To: roger schank
From: Jeffrey Epstein
Sent: Sat 10/31/2009 4:57:50 PM
How to teach judgment where in the following is that long sought after answer re
TEACHING
How do we get good at making a judgment? Judgments are a kind of
prediction of course. When a judge sentences a criminal he is, in a
sense, making a prediction about what will happen in the rest of this
person' s life. But he is also making decision that is no way a
prediction, but simply serves as punishment. Similarly we when we
decide that a certain restaurant is our favorite one, we are predicting
something about how much we will enjoy future experiences but we are
also making a decision that may or may not matter to others, that is
recommendation. Recommendations are also predictions, but they have
different feel. When a boss decides who to promote he is predicting
something about what will become for their employees but again, the
prediction isn' t the key point. A judgment is a decision that has some
import.
Nevertheless as different as judgments and predictions may or may not
be -- the process of teaching them is identical. Good judgment is
learned by making judgments and analyzing the results or truth of
those judgments as more information becomes available. These too are
cases and stories and these too can only be learned by making simple
judgments and getting smarter about the process over time on the
basis of experience.
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