro areas, it might be interesting to see when your home town was at it's peak-
-for example, if you now live in St. Louis, you can imagine a time (1870) when your city was the 4th most-
populous urban center in the country. Of course, "not likely to reach past high ranking" does not mean
impossbile, but I think most would agree that no one expects to see Charleston, SC as the 4th largest metro
area in the US anytime soon.
This list is sorted chronologically, and note that the first part of the list is dominated by East Coast cities,
and the last part by metro areas in the Midwest. No cities in the West are on the list. Sunbelt metro areas
have all been growing quickly in recent decades and at this point I don't think we can say that any have
clearly peaked in their ranking.
Methodology and Sources
There is no consistent, long-standing, precise standard for metropolitan area definition in the United
States. Prior to 1950, the U.S. census bureau didn't even have the concept. Since then, various kinds of
metro areas (SMSAs, MSAs, CMSAs, etc.) have been defined by the federal OMB, but they are mostly based
on entire counties and their definitions have fluctuated. More useful is the Urbanized Area, defined as
contiguous land above a certain population density, but they, too, have only been tracked in the past few
decades.
Complicating matters is determining exactly where the metro area boundaries fall and what cities should
be included. For example, I list Newark as the loth largest city in the US in 1860, but in 1870 it is
(somewhat arbitraily) included as part of the New York metro area, so it falls off the chart. Salem and
Boston have a simliar pattern. In general, though, I have lumped together cities like Minneapolis-St. Paul,
Dallas-Fort Worth, Miami-Fort Lauderdale, San Francisco-Oakland, and others. A large rise in population
over a ten-year period could be attributed to a city "capturing" the urban are of a neighboring city during
that time.
Six main sources for population data were used:
• • #1: Census Bureau: Population of the 100 Largest Cities in the United States 1990-1990
• • #2: Urbanized Area Populations 1950-2000 from Demographia.com
• • #3: County-by-County U.S. Census data 1790-2000
• • #4: Metropolitan Area and Urbanized Area U.S. Census data from 1950-2010
• • #5: Colonial Port City Populations (Burrows, City Univeristy of New York-Booklyn--website no
longer available) for populations 3.680-1775
• • #6: In about 1984 I found a book in the University of Pennsylvania library that had top 20 metro
area rankings for the 1860-1980 period. I wrote down the rankings from that book, but was never
able to find it again, and to this day I still have no idea of its title, author, source, or methodology. All
I have is the notes I wrote down. Indeed, my search for this information led directly to the research I
did here, in an attempt to replicate the data from the book.
I first took all the city population data from source #1 and assigned suburban places to central cities, for
example, Oakland to San Francisco or Newark to New York (as appropriate by year). Then I was able to get
a total population of all cities (in the national top 100) for a metro area for a given year. For 1790 to 1830,
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there were fewer than 100 total cities in the nation, so these totals were used exclusively for those years in
the charts above.
For 1840 to 1940, I used the county data from source #3 and assigned counties to central cities (again, as
appropriate by year), and to get a metro area population, I took the total of the cities listed in the top 100
and added a portion of the population in the surrounding counties. I used a figure ranging from about 25%
in 1840 up to about 50% in 1940. This means that the igoo population of the Cleveland metro area was
obtained by taking the population of Cleveland and adding to it a percentage of the population of Cuyahoga
County.
For 1950-2010 I generally used urbanized area populations (source #2) as much as possible, doing some
combinations of urbanized areas that the census bureau did not do (for example, San Jose added to the
San Francisco-Oakland urbanized area). I checked this again source #4, the metro area populations, for a
sanity check.
Once I had all this, I went through and "smoothed out" the numbers a bit to avoid jarring ups and downs in
rank for certain cities. I also compared my rankings against source #6 noted above, and made sure my
numbers were within 2 ranking spots of theirs, and, if not, adjusting accordingly.
The Colonial Era top 4 lists were mainly from source #5 above, but cross-checked for sanity with other
writings about early American cities. There are some population numbers that are widely quoted for New
York, Boston, and Philadelphia that are clearly at odds with most sources, and they have been ignored. No
attempt was made to add any suburban populations for the 168o-175 period, so, for example, the 2000
people in Brooklyn in 1720 are not included in the New York population. At that time, the concept of a
metropolitan area was simply not applicable, so simple city populations were used.
The end results are, at best, educated wild guesses. This is not a serious academic research project and my
methodology would not hold up to peer-review scrutiny. This means that no number above should be
considered 100% accurate, and most city rankings are within plus or minus 2 slots, at best. There are
simply too many judgment calls that went into the methodology--which cities were part of which metro
areas, what percentage of a county's population was urban, what counties are part of which metro areas,
and so on. But I think it does give a reasonably accurate big-picture view of the changing fortunes in
America's urban landscape.
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Web site: http://www.youtube.comAvatch?v=9yOwpVFC6yc
You might have heard that earlier this week a pregnant nun, from the Italian town of Rieti, gave birth to a
baby after stating that she didn't know she was pregnant. She said, after entering hospital that she was
having severe abdominal pains, which she assumed were stomach cramps. When the stomach cramps
turned out to be a baby boy, the nun, Roxana Rodriguez — and most other people — was shocked. The 31-
year-old nun, originally from El Salvador, who belonged to a convent in Rieti, said she had absolutely no
idea whatsoever that she was pregnant, suggesting that, perhaps, it was an `immaculate conception.' Just
to make sure she covered that base, the naughty nun decided to name the baby boy Francis, after the
current Pope,- a good move, we think Soon after the controversial news broke in Italy, the mayor of Rieti,
Simone Petrangi, appealed to local residents to respect the nun's privacy. However, a number of local
residents clubbed together, and sent clothes and donations to the hospital where the nun gave birth. She
said, following the birth of her son Francis: "I did not know I was pregnant. I onlyfelt a stomach pain."
The question is: Are we buying it, people?
It was reported that the other nuns at the convent expressed their complete shock at the strange pregnancy
of their holy sister. A local pastor, Don Fabrizio Borrelio, said that to his mind the nun was telling the
truth. and had no idea she was pregnant. So you may want to ask the pertinent question here: What do
they put in the water in Rieti? But before you do, you may be surprised to learn that, in fact, a British
Medical Journal revealed that, according to a study, one in 200 woman in America claim to have given
birth without having had intercourse. Either way, the controversy surrounding the nun birth has caused a
lot of commotion in Catholic circles in Italy. The best part about it is that, even though the nun gave birth
'in sin, her local community, after the fact, rushed to aid and support her.
But if you believe in science the real scandal is that there is talk that the pregnant nun
Roxana Rodriguez may have been raped. And raped by Catholic clergy.
In a related story from The Inquisitr, while some were horrified at the nun birth, Rodiguez called the
baby boy a "giftfrom God" and named him Francesco in honor of Pope Francis. While the 31-year-old El
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Salvador nun thought the pregnancy was due to an ongoing gastric and bladder infection, and believed the
swelling in her abdomen was related to poor digestion. Others doubt this story and claim the pregnant nun
knew what she was doing, thus breaking her vows of chastity she made as a nun in September of 2012.
Things took a dark twist when Massimo Casciani, spokesman for the local bishop of the convent where
Rodriguez was staying, hints that the formerly pregnant nun may have been raped:
"At some point the bishop will visit the nun but at the moment he has not yet seen here. We shall be
investigating the circumstances behind — the child could be the fruit of a consensual rapport but it could
also have been as a result of violence. That's why we need to investigate properly."
Unfortunately, the rape of nuns is an ongoing problem the Catholic Church has fighting for years:
"Confidential Vatican reports... revealed that members of the Catholic clergy have been exploiting their
financial and spiritual authority to gain sexualfavorsfrom nuns, particularly thosefrom the Third
World who are more likely to be culturally conditioned to be subservient to men. The reports... said that
such priests had demanded sex in exchangeforfavors, such as certification to work in a given diocese. In
extreme instances, the priests had made nuns pregnant and then encouraged them to have abortions."
Even the situation hasn't been investigated, the convent also announced Rodriguez was expelled from the
convent to "lead a secular life with her baby, away from religious institutions." Allegations over a potential
rape also were not part of the story told by Father Benedetto Falcetti, head of the regional branch of the
Catholic charity Caritas, who claimed the nun became pregnant in 2013 when she returned to El Salvador
for a short visit and ended up "rekindling a childhood flame."
Whatever the truth may be, Roxana Rodriguez says she's just focusing on moving on with her life: "How
do I feel? More like a mum than a nun.... I will definitely take care of my baby because he is a gift of
God.... However I am very worried about the commotion that this has stirred up. They are talking about
this, not only in Italy but in my own country and I am afraid to return there." Hospital director Pasquale
Carducci says baby Francesco and the mother are doing well and will be discharged by tomorrow. But her
identity as the pregnant nun who gave birth made her something of a celebrity: "We have had to put extra
security on the maternity wing because of all the interest. Like any new mum she is delighted but
obviously this has created a great deal of clamor because she is a nun. There have been calls and gifts
from dozens of well-wishers and she has passed on her thanks to all these people." If Roxana Rodriguez
was indeed raped do you think the Catholic Church should apologize to the nun and allow her to stay at the
convent, baby and all? And if she was raped by a member of the clergy, is this another scandal that the
Catholic Church is facing.
******
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I know that in Silicon Valley, Bitcoin is seen as the future but this month T-Mobile announced a new
service that may change the landscape much sooner as its renegade CEO John Legere new idea should
shake up the telecom industry. His company's latest offering is a low-cost alternative for millions of
Americans who don't have a bank account or rely on expensive checking-cashing and payday-loan
services. From their Mobile Money accounts, users will be able to direct-deposit paychecks, deposit checks
via smartphone camera, make purchases, pay bills and withdraw cash from 42,000 ATMs across the
country, T-Mobile said.
T-Mobile is fond of saying that it's redefining the mobile carrier world with its "uncarrier" initiatives. And
its latest announcement, on Wednesday, adds a new angle to the definition of "mobile banking": The
company is now getting into the check-cashing business. The service, called Mobile Money, is timed for a
February launch and will be available at T-Mobile retail locations and participating Safeway stores around
the country, the company says. The big promise from T-Mobile is that the service will allow users to cash
their checks without "excessivefees"that traditional check-cashing companies require.
Customers don't have to be T-Mobile wireless subscribers to be Mobile Money subscribers — or vice versa
— but being both has its perks. The company will automatically waive monthly fees for its wireless
customers. "Millions ofAmericans pay outrageousfees to check rashers, payday lenders and other
predatory businesses — justfor the right to use their own money,"said T-Mobile chief executive John
Legere in a press release. "Mobile Money shifts the balance ofpowerfor T-Mobile customers and keeps
more money in their pockets."
So, how will it work? T-Mobile customers will get a T-Mobile prepaid Visa Card that can be loaded and
reloaded through the Mobile Money app. The company did not give specifics but said it will offer the
services at a "reducedfee or $o cost" for its registered wireless customers. The service will require no
minimum balance and also promises no overdraft fees. On an information page, T-Mobile said there will
be fees for "non-typical use,"such as overnight card shipments, using an out-of-network ATM and putting
rush demands on checks to be cashed. From their Mobile Money accounts, users will be able to direct-
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deposit paychecks, deposit checks via smartphone camera, make purchases, pay bills and withdraw cash
from 42,000 ATMs across the country, T-Mobile said.
The service sounds similar to a program Walmart and American Express began offering in 2012 called
Bluebird, which gives users a prepaid card aimed at the "non-banked" or aunderbanked"sections of the
population who do not have traditional bank accounts. As The Washington Post's Danielle Douglas
reported, banks are bracing for the possibility that the federal government may begin imposing new rules
on such consumer products, including prepaid cards. But T-Mobileappears eager to step into the space.
"Mobile Money builds on T-Mobile'sfinancing experience to provide a sensible and affordable
alternative to checkingfeesfor the roughly 68 million U.S. adults who do not have traditional accounts
and have to rely on alternativefinancial services,"the company said in a statement.
The move makes a certain amount of sense , given that T-Mobile has aggressively gone after the lower end
of the smartphone market and the prepaid market — moves that make them particularly popular with
young customers and those in urban areas. Those demographics match pretty well with the FDIC's profile
of American's unbanked from a 2012 report. Those interested can sign up for the service starting
Wednesday, T-Mobile said.
THIS WEEK's QUOTE
.....also good news, it looks like the economic recovery that we've been
waitingfor so long isfinally in full swing and Congress hasfinally agreed
to a budget and the Obamacare web site is working now and the stock
market is through the roof or as Republicans term it the doomsday scenario.
Bill Maher
VIDEO OF THE WEEK
A great rebuttal to the Naturopaths and other pseudo health nuts
Web site: https://showyou.com/v/y-Ihk7-503Crs/penn-teller-kill-the-antivaccination-argument-in-"ust-over?
ptm sniurce=farellnok&utm medium=social&utm campago=timeline
GREAT DANCE ACT
Kenichi Ebina performs an epic Matrix -- Style Martial Arts Dance on America's Got Talent
Web site: http://safeshareiv/w/NhTuprICIT
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THIS WEEK's MUSIC
This week I am feeling the music of one of my all-time favorite musicians, Ms. Nina Simone who lived in
my hometown of Mt. Vernon, New York when I was growing up and was the cousin of my friend's Sonny
Gordon's father. In addition, I was privileged to witness one of the greatest concerts of all time in the late
196os at the Village Gate in Greenwich Village New York, when feeling the love of the audience, Nina
Simone played until sunrise, even though the club's management turned off the electricity and audio
system in an attempt to get her off the stage and empty the house. Nina Simone was an original and before
and since there has no one like her. But more important she epitomized the spirit and time in search of
equality, fairness and celebration of us all.
Nina Simone (born Eunice Kathleen Waymon; February 21, 1933 —April 21, 2003) was an American
singer, songwriter, pianist, arranger, and civil rights activist widely associated with jazz music. Simone
aspired to become a classical pianist while working in a broad range of styles including classical, jazz,
blues, folk, R&B, gospel, and pop.
Born the sixth child of a preacher's family in North Carolina, Simone aspired to be a concert pianist. Her
musical path changed direction after she was denied a scholarship to the prestigious Curtis Institute of
Music in Philadelphia, despite a well-received audition. Simone was later told by someone working at
Curtis that she was rejected because she was black. When she began playing in a small dub in Philadelphia
to fund her continuing musical education and become a classical pianist she was required to sing as well.
She was approached for a recording by Bethlehem Records, and her rendering of "I Loves You, Porgy" was
a hit in the United States in 1958. Over the length of her career Simone recorded more than 4o albums,
mostly between 1958—when she made her debut with Little Girl Blue—and 1974.
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Her musical style arose from a fusion of gospel and pop songs with classical music, in particular with
influences from her first inspiration, Johann Sebastian Bach, and accompanied with her expressive jazz-
like singing in her charactenstic contralto. She injected as much of her classical background into her music
as possible to give it more depth and quality, as she felt that pop music was inferior to classical. Her
intuitive grasp on the audience—performer relationship was gained from a unique background of playing
piano accompaniment for church revivals and sermons regularly from the early age of six years old.
In the early 196os, she became involved in the civil rights movement and the direction of her life shifted
once again. Simone's music was highly influential in the fight for equal rights in the United States. In later
years, she lived abroad, finally settling in France in 1992. She received a Grammy Hall of Fame Award in
2000 and was a fifteen-time Grammy Award nominee over the course of her career. With this, I invite
everyone to enjoy the music of Ms. Nina Simone.
Nina Simone — FEELING GOOD -- hilgillyoutu.be/Of.IRX-8SX0a
Nina Simone — I Loves You Porgy -- kw/youth heieveNcalialEk
Nina Simone — Four Woman -- http://youtu.be/WRmzQgosXTQ and http://youtu.be/NfgAjtCXPHS
Nina Simone — To Be Young, Gifted and Black -- http://youtu.be/ hdVFiANBTk
Nina Simone — Born Under a Bad Sign -- jayralyoutuboyx11(4fi g
Nina Simone — Mississippi Goddam bun"Inuault1/4113aGawsxr
Nina Simone — The Ballad ofHollis Brown -- http://youtu.beibm-gmyTaU
Nina Simone — r
ThoeLoaOnvtne
hesr.oI htO tildyyno -
ettpbo ...be
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tt7 piiiy7oR
utquk.F
bro
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Nina Simone —
Nina Simone — Black Is The Color Of My True Love's Hair -- littplayoutu be/NWMOMAInlei
Nina Simone — Suz
Nina Simone — The Look of Love -- httgUiyoutu.be/ln-Xo2RNInY4
Nina Simone — Turn! Turn! Turn! -- litigdlyoutu.be/Ca-RNdmYol
Nina Simone - Sinnerman littgaiyoutu.be/QH3Egiudg14
Nina Simone - Just in Time -- httollyoutu.beIcgxueRbellc
I hope that you have enjoyed this week's offerings and wish
you and yours a great week
Sincerely,
Greg Brown
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Gregory Brown
Chairman & CEO
GlokolCasi Patinas, LLC
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