EFTA01459034Set 10
2015-12-011p574w
Economics Special Report Dote
foreign Exchange 1 December 2015
FX Spot
ritientic Sannil,‘
Strategist
Euroglut a year on: alive and kicking, (.44)20 75479118
geoigesaravelos@db.com
EUR/USD to break parity
Strategist ... Back in October 2014 we introduced our "Euroglut" hypothesis. We predicted (.44) 20 764-71841
a wave of European capital outflows to the rest of the world that would keep ... report, we take the opportunity to review the evidence so far. We show
that "Euroglut" is no longer a hypothesis but a reality: the Eurozone has
experienced a historically unprecedented
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459034.pdf
EFTA01461079Set 10
2015-03-091p511w
March 2015
Special Report: Euroglut here to stay: trillions of outflows to go
current account shows that despite two decades of large surpluses. Finland never
turned into a mature credit ... larger NIIP, similar to Japan, Norway, or Switzerland.
Conclusion
Since we first introduced our Euroglut thesis last September the European current
account surplus has reached a new record high, while ... additional outflows from Europe over the next few years.
The investment implications of our Euroglut thesis therefore remain intact.
First, we continue to expect broad-based euro weakness. European outflows
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01461079.pdf