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EFTA01459711Set 10

2016-01-121p564w

risk off" currency (financial account • "Euroglut" outflows into the US and EMFX reverse as risk appetite sours and carry trades squeeze 1,400 • Curnolftive ... when looking for Figure 3: Positive vol premium in USD/EM, negative vol volatility in EMFX. Since EUR/USD is negatively !premium in EUR/EM as flight to EUR safety not priced correlated ... equities (acting as risk proxy), we would expect EUR to be negative correlated with EMFX as well, making EUR/EM more volatile than USD/EM. ■ EURTRY • EURMXN ■ EURINR Buy EUFflEkl volatility

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459711.pdf

EFTA01387501Set 10

2019-01-101p367w

Paul Barrett CC: Stewart Oldfield Subject USDRUB EKIKO? -> Christian's models: How attractive is EMFX and Fl as we start the year? Paul — revisiting the USDRUB EKIKO structures we discussed ... they performed and what they tell us now. It's supporting our view that EMFX > EMFI for the time being (and certainly with a falling USD tailwind), and while models ... e6eb 604?fileToken=YYY122 4yfrawv7EWbladR%2blkOxRuDeo PbvnBJ2UhJoTzOph(Nhk°/02flaKSw4Br9ALoNC/Bo9FrxnTmnJWAo2b8J08BAmrInuWN%2P/o2f72Hd6aEr Qc03nG2ks%3d For EMFX, Christian has broken this down into aggregate fundamentals (long-term valuation) score and the technicals (short

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01387501.pdf

EFTA01146788Set 9

2012-08-318p6,176w

Morgan View Adding risk in the US • Asset allocation — Cover long EMFX funded in euros and instead go outright Global Asset Allocation long US equities as US has least event ... hold US equities relative to the rest of the world. Mr Bernanke today EMFX confirmed his commitments again at Jackson Hole, but is making us wait to the Topes' next

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01146788.pdf

EFTA01458616Set 10

2015-09-251p632w

prefer to be long vs. EM peers as USD/MXN could continue higher on negative EMFX sentiment (frequently expressed through USD/MXN) and general dollar strength. We enter long MXNWEIRL, despite already ... picture continues to be unfavorable. CLP is better positioned to face the other big EMFX risk, namely Fed tightening, as foreign participation in local markets is low and the current

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458616.pdf

EFTA01387502Set 10

must hold the bonds you'd best hedge your fx. Figure 13:EMFI vs EMFX Scorecard - where is the value? FX scorecard ranking 18 17 * Mexico blic

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01387502.pdf

EFTA01379453Set 10

December 2017 Special Report. EMFX Outlook 2016: Growth•led Revaluation is not to be construed as a recommendation to trade in such securitieslinstruments. Deutsche Securities Asia Limited, Taipei Branch

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01379453.pdf

EFTA01449248Set 10

2013-05-161p568w

Blueprint: Dashing Buck Theme #9: Mexican Siesta • With the reduction of global tail risks, EMFX is still from the combination of excess global liquidity amid a attractive as a carry

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01449248.pdf

EFTA01437031Set 10

2018-03-284p735w

despite offshore speculative $ longs rising, bond positions decreasing, and locals remaining heavily dollarized. EMFX sentiment holistically does not feel good and TRY feels like a weak link with ingrained bearishness

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01437031.pdf

EFTA01458610Set 10

2015-09-251p456w

Broad USD gains USD stronger then sharply weaker • EM& Commodity FX do not further • EMFX "V" (slump then partial sharp underperform EUR by much recovery) • EUR/USD tests 1.05 (EUR/USD down

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01458610.pdf

EFTA01425809Set 10

2017-12-228p1,285w

indicative, we can prob get you a bit better. I also attach the EMFX outlook for 2018 which not sure we sent you earlier or not, plus and EM Handbook

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01425809.pdf

EFTA01379443Set 10

2017-12-111p456w

Bank Markets Research Global Economics Special Report Date Rates 11 December 2017 Credit Strategist EMFX Outlook 2018: Growth-led 1+11212 2507355 cfrausio.giacomelli@db.com Revaluation nu..?; (,er. The EM FX rally

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01379443.pdf

EFTA01379447Set 10

2017-12-111p622w

December 2017 Special Report: EMFX Outlook 2018: Growth'led Revaluation kRV: The currency goes into next year with tailwinds Growth-valuations mix is attractive for MYR, PLN, HUF from strong

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01379447.pdf

EFTA01388100Set 10

2018-03-281p515w

month has been good for the peso. In a time of fairly broad based EMFX nausea it has held in well and the last few days really gained ground

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01388100.pdf

EFTA00598496Set 9

2013-01-048p6,246w

last and most tantalizing potential game changer was raised by yesterday's EMFX 10.0 7.5 FMOC Minutes from its Dec 11-12 meeting. The minutes were quite GSCI

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00598496.pdf

EFTA01379444Set 10

2017-12-111p529w

December 2017 Special Report: EMFX Outlook 2018: Growth-led Revaluation zero and they are ending the year in negative territory IFX strengthens with faster and synchronized growth (chart

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01379444.pdf

EFTA01179128Set 9

2012-07-202p629w

years in his 25 years at lItthlorgan and has learned painfully to pay more EMFX attention to momentum than me= reversion in assessing future bond reruns GSCI TR Economic conditions

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01179128.pdf

EFTA01464418Set 10

2013-05-1660p12,430w

Dashing Buck Theme #9: Mexican Siesta 51 With the reduction of global tail risks, EMFX is still attractive as a carry proposition due to elevated interest rate differentials and reduced

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01464418.pdf

EFTA01387448Set 10

past m Os. 04. 03 02. OA. 00 - 11111111 4 at -Oa - totiffaCtreexeseenl EMFX 44 l . WWWWWPIAWVASSIA IV% ;W. i,131,1W-AVAl‘ awe. Mat Sul %Is staled .were finerk

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01387448.pdf

EFTA01388356Set 10

locals remaining heavily dollarized. EMFX sentiment holistically does not feel good and TRY feels like a weak link with ingrained bearishness not fully expressed via positioning. US-Turkey relations

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01388356.pdf

EFTA01449353Set 10

2013-05-161p570w

Blueprint: Dashing Buck Theme #9: Mexican Siesta • With the reduction of global tail risks, EMFX is still from the combination of excess global liquidity amid a attractive as a carry

https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01449353.pdf

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Corpus: 1990-03-17 – 2025-12-01

January 2016

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