Consider unwinding your cad trade. See may's comments below, but essentially
higher energy prices and outflows of short CAD are expected to provide
support/remove downward pressure on the currency.
You paid 1109k for your reverse knock-in call spread. Indicative unwind level
today is 5136k (source: DB WM FX Tading, 3/5/14). Consider taking the 127k
gain.
Tazia Smith
Director
Key client Partners - US
Deutsche Bank securities, Inc.
Deutsche Asset & wealth mana ement
Original Message
From: Nay Gupta
Sent: 03/05/2014 01:02 PM GMT
To: Tazia Smith; vinit Sahni
Subject: usdcad update for )E [I]
Classification: For internal use only
three points
1. commodity px are much higher - bullish cad
2. CAD 2y swap rate higher (not lower as i had expected) vs uS rates compared
to 2mths ago - bullish cad
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canada still has v vulnerable housing sector and several high profile clients
have been exiting canadian risk (pimco ed devlin in ft last week) but
nevertheless given 1 and 2 above im less bearish cad vs usd than 2mths ago
when JE entered the trade.
so given 1 and 2 im surprised usdcad hasnt moved lower - i dont have a view on
usdcad here and therefore dont like the trade anymore
Nay
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Nay Gupta
managing Director
Deutsche Bank AG, Filiale London
Deutsche Asset & wealth mana•ement
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