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EFTA00797982Set 9

certain variables reduces or even obliterates the effects of the predictors if they are correlated with the control variables (Angrist & Pischke, 2008). Indeed, the kind of variables we consider here ... likely to be correlated on the national level, because they are ultimately related across explanatory levels. For example, conditions that exert a certain genetic selection pressure will eventually alter traits ... Lynn and Vanhanen (2012) considered no less than 244 national-level variables that all correlated with national-level IQ estimates, which led them to propose a ...three stage causal model

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00797982.pdf

EFTA01434591Set 10

2017-12-079p1,375w

Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila <IM= I> Date: Thu, 07 Dec 2017 16:10:16 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield ... Paul, I was with trading today. We have seen also good interest in TRY correlation from fast money, the numbers look as good or better than MXN, similar downside ... higher upside vs average and min realized correlation. Thanks fcid:image001.png@OlD36F73.10ECCECO1 From: Xavier Avila Sent: Wednesday, December 06, 2017 5:47 PM To: 'Paul Barrett •c M> Cc: Stewart

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01434591.pdf

EFTA01416150Set 10

2017-12-068p1,174w

Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila ‹ > Date: Wed, 06 Dec 2017 13:15:15 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett ( Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan ... Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan ; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Paul, file attached to look at calculations of implied and realized. Thanks From: Xavier ... Oldfield ; Joshua Shoshan < M>; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap EFTA01416150 From: Xavier Avila Sent: Friday, December 01, 2017 5:55 PM To: 'Paul

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01416150.pdf

EFTA00606068Set 9

2017-05-0812p8,894w

SCIENTIFIC REPORTS Anesthetic Alterations of Collective Terahertz Oscillations in Tubulin Correlate with Clinical Potency: Received: 8 May 2017 Accepted: I August 2017 Implications for Anesthetic Action Published online: 29 August ... conscious brain activities.While the exact mechanisms of anesthetic action are unknown, the Meyer•Overton correlation provides a link between anesthetic potency and solubility in a lipid -like, non•polar medium ... found that these gases alter collective terahertz dipole oscillations in a manner that is correlated with their anesthetic potency. Understanding anesthetic action may help reveal brain mechanisms underlying consciousness

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00606068.pdf

EFTA01435685Set 10

2017-12-058p1,142w

Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila Date: Tue, 05 Dec 2017 16:16:56 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shoshan ... Oldfield ; Joshua Shoshan <joshua.shoshan@db.com>; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila Sent: Friday, December 01, 2017 5:55 PM To: 'Paul Barrett ... Oldfield ; Joshua Shoshan <joshua.shoshan@db.com>; Martin Zeman Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap Paul, see below the note and analysis that Vimal put together. Attached also

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01435685.pdf

EFTA01436019Set 10

2017-12-016p894w

Subject: RE: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Xavier Avila Date: Fri, 01 Dec 2017 15:54:14 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett ( Cc: Stewart Oldfield Joshua Shosha ... send soon with the termsheet and mathematical claculations of implied and reaslied correlation. See also below the same idea but in EURMXN-USDMXN, the strike is a bit lower ... currencies with more interest. Talk soon. Thanks Trade Idea Sell ly EURMXN-USDMXN correlation swap at 77% Sell 2y EURMXN-USDMXN correlation swap at 77% Rationale EURMXN-USDMXN implied correlations

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01436019.pdf

EFTA02693119Set 11

2011-07-1342p11,748w

model. This procedure was 175 repeated for all the possible combinations. The Pearson correlation coefficient ( r ) was calculated 176 between the known measured signal and the predicted decoder's output ... velocity (d0/dt) the sensors were ranked 201 based on the maximum value of the correlations calculated at each lag. For the Cartesian 202 positions (x, y,z) reconstructions, the sensors ... lags, R., is the rank of sensor n and c are the best correlation 208 coefficients for each Cartesian position (x,y,z). These procedures were followed

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02693119.pdf

EFTA00610276Set 9

2014-01-0926p14,709w

market to the normalization in crisis-prone 2008-2012 period. The dollar's correlation developed markets is to buy the Norwegian krone and to equities flipped, the euro-area avoided ... buying USD vs. NZD, CHF and SGD. This basket has a steady —80% -20 correlation with both the narrow and broad USD trade- -30 weighted indices over the last ... this year's and 190 -20 basic game plan. We expect FX-equity correlations to unwinds 140 Carry trade extends. remain extraordinarily high and volatility to stay -30 150 elevated

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00610276.pdf

EFTA00156736Set 9

stages before prosecu- tion, such as victims' reporting decisions. Although research exists on correlates of rape reporting. fewer studies have looked at physical assault reporting. Research on correlates of Tenoning ... demographics and assault characteristics. Past research in both of these areas is now reviewed. Correlates of Rape Reporting Several demographic characteristics ofrape victims relate to their reponing decisions. Victim ... inci- dents affects victims' reporting decisions (Clay-Warner & Bun. 2005; Fisher et al., 2003). Correlates of Physical Assault Reporting Only a handful of existing studies have examined correlates of physical

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00156736.pdf

EFTA01139976Set 9

2013-07-0117p9,769w

family's capital to the platform BOMBAY'S INVESTMENT STRATEGY: AVOID CORRELATION, ISOLATE PORTFOLIO ALPHA, CREATE STRUCTURAL ALPHA Boothbay has two distinct but complimentary investment strategies. One is colloquially known ... small edge that — processed through the law of large numbers and avoiding correlation among bets and concentration risk— leads to consistent profits. Boothbay applies this philosophy to investments in portfolio ... allocates to a diverse group of portfolio managers with positive expectancy, low cross correlations and low concentration. This leads to a portfolio whose risk /reward characteristics are "whole greater than

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01139976.pdf

EFTA01415820Set 10

2017-10-31222p30,137w

Intermodal volumes and U.S. retail sales 10% 15% (15%) (10%) (5%) 0% 5% Correlation: 83% U.S. Intermodal Volumes Source: Deutsche Bank, AAR, FactSet ... Canadian Intermodal volumes (RHS) and CA retail sales (LHS) 10% (10%) (5%) 0% 5% Correlation: 88% CA Intermodal Volumes Source: Deutsche Bank, AAR, FactSet ... parity with coal (including transport costs associated with coal). We have witnessed a 65% correlation with U.S. coal carloads and natural gas prices over the past ten years. Page

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01415820.pdf

EFTA00875398Set 9

2013-02-084p2,467w

risk-off dead? Click here for the full Note and disclaimers. • Asset allocation — Correlation between risky assets has fallen dramatically, as global tail risks have faded allowing local forces ... Currencies — Reduce Yen shorts. • Commodities — We expect the recent fall in correlation between commodity and equity returns to continue, supporting commodity investment. • Our investment strategy has performed well ... sovereigns have tightened, but EU HY is wider. • Inconsistencies from one side imply lower correlations from the other side. The average correlation between six different major risk classes, US equities

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00875398.pdf

EFTA01405764Set 10

2015-09-04147p21,516w

last decade, has been positive for real rates and the curve. 5y5y is well correlated with changes in global liquidity and based on recent trends should be closer ... last decade, has been positive for real rates and the curve. 5y5y is well correlated with changes in global liquidity and based on recent trends should be closer ... assets, proxied by global equity prices. It would appear at first glance that the correlation is negative in that when central bank liquidity is expanding, equities are falling and vice

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01405764.pdf

EFTA01097815Set 9

2015-09-0447p20,445w

been positive for real rates and the curve. 5y5y is well Stuart Sparks correlated with changes in global liquidity and based on recent trends Research Analyst should be closer ... been positive for real rates and the curve. 5y5y is well • Research Anal correlated with changes in global liquidity and based on recent trends should be closer to 2 percent ... assets, proxied by global equity prices. It would appear at first glance that the correlation is negative in that when central bank liquidity is expanding, equities are falling and vice

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01097815.pdf

EFTA01435952Set 10

2017-11-284p564w

Subject: DB FX trade idea: EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap From: Martin Zeman Date: Tue, 28 Nov 2017 12:42:02 -0500 To: "Paul Barrett ( Cc: Stewart Oldfield Xavier Avila Joshua ... directional exposure to it. The payout is defined as a $amount per point of correlation. So that means selling the correlation at 80% for $10k per point of correlation ... know if you'd like to discuss. Martin Trade Idea Sell 6m EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap at 80% (USD payout) Sell ly EURZAR-USDZAR correlation swap at 80.5% (USD payout

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01435952.pdf

EFTA00818577Set 9

2016-09-1211p1,706w

costs 1.45% premium (compares to - 3.3% average on the vanilla ATM put) Three-month correlation between the S&P500 and 10-Year US Treasury bond prices ... Monday post-Brexit at -0.66. In the almost three months since then, the correlation of daily moves between the two increased to -0.08 and over the last month alone ... correlation has turned positive to 0.27. Increasing correlation implies less diversification for risk parity-style portfolios and could be a precursor to higher vol. We estimate multi-asset vol controlled

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00818577.pdf

EFTA00159928Set 9

2018-08-0216p12,105w

answers. Results Participants also completed a battery of psychopa- Descriptive and correlational analyses thology measures (all with strong psychometric proper- ties and appropriate for age and race/ethnicity). Of note Information ... overall sample, having a lost memory of the UTR was not significantly correlated with age (r = —.05; p = .808) Correlations controllingfor child age. Partial correla- but was significantly correlated with ... older at Time 1 was associated with a 43.87, SD = 7.47) was not significantly correlated with greater likelihood of accurately reporting genital contact at memory performance. The Titne 1 memory

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00159928.pdf

EFTA01088824Set 9

combine and optimize alternative investment strategies into a single product with superior, non- B correlated risk-adjusted returns. Mr. Glass brings decades of operating and investing experience to Boothbay, where ... index constructed by Hedge Fund Research. Inc. that exhibits lower volatiities and lower correlations to standard directional benchmarks of equity market and hedge fund industry performance. 5. The HFRX - Global ... EFTA01088831 B INVESTMENT PHILOSOPHY SUMMARY Boothbay believes that superior portfolio construction involves integrating non-correlated strategies by unifying diverse alpha streams THERE ARE FOUR FOUNDATIONAL TENETS OF BOOTHBAY'S PHILOSOPHY

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01088824.pdf

EFTA02693109Set 11

2011-01-0710p6,243w

movement is also a likely factor in reduced training time since neural signals directly correlate with intended actions. However, recently several off-line decoding studies have demonstrated the reconstruction ... exhausted. with the 34 channels of standardized EEG activity. The and the mean Pearson correlation coefficient (r) between percent contribution of these cyc channels was then assessed measured and reconstructed ... cutoff frequency of I Hz. For the ensuing practice and target control, we cross-correlated EMG signals from flexor and acquisition phases. the regression weights (a and b variables) extensor

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02693109.pdf

EFTA01188511Set 9

2013-03-0827p11,302w

kept within acceptable limits as we select stocks. In addition, Electron's return correlation to interest rates historically is slightly lower than the HFRI Equity Hedge Index's return correlation ... diversification enables higher returns per unit of risk. Electron's 7- year track record correlation to the S&P 500 and HFRI Equity Hedge indices is .41 and .68, respectively ... given cross-border commodity linkages. In Europe, in an example of the regional, non-correlated character of the global utility sector, a quite different dynamic has taken shape, with coal

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01188511.pdf

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