From: Tazia Smith
Sent: 8/8/2014 10:27:46 AM
To:
CC: Vahe Stepanian Paul Morris
Subject: Airlines IC)
Attachments: pic19230.gif; pic23176.gif; pic29464.gif; pic08684.gif
Classification: Confidential
Hi RiCh -
will send through some vol/vix tactical solutions per our discussion with the
traders yesterday; have had additional conversations and Nav asserts the view
that flows are 3:1 in demand for hedges. I believe the short-vol flows that
Jenna is referring to is very short term, but what Nav points out is that
hedged demand could bid up longer dated contracts which increase term
structure risk to your short term trades (I rising curve).
Please note the airlines are under-performing, at least partly related to
elevated geopolitical risk related not just to us action in Iraq but the
potential for Russia to restrict airspace and thus key routes over Siberia.
Crude higher yesterday/today, reverting back now. See below.
As you know, Jeffrey's Jan S20 risk reversal is presently marking to —51.04mm
net gain.
American Airlines 12mo Price History
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Brent Crude - Spot 3 day inter-day
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Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - us
DB Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue, 10154-0004 New York, NY, USA
Tel. +1(212)454-2889
Fax +1(646)257-3131
Mobile +1 (917)327-4107
Email tazia.smith@db.com
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