EFTA01172027Set 9
8p6,086w
Cancans Ecen:mcs. CCOSCIDJ3 &comics
• Hopes are again building ahead of next week's EU summit, and intra-EMU laccasts are ice rep= arid cealries the/ se metre, tail ... addition, we see a high risk of disappointment after the
.20%
Dec 9 EU summit, as happened after each of the critical EU summits over the
past two years ... time highs on correlations across pairs.
•2%
• The next focus is the Dec 9 EU summit at which fiscal union will be the focus
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01172027.pdf
EFTA01069672Set 9
5p3,871w
Market I June 25.2012 J.P.Morgan
Topics: The upcoming EU summit, the Fed's efforts to jumpstart growth, how hard a US budget compromise is going to
be, and a look ... rare aspect of the 2012 US Presidential election
(Another) EU summit. I think everyone understands by now why Europe matters. In a recent note, we showed how one third ... official creditors.
EFTA01069672
Eye on the Market I June 25.2012 J.P.Morgan
Topics: The upcoming EU summit, the Fed's efforts to jumpstart growth, hos% hard a US budget compromise
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01069672.pdf
EFTA01170770Set 9
8p5,884w
many market participants Global Gov Bonds" ■
by surprise, as they did not consider the EU Summit that impressive. In EM S Corp. ■
addition, the largest eurobond markets at the core ... remain long risk. Much has been written about how
MSCI AC Work' O
the EU Summit Statement is full of vague promises and short of concrete MSCI Europe' O
details ... again, as banks 2.9 310
delever and austerity bites hard.
2.4 285
• If the EU Summit were the only reason to be long risk assets, then we accept
that
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01170770.pdf
EFTA01170207Set 9
8p5,847w
demand picture is improving. Matthew Lehmann
• Confusing rumors and counter-rumors on what the EU Summit would or would
not deliver whipsawed markets all week, but leave credit ... oleSnr GDP crovith forecast
• How will markets react if the EU summits provide the goods? Global inves-
tors have been hedging the EMU debt crisis by underweighting Europe,
European banks ... tefecasIs ae kt mats and waft= Pal., avenged Lang the
favorable odds on the EU summits is are a clear plus. So are signs that Wash- same Slav ming
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01170207.pdf
EFTA00410733Set 9
2012-06-225p1,541w
Hollande, Merkel, Rajoy &
Monti meeting in Rome today ahead of the key EU Summit next week and the proposal to allow
the EFSF/ESM to buy peripheral sovereign debt will remain ... bazookas is going to come out"). Stakes are high for the EU Summit next week as Monti has
made clear says the Guardian<http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/2012/jun/22/mario-monti-week-
save-eurozone>. Reminder that ... Conference
(Boston), Earnings (GIS, LEN, MKC, MON, PAYX)
Thursday: GDP, Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, EU Summit in Brussels, Earnings (FDO, CAN,
NKE, RIMM)
Friday: Personal Income and Spending, Chicago
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00410733.pdf
EFTA01069739Set 9
2012-07-096p4,242w
Morg an Securities LLC. Source: Federal Reserve Board.
European Subiunctivitis
The markets liked the EU summit, presumably since a green light was given to the EU bailout facility (European Stability ... second half of the year.
One last thing: the politics of the EU
summit appear quite tense, and you have to
wonder if this is how monetary unions are
made ... next move is Germany's.
Michael Cembalest
J.P. Morgan Asset Management
June 2012 EU Summit Maneuvers
Key (This is my own read of who did what and why. Obviously, opinions
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01069739.pdf
EFTA00606080Set 9
2012-06-265p4,081w
Morgan North America Equity Research
26 June 2012
Global CC: Initial Conclusions
Post-EU Summit
Global Discussion: Economic, Policy, Rates, Equities.
Fri 12.00pm ET, 6/29
Please note that this ... global conference call to discuss with investors our initial
conclusions regarding the much-anticipated EU Summit. How effective is the J.P. Morgan Securities LLC
expected proposal fore a fiscal ... KOREA Conf Call Takeaways
SPAIN
p6.
6/2912012, initial Conclusions
SWITZERLAND 12.00pm ET Post•EU Summit
TAIWAN (date-changed) Euro Crisis Panel 44
UNITED KINGDOM
OTHER
2
EFTA00606081
North America
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00606080.pdf
EFTA01077755Set 9
22p12,833w
history of European austerity and its connection to social unrest.
On the December EU summit. The European debt bubble will be unwound more slowly given the decision ... Europe, valuations are low (particularly banks, c59), and the larger
toolkit announced at the EU summit will slow the rate of deleveraging. However, our view is that while buying equities
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01077755.pdf
EFTA01172052Set 9
2011-12-055p2,871w
will be brief, since there's only so much we will know before the EU summit on December 9th. As shown in the first
chart, Europe needs an alternative ... time wondering about multiple outcomes, and cut to the chase. In all probability, the EU summit will
result in ambiguous, unenforceable commitments to lower deficits and debt levels, which countries
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01172052.pdf
EFTA01146380Set 9
2012-10-128p6,029w
tread more carefully as the next Global Gov Bends—
few weeks will see another EU Summit, US elections, and Chinese leadership
Topix•
change, each of which with potentially momentous impact ... positive news coming out of the Communist
4.0
Party Congress on Nov 8. The EU Summit on Oct 18-19 has an ambitious
agenda on both long- and short-term
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01146380.pdf