EFTA00817167Set 9
2016-09-262p240w
From: "Ens, Amanda"
To: ' , "Jeffrey E."
<jeevacation(k,gmail.com>
Subject: USDMXN trade ahead of debate
Date: Mon, 26 Sep 2016 16:07:09 +0000
Attachments: Tnunps_effect_on_MXN.pdf
Inline-Images: image001.png; image002.jpg ... Capistran's analysis suggest that the Peso should be trading at 16.50.
Indicatively, buy USDMXN 6-month 19.038 put funded with USDMXN 6-month 22.000 call for net zero premium
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00817167.pdf
EFTA01462284Set 10
2015-01-051p269w
historical price chart below)
• Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD, USDMXN, and USDNOK
• Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take advantage of implied ... strike is about 14% away from spot while put is about 1% away,
for USDMXN the call strike would be approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01462284.pdf
EFTA01472080Set 10
2015-02-032p282w
0FggF773DFF1005D8f9e8a93df9386909@db.coml{cid:-
5 =OFBBF773DFF1005D8f9e8a93df9386909@db.com}
Spot ref:
USDBRL: 2.6991
USDCOP: 2373.07
EFTA01472080
USDCLP: 626.75
USDMXN: 14.7622
USDPEN: 3.0595
ATMF ly USD calls — Indications:
USDBRL, premium: 6.45% (strike = 2.992), mid=5.95%
USDCOP ... premium : 5.53% (strike = 2449.42), mid=5.03%
USDCLP, premium: 4.50% (strike = 645.4), mid=4.10%
USDMXN, premium: 5.00% (strike = 15.1057), mid=4.60%
USDPEN, premium: 3.00% (strike = 3.1979), mid=2.50%
Looking forward
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01472080.pdf
EFTA01462286Set 10
2014-11-021p187w
historical price chart below)
• Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD, USDMXN, and USDNOK
• Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take advantage of implied ... strike is about 14% away from spot while put is about 1% away,
for USDMXN the call strike would be approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01462286.pdf
EFTA01200026Set 9
2015-01-052p413w
historical price chart below)
• Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD, USDMXN, and USDNOK
• Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take advantage of implied ... strike is about 14% away from spot while put is about 1% away, for
USDMXN the call strike would be approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01200026.pdf
EFTA01197918Set 9
2015-01-052p336w
historical price chart below)
• Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD, USDMXN, and USDNOK
• Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take advantage of implied ... strike is about 14% away from spot while put is about 1% away. for
USDMXN the call strike would be approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01197918.pdf
EFTA01200028Set 9
2015-01-053p487w
historical price chart below)
• Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD, USDMXN, and USDNOK
• Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take advantage of implied ... strike is about 14% away from spot while put is about 1% away, for
USDMXN the call strike would be approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01200028.pdf
EFTA01459711Set 10
2016-01-121p564w
higher, but implied ■ USDTRY
volatility is not reflecting this at all. Figure 3 illustrates ■ USDMXN
that EUR/EM and USD/EM 6-month implied volatility is ■ USDINR
priced roughly equal for much ... volatility
relative to USD-cross volatility is too low. As a result,
while USDTRY, USDMXN and USDINR exhibit typically
positive volatility risk premiums, EURTRY, EURMXN
and EURINR volatility premiums
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459711.pdf
historical price chart below)
Affected commodity linked currency pairs include AUDUSD, USDBRL, USDCAD,
USDMXN, and USDNOK
Premium neutral bullish risk reversals on commodity currencies can take
advantage of implied ... strike is about 14% away
from spot while put is about 1% away, for USDMXN the call strike would be
approximately 8% away while put strike would be 3% away
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01462289.pdf