EFTA01474964Set 10
2015-10-02168p16,614w
Exports and Oil prices. At —47 it suggests flat to slightly down y/y 3Q EPS.
Btm-up 3Q EPS is now $29.04, or -4.4% y/y on -3.4% y/y sales ... high single-digit. Btm-up Tech EPS
growth is now merely 2.8% y/y, on FX headwinds and still very sluggish corp
IT spending. But final Tech EPS growth should ... typical "fishhook" beats. We think 3Q EPS will finalize around
$29.75, down 2% y/y, with sales down —4%, and margins up slightly. Margin
improvement is on a non-GAAP basis
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01474964.pdf
EFTA01104713Set 9
2013-07-2516p10,274w
revenue of $1.6B
(+61% WY) was 15% ahead of our $1.48 (40% Y/Y) estimate. Upside to ad
revenue was driven by greater than expected mobile ad revenue, an increase ... Facebook continues to
make good progress on mobile as mobile DAUs were up 60% Y/Y and reached 57%
DAUs/MAUs in 2Q. Despite recent negative sentiment around teen engagement
levels, Facebook ... driven by News Feed ads and mobile monetization. 2Q
ad revenue of $1.68 (+61% Y/Y, +63% VA' ex-FX) came in well above our
$1.48 estimate, driven by strength across
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01104713.pdf
EFTA01103701Set 9
2014-11-0389p57,380w
impressed by momentum in bookings
growth, room nights, and propeny count (+40% Y/Y). We remain confident in James (Zhaokun) Ma
PCLN's ability to drive further global share gains reiterate ... Solid IQ results. Priceline reported IQ FXN gross bookings growth of +26% Y/Y,
ahead of our +22% Y/Y estimate, with Domestic bookings growth of +2.4% WY
and International FXN growth ... Y/Y, as Booking.com continues to gain
share with +40% Y/Y accommodations growth in a healthy European travel 911
environment. Room nights reached 100M+, up +25% WY from +24% Y/Y
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01103701.pdf
EFTA01104689Set 9
2013-09-1220p12,387w
eMarketer, digital video ad spend will reach $4.1B in 2013, up 41%
Y/Y, and it will continue be one of the fastest growing segments of online
advertising. While video ... Y/Y Cm,» MA MA MA MA MA 1% 37% 53% 32% 19% 1»
00 Dux» MA M4 .20% .6% 0% 34% .1% 10%
Renm36.346 ... Pmtod 3981 13.168 29166 48.594 93309 55.037 81502 62.790 62.158 240947 276.101 278.803
Y/Y Gran» NM NM NM MA NM 363% 123% 28% 157% 15% 1%
GO Gabe
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01104689.pdf
EFTA01367801Set 10
2015-05-221p620w
Equity Insights
10 EPS tracker: Good EPS beats, lots of sales misses; sales down
y/y, but margin expansion helped EPS up y/y
487 companies ... also the biggest since recession. Btm-up IQ EPS is now S28.78,
2.6% y/y. The 10 EPS growth is on -3.5% sales decline helped by 4.5% y/y margin
expansion ... 2015E S&P 500 EPS of $118 (flat y/y) assumes
average 1.05 EUR/USD, 100 DXY, and -$50/bbl WTI in 2015. Spot DXY dollar index is
at -95. if the dollar
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01367801.pdf
EFTA02343435Set 11
2017-08-014p937w
limn compared to our/Street
est of 9mn
Rev =rom Greater China declined 10% y/y, which was slightly better than the =eclines in F1Q/F2Q
class="MsoNormal" style="margin ... sales. Services rev (digital content, AppleCare, =pple Pay, licensing, other services) grew 22% y/y to
$7.3bn. This =ompares to double-digit (DD, 18%) growth in FlQ and F2Q.
Greater ... China rev declines y/y for the 6th qtr =n a row
Apple reported F3Q rev from =reater China (China, Hong Kong, Taiwan) of $8.0bn, which declined
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2011/EFTA02343435.pdf
EFTA01459741Set 10
2016-02-081p485w
missed on EPS even on
lowered estimates and Energy blended EPS is down 74% y/y.
The blended (actual for reported and estimate for remaining) bottom ... Lower litigation is a $0.17
tailwind to 4Q15 EPS, reducing 4O S&P EPS y/y decline by 0.5%. We think 4O EPS will
finalize around $29.25. down 3-4% y/y ... especially Energy (-42.1%)
and Materials (-9.0%), have seen substantial cuts.
The blended 4Q EPS y/y growth is -3.7% for S&P 500, 2.3% ex. Energy, and 2.4% ex.
Energy & Financials
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459741.pdf
EFTA02121389Set 10
2020-11-139p2,210w
joint release post merger), top line adequate (trading +3.7%)
• Carphone Warehouse H1 revs up y/y, EBIT ahead, EBITDA better, sees FY in line (trading +7.5%)
• Bouygues Q3 revs in line ... profit better y/y, order book improvement, upbeat outlook (trading
+6.0%)
• Telekom Austria O3 revs inline, net income miss, EBITDA good, confirms forecasts (trading -1.9%)
• EVS Broadcast O3 net falls, revs ... EFTA_R1_00755701
EFTA02121390
• Aker ASA Q3 revs flat, EBITDA light, net income miss y/y, slowdown in E&P spend (trading
+0.30%)
• Ted Baker Q3 sales +24%, gross margin
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA02121389.pdf
EFTA01459628Set 10
2016-02-081p485w
missed on EPS even on
lowered estimates and Energy blended EPS is down 74% y/y.
The blended (actual for reported and estimate for remaining) bottom ... Lower litigation is a $0.17
tailwind to 4Q15 EPS, reducing 4O S&P EPS y/y decline by 0.5%. We think 4O EPS will
finalize around $29.25. down 3-4% y/y ... especially Energy (-42.1%)
and Materials (-9.0%), have seen substantial cuts.
The blended 4Q EPS y/y growth is -3.7% for S&P 500, 2.3% ex. Energy, and 2.4% ex.
Energy & Financials
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459628.pdf
EFTA01115312Set 9
2013-07-1915p9,295w
mobile and display, Enhanced Campaigns, and Google Shopping/PLAs should drive Bo Nam
stronger Y/Y growth in 2H13 and into 2014. We reiterate our Overweight rating and
$1,015 price target ... results modestly below expectations. Google Inc. consolidated gross revenue
of $14.18 (+19% Y/Y, +1% Q/Q) was 2.7% below our estimate of $14.58 due to
softness in the Google Network ... Liked:
• Solid Google Sites growth. Google Sites net revenue of $8.2B (+16% Y/Y,
+2.5% Q/Q) was in-line with our expectation and stable with 1Q13 growth
levels. We expect
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA01115312.pdf
EFTA01459077Set 10
2016-11-201p587w
tailwind to 3Q15 EPS, adding 2% to 3Q S&P EPS y/y growth.
We think 3Q EPS will finalize around $30.00, flattish y/y, with sales down -4%,
margins ... down
from $31.21 on 9/1/2015. Our 4Q EPS estimate is $30.25, essentially flat y/y.
We think 4Q growth will be slow: (1) FX will be a smaller drag ... weakest since Dec 2012. Latest core capital goods new orders are -5.8% y/y,
worst since Dec 2009. Mfg. IP ex Auto growth is weak.
Analysts have
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA01459077.pdf
EFTA00390785Set 9
2013-05-097p2,239w
market is interpreting as
pointing to weaker growth. China April CPI came in +2.4% y/y, higher than consensus +2.3% y/y (and +2.1% in March)
while PPI was -2.6% y/y, below ... consensus -2.3% y/y (and -1.9% previously). South Korea outperformed with the Kospi
finishing on the highs as the BOK becomes the latest central bank to cut rates, lowering ... forecasters cut 2013 GDP estimate to -0.4% from +0.0%
• Spain March industrial output wda y/y -0.6% vs est -5.3% (nsa y/y -9.8% vs -8.5% prior)
• Spain sells €4.57 billion
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%209/EFTA00390785.pdf
EFTA02139472Set 10
2013-05-098p2,231w
market
is interpreting as pointing to weaker growth. China April CPI came in +2.4% y/y, higher than consensus
+2.3% y/y (and +2.1% in March) while PPI was -2.6% y/y, below ... consensus -2.3% y/y (and -1.9%
previously). South Korea outperformed with the Kospi finishing on the highs as the BOK becomes the
latest central bank to cut rates, lowering ... forecasters cut 2013 GDP estimate to -0.4% from +0.0%
• Spain March industrial output wda y/y -0.6% vs est -5.3% (nsa y/y -9.8% vs -8.5% prior)
EFTA_R1_00792376
EFTA02139473
• Spain
https://www.justice.gov/epstein/files/DataSet%2010/EFTA02139472.pdf