Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
Southern Financial LLC
Deutsche Bank CIO Strategies
Globally diversified multi-asset class portfolios
Globally diversified multi asset class portfolios
4015
Paul Morris
aag
Managing Director
Private Banker
Joseph Dursi
Director
Investor Strategist
Pau Barti ucci
aag
Managing Director
Portfolio Mana er
ecto
Thomas Heidenberger
Associate
Portfolio Analyst
For one-on-one presentation to qualified investors only.
EFTA01477939
Table of Contents
1
2
3
4
5
6
Strategy Overview
Investment Process
Asset Allocation
Performance
Economic Commentary and Forecasts
Appendix
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
1
EFTA01477940
Discretionary Portfolio Management
At a glance
Assets entrusted to us
AuM € billion
Global
Regions
20
Americas
17
EM EA
Frankfurt
Zurich, Geneva
Luxembourg
Boston
Chicago
San Francisco
Los Angeles
Baltimore
London
Madrid
New York
Hong Kong
Singapore
Retail
2%
UHNWI
72%
Affluent
6%
HNWI
20%
Melbourne
EM EA combines Europe (excluding Germany), Middle East and Africa.
lAll data as of December 31, 2015.
Source: Deutsche Bank, Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
2
Not e:
Retail <100-500k
Affluent <1-2mn
HMWI <3mn-lOmn
UHNWI <25mn
History and coverage
601
21
G ermany
Milan
Vienna
1.6
APAC
EFTA01477941
We are proud of our long
history which dates back to
1968.
Regional teams include 166
investment professionals
who have an average
industry experience of 10.5
years.
Together they run a global
DPM service for almost
24,000 clientsl in four
regions:
EFTA01477942
Strategy Overview
CIO Strategies is our discretionary solution for multi asset investors
CIO Strategies is an open architecture, broadly diversified discretionary
portfolio solution
which seeks to meet or exceed a client's return objectives while staying
within their
stated risk parameters
Investment allocations in each of the four strategies are actively managed
to take
advantage of tactical opportunities in different asset classes while
maintaining that
strategy's risk/return requirements.
Currently utilizes three asset classes and 14 sub-asset classes; U.S. large
cap
equity and U.S. investment grade bonds may be separately managed by
proprietary
asset class specialists.
Sub-asset classes are implemented through top-quartile proprietary and third -
party
mutual funds and ETFs.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
3
EFTA01477943
Multi Asset Investment Process
A global, consistent and transparent process
Multi Asset Investment Process
Portfolio Construction
CIO View
Global
Asset
Research
Allocation
MIC1
Regional
Asset
Allocation
RIC2
Security
Selection
PIC3
Portfolio
Management
Client
Portfolio
Quality Management
1 MIC = Multi Asset Investment Committee
2 RIC = Regional Investment Committee
3 PIC = Portfolio Implementation reCommendation
Source: Deutsche Bank Wealth Management
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
4
EFTA01477944
Multi Asset Investment Process
Deutsche Bank Wealth Management's CIO1 View and Research is the starting
point
View Generation
A quarterly CIO Day gathers the
most senior professionals in
Deutsche Bank WM responsible for
asset classes and research.
Investment experts assess the
macro-economic environment and
outlook, indentifying and analyzing
key market drivers.
Outlook for Fixed Income, Equities,
Alternatives and Multi Assets is
reviewed and challenged.
The decisions taken at the CIO Day are
presented in our CIO View which includes:
Macro-economic environment
Single asset class outlook
Financial market forecasts and
high-conviction ideas
Risks to the main scenario
Strategic CIO View is the starting point for our multi asset investment
process
1 Chief Investment Officer (CIO)
Source: Deutsche Bank Wealth Management
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
5
EFTA01477945
Multi Asset Investment Process
Multi Asset Investment Committee (MIC)
Investment Process: from global to local
MIC
RIC / PIC
Client Portfolios
MIC
The Multi Asset
Investment Committee
(MIC) decides about
global lead allocation,
currency and duration
recommendations based
on CIO View and single
asset class input.
The MIC creates a global
cross-asset view which
serves as the basis for
regional allocation
decisions.
Source: Deutsche Bank Wealth Management
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
6
RIC
Regional Investment Committees (RIC) exist in Germany, the
Americas, EMEA and Asia
The committees create regional multi asset lead portfolios that provide
local flavor
with higher granularity and integrate regional investors' preferences. The
regional
lead allocations serve as basis for Multi Asset Allocation strategies.
PIC
Portfolio Implementation reCommendation (PIC)
Different asset-class specific groups create investable portfolio
implementation
recommendations on single security level suitable to implement RIC
allocations.
These groups use best in class research and the entire know-how of the group
to
advise best solutions for Multi Asset clients.
EFTA01477946
Multi Asset Investment Process
The Americas Regional Investment Committee refines asset allocations for
clients
Multi Asset Investment Committee
Global asset allocation
Americas Regional Investment Committee (RIC)
Asset allocation for U.S. portfolios
Selection of third party managers
Strategic Asset Allocation
— Long term (10-year outlook)
— Sensitive to after-tax returns
— Changes infrequently (1 year)
Tactical Asset Allocationl
— Shorter term (12-month outlook)
— Sensitive to after-tax returns
— Changes with outlook for asset classes
Allocations Along Efficient Frontier2
Client Portfolios
Return
Portfolio Consultants tailor
models according to client's
unique circumstances
Risk
We are not tax advisors, therefore please consult with your tax, legal,
accounting and financial consultants before making any investment decisions.
1Tactical considerations
alone drive periodic rebalancing elections by the RIC. Strategic
considerations are factored into long-term modeling. 2The efficient frontier
is graphical representation of portfolios
giving the highest level of expected return at different levels of risk.
Source: Deutsche Bank Wealth Management
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
7
EFTA01477947
Multi Asset Investment Process
Portfolio Implementation & Research Process
The Global Investment Group Selection Process
Database
Screening
Performance, risk,
peer rankings
Initial Fact
Finding
Learn about
firm/strategy
via
conference
calls and
questionnaire
On-site
visits
Interview
principals,
senior
management,
portfolio
managers
and analysts
Further
analysis
Qualitative and
quantitative
analysis using
state-of-the-art
tools
Final
Assessment
Finalists
presented to
GIG Investment
Committee
On-going
Monitoring:
Focus on
consistency,
stability and
predictability
— We seek to identify the strongest candidates from a broad database of
asset managers.
— We isolate and analyze quantitative and qualitative factors that we
believe are the key drivers
of potential future performance.
Source: Deutsche Bank Wealth Management
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
EFTA01477948
8
EFTA01477949
Strategic and tactical allocations
Proposed allocations for taxable client (where hedge funds are suitable)
Income
Growth & Income
Equities
U.S. Large Cap
U.S. Small Cap
EAFE
European
Japan
Pacific ex-Japan
Emerging Market
Core Emg Mkts Equity
Emg Mkts Asia Equity
Fixed Income & Cash
Municipal Bonds
High Yield Bonds
Int'l Bonds- Hedged
Emerging Market Bonds
TIPS
Cash
Alternatives
Hedge Funds
Non-directional HF
Directional HF
Commodities
58.5%
50.5%
2.0%
--2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
9.0%
7.0%
5.0%
2.0%
2.0%
100.0%
Strategic
32.5%
15.0%
2.0%
11.5%
7.5%
2.5%
1.5%
4.0%
Tactical
32.5%
16.5%
1.5%
EFTA01477950
EFTA01477951
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soS'Z
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41.5%
32.0%
3.0%
--1.0%
1.0%
4.5%
9.5%
8.5%
4.5%
4.0%
1.0%
100.0%
24.0%
16.0%
2.0%
--2.0%
2.0%
2.0%
9.0%
7.0%
3.0%
4.0%
2.0%
100.0%
Strategic
67.0%
33.0%
3.5%
22.5%
15.0%
4.5%
3.0%
8.0%
Growth
Maximum
Growth
Tactical
67.5%
35.5%
3.0%
25.0%
15.0%
7.0%
3.0%
4.0%
2.5%
1.5%
24.5%
16.0%
3.0%
--1.0%
EFTA01477952
1.0%
3.5%
8.0%
7.0%
3.0%
4.0%
1.0%
100.0%
7.0%
--2.5%
--2.5%
--2.0%
8.5%
6.0%
--6.0%
2.5%
100.0%
Strategic
84.5%
42.0%
4.0%
29.0%
20.0%
5.5%
3.5%
9.5%
Tactical
84.5%
45.0%
3.0%
31.5%
20.0%
8.0%
3.5%
5.0%
3.0%
2.0%
8.5%
--3.5%
--1.0%
--4.0%
7.0%
6.0%
--6.0%
1.0%
100.0%
Source:
Internal sources. Last asset allocation change was March 22, 2016 and is
reviewed monthly. Allocation recommendations are subject to change without
notice. The "strategic allocation"
represents our longer term outlook on portfolio diversification and serves
EFTA01477953
as a frame of reference for our short-term tactical adjustments for U.S.
clients. Actual portfolio composition and performance will
vary within the strategic range based upon active market judgments, altering
the allocation and adjusting within asset classes. Neither this Allocation
Table nor any of its contents may be used for any
purpose without the consent and knowledge of Deutsche Bank. It may not be
reproduced or circulated without our written authority.
The asset allocations described herein are formulated by the Regional
Investment Committee within Wealth Management (RIC) and may utilize the
following asset class components: U.S. large cap
equity, U.S. small cap equity, Japan equity, Europe equity, Pacific ex-Japan
equity, emerging markets equity, U.S. fixed income, U.S. high-yield bonds,
international bonds, emerging market bonds,
municipal bonds, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, hedge funds, Real
Estate Investment Trusts, commodities, and cash. The RIC currently
recognizes four basic investment strategies: Income,
Growth & Income, Growth, and Maximum Growth. The strategy selected is based
upon the individual investor's objectives and risk tolerance. Your selected
portfolio will determine the specific allocation
to the asset classes represented by these vehicles.
This document is for information purposes only. Not intended to be an offer
or solicitation. The products and services above are not appropriate for
everyone. An interested party must make his/her own
independent legal, tax, accounting and financial evaluation of their merits
and risks. Deutsche Bank does not provide tax, legal, or accounting advice.
These products and services are not insured by
any governmental entity and are subject to investment risk including
possible loss of principal. Availability of these products and services may
be limited by applicable law. These products are not FDIC
insured and are not obligations of nor guaranteed by Deutsche Bank AG or its
affiliates. Opinions expressed herein may differ from those expressed by
departments or other divisions or affiliates of
Deutsche Bank. "Deutsche Bank" means Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliated
companies, as the context requires. Wealth Management refers to Deutsche
Bank's wealth management activities for highnet-worth
clients around the world.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
9
EFTA01477954
Growth Tactical allocations
Proposed allocations for taxable client (where hedge funds are suitable)
Implementation Vehicle
Ticker
Equities
U.S. Large Cap
U.S. Small Cap
EAFE
European
European
Japan
Pacific ex-Japan
Emerging Market
Core Emg Mkts Equity
Emg Mkts Asia Equity
Fixed Income & Cash
Municipal Bonds
High Yield Bonds
Int'l Bonds- Hedged
Emerging Market Bonds
TIPS
Cash
Alternatives
Hedge Funds
Non-directional HF
Directional HF
Commodities
Total
Prisma Spectrum Fund
Lighthouse Global Long/Short
Deutsche Enhanced Commodity Strategy
N/A
N/A
SKIRX
Aberdeen Emerging Markets Fund
Invesco Asia Pacific Growth Fund
WM Intermediate Tax Exempt Fixed Income — Individual
Securities
ABEMX
ASIYX
N/A
Blackrock High Yield Fund BHYIX
MFS Emerging Market Debt Fund MEDIX
BlackRock Infl Protected Bond Fund BPRIX
Invesco AIM European Growth
db X-Trackers MSCI Europe Hedged Equity Fund
Wisdomtree Japan Hedged Equity
iShares MSCI Pacific ex Japan
AEDYX
EFTA01477955
DBEU
DXJ
EPP
WM US Large Cap/Growth - Individual Securities
N/A
ClearBridge Small Cap Growth SBPYX
Allocation as % of Portfolio
67.5%
35.5%
3.0%
25.0%
7.5%
7.5%
7.0%
3.0%
4.0%
2.5%
1.5%
24.5%
16.0%
3.0%
1.0%
1.0%
3.5%
8.0%
7.0%
3.0%
4.0%
1.0%
100.0%
Allocation in USD
$33,750,000
$17,750,000
$1,500,000
$12,500,000
$3,750,000
$3,750,000
$3,500,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
$1,250,000
$750,000
$12,250,000
$8,000,000
$1,500,000
$500,000
$500,000
$1,750,000
$4,000,000
EFTA01477956
$3,500,000
$1,500,000
$2,000,000
$500,000
$50,000,000
Source: Internal sources. Last asset allocation change was March 22, 2016
and is reviewed monthly. Allocation recommendations are subject to change
without notice. The "strategic allocation"
represents our longer term outlook on portfolio diversification and serves
as a frame of reference for our short-term tactical adjustments for U.S.
clients. Actual portfolio composition and performance will
vary within the strategic range based upon active market judgments, altering
the allocation and adjusting within asset classes. Neither this Allocation
Table nor any of its contents may be used for any
purpose without the consent and knowledge of Deutsche Bank. It may not be
reproduced or circulated without our written authority.
The asset allocations described herein are formulated by the Regional
Investment Committee within Wealth Management (RIC) and may utilize the
following asset class components: U.S. large cap
equity, U.S. small cap equity, Japan equity, Europe equity, Pacific ex-Japan
equity, emerging markets equity, U.S. fixed income, U.S. high-yield bonds,
international bonds, emerging market bonds,
municipal bonds, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities, hedge funds, Real
Estate Investment Trusts, commodities, and cash. The RIC currently
recognizes four basic investment strategies: Income,
Growth & Income, Growth, and Maximum Growth. The strategy selected is based
upon the individual investor's objectives and risk tolerance. Your selected
portfolio will determine the specific allocation
to the asset classes represented by these vehicles.
This document is for information purposes only. Not intended to be an offer
or solicitation. The products and services above are not appropriate for
everyone. An interested party must make his/her own
independent legal, tax, accounting and financial evaluation of their merits
and risks. Deutsche Bank does not provide tax, legal, or accounting advice.
These products and services are not insured by
any governmental entity and are subject to investment risk including
possible loss of principal. Availability of these products and services may
be limited by applicable law. These products are not FDIC
insured and are not obligations of nor guaranteed by Deutsche Bank AG or its
affiliates. Opinions expressed herein may differ from those expressed by
departments or other divisions or affiliates of
Deutsche Bank. "Deutsche Bank" means Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliated
companies, as the context requires. Wealth Management refers to Deutsche
Bank's wealth management activities for highnet-worth
clients around the world.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
10
EFTA01477957
CIO Strategies performance
A strong track record
11
EFTA01477958
Income Strategy returns
Performancel for taxable client ending 12/31/15
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
CIO Strategies w/ U.S. Core Equity as U.S. Large Cap Vehicle
5.07
4.89
2.73
1.80
3.33
2.22
-0.34
3.88
Blended Benchmark
5.07
3.99
5.17
4.03
4Q15
YTD
3 Year
5 Year
% Annualized Performance Gross of Fees
CIO Strategies - Income
Blended Benchmark
2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
2.22% 4.03% 8.51% 9.66% 1.19% 8.59% 19.02% -16.61% 8.90% 9.12%
-0.34% 2.81% 7.68% 8.60% 0.97% 7.83% 17.77% -17.06% 7.25% 8.21%
(1) Chart reflects model returns, not actual client returns.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The returns shown in
this document do not reflect Deutsche Bank management fees. The strategies
above are for taxable
clients where hedge funds are suitable. The CIO Strategy model portfolios
commenced on 1/1/05. Please note that returns for the CIO strategy reflect
the Core Equity composite
as the U.S. large cap implementation vehicle. Please refer to the Important
Notes on the next page for detailed information regarding performance and to
the Additional
Information page at the end of this document for descriptions of the blended
benchmarks. Detailed information regarding the Deutsche Bank WM-Americas
Core Equity
composite can be found in the Deutsche Bank WM —Americas Core Equity
pitchbook which can be provided upon request.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
12
EFTA01477959
10 Year
1/1/05-12/31/15
EFTA01477960
Growth & Income Strategy returns
Performancel for taxable client ending 12/31/15
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
CIO Strategies w/ U.S. Core Equity as U.S. Large Cap Vehicle
6.33
5.92
3.70
2.55
2.12
-1.17
4.35
4.54
Blended Benchmark
5.77
4.37
5.88
4.49
4015
YTD
3 Year
5 Year
% Annualized Performance Gross of Fees
2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
CIO Strategies - Growth and Income 2.12% 4.37% 12 79% 12.03% -1.03% 11.33%
23.78% -23.04% 10.92% 11.78%
Blended Benchmark
-1.17% 3.01% 11.60% 10.86% -0.89% 9.84% 21.71% -23.96% 7.97% 11.92%
(1) Chart reflects model returns, not actual client returns.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The returns shown in
this document do not reflect Deutsche Bank management fees. The strategies
above are for taxable
clients where hedge funds are suitable. The CIO Strategy model portfolios
commenced on 1/1/05. Please note that returns for the CIO strategy reflect
the Core Equity composite
as the U.S. large cap implementation vehicle. Please refer to the Important
Notes on the next page for detailed information regarding performance and to
the Additional
Information page at the end of this document for descriptions of the blended
benchmarks. Detailed information regarding the Deutsche Bank WM-Americas
Core Equity
composite can be found in the Deutsche Bank WM —Americas Core Equity
pitchbook which can be provided upon request.
Deutsche Bank
EFTA01477961
Wealth Management
13
10 Year
1/1/05-12/31/15
EFTA01477962
Growth Strategy returns
Performancel for taxable client ending 12/31/15
10
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
4 85
3.41
2 27
-1.67
CIO Strategies w/ U.S. Core Equity as U.S. Large Cap Vehicle
8.05
6.98
5.73
5.46
Blended Benchmark
6.30
4.63
6.45
4.83
4Q15
YTD
3 Year
5 Year
% Annualized Performance Gross of Fees
CIO Strategies - Growth
Blended Benchmark
2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
2.27% 4.84% 17.64% 14.43% -2.94% 13.79% 29.09% -30.42% 12.52% 14.39%
-1.67% 3.40% 16.25% 13.25% -2.57% 11.89% 25.85% -31.31% 8.02% 15.39%
(1) Chart reflects model returns, not actual client returns.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The returns shown in
this document do not reflect Deutsche Bank management fees. The strategies
above are for taxable
clients where hedge funds are suitable. The CIO Strategy model portfolios
commenced on 1/1/05. Please note that returns for the CIO strategy reflect
the Core Equity composite
as the U.S. large cap implementation vehicle. Please refer to the Important
Notes on the next page for detailed information regarding performance and to
the Additional
Information page at the end of this document for descriptions of the blended
benchmarks. Detailed information regarding the Deutsche Bank WM-Americas
Core Equity
composite can be found in the Deutsche Bank WM —Americas Core Equity
EFTA01477963
pitchbook which can be provided upon request.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
14
10 Year
1/1/05-12/31/15
EFTA01477964
Maximum Growth Strategy returns
Performancel for taxable client ending 12/31/15
10
12
-12
-10
-8
-6
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
5.87
4.14
2.33
-2.53
CIO Strategies w/ U.S. Core Equity as U.S. Large Cap Vehicle
9.65
6.75
7.87
6.02
Blended Benchmark
6.87
4.73
7.04
5.02
4015
YTD
3 Year
5 Year
% Annualized Performance Gross of Fees
2015 2014 2013 2012 2011 2010 2009 2008 2007 2006
CIO Strategies - Maximum Growth 2.33% 5.37% 22.27% 16.16% -4.65% 15.89%
34.76% -35.93% 13.97% 16.66%
Blended Benchmark
-2.53% 3.16% 20.96% 15.68% -4.79% 13.68% 30.30% -37.77% 8.14% 18.86%
(1) Chart reflects model returns, not actual client returns.
Past performance is no guarantee of future results. The returns shown in
this document do not reflect Deutsche Bank management fees. The strategies
above are for taxable
clients where hedge funds are suitable. The CIO Strategy model portfolios
commenced on 1/1/05. Please note that returns for the CIO strategy reflect
the Core Equity composite
as the U.S. large cap implementation vehicle. Please refer to the Important
Notes on the next page for detailed information regarding performance and to
the Additional
Information page at the end of this document for descriptions of the blended
benchmarks. Detailed information regarding the Deutsche Bank WM-Americas
EFTA01477965
Core Equity
composite can be found in the Deutsche Bank WM —Americas Core Equity
pitchbook which can be provided upon request.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
15
10 Year
1/1/05-12/31/15
EFTA01477966
Growth & Income with Hedge Funds - Taxable
A History of Consistent Performance
3 1 yr Rolling Period
-2%
-1%
0%
1%
2%
3%
4%
5%
Best Period Periods
Excess Returns versus Benchmark Jan 2005 — Dec 2015
1 yr Rolling Periods
Best Period
Median
Worst Period
Rolling Periods — Monthly Data
Batting
Average:
108 of 121 Periods
89%
97 of 97
100%
73 of 73
100%
DEFINITION of 'Batting Average' - A statistical measure used to measure an
investment manager's ability to meet or beat an index. Batting average is
calculated by dividing the
number of days (or months, quarters, etc ) in which the manager beats or
matches the index by the total number of days (or months, quarters, etc.) in
the period of question and
multiplying that factor by 100.
DEFINITION of 'Rolling Returns'-- The annualized average return for a period
ending with the listed year. Rolling returns are useful for examining the
behavior of returns for holding
periods similar to those actually experienced by investors.
Note: The performance above is based upon the Deutsche Bank Growth & Income
with Hedge Funds Model Portfolio for Taxable Clients. Chart reflects model
returns gross of fees,
not actual client returns..
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
16
3 yr Rolling Periods
5 yr Rolling Periods
0.95%
1.28%
1.17%
EFTA01477967
Investment Management Fee Schedule
Fees are based on the assets under management as valued every month. Fees
ordinarily are billed monthly in
arrears, and are computed at one-twelfth the annual fee rates detailed below:
Equity and Balanced accounts (including custody)
— 1.20% on the first $2,000,000
— 0.85% on the next $3,000,000
— 0.60% on the next $5,000,000
— 0.45% on the balance
The minimum investment is $2 million.
The minimum annual fee per
relationship is $24,000.
All-inclusive feel: Fee charged includes administrative costs, custody,
annual tax reporting, cash
management, ongoing research on mutual fund managers, ETFs and securities
for all asset classes.
In mutual fund investments we use the least expensive share class available
which is most often the
institutional share class.
No trailers, no sales charges and no conflict of interest.
Deutsche Bank products are excluded from calculation of the billable assets
for advisory fee charge.
No Deutsche Bank commission charged on trades. Commission on trades are only
charged by the
counterparty.
Fees are subject to change without notice. Further information available
upon request.
"1 Certain fees embedded in the price non-proprietary products such as ETFs,
mutual funds, hedge funds as well as commissions or markup/markdowns
assessed by other
Broker Dealers for trading securities are in addition to the Deutsche Bank
investment management fee."
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
17
EFTA01477968
Important information
The asset allocations described herein are formulated by the Regional
Investment Committee (RIC) within Deutsche Bank Wealth Management (Deutsche
Bank WM) and may
utilize the following asset class components: U.S. large cap equity, U.S.
small cap equity, Europe equity, Japan equity, Pacific ex-Japan equity,
emerging markets equity, municipal
bonds, U.S. high-yield bonds, Treasury Inflation Protected Securities,
emerging market debt, hedge funds, commodities, and cash. RIC currently
recognizes four basic investment
strategies: Income, Growth & Income, Growth, and Maximum Growth. The
strategy selected is based upon the individual investor's objectives and
risk tolerance. Your selected
portfolio will determine the specific allocation to the asset classes
represented by the vehicles described herein. Please note returns for the
large cap equity portion are represented
by the Quality Growth Composite. Implementation vehicles and asset
allocations are determined by the Deutsche Bank WM RIC and are change
subject at their discretion.
Results presented herein do not represent the results of actual trading
using client assets. The returns shown in this document are model returns
and do not reflect Deutsche Bank
management fees or other expenses that may be incurred in the actual
management of an account. If such fees and expenses were deducted, the
results would be lower. Please
be advised of the limitations inherent in using model results. Accounts
managed according to the Model may perform differently over the same time
period depending on the size of
the account, restrictions, the amount of the transaction and related costs,
the inception date of the account and other factors. Actual clients may
experience returns that are more or
less than those of the Model. These model returns do not reflect the impact
that material economic factors may have had on our decision-making. Model
returns are not indicative
of future results; there is always the potential for loss as well as for
profit. These returns should not be considered indicative of the skill of
the advisor.
The CIO Strategy model portfolios commenced on 1/1/05. The model returns
reflected herein were achieved by calculating monthly weighted-average
returns using actual tactical
allocations and vehicles beginning 1/01/05. The model returns presented are
used to portray what the CIO Strategies performance would have been during
the period if client
assets had been invested in these CIO Strategies securities recommendations.
Deutsche Bank will continue to employ tactical strategy allocation and
rebalancing techniques and
therefore the portfolio allocation will change dynamically as market
conditions warrant. Please refer to the CIO Strategies marketing information
for a description of the methodology
used to select investments.
The standard fee schedule generally applied to accounts invested in this
EFTA01477969
strategy is as follows: 1.20% on the first $2 million; 0.85% on the next $3
million; 0.60% on the next $5
million; and 0.45% on the balance. Actual investment advisory fees incurred
by clients may vary.
Blended benchmarks are comprised of indices representing the broad asset
classes utilized by the RIC. Blended benchmark returns are calculated and
rebalanced monthly. A
current list of the allocation weights and components in the blended
benchmark can be found below. A complete list of historical allocation
weights and components is available
upon request.
Income
Sub-asset Class
U.S. Large Cap Equity
U.S. Small Cap Equity
European Equity
Japan Equity
Pacific ex-Japan Equity
Emerging Market Equity
Municipal Bonds
U.S. High Yield Bonds
International Bonds
Benchmark
S&P 500 Index
Russell 2000 Index
MSCI Europe Index (net of withholding taxes)
MSCI Japan Index (net of withholding taxes)
MSCI Pacific Free ex-Japan Index (net of withholding taxes)
MSCI Emerging Markets Index (net of withholding taxes)
Barclays Municipal Short/Intermediate Index
Merrill Lynch/BOA High Yield Master II Index
Citigroup Unhedged Non-U.S. World Govt. Bond Index
Treasury Inflation Protected Securities Barclays U.S. TIPS Index
Emerging Market Debt
Hedge Funds
Commodities
Cash
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
DBLCDIVT
iMoneyNet Money Funds (All) Tax-Free Average
JPMorgan GBI Emerging Markets Index - Unhedged
HFRI Fund of Funds Index
Allocation
15.00%
2.00%
7.50%
2.50%
1.50%
4.00%
50.50%
EFTA01477970
2.00%
--2.00%
2.00%
7.00%
2.00%
2.00%
100.00%
Growth
& Income
Allocation
23.50%
2.50%
11.50%
3.00%
2.50%
6.00%
32.00%
2.00%
--2.00%
2.50%
8.50%
2.00%
2.00%
100.00%
Growth
Allocation
33.00%
3.50%
15.00%
4.50%
3.00%
8.00%
16.00%
2.00%
--2.00%
2.00%
7.00%
2.00%
2.00%
100.00%
Maximum
Growth
Allocation
42.00%
4.00%
20.00%
5.50%
3.50%
9.50%
--2.50%
----2.50%
EFTA01477971
6.00%
2.50%
2.00%
100.00%
18
EFTA01477972
Economic & Asset Class Outlook
March/April 2016 Outlook
World economy
— There are initial signs that U.S.
manufacturing may be
s tabili
bilizing with several regional
surveys turning positive. While
housing data is solid, consumer
spending has been tepid.
ith
l
i
l
— In Europe, manufacturing has
been positive, the labor market
is improving and personal
consumption is solid. However,
geopolitical risks are beginning
to weigh on sentiment.
— Slow global growth has weighed
on manufacturing and business
confidence in Japan.
— Emerging markets continue to
gg
be challenged by slow global
trade, political headwinds and
sluggish domestic demand.
— Tighter financial conditions in
some areas (e.g. U.S.), weak
global trade and geopolitical
risks have led us to downgrade
our 2016 global growth forecast
(from 3.4% to 3.2%).
led
downgrade
— All developed markets were
brought lower led by the U.S.
(from 2.4% to 1.9% in 2016) as
an inventory drawdown, weak
manufact ring and slow exports
may weigh on growth this year.
facturing
— Europe and Japan were
modestly reduced but
aggressive central bank policy
should support growth.
— EM growth should gradually
recover as commodity prices
find a bottom, reforms take hold
and FX volatility subsides.
EFTA01477973
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
Monetary Policy, Inflation
and FX
— Slower U.S. economic growth
has resulted in the FOMC
ddi
tl
k
downgrading their outlook on
growth, inflation and magnitude
of Fed funds rate hikes in 2016
th
— The ECB will likely remain in a
wait and see mode and let the
aggressive actions taken at their
March meeting (e.g. negative
interest rates, increased QE)
filter into the economy.
— The PBOC and BoJ will keep
the door open to take additional
stimulus measures to support
growth (e.g. QE, rate cuts).
— The USD should gain
momentum vs. the developed
markets as Fed policy diverges
from other central banks.
— Ongoing geopolitical risks and
lower growth than originally
anticipated will likely limit the
Fed to raise rates one time this
year (likely June meeting) with
Fed to raise
one post election. This will be
highly dependant on the outlook
for growth and inflation.
— A weak Euro and stabilization in
commodity prices should help
Europe inflation move higher.
hi h
— Growth and interest rate
differentials and diverging
monetary policy support the
dollar long term, especially
versus the Euro and Yen.
— China and India should remain
accommodative while Latin
American countries have less
flexibility due to high inflation.
e
Bond markets
EFTA01477974
— Global bond yields will likely
remain lower for longer despite
th Fed'd's ghtening cycle and
modest pick up in inflation.
ti ht
d
— The rise in yields in the near
term should be limited due to
low commodity prices, central
bank QE (ECB and BoJ),
geopolitical risks (e.g. Brexit)
and concern over at least a
modest pullback in risky assets
— We remain modestly overweight
high yield but active
management is recommended.
— We remain underweight EM
debt due to uncertain economic
fundamentals, volatile
currencies and heavy USD
denominated debt burdens.
— The rise in long term yields over
the next 12 mos will likely be
muted as moderate inflation, a
"slow" Fed tightening cycle and
aggressive stimulus from the
ECB and BoJ keep global
sovereign yields contained.
Fe tightening
— We recommend a modest short
duration to the benchmark due
to the expectation of modestly
higher yields in thth le ong run.
— Focus on select credit (e.g. IG
and high yield). History
suggests credit outperforms
sovereigns in tightening cycles.
— Cautious on EM debt due to the
uncertain growth outlook but
looking for opportunities to add.
— Active management advised,
especially in high yield.
Footnotes: Outlook as of March 21, 2016 Multi-Asset Investment Committee
Meeting and
March 22, 2016 Americas Regional Investment Committee
Source: Deutsche Bank Wealth Management
Equity markets
— Most global Indices have rallied
1096+ since their Feb. lows. As
a resu lt, valuations look
stretched, technicals are
EFTA01477975
approaching overbought
1 ti
1 k
territory and near term caution
may be warranted.
— We reduced our weighting to
global equities by lowering the
U.S. (still overweight) and
Europe (to neutral).
— Still favor DM vs. EM.
— In the near term, global equities
may be challenged by weak
earnings, geopolitical risks and
stretched valuations.
— Favor select cyclicals over
defensives.
— In EM favor Asia over Latam.
— Over the next 12 months,
equities should be supported by
improving earnings growth,
modest economic growth and
economic
accommodative central banks.
— However, heightened volatility
will offer tactical opportunities to
adjust positions (e.g. regions,
sectors) as warranted.
— As the economic cycle matures
(especially in U.S.), returns
should be driven by dividends,
buybacks and earnings growth.
— Favor DM over EM due to more
attractive fundamentals, better
earnings visibility and greater
monetary policy flexibility.
— In EM, favor Asia vs. Latam due
to more attractive fundamentals
and policy flexibility.
Alternatives and
Commodities
— With oil production continuing to
come down (rig count near
1)
seven year low) an the ollar
remaining under pressure,
prices have been able to find
near term stability.
d th d 11
— However, it is too early to
suggest the bottom in oil prices
is behind us. Oil prices will likely
EFTA01477976
be challenged in the near term
as the dollar gains strength and
the ongoing supply/demand
imbalance remains.
— Gold has been supported by
geopolitical events, aggressive
central bank actions and slower
Fed rate hikes.
— Increased volatility to favor
select hedge funds.
— The combination of heightened
volatility, over supply and
stronger dollar keeps us
underweight commodities.
ei
— However, an expectation for
better global growth (in 2016)
and likely production cuts
should support a modest rise in
oil prices over the next 12
months (Mar 2017 target=$50)
— Another way to complement
commodity exposure is through
investments less sensitive to the
price of oil (e.g. MLPs, oil
transportation & storage).
— We favor hedge funds with a
focus on equity market neutral.
These should benefit from
dispersion within equity sectors
and regions.
19
Long Term
Near Term
EFTA01477977
Charts of the Month — March/April 2016
Changes to 2016 GDP Estimate
7.0%
2.0%
3.0%
4.0%
5.0%
6.0%
0.0%
1.0%
U.S.
Europe
Footnotes: Data as of March 2016.
Data as of March
Source: Deutsche Asset Management, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
UK
November 2015 Forecast for 2016 GDP
Japan
China World
March 2016 Forecast For 2016 GDP
Footnotes: Data as of March 25, 2016.
Data as of March
Source: FactSet, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
Global Sovereign Yields Highly Correlated Production Cuts Good; More Needed
The ECB's aggressive central bank actions have
pushed sovereign rates across Europe lower,
keeping the rise in U.S rates muted
rise in
. rates muted.
9,000
10,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
4,000
5,000
Jan-10
Jan-11
Jan-12
Jan-13
Jan-14
DOE Crude Oil Production
Footnotes: Data as of March 25, 2016.
Source: FactSet, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
Footnotes: Data is as of March 18, 2016.
Source: Bloomberg Finance LP, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
20
Jan-15
Jan-16
EFTA01477978
bbls/day. However, supply is still too high and will
According to the Department of Energy total oil
production has fallen by nearly 600 million
g
Y, PP
need to come down before a more meaningful
rebound in oil prices is seen.
The biggest change to our World GDP estimate came
from the fth U.S. which was downgraded from 2.4% to
hi h d
1.9% in 2016.
d d f 2 4% t
U.S. Valuations "Stretched"
The recent rally in equities has pushed valuations to levels
that warrant caution.
1000 bbls/day
EFTA01477979
Economic and Capital Market Forecasts
March/April 2016
GDP Growth
in %
World
USA
Euroland
UK
Japan
China
Inflation
in %
USA (core PCE)
Euroland
UK
Japan
China
Curr Acct Balance
in % of GDP
USA
Euroland
UK
Japan
China
Fiscal Balance
in % ofGDP of GDP
USA
Euroland
UK
Japan
China
KI t
-2.8%
-1.9%
-3.3%
-6.0%
-2.4%
Key Interest Rates Ct
USA (Fed funds)
Euroland (Refi rate)
UK (Repo rate)
Japan (Mmkt rate)
t t l
0.25%
0.00%
0.50%
0.00%
Currentl
-2.9%
-1.9%
-2.5%
EFTA01477980
-5.2%
-2.5%
12 Mo Forecast
(Mar 2017)
0.75-1.00%
0.00%
0.50%
0.00%
Footnotes: Macro estimates are according to Deutsche Asset & Wealth
Management and are as of March 2016. U.S. GDP is 4Q over 4Q. 1 Current as of
March 28, 2016. 2 LTM
s td f
th 3 P/E d EPS f
t
ditDthAt&Wlth M
t 4 Di ti i
i b d i i ld
5 Hi h i ld
tands or last twelve months. 3 P/E and EPS forecasts are according to
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management 4 Direction in sovereign bonds is yield
move. 5 High yield spread
is high yield versus five year Treasury. 6 Next 3% move in credit is return
move.
Source: FactSet, Deutsche Bank Wealth Management.
d
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
21
()
2016
3.2%
19%
1.9%
1.5%
2.0%
1.0%
6.0%
2016
1.6%
0.3%
0.6%
0.8%
1.2%
2016
-2.7%
2.9%
-3.9%
2.8%
2.5%
2016
2017
EFTA01477981
Currencies
3.6%
20%
2.0%
1.5%
2.1%
0.8%
6.0%
2017
1.7%
1.5%
1.8%
1.8%
1.2%
USA (S&P 500)
2017
-2.9%
2.8%
-3.5%
2.5%
2.5%
2017
USA
Euroland (German Bund)
UK
Japan
Credit
Barclays U.S. High Yield
Yg
1.89%
0.18%
1.45%
-0.10%
Current
Couponl
6.60%
JPM GBI- EM Global Diversified (Local)
JPM EMBIG (EM Broad Index) (Hard
Currency)
Yield
8.35%
6.55%
Current
Spread5
700
405
Euroland (Euro Stoxx 50)
Germany (DAX)
UK (FTSE 100)
MSCI Japan (JPY)
2037
EFTA01477982
2987
9851
6106
833
Asia ex Japan (MSCI in USD) 495
Latin America (MSCI in USD) 2125
Sovereign Rates
Currentl
EUR vs USD
vs. USD
USD vs. JPY
EUR vs CHF
GBP vs USD
USD vs CNY*
Commodities
Oil (WTI) in USD
Gold in USD
()
Equities
Currentl
112
1.12
113.25
1.09
1.43
6.52
Currentl
39
1220
Currentl
Dividend
Yield
2.1%
4.0%
2.9%
4.1%
2.3%
3.0%
3.1%
P/E (LTM)2 NTM P/E
17.38
13.20
12.32
15.38
14.42
12.63
18.86
13.75
13.25
14.50
15.00
EFTA01477983
13.00
17.00
Forecast3
16.75
NTM EPS
Forecast3
123
233
818
400
60
39
112
Next 396+ Move
$
44
44
44
44
Next 396+ Move
44
44
Next 396+ Move
44
44
44
44
44
44
1
12 Month Forecast
(March 2017)
105
1.05
120.00
1.12
1.50
6.90
12 Month Forecast
(March 2017)
50
1100
12 Month Forecast
(March 2017)
2060
3200
10800
5800
890
500
1900
EFTA01477984
Next 3%+ Yield Move4 12 Month Forecast
(March 2017)
44
44
44
44
Next 3%+ Move6
44
44
44
2.00%
0.35%
1.90%
-0.10%
12-Month (Price
Return Estimate)
-3.2%
12 Month Return
(March 2017)
-64%6.4%
6.0%
2.6%
5.2%
5.9%
12 Month Return
(March 2017)
26.9%
-9.8%
12 Month Return
(March 2017)
3.3%
11.1%
9.6%
-0.9%
9.2%
4.0%
-7.5%
12 Month Return
(March 2017)
10%
1.0%
-1.3%
-2.0%
-0.1%
12 Month Return
3.4%
EFTA01477985
Important information
This document has been prepared for informational purposes only and is not
an offer, or solicitation of an offer, to buy or sell any security, or a
recommendation to enter into any
transaction relating to the products and services described herein. Before
entering into any transaction, you should take steps to ensure that you
understand and have made an
independent assessment of the appropriateness of the transaction in light of
your own particular financial, legal and tax situation, investment
objectives and level of risk tolerance,
and you should consult your legal and tax advisers to determine how these
products and/or services may affect you. Deutsche Bank does not provide tax,
legal or accounting
advice.
This document contains "forward-looking statements"- that is statements
related to future not past events In this context forward -looking statements
often address expected
future business and financial performance, and often contain words such as
"expect," "anticipate," "intend," "plan," "believe," "seek," or "will."
Forward-looking statements by their
nature address matters that are, to different degrees, uncertain. Particular
uncertainties that could adversely or positively affect future results
include: the behavior of financial
markets, including fluctuations in interest and exchange rates, commodity
and equity prices and the value of financial assets; continued volatility
and further deterioration of the
capital markets; the commercial and consumer credit environment; the impact
of regulation and regulatory, investigative and legal actions; strategic
actions, including acquisitions
and dispositions; future integration of acquired businesses; future
financial performance of major industries; and numerous other matters of
national, regional and global scale,
including those of a political, economic, business and competitive nature.
These uncertainties may cause actual future results to be materially
different than those expressed in
our forward-looking statements.
This
statements
related
future,
, events. In this context,
statements often
expected
Although this document has been carefully prepared and is based on
information from sources believed to be reliable no representation is made
that it is accurate and complete.
information
to be reliable, no repre
We have no obligation to update or amend the information provided herein,
and information is subject to change without notice.
EFTA01477986
Investments in Foreign Countries - Such investments may be in countries that
prove to be politically or economically unstable. Furthermore, in the case
of investments in foreign
securities or other assets, any fluctuations in currency exchange rates will
affect the value of the investments and any restrictions imposed to prevent
capital flight may make it
difficult or impossible to exchange or repatriate foreign currency.
Emerging Markets - Such markets may be in transitional or formative stages
and thus may be significantly less stable than developed markets. Changes in
emerging markets
government structures or other political instability may result in
nationalization, expropriation, ad hoc regulation, or foreign investment
restrictions. Emerging market investments
are at risk for currency devaluation as well as convertibility liquidity and
transparency constraints The high volatility and speculative nature of
emerging market investments may
at risk for
, as wel as convertibility,
result in both significant losses or profits.
Foreign Exchange/Currency - Such transactions involve multiple risks,
including currency risk and settlement risk. Economic or financial
instability, lack of timely or reliable
financial information or unfavorable political or legal developments may
substantially and permanently alter the conditions, terms, marketability or
price of a foreign currency.
Profits and losses in transactions in foreign exchange will also be affected
by fluctuations in currency where there is a need to convert the product's
denomination(s) to another
currency. Time zone differences may cause several hours to elapse between a
payment being made in one currency and an offsetting payment in another
currency. Relevant
movements in currencies during the settlement period may seriously erode
potential profits or significantly increase any losses.
High Yield Fixed Income Securities - Investing in high yield bonds which
tend to be more volatile than investment grade fixed income securities is
speculative These bonds are
affected by interest rate changes and the creditworthiness of the issuers,
and investing in high yield bonds poses additional credit risk, as well as
greater risk of default.
Yield Fixed Income Securities
in high yield
, which tend
fixed income securities, is speculative.
Commodities - The risk of loss in trading commodities can be substantial.
The price of commodities (e.g., raw industrial materials such as gold,
copper and aluminum) may be
subject to substantial fluctuations over short periods of time and may be
affected by unpredicted international monetary and political policies.
Additionally, valuations of
commodities may be susceptible to such adverse global economic, political or
regulatory developments. Prospective investors must independently assess the
EFTA01477987
appropriateness of
an investment in commodities in light of their own financial condition and
objectives. Not all affiliates or subsidiaries of Deutsche Bank Group offer
commodities or commodities related
products and services.
Unless you are notified to the contrary the products and services mentioned
are not guaranteed by the FDIC (or by any governmental entity) and are not
guaranteed by or
obligations of Deutsche Bank. These products are subject to investment risk,
including possible loss of principal. The past performance of a product or
service does not guarantee
or predict its future performance. Availability of alternative investments
is subject to regulatory requirements.
yo
are
to the
products
services
FDIC (or
Hedge Funds - An investment in hedge funds is speculative and involves a
high degree of risk. No assurance can be given that a hedge fund's
investment objectives will be
achieved, or that investors will receive a return of all or part of their
investment. Investments in hedge funds are suitable only for persons who can
afford to lose their entire
investments. Before investing, prospective investors should carefully
consider these risks and others, such as lack of transparency, higher fees,
illiquidity, and lack of registration.
"Deutsche Bank" means Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliated companies.
Deutsche Bank Wealth Management represents the asset management and wealth
management
activities conducted by Deutsche Bank AG or its subsidiaries. Brokerage
services are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities Inc., a registered
broker-dealer and registered
investment adviser, which conducts investment banking and securities
activities in the United States. Deutsche Bank Securities Inc. is a member
of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC.
by Deutsche Bank
02016 Deutsche Bank AG. 023668. 033016
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
22
subsidiaries
offered through Deutsche Bank
constraints. The
of emerging market investments may
EFTA01477988
Biographies
Larry Adam
Chief Investment Officer and Chief Investment Strategist
Deutsche Bank Wealth Management—Americas
Larry Adam is a Managing Director and serves the dual role of Chief
Investment Officer and Chief
Investment Strategist for Deutsche Bank Wealth Management — Americas. In his
role as CIO, he chairs
the Americas Regional Investment Committee, the management team responsible
for investment
strategy and asset allocation for discretionary portfolios in the Americas,
and is a voting member on the
Multi Asset Investment Committee, which formalizes and establishes the
global house view. As Chief
Investment Strategist, Mr. Adam is responsible for articulating and
providing detailed research on the
outlook for the economy and each major asset class in support of the house
view.
Previously, Mr. Adam was the Head of the Asset Allocation and Quantitative
Analysis Group, the group
responsible for analyzing and implementing client-specific asset allocation
strategies. He is widely
published and has been quoted in various mainstream and financial
publications, including The Wall
Street Journal, Barron's and International Herald Tribune. He also
frequently appears on television and
has been featured on CNBC and Bloomberg TV. Mr. Adam joined Deutsche Bank
Alex. Brown in 1992.
Mr. Adam received a B.B.A. and a master's degree in business with a
concentration in finance from
Loyola University Maryland. He has earned Chartered Financial Analyst,
Certified Investment
Management Analyst and Certified Financial Planner designations.
TM
He can be reached at or emailed at
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
23
EFTA01477989
Biographies
Paul Bartilucci
Managing Director, Senior Portfolio Manager
Paul Bartilucci is a Managing Director and Senior Portfolio Consultant at
Deutsche Asset & Wealth
Management in New York.
Mr. Bartilucci has over 20 years of investment management experience. Before
joining Deutsche Bank
in 2010, he was a Director and Senior Portfolio Manager in the Tailored
Portfolio Group at Citibank,
where he was responsible for the management of equity and balanced
portfolios for the Private Bank's
ultra-high-net-worth clients. Mr. Bartilucci was also a member of the Equity
Policy Committee which was
responsible for constructing the Tailored Group's U.S. Large Cap Core
portfolio. Prior to joining Citibank
in 2003, Mr. Bartilucci was a Senior Portfolio Manager with Deutsche Bank,
where he was responsible
for the management of portfolios for Investment Advisory and Trust clients.
In addition, he supported the
Equity Strategy Committee, providing research on the U.S. consumer cyclical
sector and convertible
M Btil
i h
20
t
t
t
iBfjiiDthBk
securities.
Mr. Bartilucci earned a B.A. in economics from The College of the Holy Cross
in Worcester,
Massachusetts and an M.B.A. in finance and international business from New
York University.
He can be reached at or emailed at
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
24
EFTA01477990
Biographies
Joseph Dursi
Director, Investment Specialist — Deutsche Bank Wealth
Management Americas
Joseph Dursi is the Head of Investment Solutions for Deutsche Bank Wealth
Management in the Americas.
Mr. Dursi and his team are responsible for identifying and creating unique
investment solutions for ultrahigh-net-worth
clients. The customized investment strategies that Mr. Dursi and his team
create utilize a
multi-asset class approach to help achieve the short and long-term goals of
their clients.
Prior to joining Deutsche Bank, Mr. Dursi served as the Head of Portfolio
Consulting at Barclays Wealth
Americas where he and his team were responsible for developing tactical
investment solutions through
asset allocation modeling and product selection for ultra-high-net-worth
individuals, family offices and
endowments/foundations. Mr. Dursi joined Barclays in September 2008 as part
of the organization's
acquisition of Lehman Brothers' Private Investment Management business in
the Americas. Prior to that,
Mr. Dursi was in various roles at Lehman Brothers including Senior/Junior
Portfolio Consultant and
Financial Controller for the firms infrastructure initiatives.
Mr. Dursi holds a B.B.A., Summa Cum Laude, from the University of Notre Dame
and an M.B.A. from the
Stern School of Business at New York University, where he was designated a
Stern Scholar. He lives in
Rockville Centre, New York with his wife and their dau hter.
He can be reached at or emailed at
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
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Biographies
Thomas P. Heidenberger
Portfolio Analyst
Thomas Heidenberger is a Portfolio Analyst at Deutsche Bank Asset & Wealth
Management in New
York, where he conducts portfolio analysis and day to day investment
management inquiries for ultrayy
y
high-net-worth individuals, trusts and foundations.
Thomas joined the Company in 2014 with 5 years of industry experience. Prior
to joining, Thomas was an
Associate in Institutional Sales & Trading at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.
Mr. Heidenberger earned a BA in Business Administration from the University
of Scranton.
He can be reached at or emailed at
Deutsche Asset
& Wealth Management
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Important information
The following is a current list and description of the indices used in the
blended benchmarks for the Composite and Model returns shown on the
preceding pages. The indices are
used for comparative purposes only and are not intended to parallel the risk
or investment style of the investment vehicles.
The S&P 500 Index is an unmanaged index containing 500 U.S. industrial,
transportation, utility and financial companies. The S&P 500 Index is
capitalization-weighted calculated on
a total return basis with dividends reinvested.
The Russell 2000 Index is a capitalization-weighted index and is rebalanced
by the Frank Russell Company every June 30 to reflect changes in the
marketplace.
The MSCI Europe Index (net of withholding taxes) is a free float-adjusted
market capitalization index that is designed to measure developed market
equity performance in Europe.
As of May 2005, the MSCI Europe Index consisted of the following 16
developed market country indices: Austria, Belgium, Denmark, Finland,
France, Germany, Greece, Ireland,
Italy, the Netherlands, Norway, Portugal, Spain, Sweden, Switzerland and the
United Kingdom.
The MSCI Japan Index (net of withholding taxes) is a market capitalization -
weighted index, adjusted for free float. The Index is designed to reflect
the sectoral diversity of the
Japanese equity markets.
The MSCI Pacific Free ex-Japan Index (net of withholding taxes) is a free
float-adjusted market capitalization index that is designed to measure
equity market performance in the
Pacific region. The index consists of the following 4 Developed Market
countries: Australia, Hong Kong, New Zealand, and Singapore.
The MSCI Emerging Markets Index (net of withholding taxes) is a market
capitalization-weighted index composed of companies representative of the
market structure of emerging
market countries in Europe, Latin America, and the Pacific Basin.
The Barclays Municipal Short/Intermediate Index is a market-value-weighted
index engineered for the short to intermediate part of the yield curve.
Eligible bonds include General
Obligations and Revenue bonds issued with maturities between one and 10
years. The Index is fairly evenly distributed along the first 10 years. In
order to be included in the index,
bonds must have a minimum credit rating of Baa. They must have an
outstanding par value of at least $5 million and be issued as part of a
transaction of at least $50 million.
The Merrill Lynch/BOA High Yield Master II Index tracks the performance of
below investment-grade US dollar-denominated corporate bonds publicly issued
in the US domestic
market. "Yankee" bonds (debt of foreign issuers issued in the US domestic
market) are included in the Index provided the issuer is domiciled in a
country having an investmentgrade
foreign currency long-term debt rating (based on a composite of Moody's and
S&P). 144a issues are included in the Index. Qualifying bonds must have at
EFTA01477993
least 1 year
remaining term to maturity, a fixed coupon schedule and a minimum amount
outstanding of USD 100 million. Bonds must be rated below investment-grade
based on a composite of
Moody's and S&P. Defaulted bonds are excluded. The Index is rebalanced on
the last calendar day of the month. Issues that meet the qualifying criteria
are included in the Index for
the following month. Issues that no longer meet the criteria during the
course of the month remain in the Index until the next month-end rebalancing
at which point they are dropped
from the Index.
The Citigroup Unhedged Non-US World Government Bond Index (WGBI) is a market
capitalization-weighted index consisting of the government bond markets of
certain countries.
Country eligibility is determined based on market capitalization and
investability criteria. All issues have a remaining maturity of at least one
year. Rebalanced monthly.
The Barclays U.S. Tips Index consists of securities issued by the U.S.
government which are protected from Inflation. Each security must be
investment-grade and have a par of at
least $200,000,000 as well as have at least one year left until maturity.
The JP Morgan GBI Emerging Markets Index-Unhedged tracks local currency
bonds issued by emerging market governments.
The HFRI Fund of Funds Index: The HFRI Monthly Indices (HFRI) are equally
weighted performance indexes, utilized by numerous hedge fund managers as a
benchmark for their
own hedge funds. The HFRI are broken down into 37 different categories by
strategy, including the HFRI Fund Weighted Composite, which accounts for
over 1600 funds listed on
the internal HFR Database
The DBLCI Diversified Commodities Index represents 14 commodities drawn from
the energy, precious metals, industrial metals and agriculture sectors.
The iMoneyNet Money Funds (All) Tax-Free Average is presented net of fees
and is used for comparative purposes only and is not intended to parallel
the risk or investment style of
the accounts included in the composite. The iMoneyNet Money Funds (All) Tax -
Free Average includes all tax-free and municipal retail and institutional
money funds. It consists of
funds in the National Tax-Free Retail, National Tax-Free Institutional,
State-Specific Retail, and State-Specific Institutional categories.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
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Important information
Mutual Fund — The value of fund shares will fluctuate with market conditions
and when redeemed, may be worth more or less than their original cost. Past
performance does not guarantee future results. The performance data shown
represents past performance. Current performance of the stated mutual funds
may
be higher or lower than the performance data quoted. The performance shown
does not reflect the deduction of sales loads, but does account for
management,
administrative and 12b-1 fees. If the sales loads were reflected, the loads
would reduce the performance quoted. Please contact your Relationship
Manager to
obtain the relevant mutual fund performance data current to the most recent
month end.
Deutsche Bank may have certain conflicts of interest in recommending
investments in certain funds, including the fact that we may receive 12b-1
fees and other
compensation from the funds and their investment advisers and that fund may
execute transactions through Deutsche Bank.
Investors should seek to obtain and read carefully the prospectus offered
for each mutual fund considered for investment. An investor should consider
the
objectives, risks, and charges and expenses of the fund carefully before
investing. When compared to owning individual securities, mutual funds
charge ongoing
fees and expenses for their professional management, which are not assessed
on individual security purchases. A detailed prospectus which contains
important
information, including the fund's investment objectives, risks, fees and
expenses, can be obtained from your Relationship Manager at Deutsche Bank.
Small Cap funds may be more volatile than Large Cap funds due to less
consistent earnings and lower trading volumes, as they often invest assets
in small
and/or start-up companies. Such investments increase the risk of greater
price fluctuations and loss. Investments in International funds may also
contain
investments which are potentially exposed to economic or financial
instability, specific to each country or currency risks, or if hedged, the
cost incurred due to the
hedging of currency risks. Additionally, lack of timely or reliable
financial information or unfavorable political or legal developments may
substantially and
permanently alter the conditions, terms, marketability, or price of the
underlying investment by the fund.
Bond funds may lose value, as the principal is not guaranteed and the fund's
net asset value will fluctuate, as bond prices fluctuate and individual
bonds will be
bought and sold by the Investment Advisor, resulting in gains or losses.
Generally, when interest rates go up, bond prices decline, which will
negatively impact
the fund's share price. Bond funds are also exposed to credit risk, or the
EFTA01477995
risk that the fund's individual bonds will be downgraded, and inflation
risk, or the risk that
the rate of the bonds' yield will not provide a positive return over the
rate of inflation.
Reinvestment — The dollar amount of Mutual Fund distributions, Money Market
fund income, or dividends or other securities shown on your statement may
have
been reinvested into additional shares. You will not receive confirmation of
these reinvestment transactions. However, information pertaining to these
transactions which would otherwise appear on confirmations, including the
time of execution and the name of the person from whom your security was
purchased, will be furnished to upon written request to your Relationship
Manager.
Hedge Fund — An investment in hedge funds is speculative and involves a high
degree of risk, and is suitable only for "Qualified Purchasers" as defined
by the
U.S. Investment Company Act of 1940, as amended, and "Accredited Investors"
as defined by Regulation D of the 1933 Securities Ac, as amended. No
assurance can be given that a hedge fund's investment objectives will be
achieved, or that investors will receive a return of all or part of their
investment. Investments in hedge funds are suitable only for persons who can
afford to lose their entire investments. Before investing, prospective
investors
should carefully consider these risks and others, such as lack of
transparency, higher fees, illiquidity, and lack of registration. Values for
Hedge funds are
estimates until final values are provided by the fund administrator. Hedge
Fund market value and performance represents the most up to date estimate
provided
by the fund administrator which differs from the Deutsche Bank statements
that represent values at a one month lag.
Emerging markets may be in transitional or formative stages and thus may be
significantly less stable than developed markets. Changes in emerging markets
government structures or other political instability may result in
nationalization, expropriation, ad hoc regulation, or foreign investment
restrictions. Emerging
market investments are at risk for currency devaluation, as well as
convertibility, liquidity and transparency constraints. The high volatility
and speculative nature
of emerging market investments may result in both significant losses or
profits.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
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Important information
Real Estate Investments — Such investments may be or become nonperforming
after acquisition for a wide variety of reasons. Nonperforming real estate
investments may require substantial workout negotiations and / or
restructuring. Environmental liabilities may pose a risk such that the owner
or operator of real
property may become liable for the costs of removal or remediation of
certain hazardous substances released on, about, under or in its property
Additionally, to
the extent real estate investments are made in foreign countries, such
countries may prove to be politically or economically unstable. Finally,
exposure to
fluctuations in currency exchange rates may affect the value of a real
estate investment.
Commodities — The risk of loss in trading commodities can be substantial.
The price of commodities (e.g., raw industrial materials such as gold,
copper and
aluminum) may be subject to substantial fluctuations over short periods of
time and may be affected by unpredicted international monetary and political
policies.
Valuations of commodities may be susceptible to such adverse global
economic, political or regulatory developments. Prospective investors must
independently
assess the appropriateness of an investment in commodities in light of their
own financial condition and objectives.
Exchange Traded Funds — Ownership in an exchange traded fund does not
provide investors with entitlements to the underlying security. Rather
investors own
a "creation unit" in a portfolio of stocks, bonds, or other securities. ETFs
are subject to market risk and will fluctuate in value based on movements in
the
underlying security. Investors should realize that redemption values of ETFs
are based upon the market value at the time of order and not at the net
asset value
as is the case for mutual funds. Investments in ETFs are subject to
commission charges and management fees. Deutsche Bank may have certain
conflicts of
interest in recommending investments in certain funds, including the fact
that we may receive 12b-1 fees and other compensation from the funds and
their
investment advisors and that funds may execute transactions through Deutsche
Bank. Carefully consider a Fund's investment objectives, risk factors and
charges and expenses before investing. This and other information can be
found in the Fund's prospectus, which may be obtained by calling 1-855-DBX-
ETFS
(1-855-329-3837), or by viewing or downloading a prospectus. Read the
prospectus carefully before investing.
Bonds are subject to interest rate risk. When interest rates rise, bond
prices fall; generally the longer a bond's maturity, the more sensitive it
is to this risk. Bonds
may also be subject to call risk, which is the risk that the issuer will
EFTA01477997
redeem the debt at its option, fully or partially, before the scheduled
maturity date. The market
value of debt instruments may fluctuate, and proceeds from sales prior to
maturity may be more or less than the amount originally invested or the
maturity value
due to changes in market conditions or changes in the credit quality of the
issuer. Bonds are subject to the credit risk of the issuer. This is the risk
that the issuer
might be unable to make interest and/or principal payments on a timely
basis. Bonds are also subject to reinvestment risk, which is the risk that
principal and/or
interest payments from a given investment may be reinvested at a lower
interest rate
Tax Free Municipal bonds are subject to changes in price, call and
availability. Under present law, these bonds provide exemption from federal
tax and
depending on your state of residence may be exempt from state and local tax.
Income may be subject to the Alternative Minimum Tax. There are additional
risks
associated with International investing.
High Yield Fixed Income — Investing in high yield bonds, which tend to be
more volatile than investment grade fixed income securities, is speculative.
These
bonds are affected by interest rate changes and the creditworthiness of the
issuers, and investing in high yield bonds poses additional credit risk, as
well as
greater risk of default.
Fixed Income — The values of the fixed income instruments presented will
fluctuate and may lose value, as bond values decline as interest rates rise.
Certain
bonds and fixed income instruments presented may be callable. If called, the
investor will experience a shorter maturity than anticipated. Bonds
referenced
herein are exposed to credit risk, or the risk that the bond will be
downgraded, and inflation risk, or the risk that the rate of the bond's
yield will not provide a
positive return over the rate of inflation.
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
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Important information
This document is for information purposes only and is not intended to be an
offer or solicitation, or the basis for any contract to purchase or sell any
security, or
other instrument, or for Deutsche Bank to enter into or arrange any type of
transaction as a consequence of any information contained herein. The
material is
based upon information which we consider reliable, but we do not represent
that such information is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied
upon as
such. This information is current and is subject to change. The products and
services described in this document are not appropriate for everyone, so an
interested party must make his or her own independent legal, tax, accounting
and financial evaluation of their merits and risks. Opinions expressed
herein may
differ from the opinions expressed by departments or other divisions or
affiliates of Deutsche Bank.
The investment ideas presented herein are subject to investment risk,
including possible loss of principal. The past performance of securities or
other instruments
does not necessarily indicate or predict future performance and the value of
investments and income arising there from can decrease as well as increase,
the
investor may get back less than was invested and no assurance can be given
that any investment described herein would yield favorable investment
results.
Unless you are notified to the contrary, these strategies are not insured by
the FDIC (or by any governmental entity) and are not guaranteed by, or
obligations of,
Deutsche Bank.
Deutsche Bank AG, including its subsidiaries and affiliates, does not
provide legal, tax or accounting advice. This communication was prepared
solely in
connection with the promotion or marketing, to the extent permitted by
applicable law, of the transaction or matter addressed herein, and was not
intended or
written to be used, and cannot be relied upon, by any taxpayer for the
purposes of avoiding any U.S. federal tax penalties. The recipient of this
communication
should seek advice from an independent tax advisor regarding any tax matters
addressed herein based on its particular circumstances.
All trademarks and service marks on this statement belong to Deutsche Bank
AG or its affiliates, except third-party trademarks or service marks, which
are the
property of their respective owners.
"Deutsche Bank" means Deutsche Bank AG and its affiliated companies.
Deutsche Bank Wealth Management refers to the wealth management activities
for
high-net-worth clients around the world conducted by Deutsche Bank AG or its
subsidiaries. Brokerage services are offered through Deutsche Bank Securities
Inc., a broker-dealer and registered investment adviser, which conducts
EFTA01477999
investment banking and securities activities in the United States. Deutsche
Bank
Securities Inc. is a member of FINRA, NYSE and SIPC. Lending and banking
services are offered through Deutsche Bank Trust Company Americas, member
FDIC, and other members of the Deutsche Bank Group. 02016 Deutsche Bank AG.
All rights reserved.
023040T 012716 SPG approved
Deutsche Bank
Wealth Management
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