From: "Jeffrey E." <jeevacation@gmail.com>
To: Richard Kahn
Subject: Fwd: Follow-up stock screen for Twitter-style trade [C]
Date: Thu, 12 Feb 2015 23:30:04 +0000
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Forwarded message
From: Daniel Sabba
Date: Wed, Feb 11, 2015 at 5:58 PM
Subject: RE: Follow-up stock screen for Twitter-style trade [C]
To: "jeffrey E." <jeevacation@gmail.com>
Classification: Confidential
You are right. DB's research analyst has had the wrong call so far.
But we didn't propose the screen below based on buy ratings, but on whether the name was covered by DB's research
analysts... In fact some names have Hold ratings.
From: Jeffrey E. [mailto:jeevaS Sr nioj.
Sent: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 10:49 PM
To: Daniel Sabba
Subject: Re: Follow-up stock screen for Twitter-style trade [CJ
am i missing someting or has DB recommended fcx all the way down to 50 percent of its value. ???
On Wed, Feb 11, 2015 at 6:43 PM, Daniel Sabba < > wrote:
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey — is this what you are looking for? Let us know if you would like the past research reports. Daniel
EFTA01193046
Freeport-McMoRan (FCX) DB Target History
Date of Report Target Recommendation
1/27/2015 $36.00 Buy
1/25/2015 $36.00 Buy
1/14/2015 $36.00 Buy
11/7/2014 $41100 Buy
10/23/2014 $45.00 Buy
From: Jeffrey E. [mailto:jeevacation@gmail.com
Sent: Wednesday, February 11, 2015 10:13 PM
To: Daniel Sabba
Subject: Re: Follow-up stock screen for Twitter-style trade [C]
can you tell me what the recoomendation on fcx was in oct nov dec.
On Tue, Feb 10, 2015 at 8:32 PM, Daniel Sabba < > wrote:
Classification: Confidential
Jeffrey.
Jay and Vahe from my team put this together to follow-up on lower priced equities for which we can implement the TWTR equity
structure in either a listed or OTC structure. To start, we screened the S&P 500 with the following criteria:
Share Price ($10-$20 range)
Market Cap (>$10bn)
Covered by DB Research
The following 5 names fit the criteria:
Ticker Price Mkt Cap (bn) Div Yid 08 Rating 08 Target
Ford F $ 15.92 $ 59.00 3.77% Hold $ 16.00
Bank of America BAC $ 16.35 $ 168.00 1.25% Buy $ 18.50
Fre e port- McMo Ran FCX $ 19.51 $ 20.00 6.41% Buy $ 36.00
Fifth Third Bancorp FITB $ 18.79 $ 15.00 2.77% Hold $ 20.00
Boston Scientific Corp BSX $ 14.45 $ 19. CC Hold $ 16.00
(Note: Pricing as of close 02/09/2015)
EFTA01193047
As demonstrated below, all 5 names remained in a narrow band for the earlier part of 2014.
In the latter months of the year, FCX, BAC and FITS saw a significant increase in implied volatility, most notably Freeport-McMoRan
(FCX).
50 12M ATM Call Implied Volatility
45
40
— F
35 — BAC
— Fa
30
— FRB
25 BSX
20
15
2A0/2014 5/10/2014 8/10/2014 11/10/2014
As a result of these fluctuations, listed premiums are now as follows:
V
EFTA01193048
American Call Option Structure
Company Price (Sh.) Strike Expiry Premium Bid *Premium (%)
F $ 15.92 $ 15.00 1/15/2016 $ 182 1143%
MC $ 16.35 $ 17.00 1/15/2016 $ 120 7.34%
FC X $ 19.51 $ 20.00 1/15JZO16 $ zoo 14.35%
FTTB $ Ian $ 20.00 1/15/2016 $ 0.87 4.63%
BSX $ 14.45 $ 15.00 1/15/2036 $ 133 9.20 e
Note: Pric ng as of el( se 02/09;2015)
•Premium %) Bid,Priee
Regards.
Daniel
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