EFTA01180857Set 9
2012-09-1030p11,031w
with the
much shorter-range forecasting competition sponsored by Intelligence
Advanced Research Projects Activity (IARPA). IARPA is sponsoring a
political-forecasting Olympics in which research teams are competing
over ... probability estimates to outcomes that the
intelligence community cares about. The teams in the IARPA tournament
consist largely of experimental psychologists, statisticians, and computer
scientists who focus on extracting ... Global Trends reports
focus on plate tectonics shaping the political landscape over decades, the
IARPA tournament focuses on more immediate issues: the likelihood of a
country exiting the eurozone
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01180857.pdf