To: jeevacation@gmail.com
Subject: Re: Trade Idea: Long 3-Month USDCAD KI Call Spread - 1.10 with a 1.13 sold call knocking-
in only if USDCAD trades to 1.17
From: Tazia Smith
Sent Friday, January
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Classification: For internal use only
10mm notional?
Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners • US
Deutsche Sank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue. 26th Floor
Now York. NY 10154
Tel.
Fax
IAooile
Email
From: Jeffrey Epstein <jeever-ationegmail.com>
To:
Date:
Subject Re: Trade Idea: Long 3-Month USOCAD KI Call Spread - 1.10 with a 1.13 sold call knocking-in only if USDCAD trades to 1.170)
i like it .. size ?
On Fri, Jan 17, 2014 at I 1:48 AM, Tazia Smith < t• wrote:
Classification: For internal use only
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Jeffrey -
Our US FX traders agree/like Nav's call here. The 3-month 1.10/1.13 USDCAD, 1.17
knock-in call spread (where that 1.13 short call only exists if USDCAD goes to 1.17
during the life of the trade) described below iscurrently offered -1.1% (Source: DB FX
Sales, 1/17/14). Please see the investment thesis below and let us know your
thoughts.
Best,
Tazia
Indicative levels only. Subject to market movement. Source: DB Key Client Partners
London, as of 1/17/14.
t:orwateoci on 01/17/2014 10:35 AM —
;=rorr
Date 01/17/2014 07:35 AM
Subject I like buying USDCAD calls to position for further weakness in CAD. Spot FX is currently 1.095. [I]
Classification: For internal use only
I like USDCAD call options to position for further weakness in CAD. Spot FX is currently
1.095.
Over the course of the past week the interest rate curve has started pricing in a small
amount of rate cuts - this development is significant and clearly a beginning of a pain
trade. I believe it can go further. Lower CAD rates from here will drive USD CAD higher.
The limited downside play I like best in USDCAD is buying a 3month expiry 1.10 / 1.13
call spread on USDCAD but where the short 1.13 call position only exists (knocks-in) if
USD trades at 1.17 trades in the market before the option expires, otherwise the option
payoff is the same as a 1.10 call option.
It costs 1% of USD notional. I believe the buyer is well compensated for the knock-in
component.
If USDCAD rises to 1.15 the option payout is 5 big figures. If 1.17 trades before expiry
the payout is limited to 3 big figures.
Max loss is premium paid.
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We can price other structures to fit the risk tolerance (higher or lower) of clients - let us
know
Key Macro Highlights
• * * * *The economy clearly lags the US. Dec13 unemployment unexpectedly rose
last Friday to 7.2%
• * * * * South of the border demand for USDCAD is declining as the US heads
towards energy independence
• * « • *Low inflation and weak exports are likely to preclude any rate hikes in 2014
Best,
Nav
Nav Gupta
Managing Director
Deutsche Bank AG. Filiale London
Deutsche Asset & Wealth Management
105)108 Old Broad St Pinners Hall), EC2N 1EN London. United Kingdom
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Tazia Smith
Director I Key Client Partners - US
Deutsche Bank Securities Inc
Deutsche Asset S Wealth Management
345 Park Avenue. 26th Floor
New York. NY 10154
Tel.
Fax
Mobile
Ems
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